Turn The Page...Back?

Senator Obama has been persistent in reminding us that while his principal rivals for the Democratic nomination were voting to give Bush the authorization to invade Iraq, he was speaking out against the rush to war when it was unpopular to do so. Every speech he gives describes Iraq as the war "that should never have been authorized and should never have been waged." He's right to be proud of that and he's right to use it as a point of distinction between himself and the other candidates, but it's been 8 months and, well, you know what they say about repeating the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. If one thing is clear, it's that Obama has not been able to capitalize on his prescience on the war, and what's more, he's allowed Clinton to win over anti-war Democrats despite her being the most hawkish candidate and despite her refusal to apologize for her vote. So, why does he continue to hammer away at his speech denouncing the war when the strategy has not delivered any discernible results? An e-mail I got on Monday from David Plouffe explains:

On October 2, 2002, while others followed the conventional thinking in Washington, Barack Obama showed the kind of judgment and leadership we need.

He stood up against a popular war because he thought it was a mistake:

"What I am opposed to is a dumb war. What I am opposed to is a rash war. What I am opposed to is the cynical attempt by Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz and other armchair, weekend warriors in this administration to shove their own ideological agendas down our throats, irrespective of the costs in lives lost and in hardships borne.

What I am opposed to is the attempt by political hacks like Karl Rove to distract us from a rise in the uninsured, a rise in the poverty rate, a drop in the median income - to distract us from corporate scandals and a stock market that has just gone through the worst month since the Great Depression. That's what I'm opposed to. A dumb war. A rash war. A war based not on reason but on passion, not on principle but on politics."

   -Barack Obama, October 2, 2002

Tomorrow, on the five-year anniversary of that speech in Chicago, supporters are gathering in 18 cities across the country.

Together, we are rallying against the conventional thinking that led us into the Iraq war.

Clearly, whether the message of Obama's sound judgment on the most important foreign policy issue of our day was resonating or not, they were going to stick with it through at least Oct. 2, 2007. And don't get me wrong, I love the fact that he's using his name and vast organization to rally thousands of people nationwide against the war (find a rally near you HERE,) and in theory I think doing it on the 5th anniversary of his speech denouncing the war is genius. But will it really do anything to change the dynamic of the race? I'm not convinced. First off, it's quite apparent that Obama has been able to gain exactly zero momentum from his good judgment 5 years ago, so it's a big question mark in my mind as to whether he'll be able to translate the rallies into more support at this point. Also, looking at the wording of Plouffe's e-mail, I'm left scratching my head: what evidence is there exactly that the Democratic primary electorate is particularly contemptuous of this "Washington conventional wisdom" that Obama and Edwards constantly rail against; pluralities of Democrats all over the country consistently choose the personification of that conventional wisdom as their first choice for president. Has there been any indication that this idea of a "war on conventional wisdom" resonates with voters at all? And finally, is the inherent conflict in calling these rallies "Turn The Page On Iraq Rallies." In the same breath, the Obama campaign is asking us to "turn the page," to move on from the past and look to the future while at the same time urging us to look back five years to a moment that they believe should serve as the principle rationale for his candidacy.



Display:


Obama's Senate Record (2.00 / 1)

Whatever speech Obama made while serving in the Illinois state Senate, the fact remains that his U.S. Senate Iraq voting record is identical to Clintons.

Voters know this.


by BigBoyBlue on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:31:54 AM EST

Re: Obama's Senate Record (none / 0)

I'm not sure Obama would have voted on a measure that lays the ground work for going to war with Iran, which Hillary voted for last week


by rapcetera on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 10:19:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama's Senate Record (none / 0)

Was he on the floor during the vote or did he duck the vote?


by realistic democrat on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 12:36:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama highlights another speech (none / 0)

I will give the guy credit where credit is due.  He gives great speeches.  If all a President had to do was give speeches I would vote for him over Clinton and Edwards.


by dpANDREWS on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:33:58 AM EST

Why no momentum? (none / 0)

Because Clinton is no Lieberman.

In fact, Lieberman was wise too to erase the distinction from Lamont by producing Dishonest Ads that he wants to bring troops home.

I dont think the problem is Obama--It is just the Clinton name and she really is very intelligent and has charisma and  Bill Clinton's wife.

That is what Obama is running against.


by jasmine on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:34:15 AM EST

No distinctions (2.00 / 2)

I think his problem is that when he got all the buzz in the spring people looked to him to see what he was all about.  They wanted to see if he was a different alternative.

Obama didn't show that he was all that different.  His votes in the Senate are similar to Clinton.  His stance on the issues similar.  When given a chance to draw sharp contrasts with Republicans or with his opponents he has largly let the chances go by.  His softballing with Brian Williams a couple of weeks ago was a great example.

Edwards is trying to show some sharp contrast.  Obama just isn't.  

It is like Clinton is vodka.  Edwards is saying he is beer.   Obama is saying he is vodka, but trying to point out that he is Grey Goose and Clinton is Smirnoff.  For a challenger going up against an established personality that isn't going to cut it.


by dpANDREWS on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:41:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No distinctions (none / 0)

Not to mention the fact that he has made a mockery of his pledge to bring a different type of politics to DC.  His campaign has been incredibly negative, if not the most negative.


by realistic democrat on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 12:37:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

odd (2.00 / 1)

This is actually pretty odd. I mean, to ask his followers to celebrate the five-year anniversary of a speech he gave five years ago. This sounds too much like the behavior of dictators. I mean, come on, this is really odd.


Hillary: We will finally have a president who doesn't mind pulling over and asking for directions. Am I right, ladies?
by areyouready on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:35:04 AM EST

Re: odd (none / 0)

Haha, if it were just a speech, it would be funny.  But it's referring to the authorization to use military force, passed exactly 5 years ago.  Clinton fan though I may be, this is definitely a legitimate anniversary for him to be rallying the anti-war crowd.


by frankies on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:49:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

here's the proof Hillary is the strongest (none / 0)

The one who opposed the war is called the dictator.   Now we can finally go head-to-head with the Republicans in the smear department.
 
New Jersey politics and news
by John DE on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:57:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Turn The Page...Back? (2.00 / 1)

This WaPo article shows the pitfalls that come with Obama's new play.  It is called an actual record and speeches Obama made that are contradictory to his stand of today.  Everybody is entitled to changing their minds, but a great agent of change he is certainly not:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2007/10/02/AR2007100200190. html

But nobody should accept at face value the Illinois senator's claim that he was a "courageous leader" who opposed the war at great political risk.

The truth is that while Obama showed foreign policy savvy and an ability to keenly analyze both sides of an issue in his October 2002 warnings on Iraq, the political upside of his position rivaled any risk.

And, once elected to the U.S. Senate two years later, Obama waited months to show national leadership on Iraq.

Even now, as he hopes to ride his anti-war credentials to the White House, Obama's views on how to end the conflict differ little from those of Democratic rivals who voted in the fall of 2002 to give President Bush authority to wage war.


Courageous or calculating? These are the facts:

In 2004, while getting ready for his star-making address to the Democratic National Convention, Obama gave presidential nominee John Kerry and other leading Democrats a pass for backing Bush on Iraq.

Noting he was not privy to intelligence reports shown to Kerry and others, Obama told The New York Times, "What would I have done? I don't know."

Once elected, Obama didn't force the issue in the Senate. His first floor speech encouraged Democrats to drop challenges to the 2004 presidential election "at a time when we try to make certain we encourage democracy in Iraq."

His first major address on Iraq came in November 2005, when he said U.S. forces remained "part of a solution."

Seven months later, he was voting in step with Clinton for a middle-of-the-road approach. On June 22, 2006, they both backed a nonbinding resolution to pull troops out of Iraq.

More meaningfully, they also rejected a bill _ backed by the force of law _ that would have required the troops to come home by a date certain.

Nothing wrong with minimizing risk and exposure as a Senator.  But it is then hard to cast yourself as the agent of change if you do so, indeed have forceful speeches on the Senate floor criticizing those who sought to bring troops out of Iraq before this year.


by georgep on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 09:53:18 AM EST

Re: Turn The Page...Back? (2.00 / 1)

This has been a contradiction for Obama since the beginning, and it lends itself to an incoherent message.


by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 10:34:43 AM EST

Re: Turn The Page...Back? (none / 0)

I just don't get it- he looks like he has nothing else to say.  You can't pound a square block into a round hole.  Does he not realize he has been saying this over and over since the beginning with virtually no effect?  Does he think people will react to it only after they have heard it 200 times?  He just seems "lost" to me- not ever knowing what to do next so he does nothing next.  Granted, I would not know what to tell him to do to flip the page, but this same old rhetoric isn't the answer to his problems.  But it's his campaign and he can do what he wants.


by reasonwarrior on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 03:38:08 PM EST

Why does B-Rock keep lying? (none / 0)

B-Rock keeps saying that he was a candidate for the US Senate when he gave his anti-war speech. That is not true. In October 2002, he was running for re-election to his part-time seat in the Illinois State Senate.

He did not run for the US Senate until the Novemer 2004 election, more than two years after his anti-war speech.

Why does he keep lying about what office he was running for in October 2002?


by hwc on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 03:59:58 PM EST

Re: Turn The Page...Back? (none / 0)

or turn the page forward!! From last week's debate, verbatim:

MR. RUSSERT: Will you pledge that by January 2013, the end of your first term more than five years from now, there will be no U.S. troops in Iraq?

SENATOR OBAMA: I think it's hard to project four years from now, and I think it would be irresponsible. We don't know what contingency will be out there. What I can promise is that if there are still troops in Iraq when I take office, which it appears there may be unless we can get some of our Republican colleagues to change their mind and cut off funding without a timetable, if there's no timetable, then I will drastically reduce our presence there to the mission of protecting our embassy, protecting our civilians and making sure that we're carrying out counterterrorism activities there. I believe that we should have all our troops out by 2013, but I don't want to make promises not knowing what the situation's going to be three or four years out.
2013???? WTF?!
by VeniceDave on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 05:37:14 PM EST

Re: Turn The Page...Back? (none / 0)

I agree with reasonwarrior.
If I never hear Obama say he was right again it will be too soon.
At one point, many months ago, I liked him.  I listened to his speeches, and then realized that he had nothing to say.
I beleive he is in this race for egotistical reasons and because his friends told him he should be.
He just doesn't 'wear well' for some reason, and at times I find myself wishing he would just quit this race.  He is too young and inexperienced and does not have the intellect that the country needs during these trying times.  What we need is a leader, not a self-rightous puppy. Yip Yip. Yip Yip.......
by hudpucky on Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 11:34:18 PM EST


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