DCCC Outlines 2008 Strategy
by Chris Bowers, Wed Jan 24, 2007 at 01:56:01 PM EST
The new chair of the DCCC, Chris Van Hollen, has produced a memo outlining early DCCC strategy for 2008. I have placed the entire memo, taken from
The Fix, in the extended entry with my emphasis in bold. The memo offers the following insights:
- The type of districts Democrats will target in 2008: Van Hollen writes that "we are in the process of targeting districts where Republicans won by less than 5%, seats won by Kerry in the 2004 Presidential election, districts occupied by ethically challenged incumbents and Republican seats likely to open." I like this list a lot, as it echoes arguments I have often made about which districts Democrats should target, even though I was often lambasted by D.C. insiders for my criteria.
- The requirements for big-time DCCC support. Basically, they are looking for money and grassroots / netroots support before coming in strong for someone. I am encouraged to see the grassroots and netroots requirements, because they could indicate a greater willingness to work with local Democrats on the ground in many key districts. This could lead to less conflict in primaries between the establishment and the movement, ala IL-06, NC-08, NH-01, and CA-11. I have to imagine that the success of grassroots and netroots candidates like McNenry, Shea-Porter, and even Kissell played a big role in bringing about these new requirements.
- Thanking and valuing the netroots. Van Hollen does something I can't ever remember Rahm doing--actually thanking and valuing the netroots.
- Confidence in incumbents. Van Hollen points out that Republicans are worse off than Democrats were after 1994, and that very few Democratic incumbents have lost since 1996. Incumbent confidence will allow us to stay on the offense.
Generally speaking, I think this is quite good, if a little vague. I would like to hear more about running as many candidates as possible, especially after breaking all recent records with 425 candidates this year. Unsurprisingly, The Fix focuses on
statements Van Hollen made about letting freshmen "vote their district," but if what we have seen so far is any indication,
Democrats already appear far more loyal, unified and progressive than at any time in the recent past. Frankly, given our current voting patterns, I am not too worried about such statements at this point in time.
You can read the entire memo after the flip.
Subject: DCCC MEMO: Sustaining Our Majority
TO: Interested Parties
FR: Chris Van Hollen
RE: Sustaining Our Majority
DA: January 23, 2007
Looking ahead to 2008, Democrats will remain on the offense. At the same time, as a result of our success last November we have many more members in districts that lean Republican in Presidential elections. We are determined to defend these districts by putting together aggressive fundraising plans, setting vigorous volunteer recruitment and house party goals and staffing up the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee early in the cycle.
We have put together a strong Frontline Team, led by Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The DCCC has already begun meeting with Frontline members to begin laying the internal campaign groundwork for the 2008 election cycle.
A. Staying on the Offense
As discussed in last week's memo, we are aggressively on offense and working to put a large number of Republican seats in play. We are in the process of targeting districts where Republicans won by less than 5%, seats won by Kerry in the 2004 Presidential election, districts occupied by ethically challenged incumbents and Republican seats likely to open. By challenging incumbent Republicans we can win additional seats and force them to expend resources defending their incumbents that would otherwise be directed at our most vulnerable members.
B. Setting Aggressive Frontline Goals
Fundraising
Since funding is a key factor in deterring tough Republican challengers, we have put together an aggressive fundraising program for members in tough districts. We have created aggressive goals for our Frontline members with targets ranging from 650k to 1 million cash-on-hand by June 30th.
Volunteer Recruitment and Outreach
In order to build the best local grassroots networks, Frontline members will put together outreach and volunteer programs in their home districts. Frontline members will be required to build and execute a rigorous 100 house party plan or a comparable grassroots substitute with the goal of identifying 1000 volunteers.
Online Networking
The support of net-roots organizations was key to Democrats success in 2006. Frontline members will be required to build an aggressive online operation with the goal of acquiring 30,000 e-mail addresses by November 2008.
C. Battle Tested Incumbents
Democrats have a strong record of defending tough incumbent seats. Taking out the impact of 2002 redistricting, Democrats have lost only six incumbents since 1996. Of these losses we have regained three (WI-08, CT-02 and KY-03). The DCCC will have a mentor program in place with battle-tested members like Jim Matheson (UT-02) and Dennis Moore (KS-02) working with incumbents from tough districts.
The new class is also packed with battle-tested new members like Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20), Harry Mitchell (AZ-05), Patrick Murphy (PA-08), and Heath Shuler (NC-11) who won tough elections and head into 2008 with a more solid grasp of the political landscape of their districts and a strong understanding of what it takes to win.
The added benefit of incumbency is that it offers an expanded forum for new members to fundraise and deliver to their districts.
D. Delivering on Our Promise to Voters
As the saying goes, "good policy is good politics". The House Democratic leadership has put forth an aggressive legislative agenda right out of the gate, including important initiatives like increasing the minimum wage, passing real ethics reform legislation and allowing for price negotiation on costly prescription drugs. Delivering on what we promised in Speaker Pelosi's "100 Hour Plan" will show the American people our ability to be an effective governing majority, and change the way business is done in Washington.
E. 2006 Democrats vs. 1994 Republicans
Recent polling shows that the confidence of the public is still firmly behind the new Democratic Congress and the party agenda that was the focus of the new members' campaigns.
According to recent Democracy Corps polling, the Republican Party is in disarray and in much worse shape than the Democrats were in 1994. As polling from December 12-17, 2006 shows, 46% of voters have a negative feeling towards the GOP, while only 36% feel positive. Feeling towards the Democrats is 45% warm vs. 33% cool. To put this into perspective, the public is 8 points cooler towards Republicans today than they were towards the Democrats in the aftermath of the 1994 election debacle.
Just as importantly, only 25% of the public believes that the country is headed in the right direction, while 34% believed that we were headed in the right direction in 1994. Democrats are committed to remaining the party of change and reform rather than the status quo.
Tags: DCCC, House 2008, Chris Van Hollen (all tags)
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