American Freshman

Cross-posted at Future Majority. (Bumped from the diaries -- Jonathan... Very interesting stuff, indeed.)

Just got around to reading The American Freshman - National Norms for Fall 2006 (pdf).  It's a longitudinal study of college freshman conducted by the Cooperative Institutional Research Program at UCLA.  While that may sound about as fun as listening to Bush's State of the Union again, it actually had some really interesting findings that have ramifications for how we - progressives generally, and campaigns specifically - reach out and engage this group of voters.

Partisanship

In terms of political participation, the study made its obligatory bow to the growing size and power of young voters, noting that November saw the highest youth turnout in 20 years.  It also  noted that this engagement spread beyond the ballot box.  This year's Freshman class discusses politics at a rate greater than any other in 41 years, with 33.8% reporting that they discussed politics frequently in high school.  Freshman are also self-identifying as liberal (yay!) or conservative (boo!) at the highest level since 1975 (28.4 and 23.9%, respectively).  This is a distinct reversal from the status in 2004, when pollsters were noting that youth seemed to be trending away from partisanship and towards an "independent" self identification. (Though, to be fair, 2004 polling frequently asked if students identified as Democrats or Republicans, not Liberals or Conservatives, so this is something of an apples to oranges comparison).

Policy
In terms of policy, most of the study offered nothing new, but there were a few interesting findings.  There are a substantial majority of freshman who support a national health plan.  The shock to me wasn't the liberal support (83.9%), but conservative support.  A significant majority of freshman conservatives (57%) support the idea of a national health plan.  Even greater majorities support government environmental regulation (88.5% of liberals, 79% of independents and 62.5% of conservatives).   That's huge, and a huge opening for democratic candidates to make inroads with young conservative voters.

Also interesting - a majority of liberals and independents, and 42% of self identifying conservatives believe that wealthy people should pay a larger share of taxes.  I wonder if this is arising out of an egalitarian revulsion at the growing disparity between rich and poor, or, coupled with some of the other stated ideological/policy preferences, might it be an early sign - or at least an opening - to start reviving faith in the power, and necessity, of government to foster the common good?

Higher Education
Polling and research (pdf) conducted before the election frequently indicated that higher education costs was one of the major issues driving young voters, and American Freshman sheds some more light on why that is the case.

  • 1/3 of all students who were accepted, but did not attend their first choice school indicated that they could not afford their first choice.

  • As you move down from second choice schools to third, fourth, etc, financial considerations become even more important as the deciding factor that determine where students attend school.

  • More students than ever are relying on part time (29% on campus, 24% off campus) or full time employment (4.7%) to pay for their education.

I'd also note that this is a study of college freshman, so in the broader picture of higher education as a political and economic issue, this only paints half the picture.  We're not even getting into how many students are priced-out of school altogether.

Civic Participation
We've all heard that us Millennials are volunteering machines - the only age group whose civic engagement is increasing (Putnam MP3).  The study provides some direct and tangential evidence of that as well.

When asked to agree or disagree with the statement "realistically, an individual can do little to bring about major changes in our society," only 25% of liberals and 26.5% of conservatives agree.  Not sure, but I think that would mean that 75% of each group believes that individuals can make a difference.  That would square well with our volunteering habits and increasing level of civic participation.  

The study also contained an interesting observation - while our civic engagement is increasing slightly, and more students than ever are placing a high value on "helping others, becoming a community leader, and influencing social values," only a relatively small percentage of of Freshman are participating in organizations like the Peace Corps and AmeriCorps.

That suggests a number of things.  Either:

  1. This is an aberration caused by the age of respondents, who haven't yet had the time to join organizations requiring such a time committment

  2. Students don't know how to realize their civic and volunteering goals.

I tend to lean towards #1, but the study group opted to mention #2.  That would be nice.  If students are unsure how to realize their desire to affect change, that leaves a huge opening for a party or candidate that can find a way to engage these young voters - through civic or community service, cultural participation or any number of means - to capture their support and ride the blue wave to victory.

Barack seems like he might be able to do it through the power of his rhetoric alone.  Edwards might be able to spark it with OneCorps.  Gore could do it with his new found cultural cache.  We'll see what happens.

That's it.  I'm still chewing on it all, but it's good food for thought.  What do you think?



Display:


Re: American Freshman (none / 0)

The study also contained an interesting observation - while our civic engagement is increasing slightly, and more students than ever are placing a high value on "helping others, becoming a community leader, and influencing social values," only a relatively small percentage of of Freshman are participating in organizations like the Peace Corps and AmeriCorps.

In my observations (as always, I realize that the plural of anecdote is not data) I have noted that there is a tendency in some individuals to get their civic engagement or volunteer "fix" for the year and then that's it. I would be heartened if the expressed commitment was for sustained efforts over time.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 10:11:50 AM EST

Re: American Freshman (none / 0)

The problem there is that almost none of the groups that engage people in the political realm last much past the election, and even if they do they don't really have that many meaningful ways to stay involved...


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 12:34:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: American Freshman (none / 0)

The practical problem I see in this regard is that the 18-22 year olds who are in college might be active for a particular election cycle - then they graduate and move away. Resident activists have to start over every cycle. This is the case for small college towns with large student populations. The problem is mitigated in very large urban areas where the employment opportunities can keep people in the neighborhood.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 12:54:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: American Freshman (none / 0)

On the flip side, residents are essentially providing activist training for the youth in the same way professors provide the rest. It's a valuable service, but I can see how it might be frustrating (the youth can be so ungrateful.)

While I wasn't a college activist, I know a number of folks who learned a great deal from their college town activists and carry that to the big cities they end up in.


by sdedeo on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 10:09:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: American Freshman (none / 0)

It's a valuable service, but I can see how it might be frustrating (the youth can be so ungrateful.)

Actually, the problem for resident activists is that there is far too much to do with too few hands.

There's an old political saw: "You ask for twice the number volunteers you actually need because only half will show up."

In my experience, while the contributions of most itinerant student activists are very valuable, the inherent conflicts among a student's class schedule, work schedule, and political activism means that during the end of campaign crunch time sensitive political tasks end up being a third priority. I have no beef with that - it's the reality of their situation. Further, it's unfair to put students and a campaign in the situation where a student has to make that kind of choice.  


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 08:38:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

It's Groundhogs Day (3.00 / 1)

I agree, but the problem exists in even the biggest cities. I live in Philadelphia, a city with a lot of big colleges, where I worked on the last election to defeat Rick Santorum (with tons of my fellow young activists). After the election, most of the organizations that were working in and around the city either downsized or disappeared, as happens after every single election. And now that I'm unemployed & uninsured, and without a ton of good career prospects in the area, I am seriously considering leaving politics for good and returning to the private sector where I can make a very decent wage and where I won't be required to put myself and my family at risk.  

And if/when I go, I'll take with me the last three years of experience, my masters degree in political communications, and all of the connections I've made since '04. This will mean that later this year or sometime next year, when the money will likely start to trickle back in, there will have to be a new set of people who will have to start from scratch.

I'm beginning to think that the only people asked to sacrifice are those of us who actually do the hard work of politicking, and this is a problem in towns and cities of all sizes (with the exceptions of DC, SF, and, to a lesser degree, NYC)...


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 11:02:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Private Sector (none / 0)

I think it's part of the new paradigm that even as  our level of organization increases, there will be fewer full-time jobs in organizing than in times past. This is because the comparative cost of organization is lower now than at any time in human history.

Which isn't to say you don't work hard and deserve to be paid well (clearly you do and do), but just to say that's its possible that there's a lot that can be done by high-value people who work on a spot/moonlight/volunteer basis on things. You may find that moving into the private sector actually gives you more power as an organizer.

I mean, think about cloning yourself. Not literally, of course, but if you take a nice job so you and yr fam can have some stability, you can maybe step in as a voice of experience and advise/mentor a new crop of young Alexes... just a thought.

Being a professional activist is very difficult. Unless you have your own means, you serve at the pleasure of those who sign your paycheck. This means you often lack 'creative control' and/or that your campaign may just one day evaporate (Music for America, anyone?).

I can see a future where a combination of cultural marketing and small-dollar contributions make it possible for a dedicated cadre of truly independent activists to work full time on the revolution. We're not there yet, but I'm mildly optimistic.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 05:50:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Exactly (none / 0)

Younger progressives seem to only be wanted for their bodies at Election time. Everywhere in between, we're to fend for ourselves. The Progressive Movement needs to nurture budding progressives through further investment - not smother them with inaction.


"The collapse of confidence in the Republican leadership is not enough to elect Democratic leadership." -Dean
by gatordemocrat on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 09:27:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (none / 0)

Everywhere in between, we're to fend for ourselves. The Progressive Movement needs to nurture budding progressives through further investment - not smother them with inaction.

Uh, it sounds like you're waiting for someone to tell you what to do. Be the change you want to see in the party, grasshopper.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 08:41:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (none / 0)

Are you being facetious? Are you saying that we shouldn't be funding young progressives and/or progressive initiatives, or helping them learn the ropes of being an effective activist, or making sure that people have easy access to meaningful and possibly fun ways to get involved. Actually, wait, we aren't doing those things on a large scale, so I guess you're simply saying that the status quo is adequate.


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 10:51:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (none / 0)

If you're inactive, it's your own fault. If you're complaining that nothing is happening at the grassroots level, it's your own fault. Be the change you want to see. Figure out something to do and how to do it. Then do it. Be a leader instead of waiting for someone else to lead you.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 10:56:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yawn... (none / 0)

Please save your lectures for another forum. Those of us on this thread, at least the ones that I know, are extremely active, to the point where our loved ones worry about us. It's not about "being a leader", it's about making sure that our leaders have the resources (money, training, materials, guidance, etc), year round, that they need to be effective. If we could all just summon the resources we need to be effective politicos with our "go-get-em" attitudes, then we certainly would, but the reality is that the well dries up after an election, and all of our gains from that election are left to wither on the vine.

Also, just to be clear that I understand you correctly: are you advocating that the only people who should be involved in politics are only those who have enough will/resources to work when there isn't any help?


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 11:11:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Fire extinguisher (none / 0)

Flame on! You and Alex would do real well in the Tubderdome...

But seriously, I think y'all are talking apples and oranges. Much like in your comments to me on that other thread, you're firing off without knowing who the fuck Alex is and what he's done (very likely more than any of us).

On the other hand, the general attitude Michael expresses of being a participant/instigator rather than waiting to be tapped is valid. That's a core part of what this is all about. It's a do-ocracy, baby.

And yet, at the same time, it's hardly apropos to agitate for more responsive/participatory campaigns, a more inclusive party, or more funding for youth-oriented programs. Being a part of the movement (or whatever you want to call it) is agitating for existing centers of power to behave responsibly.

The funding point is especially apt. There's a level of investment that can be made by institution-scale players (large donors, parties, etc) which simply cannot be realistically matched or replicated (at the moment) by decentralized grassroots action. The time to invest in the next generation is now, and yet the fact is that many successful youth programs from previous cycles are whithering on the vine. It's right, even necessary, to call attention to that and advocate a different approach.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 06:00:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Tubderdome??? (none / 0)

Jesus, koenig.

THUNDERDOME!


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 06:00:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (3.00 / 1)

What makes you think that this problem is unique in any way to young activists?


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 01:22:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (none / 0)

What makes it unique is the period of life. The things you experience when you are younger have an effect on you for the rest of your life, which is not really the case for things that happen to you when you are past 30.


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 02:00:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly (none / 0)

Then what are you suggesting? Spend the money on college kids as opposed to more established and experienced activists?

Maybe you're right, because at some point there has to be a major move towards turning enthusiasm and energy into a lifetime of activism.  But should that take precedence now, when money is absurdly tight, over those who have already commited themselves to the life of political activism?


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 07:00:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

What is young? (none / 0)

I think a distinction got lost in this conversation.  Young doesn't equal college.  Young includes recent college graduates and folks on up to 30.  

The DNC counts people as "young" all the way up to 35.  These are the lack of investments that Alex is talking about.  Very frequently programs run by people in that age group get targeted to their peers or to college students.

So it is a much broader age range that I think we're discussing, and I'd agree that we do need to put more money into programs run by and targeted to those demographics.


Youth to Power
by Mike Connery on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 07:23:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm Not Waiting for Anybody (none / 0)

see my comment below ("I Might Be the Exception.") I'm working hard to build some opportunity. My worry is that most younger progressives don't have the same resources as I do. I come from a household which, though not wealthy by any means, can sustain me without my having to get a part-time job. There is plenty of progressive talent I know of who simply don't have that luxury to devote themselves and their talents to a progressive cause. They need some form of monetary compensation.

I know you're intentions are sincere, Michael, but I would still strongly argue the need for increased investment in younger progressives to nurture and develop the next class of organizers, activists, thinkers, scholars, candidates, and elected officials. Future Majority is certainly a good start towards that goal.


"The collapse of confidence in the Republican leadership is not enough to elect Democratic leadership." -Dean
by gatordemocrat on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 11:03:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm Not Waiting for Anybody (none / 0)

I wouldn't sweat Michael too much, he obviously has a bone to pick. I'm guessing from his comments that he's either a prof or at least works in some smallish college town, and that his experiences have made him a bit cynical about the younger set.


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 11:14:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

It's called experience (none / 0)

I've been a little harsh, but my experiences (past and present) contribute to that outlook.

I do believe that individual activists with talent and commitment need to be nurtured and supported. I see movement towards such in my own state party political apparatus.

There are too few people doing far too much work. There is still too little investment in infrastructure (that includes people) - again, I see positive movement in my state.

Practically, the work needs to be done year around - there is no time off. Students can't sustain that on their own - it's the nature of their life. But, they can invest a little bit of time each week or month to some kind of productive effort.

We all have lives and have to pay the bills. If more people participated in the work it would certainly spread the workload and the anxieties. I'm pragmatic - I've never seen that happen.

There's a lot of work to be done for 2008 in my area now - a lot of it isn't too glamorous: candidate recruitment (local, state legislature, state senate), fundraising (the same), polling (that means raising the money for the same groups), and voter file maintenance, just to name a few.

I consistently witness a mindset on the part of some who might get involved (this includes activists of all ages and all stations in life)- if they're not involved in a role which mimics the popular conception of what the next James Carville does, they ain't interested. There's a lot of down and dirty mundane work to do which needs a small, sustained commitment of time on the part of many. The "sustained many" part is something I've never witnessed.  


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 12:49:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Be a part of the solution, not the problem (none / 0)

Though understandable, your attitude is one of the major problems that we face in youth oriented outreach. First, you seem to only value those more difficult and/or boring aspects of politicking. If the focus for youth political involvement is on door knocking, phone banking, and candidate recruitment, then you can be sure that young people are not going to get involved in politics in any larger numbers than we see at the moment.

Did you notice the part in the study about just how active young people are? Ever wonder why so little of that involvement is political in nature? Because many people assume, wrongly, that the only aspects of of politics that matter are those that are familiar to older activists (i.e. the ones I mention above).

I could go on, but Mike has written a very good piece on this: Part I - Living Liberally: Reforming Democratic "Youth" Programs.


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 02:17:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Be a part of the solution, not the problem (none / 0)

...First, you seem to only value those more difficult and/or boring aspects of politicking....

It ain't boring if it works. It can be difficult at times.

...that the only aspects of of politics that matter are those that are familiar to older activists...

Who're you calling "old", whippersnapper?

I'm for anything that actually works - that is, converts elbow grease into votes. I really don't give a damn about anything that makes anyone in a campaign feel good if it doesn't translate into actual votes.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 03:40:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Be a part of the solution, not the problem (none / 0)

I'm for anything that actually works - that is, converts elbow grease into votes. I really don't give a damn about anything that makes anyone in a campaign feel good if it doesn't translate into actual votes.

I think Alex's point - and its a good one - is that just because something works, doesn't mean its the only thing that works.  Lots of groups are experimenting with non-traditional ways to engage younger voters, and some groups like YVS are starting to study their effects (and find them effective).  

Support for these programs is still very sparse, even though a lot of people credit these programs with helping to boost the youth vote.


Youth to Power
by Mike Connery on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 04:13:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Be a part of the solution, not the problem (none / 0)

As I said wrote before, I'm all for it if it works.

...is that just because something works, doesn't mean its the only thing that works...

By the same token, one should never discard anything that actually works.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 04:17:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Be a part of the solution, not the problem (none / 0)

Support for these programs is still very sparse, even though a lot of people credit these programs with helping to boost the youth vote.

Sparse and dwindling, mainly because there aren't established metrics for measuring the success of most activities.

On the other hand, if you're interested in "what works" you can look at the 1980s and the Reagan Youth. That didn't just happen on its own. It was the result of a well-funded and dedicated organizational apparatus (one that continues to this day) that used culture as a leading edge, and which translated into the highest levels of support by young voters for the GOP. If you look at where die-hard support for Bush comes from now, a significant portion of that is people in their 30s and 40s who were in high school/college then.

Individual campaigns have to necessarily be risk-averse and narrow in focus, but the Party as a whole as well as the surrounding institutions (and the Movement or whatever you want to call it) should be looking a bit further down-field, especially now that we're picking up momentum.

There's a real opportunity in the next four to eight years to build a political base and national consensus that can define the 21st Century. We need to do more than door-knock to get there.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 06:07:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I May Be The Exception (3.00 / 1)

but I fit that profile perfectly (I was a freshman at UF last year.) I rearranged my life to get more involved in my local Democratic Party. Instead of living on campus, I live at home and take the 45-hour commute to Gainesville 3 days a week. This not a "fix" for me, its what I want to do because I have the "helping others, becoming a community leader, and influencing social values" knack. Furthermore, I know I'm not the only one.


"The collapse of confidence in the Republican leadership is not enough to elect Democratic leadership." -Dean
by gatordemocrat on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 09:25:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: American Freshman and staying active (none / 0)

And this is where the blogs come in. TaDa!
It has been 44 years since I graduated from college.  I was an activist for many years and then I got old and moved away from where activism was the life blood of the community (Louisiana) back to my origens in the Northeast and then Bush got elected and the Iraq War, etc. etc. and I crept into a hole and then an old friend, also a political junky of sorts said hey look at this I think it was Eschaton and my daughter (a senior in college) said she goes on Pollster.com every AM to see how the candidates are doing and then I started hearing stuff on the radio about real resistence to the war and I thought you can fool
some of the people, all of the time, etc. and then I found Americablog and I started donating to campaigns in Ohio and Nevada. and then I started going on DKos, and then I found you guys
oh yes and I started making calls for moveon.org.
alicew.
by ruthhmiller on Fri Jan 26, 2007 at 04:42:58 PM EST

On Participating in History (none / 0)

I grew up in a southern city whose relationship with history  was that of replacing it with shiny new buildings and parks to entertain us as we glide gently around whatever obstacle may oddly arise and mount its daft challenge.
It was only hundreds of miles north that I would witness what it was like to participate in History, and even feel like you and your buds might merit an inspiring inclusion.
May we remain exemplary.
-dave
David Beckwith Charlotte
by anonyMoses on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 12:48:19 AM EST

For What It Is Worth (3.00 / 1)

As a follow on from the interesting discussions on this site regarding 'activism' in the context of street marches and community organisation and so forth I am also starting to become aware of a different point of reference for the 'youth movement', if there ever was such a thing, in respect of our current political and cultural context.

I am more impressed with the creative innovations of young people.  They have learned our cultural topology well.  March in your thousands, OK, that reaffirms that you are not alone.  Make a really stunning video and show it to ten times as many people as might attend a rally, well, that is something!

Has anyone checked out, for example, the, admittedly sometimes dodgy, home-grown Barack campaign videos on YouTube?  Or StudentsForBarackObama.com?

I am not in any way in touch with the current state of the youth/student scene in the US but what I see from a distance is encouraging.


by Shaun Appleby on Sat Jan 27, 2007 at 01:21:48 AM EST


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