Top Republicans Still Wrong for Religious Right

Via http://malcontends.blogspot.com/2007/10/ top-republicans-still-wrong-for.html

The religious right's two-day gathering in D.C. demonstrates the enduring political trouble for the top-tier Republicans running for the GOP presidential nomination.

As reported in the New York Times, the politically significant straw poll taken at the "values voters" conference found three of the top four Republican candidates performing dismally, with Fred D. Thompson at 9.8 percent, Rudy Giuliani finishing second to last with less than two percent of the vote, and Senator John McCain finishing dead-last.

Mitt Romney, the only one of the top four Republican candidates who performed well, placed a close second (or edged out a victory, depending on the two polls taken) in the straw polls, but did nothing to dissipate the deep skepticism toward his candidacy that has been marked by major flip-flops on social issues.

The NYT's Michael Luo reports that Romney received only a "smattering" of applause; and reading between the lines may have engineered the victory as voting was allowed before the conference.

Bottom line: Still no mandate from the religious right that political observers believe must come out in full force for the Republican nominee if he is to have a chance in the general election in 2008; a conclusion to which even organizers of the conference admitted they agreed.

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Poll
Assuming the Republican presidential nominee is Fred D. Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain or Mitt Romney, the religious right voters will:
Go the third-party route, throwing the election the Democratic nominee.
Underperform at the polls, throwing the election the Democratic nominee.
Ultimately turn out and work for the Republican nominee to the same extent as 2004, though the Democratic nominee will still win.
Ultimately turn out and work for the Republican nominee to the same extent as 2004, and the Democratic nominee will lose because of still-existing systemic, corrupt Republican-rigged elections in some states.

Votes: 2
Results : Vote Link : Polls


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