Even though I dislike Dick Morris, I always pay attention to what he has to say. This is because he is a very good pollster, who has been correct more often than not. The fact that he is a Republican and a Hillary hater makes anything good that he has to say about her more reliable -- he is unlikely to be "shilling" or overstating her favorables. In my opinion, his reputation as a good pollster is at stake here. He needs to call this coming election correctly.
He gave an interview in North Carolina yesterday on the state of Presidential campaign. You can find the transcript of the interview here.
He was asked the following question: "If you're right and Hillary Clinton does cruise to the nomination, how do you think that her being on the ticket will affect Democrats in Southern such states as North Carolina running for local or state offices?"
He answered the question as follows:
I think she will help Democrats all over the country, because I think she'll bring out large numbers of women, particularly single women voters, and so I think she'll dramatically increase the turnout among single white women.... You know that I think she'd be a terrible president, but I do think she's going to win. And I think that she will, for example, carry North Carolina. The thing that everybody's missing, when they look at how polarizing she is, is that they are polling with the current electorate. And Hillary's strength is her ability to attract new voters who have never voted before but who see her as a kindred spirit who can help them in their own lives. In 1996, the phrase `soccer moms' was coined for voters ... that Bill Clinton attracted. In 2004 the word `security moms' was used to mean women voters who Bush attracted because of his anti-terrorist position. And I think that in 2008, `single moms' will be the deciding factor.
He also made comments about Edwards and Obama. He was asked following question: "John Edwards is trailing Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in both polling and in fundraising. Why is he trailing, and how big is the gap?" He replied as follows.
I think he's trailing because I think Democrats are in a kind of a time war. When we hear something good about Obama, they say, `Oh, he'll be a great president someday.' And when we hear something good about Edwards, they say, `It's too bad we didn't nominate him in '04.' And when we hear something good about Hillary, they say, `She'll be a good president now.' And I think that Edwards' time has just passed in the Democratic Party.... His last hope was that he had a residual lead in Iowa, because of his campaigning there in 2004 and his obsessive attention to the state since then. But that lead has now vanished, and Hillary's ahead and I think she's going to have an easy cruise to the nomination.
He was asked a follow-up question: "Is (Edwards) dead in the water? Is there any scenario under which he could make a run for the nomination?" He replied as follows.
No. I mean, yes, he is dead in the water; no, there is no scenario. His political career is over. He could come back and run for the Senate and have an interesting rest of his life in politics, but he's never going to be a candidate for president.
He also made the following comment regarding the Senate race.
I think the Democrats are going to do extraordinarily well in the U.S. Senate in 2008. I think that they're going to pick up seven or eight extra seats.... You have to go back to '64 to see a Democratic win as big as what's going to happen this time
I gather from this interview that Dick Morris is predicting (based on his own polling analysis) that Hillary would help the downstream tickets because she will bring in a surge of new voters -- single women, single mothers and minorities -- that haven't voted before. This demographic that Hillary will bring in usually vote Democratic. He is also predicting that Hillary will win the general Presidential election and that she will carry a red state like North Carolina.
Well, that sounds like music to my ears! :)
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