Maryland Primaries Tomorrow

Tomorrow there are a bunch of primaries in Maryland.  I'd probably vote for Mfume over Cardin on the Senate side.  Mfume's just more dynamic, and Cardin's part of the Hoyer machine.  Both candidates are good people.

In Maryland's 4th, obviously I'm a big Donna Edwards fan.  She's gotten a bunch of good press today, including this piece by CQ and this one at BlackAmericaWeb.  The Washington Post ran a disgraceful 'he said she said' terrible article on Wynn's fake endorsements by John Wagner and Ovetta Wiggins, but at least they deigned to cover the race.

Marc Ambinger has a good article in the New Republic on the dynamics of the race, and why it's tough to beat someone like Wynn.

His annual fundraiser, a crab feast, attracts surf (the president of the state senate) and turf (hundreds of constituents). They hobnob with special guests: This year, Republican Senate candidate Michael Steele showed up and happily passed out bumper stickers, as did Representative Ben Cardin, a Democrat seeking Wynn's endorsement for the Senate race. (He didn't get it.) Before each election, Wynn mails voters a ticket listing preferred Democratic candidates. Candidates who anger him are left off the list. He remains popular enough that a dis-endorsement can hurt. "I've elected Democratic governors and Democratic dog catchers," he says.

Edwards has a shot, which is a huge deal.  And if she doesn't win, she'll be able to force Wynn to left for the next few years.  Go 50 state strategy, and go Donna.



Display:


Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

No idea about these two guys. But since you're voting for Mfume, he's probably to the very far left.

Is Mfume electable?


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:19:42 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 1)

I would say that MFume would probably still win a race against Michael Steele, but it would be very hard fought. MFume fathered several illegitiamte children. He has has allegations of sexual harassment from his days at the NAACP.

Those issues make me support Cardin. If MFume wins the primary I would see him having difficulties in the Baltimore suburbs, where white Reagan Democrats might have issues with him, especially in Baltimore and Anne Arundel counties. On top of that, becasue of the sexual harassment issues, I could see him having difficulties with white working women.

Overall, though, I think that MFume would still win. It would just require money that could go to other candidates--MFume is broke--and more effort than if Cardin won.


by jiacinto on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:32:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (1.00 / 0)

Wow, that's really some skeleton in the closet.
the so-called 'progressives' are rooting for the loser again. If Matt is as irrational as supporting this guy, I'm sure he'll have a very long November night.
by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:41:02 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

So rather than take Matt's word for it or actually research yourself, you're picking the first response you got, taking it as unadulterated gospel, and launching a campaign of name-calling?  I liked it better when you didn't know anything.


by Lucas O'Connor on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 08:07:15 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 1)

No closet - ancient news.  The man has adult children.  Yawn.  

He also went from being orphaned by a dying mother as a teenager with no father - to an honors college graduate, an elected official in Baltimore City, in Congress, a talk show host on urban issues and ultimately head of the NAACP.  25 million Black adults, and the Board and its corporate backers chose Mfume.  If Mfume is unelectable, why do so many polls have him leading Steele?

As for the sexual harassment accusation, there was no suit; the settlement was sealed but I suspect it was token money cheaper than paying a corporate lawyer by the hour to win the case at trial, at least until somebody shows me some, you know, evidence.

Mfume can win in this state; we are bumf&&& Alabama.  The state is 1/3 Black and Steele is a disliked bumbler who keeps insulting people including his "homeboy" (Steele's word) George Bush, and hasn't done a damn thing other than do real estate law in DC (not even passed the Maryland bar) and chair the MD GOP.  That qualifies him maybe to run part of the RNC, not represent 5.5 million largely blue-state Marylanders.  I would prefer Cardin but only because winning will be cheaper since Cardin has some money left over.


by Crablaw on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 09:45:41 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

his fundraising has been pathetic. he currently has about $300k on hand, as opposed to Steele's $3.1 million. if he wins, expect the DSCC to have to drop several million to hold the seat.


by johnny longtorso on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:39:22 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (1.00 / 1)

Why Matt keeps on supporting a horrible loser like this one by forgoing a simple D seat is beyond my wild imagination.

Losers.


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:43:00 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 3)

I don't know your agenda, but you're going way, way overboard in your attacks on Matt when all he said was "I'd probably vote for Mfume."  It's not like he's devoted the site to trashing Cardin or something, so like, chill out a little.

It's fine to say you'd prefer the more progressive candidate, it's also fine to say you'd prefer the more electable candidate, it really makes no difference when you don't even have a vote of your own to cast, so it hardly merits a half-dozen rants about the irrationality of progressives.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:24:40 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

So if Bush changed his party registration, you wouldn't care about the policy, just that there was a D in the White House?


by Lucas O'Connor on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:55:27 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 0)

Really, I've disagreed with Matt and other frontpage posters before too, but you really seem to have something against the guy. If one little statement supporting Mfume means he's a horrible loser, then what possible chance can Democrats have if after he's said "Both candidates are good people"?

You don't seem to be a Maryland voter, which means it's not up to you who wins, and if you wanted to affect the race, it's a little late to contribute to either candidate to sway the primary. I appreciate electability as a factor too, but there's really no point to all this.

If Cardin wins, that's great, I might even use some of my limited resources to support him for the general. If Mfume wins, that's great too, and I might support him in whatever way I can. But what I won't do is whine about "losers" that I don't agree with if the guy I don't like wins.

In my own MI-07, the Democrat I supported in the primary came in a distant second place. Personally, I worry about the electability of the nominee, Sharon Renier. Does that mean I won't support her? Of course not!

Seriously, we're all in this to win, right?


Walberg Watch - Following Radical Conservative Rep. Tim Walberg in MI-07
by Fitzy on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 08:17:48 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

Matt's description of these guys is pretty dead on although I have never thought of Cardin as part of Hoyer's machine.  Mfume has a great personal story and is a real fiery orator.  Cardin is a real policy guy and well respected.  Both served with distinction in the House and are good people.

I am glad I don't live in Maryland since this would be a tough choice for me.  Both should be able to win although my gut is the race is tighter with Mfume as the nominee but I just don't see a Repub winning in Maryland this year.  The state would be well served by either in the Senate.


by John Mills on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 08:16:45 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 1)

The candidates agree on just about every issue. Both are Progressives, the main difference is formular. Cardin is the policy guy Mfume is the advocate.

Its Maryland. Karl Marx could win here if he ran the right campaign.

Republicans win state wide only when we have dismal candidates who run disastrous campaigns. Even then the Republicans are always moderate.

Mfume has consistently polled ahead of Steele.


by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 12:09:58 AM EST
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I support Cardin (none / 0)

MFume fathered several illegitimate children. On top of that he had questionable dealings at the NAACP while he was its director. Had MFume not had the sexual harassment allegations at the NAACP on his reocrd I would be more supportive of him. Unfortunately his conduct makes me support Cardin.

The last poll I saw had MFume trailing Cardin by around 10%. My concern with MFume is that his past sexual behavior would scare white voters away from him in Anne Arundel and Baltimore counties, where races are won and lost in MD. I am concerend that MFume would not fare well in the Baltimore suburbs.

The real interesting race is for Controller. Schaffer is trailing Owens and Franchot by 1%. Schaffer has a bad track record: endorsing Republicans in past elections, being too close to Ehrlich, and sexually harassing women. Anne Arundel County Executive Janet Owens is challenging him, as is Montgomery County Delegate Peter Franchot. In that race, although Owens is probably going to win the primary, I support Franchot.

The other race is Attorney General. In this race it is between Stu Simms and Doug Gansler. I know more about Gansler because I live in DC and grew up in Montgomery County. I probably would lean toward Gansler if I lived in MD, but part of me hopes that Stu Simms wins the primary. I say that only, because if there are any racial hard feelings over MFume (probably) not winning the priamry, perhaps having a black AG candidate might mitigate any resentments.

In MD-4 I don't support Wynn because of his vote on the bankruptcy bill. I think it is time for a change, so I would vote for Edwards if I lived in the district. I also hope that Rushern Baker defeats Jack Johnson.


by jiacinto on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:29:23 PM EST

Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

You know what kills me is that you and Mia Dolan have burned the midnight oil trashing Mfume and neither of you even live here.

Why don't you trash your own candidates and leave ours alone.


by aiko on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:01:47 PM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

So we shouldn't expect to hear from you on any race outside of Maryland?


by Lucas O'Connor on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:56:18 PM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

You may not have been following this race.  But here and more on Kos, two or three individuals spent hours trashing Mfume's past.  Repeating lies, some allegations and some truth.  In every mfume thread there would be : oh by the way did you know he had 5 kids and the NAACP?  Yes, we know.  We follow this race.  And why are you repeating yourself?  Why write it over and over and over and over.  And then to find out out they weren't even from Maryland.  Yea it pisses me off. Bashing for the sake of bashing?  Trashing for the sake of trashing.  

It seemed personal and inappropriate. IMHO


by aiko on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:21:28 AM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

Well I grew up in Montgomery County, MD and lived there for 18 out of my 28 years. I live in DC, so I feel more than free to comment about Mfume.


by jiacinto on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 09:14:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I got that (none / 0)


by aiko on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:22:05 AM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

I support Cardin also. Pure instincts. I watched one debate several weeks ago and my impression was Mfume would have a much tougher time in the general.


by jagakid on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 10:13:28 PM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

That sort of surprises me. I think there are good reasons to vote for Cardin but his performance in the debate sure as hell wasn't one of them. Mfume looked and sounded about ten-times better.


by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 12:02:50 AM EST
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Re: I support Cardin (none / 0)

The thing about Stu Simms (I was supporting Perez) is that he doesn't actually want to be AG.


by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 12:04:44 AM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

what exactly is the evidence that Cardin is part of the "Hoyer machine"? I honestly don't know either way.


by johnny longtorso on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:42:50 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (1.00 / 1)

Because Mfume is 'progressive', LOL. This is sick.


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:43:44 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

He's been in elected Maryland office since 1967 (I believe straight out of law school) and in Maryland (much like many other states) you don't hang around for 40 years without playing ball with the good ole boys with money.  And Hoyer has a pretty solid lock on that in most ways.  He's a Ways and Means guy from way back (state and federal level) and certainly knows how to work the corporations.

Does it make him a bad candidate? Probably not.  Does it make him the second best option? Maybe.  He is, for sure, an insider though.


by Lucas O'Connor on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 08:03:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Cadin leads Mfume by 47% - 38% (none / 0)

A new SurveyUSA poll is up on their website which shows Cardin leading Mfume by 47%-38%, with Rales at 7%, Undecided at 7%, and Others at 1%.  This is among "likely Democratic primary voters," so the big unknown is how they measured the likelihood of their respondents actually voting, and whether that's accurate in this fairly unique election


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:56:22 PM EST

Red State is rooting for Mfume!! (none / 0)

Wow, Red State is also rooting for Mfume, making the pseudo argument that Ds are ignoring black voters.

When Matt's vote converges with Red State's intention, you know sth terrible is going to happen...

This is just hilarious. I'm totally lost.


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 06:58:06 PM EST

Um, calm down (3.00 / 0)

I'm willing to bet that the combined endorsement power of Matt and Red State will not be enough to push Mfume over Cardin.  I'm guessing Matt would agree.

I think either of them would beat Steele, who appears to be a poor candidate (although I understand his advertisements have been good).  Comparing stem-cell research and the holocaust?  Pretty stupid.  

However, I think Cardin will have an easier time beating Steele, which is part of the reason I favor him.  Being on offense means we shouldn't have to devote resources to playing defense in places like Maryland.  And not all "machine politicians" are worthless.  Sherrod Brown was definitely the more establishment choice in that race, but is doing well (and is actually more progressive than Hackett).  Sometimes, even Washington Democrats are backing the right choice.  


Saxby Chambliss
by bosdcla14 on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:11:20 PM EST
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Re: Um, calm down (1.00 / 1)

Disgree. I recalled seeing a Ras poll that Mfume was losing to Steele.


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:18:50 PM EST
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Re: Um, calm down (none / 0)

As far as I know no poll has placed either candidate behind Steel for months and months now.


by js noble on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 11:36:39 PM EST
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Re: Red State is rooting for Mfume!! (none / 0)

When black candidate Keith Butler lost the Michigan primary, you didn't hear a peep out of RedState about the "larger implications," but if Mfume loses, you can bet they'll be pushing this narrative that Democrats are hostile to black candidates.  The funny part is their delusion that someone is listening.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:26:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Red State is rooting for Mfume!! (none / 0)

Lots more black people in Maryland. Proportionally at least.


by Lucas O'Connor on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 08:05:12 PM EST
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Thanks for finally weighing in matt (none / 0)

I mean it.  May the best man win.

PS Mfume party is at Hippodrome


by aiko on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:03:45 PM EST

Re: Thanks for finally weighing in matt (1.00 / 1)

Looks like Mfume is not going to be a loser when Red State is rooting for him.


by firestorm on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:08:46 PM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

I'm a big critic of the Washington Post too, but give credit where credit is due -- they endorsed Donna Edwards, the insurgent: (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2006/08/29/AR2006082901302. html).


by Kindler on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:28:54 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

If she wins, great.  If Donna Edwards loses its because she started late. Her campaign has really picked up, overcoming huge barriers.  If we don't get Donna Edwards in 2006 I hope she runs in 2008 and the netroots should get behind her early, really early.


by howardpark on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 07:40:16 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (3.00 / 1)

I have been following the Cardin/Mfume race very closely. Maryland Democrats are lucky to have two well qualified candidates. However, Cardin is the better candidate.  He is smart, very knowledgeable on the issues, effective, and courageous. He voted against the Iraq war when it was neither popular generally nor within his district. He has otherwise been a model representative. He also clearly has the better chance to beat Steele. While I am sure he works closely with Hoyer, who is in his delegation, Cardin's tenure and respect is such that he has never been accused of being part of the "Hoyer machine." In terms of who leads whom, I would guess Hoyer often happily follows Cardin's intellectual lead. Again, Mfume would be a great Senator, but Cardin offers Maryland the opportunity to have a very gifted and first rate Senator.


by prof on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 10:21:29 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

The debate made everything very clear for me.

On the issues: they basically agree on everything. Mfume has been a little more progressive on the war. Generally calling for a more immediate withdrawl than Cardin.

The conventional wisdom is that Cardin is that "legislator" and Mfume is the "advocate". Highlighting this distinction is Mfumes much better speaking skills. Cardin's words are a little forced and awkward. Mfume sounds a bit like Kennedy.

The choice would have been a lot harder back when the political system was a little less polarized. In the 90's there actually was bi-partisan compromise and we actually needed to elect Senators especially for their ability to write and pass legislation.

But now days compromise means giving in. The Republican Party doesn't work to get things done- they pass legislation either to energize their completely insane base or to put Democrats in politically precarious situations. When there is a complete lack of good faith on the otherside it makes no sense to elect Senators because they claim to get things done behind the scenes. We need to elect fighters who won't give an inch of ground to the other side. We need warriors, not wonks.

It actually amazes me that the netroots hasn't gotten involved in this race because Cardin is EXACTLY the sort of guy everyone here complains about constantly. He votes the right way but he isn't able to fight for things.

Two more things:

To those of your who critisize Mfume's fundraising (and I won't say it doesn't bother me) remember he is refusing to take contributions for corporate PACs. Cardin takes in corporate dollars by the barrel.

And I can't believe you people are still hung-up on the illegitmate child thing.

Move on.


by js noble on Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 11:59:48 PM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

The problem is MFume's actions while head of the NAACP.


by jiacinto on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 01:24:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I knew we could count on you (none / 0)


by aiko on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:26:25 AM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

  Just got home from an evening of planting signs in polling places around Frederick County...

  I go back and forth between Cardin and Mfume, both fine candidates, both with their strengths and weaknesses. In the end I'm going with my heart and casting by ballot for Mfume -- but this is not a knock on Cardin. Either one is light-years better than Steele.

  I'm for Franchot in the comptroller race. I wonder if Owens was specifically asked to run in order to split the considerable anti-Schaefer vote. (How a Democrat -- how any decent human -- could possibly support Willie Don at this point is one of the intractable mysteries of life.)

  For AG I'm undecided and will be until I walk into the booth. Gansler's an impressive young man, exceptionally bright and talented. But Simms is no slouch himself, and he doesn't come across as such a careerist the way Gansler sometimes does. I'm leaning Gansler but it's a 51-49 decision at this point.

 If anyone reading this lives in Frederick County, make sure that you do NOT vote for Switzer for school board. He's the worst kind of fundie nutjob, and we don't need him anywhere near our schools. Please fill out your ballot to completely minimize the chances of his backing into it.

 Oh, and yours truly is running for Dem Central Committee. Seven guys for six slots...

 


by Master Jack on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 12:17:11 AM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

just be glad Owens didn't jump into the 3rd district race. if she had, and won, we would have gotten a conservative replacement for Cardin.


by johnny longtorso on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:29:59 AM EST
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Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

I intend to vote for Mfume as the more progressive candidate.  And I will vote for any Democrat opposing Hoyer (I doubt there is one), and will vote for any liberal alternative to Steny in the General. I'm tired of machine politics of any stripe.  There is a really nasty campaign going on in the 21st District for State Senate between incumbent John Giannetti and Jim Rosapepe.  Giannetti's people have been tearing down Rosapepe's signs - come on people, Republicans do things like that, not Democrats!  Rosapepe gets the endorsement of the League of Conservation Voters, so I'll probably go with him.  I'm really interested in who, if any of the state candidates is opposing the environmentally ruinous Intercounty Connector (ICC) between Gaithersburg and Laurel?

I can tell you right now I'm voting Green for Governor in the General - O'Malley supports the ICC, and refuses to do anything about illegal immigration - like going after the employers.  Not all liberals are for "open borders".  Some of us think this is a labor/environment issue.


"Bipartisanship is another term for totalitarianism." -- Historian Howard Zinn
by 1truthteller on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 06:26:16 AM EST

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

You mind as well vote for Ehrlich then.


by jiacinto on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 02:43:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Maryland Primaries Tomorrow (none / 0)

I've lived in Montgomery, CO, MD for the past 6 years (so I'm not carpetbagging here), and I've voted for Cardin (absentee, due to a later-canceled business trip and a lack of trust in Diebold) for purely tactical reasons. Mfume would make as good a senator as Cardin, but, he's got baggage, as several other posters have noted. Cardin doesn't. In an election season when the GOP has made it their stated intention to go personal and negative, we simply don't need to hand them any ammunition. It'll save the DSCC from having to pump in millions that could be better-spent in, say, Missouri or Virginia.

Radarlady


by radarlady on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:17:06 AM EST

Grammar alert! (none / 0)

In the penultimate sentence, "has" should be "have." Apologies.

Radarlady


by radarlady on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:19:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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