MyDD :: CT-Sen: Results Thread

CT-Sen: Results Thread

by Chris Bowers, Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:15:09 PM EST

I will update this space as returns come in. Newest results will be at the top.

Ned wins!!!!!!!
I am now calling the race for Ned Lamont.
Lamont only needs about 30-35% of the remaining vote to win. Give me one more update and I'm calling this...
The conflicting numbers between the campaign and hte public reports--I don't know. Anyway, with 93% in, Lamont leads by 8,400 votes.
Some people, including Drudge, are now calling it for Lamont. I'm not ready, not just yet. We are about 99% ready to do so, however. The difference between the public results and the campaign results I am posting are because they are reporting on different precincts. It is hard to see a mathematical possibility for Lieberman right now, but until the campaign calls it, I'm not ready to do so either.
80% reporting. Lamont 117K to 103K for Lieberman. That makes around a 6% sprad. Getting even closer.
Conflicting reports: campaign says we are up 13K with about 48% reporting, TV says we are up 5400 with 50% reporting. Dont' break out the champagne just yet...
Lamont 71K, Lieberman 58K, 40% reporting. Geeting very close now. Lamont ios coming down to the event soon.
Lamont by 10K, with about 33-34% in. Again, those numbers are from the campaign. Looking good...
Ned 49K, Joe 42K, with 30% reporting. By quick math that is around an 8% lead for Lamont. The margin is holding.
I was out talking with Tim for a while. Forgive my lazy updates. With 17% reporting, Lamont leads 56-44, and by around 6,700 votes. The margin is starting to become more of a question than whether or not Lamont wins. This is looking very, very good.
The Lamont website reporting tool is not working. sorry about that. Post new reporting sites int eh comments. I'll be reporting what I hear from the campaign. I just heard that Lieberman won Stamford. But Lamont stays ahead by a healthy margin (I don't have exact figures right now).
Direct word from the campaign: 6,500 vote margin for Lamont with 15% reporting. And Lieberman did lose his home precinct.
Lamont 56%--Lieberman 44%. 7% reporting. The vote margin is around 2,700 votes. I just heard that Lieberman lost his own precinct. I can't verify that.
Lamont 60%--Lieberman 40%. 3% reporting.
Lamont 61%--Lieberman 39%. 2.5% reporting. A great start, but very early.
Lamont 60%--Lieberman 40%. 2% reporting.
Lamont 61%--Lieberman 39%. 1% reporting.
Lamont 57%--Lieberman 43%. 1% reporting.

[update from Matt as the town amounts roll in from Lamont poll watchers - Chapman School in district 2, in Chesire is 116-105 Lieberman... Meriden is going for Lamont, and it should be Joe territory]

Tags: election results (all tags)

Permalink :: 54 Comments :: Post a Comment

Holy (none / 0)

Shit!!

Please, please let the final tally be that good!

by taylormattd on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:18:09 PM EST

What numbers are we talking about? (none / 0)

Raw numbers would be great along with percentage.

by jagakid on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:25:03 PM EST

Re: What numbers are we talking about? (none / 0)

Ned Lamont 6,814 60%
Joe Lieberman 4,586 40%
Precincts Reporting - 29 out of 0 - 4%

Less than 4% of the vote. This is from WFSB.com.

The Secretary of State site and Ned Lamont were swamped for me.... damn nutroots.

"Nothing seems to embarrass the political class today." - Bill Moyers

by joejoejoe on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:46:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

It's like an orgasm!

by antiHyde on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:25:16 PM EST

Re: YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

TMI! TMI!

by bruh21 on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:30:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

you are easily amused.

the lieberman victory party sure is picking up some joementum, ne c'est pas, mes amis?

.. and when I win the lottery, gonna donate half my money to the city so they have to name a school or a park after me - camper van beethoven

by heyAnita on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:32:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

how would I know - I support lamont :)

by bruh21 on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:31:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

how would I know - I support lamont :)

by bruh21 on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:31:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! YES! YES! (none / 0)

haha, i am about to make the o face myself.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:56:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Amazing. Sure, 2% of non-geographically distinct areas gives a confidence interval of I'd guess <10%, but even so, this is looking like a blowout.

end the occupation of Iraq

by aip on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:30:21 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Looks great so far but so early yet

by cthulhu on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:37:41 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Somewhere in your comments over the last days I forecast 60-40. I cannot believe it.

by Bob H on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:39:33 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

The margin is quickly narrowing. 56-44 with 7% reporting.

by HoosierJosh on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:44:21 PM EST

Here's a TV station link with updated returns (none / 0)

http://www.wfsb.com/politics/9641261/det ail.html

Lamont leads 6814 to 4586.

by jagakid on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:45:29 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

newspaper Hartford Courant has a results web page

http://tinyurl.com/o5z95

by robertearle on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:55:22 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Shit.

I live in Cheshire's district 2, but considering those numbers our turnout must've sucked, though this part of this 50/50 affluent suburb is a VERY republican area (Bush signs were all over last year). It's great Ned only lost by 11.

(Interesting point: Chapman School in Cheshire is right across the street from the prison that holds that Wife-in-the-Woodchipper guy)

And if Joe really lost his neighborhood in Westville, New Haven, that is great, great news. That neighborhood is the state as a microcosm: relatively affluent suburban-type area with urban and poor pockets throughout (its mostly a Jewish/Black area).

by ctman1638 on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:59:38 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

two results sites:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elect ions/2006/by_state/CT_Page_0808.html?SIT E=CTHARELN&SECTION=POLITICS

http://www.wfsb.com/politics/9641261/det ail.html

by tgypsy jcs on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 08:59:48 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

WFSB just zoomed up to 17% reporting:
Lamont 29463 56%
Lieberman 22898 44%

Race to 270: Tracking presidential elections since 2004.

by bschak on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:05:18 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

from the nytimes frontpage:

After the Lieberman campaign Web site crashed today, Mike Wence tried to fix the problem at Lieberman headquarters in Rocky Hill, Conn

by ignu on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:08:47 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

My husband turnerbroadcasting said that DNS takes time to propagate. There isn't anything they can do.

.. and when I win the lottery, gonna donate half my money to the city so they have to name a school or a park after me - camper van beethoven

by heyAnita on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:12:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

off topic but...

12% of precincts reporting
Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr. 73.9%
Cynthia McKinney 26.1%

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:11:06 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

35% of precincts reporting
Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr. 11,295 61.5%
Cynthia McKinney 7,073 38.5%

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:58:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

thanks for the update. looks like it's lights out for cynthia.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:00:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

This site was frontpaged at dkos, seems to be the most up-to-date and well-hosted:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elect ions/2006/by_state/CT_Page_0808.html?SIT E=CTHARELN&SECTION=POLITICS

end the occupation of Iraq

by aip on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:11:43 PM EST

Interesting (none / 0)

Ned's margin is going down, but his raw numbers are going up. He was 7000 votes ahead, now 9000 votes ahead.

by MNPundit on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:20:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Interesting (none / 0)

As of 9:29pm (EDT), Lamont's margin is down to 5,700 votes, 52-48. I hope this is just an anomaly.

On the SOS site, Newtown had gone for Lieberman 766-0...and five minutes later it was 1066 for Lamont, 766 for Lieberman. Obviously some sort of input cramp.

by InigoMontoya on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:39:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Interesting (none / 0)

As of 9:29pm (EDT), Lamont's margin is down to 5,700 votes, 52-48, with just over 50 percent of the vote reported. I hope this is just an anomaly.

On the SOS site, Newtown had gone for Lieberman 766-0...and five minutes later it was 1066 for Lamont, 766 for Lieberman. Obviously some sort of input cramp.

by InigoMontoya on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:47:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Lamont 54
Lieberman 46

I think Lieberman is going to squeak by tonight.

by HoosierJosh on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:20:05 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

71-58 w/40% in can't be right. official results say 64k-57k with 44% in. far from over.
http://article19.blogspot.com/

by DonBinTN on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:31:46 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Lamont 52
Lieberman 48

50% reporting...

by HoosierJosh on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:33:10 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

50.27% reporting
Lamont 70,444 52.13
Lieberman 64,700 47.8

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:34:54 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Chris's numbers don't make sense. From courant.com:

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
376 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 50.27%
    Name    Party    Votes    Pct
    Lamont, Ned    Dem    70,444    52.13
    Lieberman, Joe    Dem    64,700    47.87

But Chris has: Lamont 71K, Lieberman 58K, 40% reporting

Different sets of polls reporting to each source?

by Flax on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:36:14 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Hang in there Ned...

by musa on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:38:24 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Chris's numbers don't make sense. From courant.com:

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
376 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 50.27%
    Name    Party    Votes    Pct
    Lamont, Ned    Dem    70,444    52.13
    Lieberman, Joe    Dem    64,700    47.87

But Chris has: Lamont 71K, Lieberman 58K, 40% reporting

Different sets of polls reporting to each source?

by Flax on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:39:02 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

If the margin holds, the crashing the gate shock waves will reshape the Democratic Party for the better. Good Bye DLC as the power center of the Democratic Party. Don't let the door hit you on the Butt on the way out.

We will know by the end of the Night.

Gandhi - "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

by HCLiberal on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:44:18 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Just heard on WTIC 1080 Radio - 80% of the precincts in, looking really good for Lamont...

by musa on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:44:21 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Chris is getting numbers from somewhere else:

56.55%
Lamont, Ned 79,580 52.17
Lieberman, Joe 72,964 47.83

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:48:29 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

how's the turnout in CT overall? is it enough to kill Lieberman's excuse for his indy run that not a lot of people vote in the summer primary?

by beedee on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:50:23 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

The disparity between the Courant site and Chris' numbers doesn't make any sense. Any explanations?

Ump

by Umpteenth on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 09:50:54 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

yea, the lamont people have poll watchers who are getting the vote counts directly from the precincts. so they are getting the numbers before the SOS gets a chance to update them.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:05:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

no, the numbers aren't just lagging, they're conflicting.

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:19:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

really? i couldn't tell, numbers make my eyes glaze over.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:25:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Do the votes get counted at the precinct in CT?

In CA, the precinct worker might be able to tell you how many votes were cast, but not who they were cast for. That happens at a more central 'counting center'. In my case, that means votes cast in the suburb of Torrance get counted in somewhere in downtown L.A. A campaign would have to have somebody getting results at the counting center to be able to report the kind of info you say the lamont people have.

by robertearle on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:41:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

79.95%
Lamont, Ned 114,165 51.75
Lieberman, Joe 106,428 48.25

by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:09:51 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

From Political Wire:

With 83.56% of the vote in, Lamont leads 51.88% to 48.12%. Local television report says people have "slipped away" from the hall at the Lieberman party.

Hartford, whose political leadership supported Lamont, hasn't reported yet.

by RisingSign on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:27:39 PM EST

turn on cspan (none / 0)

slipped away is an understatement. that room has maybe 40 people in it.

cspan is the only network really covering the race right now.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:45:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

it's OVER (none / 0)

cspan says 93% reporting

52-49 lamont

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 10:56:09 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

sorry, i typoed.

should have read 52-48 lamont.

now it's 94% reporting. same percentages.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!

by annatopia on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:00:34 PM EST

I hate Lieberman more than ever now (3.00 / 1)

and I hear his defeatist speech and I am sick of him.

Gandhi - "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

by HCLiberal on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:08:20 PM EST

Fuck me Freddy (none / 0)

We won?

by Winston Smith on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:10:10 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (3.00 / 1)

Good job, all you volunteers! My heart was with you all the way. Thank you so much for making this victory happen!

Now it's on to November, no matter what happens.

by Sporty on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:15:09 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (3.00 / 1)

WOOOT!

by Reece on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:20:21 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (3.00 / 1)

YAY FOR US!!!

by jmeugniot on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:27:29 PM EST

Re: CT-Sen: Results Thread (none / 0)

Congratulations to all those who pulled together to make this happen. Enjoy what winning feels like and get ready to fight to make it happen nationwide in November.

by PghArch on Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 11:43:41 PM EST

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