Sorry for the quick hit diary, but I didn't see this posted here yet. Over at Century of the Common Iowan, noneed4thneed linked to a blog post by Marc Ambinder yesterday. Although Barack Obama won the United Auto Workers' straw poll of locals in Region 4 (which includes Iowa),
(1) 48% of the voting members of UAW's Region 4 came from Illinois. Barack Obama comes from Illinois.(2) 22% of the voting members come from Iowa. It turns out that, in today's straw balloting, John Edwards won twice as many Iowa locals as Obama did.
The UAW has a fair number of members in Iowa, many of them in delegate-rich counties for Democrats such as Black Hawk (Waterloo) and Dubuque.
Noneed4thneed adds,
It is looking like the Iowa delegates from the UAW will be split between Edwards and Obama, even if Obama officially wins the endorsement.You have to remember that Gephardt won the UAW's endorsement in 2004 and that didn't help him much. On the flip side, many think it was the UAW's endorsement that carried Chet Culver to victory in 2006.
I have heard people speculate that the UAW made the difference for Culver in the 2006 gubernatorial primary. Others think it was his successful mobilization of pro-choice women (Planned Parenthood of Greater Iowa's Freedom Fund PAC endorsed Culver and went all out to get him the primary victory).
Anyway, I obviously would rather have Edwards getting the UAW endorsement than Obama. But it is heartening for me to know that Edwards would have won the straw poll if only locals in Iowa had been voting.
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