WA-Gov: Gregoire Holds Narrow Lead in New Poll

There aren't too many gubernatorial contests the Democrats have to worry about in 2008, but one of them may be in Washington, which will host a rematch of the 2004 Governor contest between Democrat (and current incumbent) Chris Gregoire and Republican Dino Rossi. While polling not long after the 2004 election, which went to several recounts, showed Rossi holding a serious lead, the last survey on the race puts Gregoire up, though within the margin of error.

A University of Washington poll shows Gov. Christine Gregoire slightly ahead of Republican challenger Dino Rossi in the 2008 gubernatorial race.

The second annual Washington Poll indicated 47 percent for Gregoire, a Democrat; 42 percent for Rossi; 2 percent for Ruth Bennett, a Libertarian; 1 percent for "other"; and 7 percent undecided.

As in 2004, the race is divided by region, with Puget Sound voters supporting Gregoire 50 percent to 38 percent. Voters east of the Cascades supported Rossi 52 percent to 36 percent. Political independents were evenly split -- 43 percent for Gregoire, 41 percent for Rossi -- and 10 percent were undecided.

As a nonpartisan, academic survey sponsored by the UW Institute for the Study of Ethnicity, Race and Sexuality, the poll conducted telephone interviews of 600 registered voters Oct. 22-29. The poll's margin of error is 4 percentage points. (Percentages may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.)

No one believes this is going to be an easy race for the Democrats. Yet given that the Democratic presidential nominee is will likely be favored to carry Washington by a healthy margin next fall and that Gregoire's numbers are trending in the right direction, look for the Democrats to have a real chance at holding this office.



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Re: WA-Gov: Gregoire Holds Narrow Lead in New Poll (2.00 / 1)

I would add that nobody here believes that Gregoire's position is in any way weaker than it was in 2004.  She is not a great campaigner, but she has governed quite competently.  She has mollified big business while not turning off too many progressives.  While she isn't a lock for reelection, if she was able to pull it off in 2004, and Dino Rossi has just been sitting around with his supporters claiming "he was robbed!" for the last three years, then she is absolutely the odds-on favorite to win again.


by lorax on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 07:03:49 PM EST

Re: WA-Gov: Gregoire Holds Narrow Lead in New Poll (none / 0)

I think she is indeed a competent governor, but the statement that she "is not a great campaigner" vastly overstates her campaign ability.  She is a defiantly horrible campaigner, who campaigns hard in places with very few, but Republican voters, ignores swing counties and Democratic strongholds, and can't throw a punch against an opponent, no matter how glassy and unprotected his jaw may be.  She will flush every dollar contributed to her down the toilet and then complain that the news media failed to point out her opponent's defects.


by tyva on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 08:08:10 PM EST

BS (none / 0)

Obviously you do not know what is and has been going on behind the scenes.


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 10:58:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: WA-Gov: Gregoire Holds Narrow Lead in New Poll (2.00 / 1)

It'll be tough; I worked on Cantwell's race in Spokane and there's a lot of lingering animosity over the 2004 recalls. That said, there will be a Democratic presidential candidate to ratchet up the Democratic turnout in this blue state, Gregoire has built a solid record to run on, it's a Democratic year, and we did handily win the last WA race everyone though would be close (Sen: Cantwell-McGavick). Will it be easy? 'Course not. But I'm more worried about Mary Landrieu.


Ever heard of a Blue Moose Democrat?
by Nathan Empsall on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 08:52:02 PM EST

We should not lose this one (2.00 / 1)

This is a blue state and the Democratic nominee will carry the state handily.  


by Toddwell on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 09:50:38 PM EST

Pierce County... (none / 0)

If you live in or near Pierce County, we need you. Please contact Nathe (Chair of the Pierce County Democrats) at the Pierce County Democrats to see what you can do to help Darcy Burner and Gov. Gregoire win Pierce County.

There is a lot of work going on to push Pierce County, which is a blue collar and military county, into a True Blue county.

Here is the website for Pierce County:
http://piercecountydems.com/


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Fri Nov 09, 2007 at 10:54:50 PM EST

Blogz (2.00 / 1)

I first started reading blogs in order to check up on Gregoire recount results. Strange (for me) that the race is playing itself out again. Anyways, Gregoire has done a terrific job of remaking herself in the eyes of a dissatisfied public. The fact that this poll is not tied is, frankly, quite encouraging.


by Jon on Sat Nov 10, 2007 at 02:44:57 AM EST


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