Marc Ambinder is teasing the latest New Hampshire CNN/WMUR Democratic primary poll (389 LVs, 11/14-18, MOE 5%.) It's the fifth poll in a row to show Clinton in the mid to upper 30s, down from her 40+ average for the 5 prior polls and shows her lead over Obama dropping from 23 points in September to 14 points now. Note also Richardson's rise to a virtual tie with Edwards. His result here is well above his average so we'll have to see if that's borne out in further polling.
| November | September | RCP 5-poll ave. | |
| Clinton | 36 | 43 | 36 |
| Obama | 22 | 20 | 23 |
| Edwards | 13 | 12 | 13.2 |
| Richardson | 12 | 6 | 8.4 |
| Kucinich | 3 | 3 | |
| Biden | 2 | 3 | |
| Dodd | 1 | 6 |
I'll post the link and the rest of the results once they become available.
Update [2007-11-20 16:38:1 by Todd Beeton]: CNN's Political Ticker has more.
While Clinton leads the pack on key issues such as health care, the war in Iraq and the economy, she stumbles on what seems to have solidified as her achilles heel in the race.
But she placed fourth, behind Obama, Edwards and Richardson, when Democrats ranked the candidates they considered most honest and trustworthy. Obama topped that category with 27 percent, while Edwards followed with 18 percent; Richardson, 14; and Clinton, 13.
The Clinton campaign knows this, of course, which is why they released a new ad featuring a man, Joe Ward, who went to Senator Clinton to help get his son a bone marrow transplant. The ad features Ward speaking directly to the camera and ends with:
I trusted this woman to save my son's life. She did.
The video was delivered in the inbox of everyone signed up with the campaign as well. While it doesn't touch on the idea of Clinton's honesty per se, it takes on the claim that she can't be trusted in a different way, one much more dramatic than someone saying "She told me X and she was right."
The upshot of the CNN New Hampshire poll:
The Democratic race remains fluid, with only 24 percent of likely voters reporting having settled on a candidate in the primary. Another 29 percent said they were leaning toward one candidate, but 47 percent said they remained undecided.
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