While there has been a wealth of polling over the last few days there hasn't been a terribly large amount of movement among governor's races. The overall picture remains the same with the Democrats likely picking up a net six governorships on November 7. That said, there have been a couple changes in the forecast since late last week.
In Minnesota, new polling confirms that Republican incumbent Tim Pawlenty is in a real position to lose to Democratic Attorney General Mike Hatch. Although I probably see Pawlenty pulling this off, the race nonetheless moves from "leans Republican" to "toss-up."
Illinois is another state that appears to be trending more Democratic -- much to the benefit of embattled incumbent Rod Blagojevich. Though I don't put complete faith in polling showing the governor up 30 points, his opponent Judy Baar Topinka is having real difficulty getting off the ground running. This race moves down one slot on the Republicans' potential pick-up list, moving Oregon up one.
In other news, Deval Patrick's big win in Massachusetts should give Democrats hope of retaking the state's governorship, but we'll have to see if either he or Republican nominee Kerry Healey gets much of any bounce. Otherwise, races in Michigan, Iowa, Maryland, Ohio and elsewhere seem to be gelling, so the overall picture stays the same (for now) with a projection of 28 Democratic Governors and 22 Republicans.
For more information on all of the key races, visit the complete MyDD Governor Forecast 2006.
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