Did the Republicans debate last night foreshadow some problems for the GOP?
Paul and Tancredo said they would not necessarily support the GOP nominee. That is interesting. Does this feeling persist within the Republican Party?
The folks at NBC's First Read note the significance of this interchange.
[T]here was the waffling by Ron Paul and Tom Tancredo at the GOP debate about whether they'd support the eventual GOP nominee. Remember, it wouldn't take more than a percentage or two in some states for a third party candidate like Paul or Tancredo to cost the GOP a whole bunch of Bush '04 states out West.
I don't necessarily see either Paul or Tancredo running as third party candidates in next year's general election, but that doesn't mitigate the Republicans' problems at the least. Even if neither of them run -- even if neither of them support third party candidates -- they could still work to depress the Republican vote in some key areas of the country by simply withholding their own support.
And as the First Read folks imply, it wouldn't take a whole lot of Bush voters not voting for the 2008 GOP presidential nominee to have a real affect upon some key states. They mention states in the West -- probably Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, all of which were extremely close in 2004 -- but a lack of unified Republican support in states like Iowa and Ohio and even Virginia and Arkansas could spell real trouble for GOP hopes of holding on to the White House for another four years.
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