Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal

In the post below this one, Matt covers how almost every legislative issue Democrats seek to cover in the first "100 hours" in extremely popular with the public. I think he draws the right conclusion: that pathetic Republican calls for "bi-partisanship" elide how at first Democrats in Congress will focus on issues where the public overwhelmingly supports Democrats in Congress. Given this, all that is left for Republicans to whine about is the vague lack of "bi-partisanship" that the public vaguely desires (and which far less vaguely self-incriminates implicates the outgoing Republican majority). They can't actually describe what sort of bi-partisanship they would like on these early legislative proposals, because the public is overwhelmingly opposed to their positions on things like the minimum wage, stem cell research, Social Security, and Iraq oversight.

However, despite massive public support for the Democratic "100 hours," there is still something about it that worries me. During the pre-Connecticut primary phase of the 2006 campaign, most of the Democratic leadership was unwilling to confront Republicans on any issue where there was not a super-majority, or nearly a super-majority, of the electorate in opposition to Republican policy when it came to that issue. From February until July, the type of "confrontation" the cautious Democratic leadership sought out was exemplified by the Dubai ports deal, where about 75-80% of the country was in opposition to Republican policy. Man, did our leadership in both branches of Congress ever hit that one hard, even if it wasn't the most important issue around. This extraordinary trepidation on the party of Democrats led to absurd situations like Senator Feingold demanding censure and hearings over warrant-less wiretapping revelations, while many of his colleagues demanded a return to talking about the issues that I guess they felt really impacted Americans, like the Dubai ports deal.

When I look at the legislative topics of the first 100 hours, I see a laundry list of Dubai ports deals. All of these proposals--ethics reform, raising the minimum wage, stem cell research--are very popular, but they still tend to cut around the edges of the most important issue of our time. Certainly, raising the minimum wage is a lot more important than the Dubai port deal was, as is pretty much everything on the early Democratic agenda. However, after winning an election largely on promising change to, or at least oversight of, Iraq policy, there isn't a single thing in the first 100 hours that deals with Iraq. There doesn't even seem to be a push to immediately set up an oversight committee on any subject related to Iraq. Like national Democratic campaigns pre-Lamont, it is pretty much Iraq-free, and we have re-entered the Dubai Port deal press conference zone again.

Democrats cannot hope to govern like this indefinitely. Eventually, we will run out of Dubai port deals. Further, we will also lose our newfound ability to steer the national political conversation if we elide the big issues of the day--especially while Bush continues to talk Iraq. Still further, it will reify the negative national image of Democrats as gutless wonders. Worst of all, voters will feel betrayed by the new Congress, in that we failed to challenge, expose, stop or alter our course in Iraq in any significant way.

At some point very soon, we need to move beyond small, popular legislation and into a direct confrontational mode with Bush and congressional Republicans on the most important issue of the day: Iraq. Failure to do so will quickly result in our current 60% approval ratings falling into the same toilet Republicans found themselves in during the past two years. Not everything can be a Dubai port deal--eventually, it is going to have to get rough. While moving on quickly on Iraq may not be the first instinct of the risk-averse Democratic leadership, failure to promptly provide accountability and a challenge to Bush when it comes to Mess-o-potamia is a far shakier strategic position than to not do so.



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first things first (3.00 / 2)

It would be a mistake to start on day one with the biggest, toughest, most complicated problems (like health care). We need to rack up some victories.

Not only are several of these issues quite important, such as the minimum wage, but getting them passed will undercut the media's tendency to portray Democrats as inept, divided, incapable of getting anything done.

Furthermore, many of these bills will force members of the Republican minority to go on record opposing incredibly popular legislation. That's going to build the case against those 50 Republican incumbents you want to seriously challenge in 2008.


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by desmoinesdem on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:36:54 AM EST

Re: first things first (none / 0)

I am wondering what the long term plan is.

Pelosi's too smart to not be thinking four moves ahead.


"You say the world has lost it's love I say embrace what it's made of" -Dar Williams
by Valatan on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:45:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

they're going to have lots of hearings on Iraq (3.00 / 1)

I know various committees will be investigating various aspects of the debacle. presumably in a few months we'll have a clearer idea what these hearings turn up. Probably a lot that makes the Bush administration look even worse than it does now.


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by desmoinesdem on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:54:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: first things first (3.00 / 2)

You are absolutely right. The first 100 hours should be devoted entirely to low-hanging fruit. It is completely logical from a tactical standpoint. After that they should foccus on invetigations, healthcare, energy independence, media and electoral and lobbying reform, etc. And they need to develop and articulate a coherent and principled national security agenda as a foundation for the 2008 presidential campaign.


miasmo.com
by miasmo on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:53:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: first things first (3.00 / 1)

I agree that the first 100 hours should focus on the "low-hanging fruit", at least to build up some initial support for the Democratic congress.
Iraq is a tough issue for the Congressional Dems to deal with. On one hand, the majority of people clearly want to see this war drawn down, but on the other hand the only real way Pelosi et al can pressure Bush is to cut off funding, and thats political suicide. I'd like to see hearings or something shortly after the 100 hours, at least ramp up the political pressure if we arent willing to use the power of the purse.
by AC4508 on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:11:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (2.50 / 2)

Using the DPW issue is a bad omen indeed. The entire thing was demagoguery, pure and simple, and the Democrats came off as utter craven fools pandering to the very worst xenophobic and isolationist aspects of American society. And why? for pure political advantage.

Demonization of muslims for political gain. For shame.

I hope there never again is a DPW issue for the left. It was truly our Schiavo moment.

Kudos to President Carter, btw - he recognized the demogagouery for what it was.


by azizhp on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:43:26 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 3)

I disagree, although you're right that the DPW did tap into the xenophobic areas of our population, it also tapped into the anti-neo-liberal segments of our population who couldn't figure out why the United States would hand over port security to ANY foreign nation, whether they be an Arab nation or a Western Nation. I think the theme of "outsourcing America" plays quite well, and Dubai/British Ports is a good example of this, and most of that 85% that opposed the Dubai deal likely also opposed the British controlling it too.


by KainIIIC on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:40:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (none / 0)

The basic problem is that things like bringing habeas corpus or the 4th Amendment back or enacting a sane Iraq policy are processes that both require both more than 100 hours and more political capital than we currently have.  The latter bit is the intent behind the program.  Make a public demonstration that the Dems are for the middle class and ethics ASAP.  Only afterwards can we move onto bigger things.

And azizhp's right.  The Dubai Ports nonsense was xenophobic demagoguery.  Not really comparable to any part of the 100 hours.


by Ramo on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:06:07 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

It looks like we may have extensive hearings on Iraq starting January 17, if John Murtha gets what he wants (which I suspect he would).  At this point, I think that's the best way to start and I think those hearings could very quickly raise the political pressure on Bush and McCain while simultaneously sculpting the political landscape in favor of the Democrats working toward getting us the hell out of Iraq.

Frankly, I like this approach.  You start out with a laundry list of items that are hugely popular, gain some political capital with that, cement the sense of change in Washington, and then jump from there into the Iraq hearings.

I'm cautious about what the Democrats will actually be able to (and willing to) get done over the next two years, but I think what they have planned so far is a damn good start.


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by aimlessmind on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:43:39 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 2)

I agree the Democratic Congress needs to turn to Iraq, but I also agree with Nancy Pelosi's strategy and tactics in choosing this list of issues for the first hundred hours is the right one.  These are issues that do not require a lot of public hearings, but instead can be scheduled for immediate up or down votes on the floor.  Appearently, Republicans have two choices to oppose this legislation: (1) filibuster or (2) veto.  Either way, they are forced into a position where they will be seen as obstructionist on very popular policies or they will have to help pass good legislation.  If they choose to be obstructionists, it will set the entire tone for the next two years.  Democrats will be able to show that Republicans are obstructing the people's business and use this to defeat Republicans in 2008.  If they help the Democrats pass this legislation, then Democrats can claim that they get things done.  

Pelosi has put the Republicans into a no-win position from the start of the Congress.  This will help to politically weaken and divide them, which will help with the more difficult issues down the line, like Iraq.  

In addition, there is the practical matter on Iraq.  Democrats can't simply pass legislation to end the war.  This may create a constitutional crisis.  Bush is the Commander-in-Chief and Congress already passed a resolution giving him the authority to invade Iraq.  Or, if they cut funding for the war, they will be seen as abandoning the troops in the field.  Unlike the items on the 100 hours agenda, there is no simple, immediate action that the Democratic Congress can take on Iraq.

After the 100 hour agenda has passed Congress (or Republicans filibuster or veto it?), Democrats should then begin to take action to pressure Bush to change course in Iraq.


John McCain will privatize social security.
by gunnar on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:53:21 AM EST

Hearings first (3.00 / 1)

It's going to be hard to form a consensus among the Democrats on what positive direction to take in withdrawing from Iraq.  There are timetablists, benchmarkers, immediate withdrawers, and presidential candidates still in their foxholes.

My suggestion would be to spend the hearings period pinning the war to the chests of the republicans. Regardless of what an elected official's opinion is on the way forward, every comment about Iraq should include the phrase "diastrous Republican war in Iraq."  While every public statement should contain that phrase, hearings should be used to bring pressure to bear on Republican legislators who are up for election in 08.  Forget about the nutjobs in the White House.  We need to put the fear of God into Senators who thought their seats were safe, like Chafee or Burns.


by jayackroyd on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 05:19:27 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

after 2 years of a do-nothing Congress, this is a great way to show the public that the Democrats will work.  it'll cause the republicans, as stated previously, to take a stand against super popular legislation, or wilt (and become 'bi-partisan,' thus forcing the Congress a bit to the left and pissing off the right wing Base).

And, the 100 hours was probably the biggest, most tangible, campaign promise made by the Democrats.  They should fulfill the promise.


by JJCPA on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 07:41:50 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (none / 0)

I agree with everyone else.  Iraq isn't an issue that can be handled in 100 hours anyway.  Plus, since W has inexplicably seemingly joined the McCain escalationist camp, letting him do what he wants is going to lead to even more disaster for the GOP down the road.

Also, from a purely Machiavellian standpoint, stand to Democrats benefit more in 2008 the more involved we are still involved in Iraq, given that Iraq is extremely unpopular now and will be even more unpopular in 2 years.  Of course, from a humanitarian standpoint, I'd rather see the troops come home before another 3,000 are killed.


NJ Hussein Independent
by NJIndependent on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 09:08:45 AM EST

Iraq Is the Key (3.00 / 2)

Republicans are already divided over Iraq.  If we keep up the pressure then Bush and McCain will become more isolated.

The rhetorical opportunities abound.  Somebody has to speak for the soldiers and veterans.  It will take a decade to replenish the equipment of the army and the veterans administration is still underfunded.

If the Dems are the soldiers' representatives, there is little danger from going after Bush.


by Hellmut on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 09:49:01 AM EST

Re: Iraq Is the Key (3.00 / 1)

I agree completely, but also agree to grab the low hanging fruit first.

Re minimum wage: Why phase it in over three years?
Many states have a higher minimum wage already. In three years inflation will have absorbed much of the raise. Is this a bone to the DLC? Pretend to be doing something for lower income workers without doing anything but smoke and mirrors?


by antiHyde on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 10:00:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

Indeed, Iraq is the most important issue of our time. Bush's occupation of Iraq is spending our treasure and our soldiers sacred sacrifice for no legitimate purpose. Yet, the newly empowered Democrats have forgotten the message of 11-7, and appear inclined to authorize Bush's escalation of death and destruction.

Nothing is off the table. The Dems must use every constitutional device in their legislative tool bag to end this needless occupation now.

To that end, the Democrats must resist the right-ward urge in their caucus to succumb to Bush's bipartisan rope-a-dope trap outlined in the administration's WSJ editorial. The Democrats must not help Bush succeed at the expense of our troops by destroying Social Security, by supporting the corporate cheap labor, open-border agenda, or by cutting additional taxes for the wealthy and increasing corporate subsides, while leaving our children and the working poor behind.

When the Dems complete their 100-hour test drive, they must begin performing their constitutional due diligence to end the U.S. occupation of Iraq immediately.


by fafnir on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 10:03:46 AM EST

take Spitzer's inauguration speech as a model (3.00 / 1)

As front-paged on Kos and elsewhere, Eliot Spitzer is showing how to use his inaugural political capital:  to call for sweeping reforms of every major part of (NY) government policy and bureaucracy.

Sure, start with the easy stuff (as Spitzer did with his ethics reforms already), but then chart the ambitious course, to make people believe in the possibility of meaningful change.


by ri on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 10:12:21 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

Chris, I think that in this post you answered your own earlier question about if and how we (the progressive movement/netroots) will go forward from here (see: "maintaining our resolve to fight").  In fact, this generation of Dems' unwillingness to address the question of Iraq, and lets face it most foreign policy issues, also dovetails perfectly with earlier MyDD discussions about the 1960's liberal legacy.

They are so scared of the conservative narrative regarding Vietnam that they are unwilling to stand up for what they know must now be done in Iraq lest they be labeled as peacenik/hippy/appeasers. One of the few examples of a current Dem trying to reframe the foreign policy/national security debate is Russ Feingold, who repeatedly states that we must leave Iraq so we can refocus on terrorism, thereby decoupling Iraq and the war on terror (something all Dems should be doing).  

So Chris, maybe you could ask one of our newly elected reps something along these lines. Something about national security, foreign policy and Iraq.  Are they going to make a big deal about these things and try to wrest these issues away from the GOP OR do they intend to once again cede this ground without a fight and return to "safe" domestic issues only.


by bprogressive on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 11:56:19 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (none / 0)

I forgot to mention my bigger intended point in my earlier post (got sidetracked, it happens) that keeping the Dems feat to the fire on issues important to progressives is the way forward for activists/bloggers now that the Dems have congress.  Let's make sure they keep their promises, grow a backbone, and stand up for what they say they believe.  If not, we should remind them that primaries happen every two years and there is always a replacement...  


by bprogressive on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 11:59:59 AM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

There was MORE support for the Dubai ports deal than there is for Bush's "surge" plan.  I hope the Democrats find the courage to act decisively.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:03:45 PM EST

Re: Not Everything Can Be A Dubai Port Deal (3.00 / 1)

Obviously the Dems will need to deal with Iraq but the Dems are not going be able "govern" on most issues with a guy like Bush in office because he doesn't believe in equal powers b/w the branches or the compromises that would necessary to accomplish things with a Dem Congress.  This is not going to be Bush I where the Dems were able enact serious legislation like 1990 Budget bill and the 1990 Clean Air Act.

In light of that, I think the Dems should pass as much popular legislation as possible, put the Congressional Repubs in a position to vote against it and make Bush veto it.  If in the off chance, Bush signs it - great.  If not, you have campaign issues for 2008.


by John Mills on Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 01:00:05 PM EST


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