America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts

All over the country, America is enjoying a series of free market blackouts.  California, New York City, and St. Louis have all been hit with electricity outages due to a poor electricity infrastructure.  This infrastructure is a result of a reliance on a free market and tax cuts instead of public infrastructure investment.

Gotta love that free market, it really handles hurricanes, wildfires, and heat waves exceptionally well.

This is an open thread.

Update: I'll clarify a bit for the idiots who think I'm against a free market and cleverly call me comrade. Markets are good things in areas of society where there's a private resource allocation problem, like consumer goods. Privatizing public services - like transportation, electricity, water, disaster relief, warfare, and some parts of telecommunications - is not only stupid, it's extremely inefficient and leads to people dying and suffering in all sorts of needless ways. Also, the idea that privatizing public services and underinvesting in public infrastructure is free market anything is stupid, but then, I'm not the one who's been abusing the free market language for forty years. Anyway, enjoy your blackouts.



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Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

In my little corner of sunny southern california, it's been over 100 degrees more than it's been under 100 degrees in my apartment over the past week or so.  Can't really blame the electrical grid for my apartment not having AC, but I can certainly be a bit peeved when the lack of power knocks out the fans.


by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:24:01 AM EST

Enron Blackouts Helped Elect Arnold (none / 0)

First, the GOp let Enron screw up the california power grid, and then the chaos was used to push the recall election that put Arnold in office. God-damn is that some evil stuff or what?


by bernardpliers on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 06:09:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It gets eviler. (none / 0)

The point of the recall was to thwart a lawsuit Cali had going against the price gougers.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 06:24:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

New York City does not have a free market for electricity.  There is a monopoly held by Con Edison.  It is regulated by the local government.  Publicly regulated utilities have generally served us well over the past 50 years.

If government solutions are always the answer, look no further than the MTA, a giant monstrosity that has systematically underinvested in infrastructure and suffers outages on a regular basis.  Try getting around the outer boroughs on a weekend with the subway and see what crappy government bureaucracies can do.


by hotshotxi on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:28:56 AM EST

Didn't you know..... (3.00 / 1)

.....that the "free market" the evil overlord of the world?


by crazymoloch on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:35:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

Good point.  California de-regulated electricity in the mid-90s but NY didn't.  ConEd is definately at fault for the electricity problems in Astoria/Long Island City but I am not sure this is a "free market problem".  The NY Pub Svc Commission has the ability to mandate that ConEd spend more on infrastructure which I am sure they will do going forward.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:35:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (3.00 / 1)

No, NY did deregulate.  The problem is that no one is willing to sell power retail in NY state, at least not yet, to most retail customers.  You can find sellers to industrial/commercial concerns, but  finding a retail seller is almost impossible.

Deregulating electric supply is a pipedream.  The market is a natural monopoly, which militates against it being handled under free market provisions.  Therefore, only one firm acutally gets to handle distribution anyway.  The deregulation applies only to the supply of free electrons.  ConEd got seduced by the free market deregulation and basically has ignored the distribution upgrades and improvements it should have been making for the last ten years because they were going to make their money in the free market sides of their business.

The electric supply deregulation won't work because no real free market exists for it.  To have a free market, some excess capacity must exist at some point in time to provide for competition.  The only problem is that when excess capacity exists, no one will build power plants without a guaranteed user.  When demand exceeds supply, prices spike and no one wants to deal with the cutthroat pirates who will gladly steal you blind but won't plan for an orderly market.  I don't see any way to create a true free market wherein buyers can switch suppliers as they wish  while avoiding getting hosed by those suppliers.     We haven't seen such a market yet in the US in any of the electric markets which have deregulated.  Every one has excuses for why the free market has failed, completely ignoring the basic premise that the free market will not work in this example and cannot.  


by VizierVic on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:35:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (3.00 / 1)

If government solutions are always the answer, look no further than the MTA, a giant monstrosity that has systematically underinvested in infrastructure and suffers outages on a regular basis.  Try getting around the outer boroughs on a weekend with the subway and see what crappy government bureaucracies can do.

The New York City subway system is a great example of what public investment is capable of.  And the problems you speak of are due to underinvestment, not the fact that it's a government system.


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:51:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

Correct me if I'm wrong, but hasn't the MTA been posting huge surpluses for the past few years?


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by HellofaSandwich on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:58:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

Yes it has.  There has also been a massive amount of investment to bring the subways and buses up to snuff which for the most part they are.  Service is, for the most part, pretty good.  Getting around on the weekends can be tough but that is because they shut lines down to do maintenance since the system is 24 hours and you can't do it at night as most other cities do.

NYC needs to start investing in new subway lines as the current ones are becoming overcrowded.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:29:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

You obviously spend all your time in Manhattan.  While service is better than other cities, I wouldn't call it great.

The problems aren't all about maintenance either.  Service is just not very good on weekends.  Often there are large wait times far beyond the posted schedule even though there is no maintenance work being done.


by hotshotxi on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:48:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I ride outside Manhattan (none / 0)

No I don't spend all my time in Manhattan and yes I am aware that you can spend 15+ mins waiting for a train on weekends in Brooklyn and Queens.  However, having grown up in NYC and ridden the trains in the 70s and 80s I can tell you the system is pretty good these days.  My experience is most of the service delays on weekends are due to ongoing maintenance.  Why do you think the papers run weekend service changes every Friday?

I have also lived in DC and despite the noise dirt and lack of AC in stations, the NY system is far superior with more frequent service to more parts of the city.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:12:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I ride outside Manhattan (none / 0)

John, the problem with the MTA and Queens on weekends is that they'll shut down every line between Queens and Manhattan for repair/maintenance/construction and say that they're still providing service because they've kept one dinky line open for which most riders must go one hour out of their way to use.  It's not just fifteen minutes' inconvenience.  That's why so much frustration exists with MTA management.  Further, I doubt if any of them has actually been on a subway line in the last ten years.  I really can't say I blame them because if anyone should recognize them were they were to get close to the edge of the platform, but the MTA supervisors have no idea of what their product really is.


by VizierVic on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:41:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I ride outside Manhattan (none / 0)

MTA management leaves plenty to be desired.  hotshotxi says the weekend service issues are not repair related which is what I was responding to.  My experience is the major delays on weekends are almost all repair related and they no doubt create great inconvenience.  I am delayed almost every weekend because of them.  

I don't have any great suggestions on how to do it better considering the system runs 24/7.  One thing I do know is the system runs a lot better overall than it did 20 years ago, delays or not.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 07:31:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

The New York City subway system is a great example of what public investment is capable of.

Funny you mention that.  The investment was made by the city, but the service itself was run by competing private companies for the first 30 years of the subway.


by hotshotxi on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:55:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

And your point is ... that public investment works?  Then I agree.


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:29:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

The investment was made by the city, but the service itself was run by competing private companies for the first 30 years of the subway.

I don't think this is the case at all.  The IRT and BMT were built and operated by private companies.  The IND was build by the city, which later acquired the other two lines after they went bankrupt, and merged all three lines together into one system.  


unfutz
by Ed Fitzgerald on Thu Jul 27, 2006 at 12:24:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

Why is it that whenever a government program has a problem, its proponents always cry for more money? Why do they not consider the possibility that having the government run the program is the problem. The government will always be as inefficient as possible. It is the ultimate least-common-denominator. Pouring more money in does not help. Just look at public education or pre-Clinton reformed Welfare.


by fupeg on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 02:58:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: this is yet another silly post (none / 0)

Try getting around the outer boroughs on a weekend with the subway and see what crappy government bureaucracies can do.

Actually, the weekend disruptions are because the MTA is finally doing necessary track work after years of deferred maintenance, which began in the 50's, when the subways were run by the City, before they were transferred to the NYCTA (a state agency later merged into the MTA).


unfutz
by Ed Fitzgerald on Thu Jul 27, 2006 at 12:15:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Seriously....... wtf? (3.00 / 1)

I really would like to know how you manage to blame every problem on the "free market". Care to expand on your little thesis? I'm guessing there were abslutely no blackouts before deregulation?


by crazymoloch on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:31:01 AM EST

Re: Seriously....... wtf? (none / 0)

Only when you blew the candle out.


by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:34:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seriously....... wtf? (none / 0)

As a native NYer, we still have a regulated utility and we had previous city-wide blackouts in 1965 and 1977.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:38:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seriously....... wtf? (none / 0)

John, you are aware that the black-outs of 1965 and 1977 stemmed from completely different sources than the one which has stunned Queens this past week, right?  Both of those were due to generation and bulk supply issues and had nothing to do with distribution problems in the five boroughs, which have plagued ConEd for the last three summers.  ConEd just isn't looking at what it needs to do to maintain its distribution in an environment where more power is consumed for air conditioning and information technology than in years past.  They like the profits those uses produce but they're not willing to invest in the planning and the upgrades for distribution which they retained by choice.


by VizierVic on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:47:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seriously....... wtf? (none / 0)

Yes.  The point I was making is no system is perfect and we had major blackouts in 1965 and 1977 under heavily regulated systems.  I don't think de-regulation of public utilities is the answer or smart but regulated/municipally run utilities don't always work properly either.  No system is perfect although ConEd deserves an ass kicking for the past week.

Actually, ELCO 1965 points out the other major problem is that NY lacks generating capacity something that is unlikely to happen anytime soon considering the NIMBYism in NYC.  Everyone wants electricity but no one wants it generated in their area.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 07:22:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Our provider is the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD).  There have been a few rolling blackouts;  two hours alternating by neighborhood.  And overall, rates are cheaper.  It is a monopolist.  As are all electricity providers....because it is prohibitively costly to run two or more sets of electric wires to each home or business.

If you actually do some research, read books on the industry, PUC hearing minutes, etc, you will discover that it is all ENORMOUSLY complex and not validly reducible to political sloganeering.

As as practical matter, neither market forces nor politicians are going to provide for that last top end, rarely occurring bit of power in  a national heatwave.  That is a role for conservation, ie partial shutdown protocols by which we, as citizens reduce demand during these events.


You're nobody...until you've been banned at dkos because you had an original thought or spoke truth to power.
by NorCalJim on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:53:29 AM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Sorry.  I neglected to mention that SMUD is a ratepayer owned utility.  And, I think,   a decent model for all kinds of utilities.


You're nobody...until you've been banned at dkos because you had an original thought or spoke truth to power.
by NorCalJim on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 11:55:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (3.00 / 1)

For those New Yorkers who don't know any better . . ., there is an electric free market in New York.  Con Edison delivers the electricity and owns the infrastructure.  But Con Ed both generates AND sells electricity in the open market.  If you want to know where, go here:

www.nyiso.com

That's the NY Independent System Operator, the entity responsible for overseeing the New York electricity markets (yes, markets, because there's more than one thing that gets bought and sold).  Unlike previous blackouts, the current ones are related directly to the lack of sufficient electric generation AND to the relative inability to transport it over long distances.  Past blackouts, like the most recent Northeast blackout, had more to do with large-scale system failure.


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 12:20:12 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Isn't the ISO an instrument for the sale of electricity between utilities?  That might makes some sense if one electric utility has a surplus that can be used by another.

Agree about the generation capacity issue.  NY is going to need to come up with conservation measures since it is not easy to expand generating capacity in this area.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:34:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

John, the ISO is an instrument for the sale of electricity between "generators" and "LSEs" or Load-Serving Entities.  While "utilities" still purchase electricity from generators, they are not the only ones in the market for electricity.  For example, if you have an industrial plant that consumes lots of electricity, you may be able to buy your own electricity without an utility.  You may - or may not - have to contract with an utility to arrange for the transportation of electricity through their wires, but you'd be buying electricity from a generator.  Utilities are still involved at the retail level, but at the wholesale level, where the NYISO works, they are just one of many players.

Conservation is not going to be enough in NY (city or state).  The larger problem in NY State is that the law that made it easier to site and build power plants expired back in 2001 and there is no legislative consensus on how to renew it.  Without it, you're left with a regulatory process that discourages the siting and construction of power plants.


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:25:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Interesting.  Thanks.


by John Mills on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:36:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

I had dinner with someone who calls themselves a Democrat and the subject of private ownership of roads and highways came up.

This person just couldn't understand why I would be against large corporations owning all public property including the roads we drive on.  Apparently corporations are perfectly capable to serving all our needs.

So stop blaming the utilities: its actually the fault of government for not allowing the utilities to own the air and water around us.


by PageUp on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 12:26:13 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Matt--

Well done. Spoken like a true idealogue zealot. This hasn't got anything to do with infrastructure and private corporations. In St. Louis, this has everything to do with winds knocking down trees and cutting power lines and nothing to do with the fact those lines are owned by a private company. No amount of public money or government intervention is going to make power lines impervious to elements. Jeez.


by AaronE on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 12:59:28 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

St. Louis was unavoidable, though the weeklong downtime was not.  The other blackouts, that's because of underinvestment.

I'm glad that in your world nothing is ever anyone's fault.


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:53:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

I don't anyone really doubts your premise about underinvestment, although there are some disasters which all the investment in the world can't prevent.

I think the point at issue here is your contention that every failure in reponse to a natural disater is the direct result of a free market approach to whatever service is under fire. You seem to be prone to making blanket statements about how all of the world problems are the results of corporations and the free market. It would be nice of you could back some of this stuff up.


by crazymoloch on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:30:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

You better believe it. In my world, Bush is a victim of the vicious left-wing smear machine. Who could have predicted we wouldn't be greeted with flower petals in Iraq, anyway?


by AaronE on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:03:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (3.00 / 1)

Ever hear of burying power lines???  

In St. Louis at lot of the power lines are butied in rich areas like Clayton, Ladue and above ground in places like North County, North City.  So guess what, who are the last people to get power back.


by howardpark on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 07:38:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

No amount of public money or government intervention is going to make power lines impervious to elements.

    Of course there's that bizarre idea of underground utilities which might have some bearing on the problem.  But that costs money which might otherwise be spent at the mall...


by LaughingHistorian on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:08:22 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Do you know how much it cost to build underground utility lines?  About $1 million on average.  Do you know how much it costs per mile to build them above ground?  About $80 thousand per mile.

And that's just the installation.  If you add the costs of maintenance, it gets worse.

http://www.eei.org/industry_issues/energ y_infrastructure/distribution/Undergroun dReport.pdf


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:37:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Exactly.


by AaronE on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:39:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Yeah, and that's the reason ConEd does have higher electric distribution rates than elsewhere.  They are allowed to recover their investment after all.

I would also point out that you ignore the cost of not installing power lines underground.  Talk to the people of Florida and the Gulf Coast about what their losses have been because their utilities decided to go cheap and install above ground power distribution in an environment where the risk of loss was very high.  It's easy to talk about cost when those costs will be passed on to someone else.


by VizierVic on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:52:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

And undoubtedly we will be having some more "heckuva job" commendations for the officials responsible.


by Bob H on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:36:18 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (3.00 / 1)

I think the free market idea is great, but not for utilities. Electricity, sewer and water should be owned by a government (city, county or state). Caifornia deregulated electricity and the state nearly died. PG&E (northern California power company) wrote the bill, the Republicans ran with it and a bunch of dumb Democrats voted for it. Since the Democrats are the majority in both houses in the state government, they control the voting. I say dumb, because a lot of people pointed out the problems and they ignored them. I read a comment a few days ago that the the Rebublicans had "snookered" the Dems into voting for the bill. How can you "snooker" someone that is thinking???


by grampsx2 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 01:58:09 PM EST

I don't think people realized (none / 0)

how bad the system could be gamed . . . even if it was a willful blindness. When the lobbyists are buying you dinner and the campaign dollars are rolling in, you're not sitting there wondering "what happens if a few big players decide to start choking off supply to drive spot prices through the roof?"

Hardly seemed imaginable that power companies would willfully hold back their product, putting people's lives at risk . . . you'd have to be some kind of wild-eyed socialist moonbat to see that coming.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:13:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The difference between (none / 0)

a public monopoly and a private monopoly is that you can hold a public monopoly accountable.

If I'm not satisfied with the way my municipally-owned utility operates, I can pressure my electees to fix it.

If you don't like the way your private utility operates, you can relocate.

Have fun.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:22:19 PM EST

Of course, (none / 0)

if you choose to place government services in the hands of people who believe government services are illegitimate -- for example, by voting for people whose answer to everything is deregulation -- you wind up with, shall we say . . . Amtrak.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 02:25:59 PM EST

Re: Of course, (none / 0)

If we compared the costs of Amtrak with the costs of our massively fucked up highway system, which somehow Republicans never have a problem with, the story might sound a little different.


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:31:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The only problem Amtrak has (none / 0)

is that the people running it think it should be broken up and privatized, so they don't mind running it into the ground to destroy public confidence in it as a public operation.

(See also: Social Security)


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:17:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Free Market and Public Utilities (3.00 / 1)

The main problem is that in a pure "free market" system, the market players react to news and developments on a relatively short time period.  When you take such reactive approach and you apply it to something critical, like electricity and water, you get in a situation where by the time the market sends the right signals (for example, we need more electricity because prices are starting to rise substantially), you're left in a situation where you may not avoid a crisis before new generation - or new transmission lines - get on line.

The new models try to account for that by requiring a safety margin, which in NY is between 15-25%.  But in case of emergencies, that may not be enough.

And that doesn't even begin to deal with the issue of getting the electricity where it's needed.  For example, NY state has more than enough electricity to meet its needs.  The problem is that electricity cannot flow freely from one place to another because in some places the transmission infrastructure just doesn't allow it.

I agree with Matt that this is a "free market" crisis, to a point, but it's far more complex than that.


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:35:58 PM EST

Global Climate Change (none / 0)

There is another way to look a this.

Markets help both private and publicly owned utiilities.  Anybody who has excess capacity can sell it to an adjacent utility experienceing a surge beyond its surge capacity.  This allows the selling utility to earn on its investment in surge capacity, which reduces rates to its ratepayers.  The buying utility avoids costly investment in excess surge capacity.  And of course they change roles, depending on regional weather conditions.  This is actually a great scheme, benefits everyone.  Without this scheme, utilities would have to have huge investments in rarely used surge capacity and it would cost ratepayers a bundle.  THey wouldn't even vote for such a thing if they could.

The problem we have today is that the weather pattern, the heat wave, is enormous and virtually nationwide.  Just like Katrina.  It is entirely possible that it is a harbinger of global climate change.  The problem with a national event is that you can't "borrow" an adjacent utility"s surge capacity because they are using it too to  deal with the same climatic event.  The event itself simply overwhelms the mechanism usually used to deal with such occurrences.

The blame for this part of the problem doesn't lie with the economic format because all formats are similarly impaired.  The fault lies with Bush and the  Congress for having failed to anticipate and address Global Climate change by failing to adopt policies to prevent and reverse climate change and to remediate its effects.  Let's put the blame where it belongs:  the Republicans.


You're nobody...until you've been banned at dkos because you had an original thought or spoke truth to power.
by NorCalJim on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 03:58:17 PM EST

Re: Global Climate Change (none / 0)

"Anybody who has excess capacity can sell it to an adjacent utility experienceing [sic] a surge beyond its surge capacity."

Two points: first "utilities" don't sell to "utilities."  "Generators," whether independent power producers or utilities generating its own electricity, sell to "buyers" be it another generator (when the generator cannot produce but has contractual obligations), a large end-user (think about a car assembly line in Detroit) or an utility.  Second point: a utility, barring an emergency, would rarely be in a position where it would need additional electricity (California being a different case, of course).

"This allows the selling utility to earn on its investment in surge capacity, which reduces rates to its ratepayers."

Nope.  Taxpayers get screwed anyhow unless you have signed up to a variable rate plan, which may reflect some of that savings.  At best, you may avoid a higher rate increase down the road.

"The buying utility avoids costly investment in excess surge capacity."

No they don't because they are usually required to have excess capacity available or to purchase excess capacity in the wholesale market.  So they either have to generate it themselves or have to buy it somewhere.  And if they are down to the point where they desperately need capacity, they are most certainly NOT saving money by buying it somewhere else.

"And of course they change roles, depending on regional weather conditions."

Maybe, maybe not.  During the summer, ACs are the most common way to deal with a hot day.  During winter, you can have electric heat generation, natural gas furnaces, or oil furnaces.  Depending on where you are you will have a different mix.  In a region where a lot of people use natural gas for heating, electricity costs may actually increase over the winter season because most state-of-the-art power plants run on natural gas.

 


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 04:42:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Global Climate Change (none / 0)

That's just plain picky.  Take the sliver out of your ass.

I wrote this to be as reader friendly as possible, not just for experts, even if it meant some broad generalizations.

The point of the piece is that "It's the Republicans. Stupid."


You're nobody...until you've been banned at dkos because you had an original thought or spoke truth to power.
by NorCalJim on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 05:19:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Global Climate Change (none / 0)

You can be as broad and general as you want, as long as what you write is accurate.  You made three different statement that were just plain wrong, even in a general and broad way: the so-called savings don't trickle back to ratepayers, generators and utilities are required to provide and secure additional capacity, and weather patterns and seasonal changes alone don't account for all the changes.


by El Loco1965 on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 09:25:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Global Climate Change (none / 0)

So if you want to be that vehement, cite your evidence.

I believe the statements to which you refer are generally accurate.  

When you can share above the normal surge capacity, you win, even at high prices.  

1 Of course the savings are to ratepayers, because the enormous costs of 'excess' surge aren't there in the first place. That's just logic.  Get acquainted with it.

2 I never said they weren't required to provide basic surge capacity. You lie.

3 The mechanism just isn't likely to work in a national weather pattern.  We can't buy from Washington the power Washington is already using for itself.  Again that's just logic.

Cite your sources for all this authoritative nonsense.  And do some more research.


You're nobody...until you've been banned at dkos because you had an original thought or spoke truth to power.
by NorCalJim on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 12:14:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Under regulation, the incentives for utilities are to overspend on extra reliability, since the rates are linked to their costs.

Under free market, there is no incentive to spend on reliablility. All it does it cut into your profits.

Free markets work in some situations, such as natural gas, but electricity is different -- it cannot be stored.

My economist friends tell me that they understand such markets much less than the traditional commodities markets.


by interguru on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 04:07:08 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Not quite.  And it also depends on which reliability you're talking about: reliability to generate enough electricity or reliability to deliver the electricity you generate.

The way it works in NY is that you have a statewide requirement for generating reliability: there must be X percentage of additional generating capacity above the peak projection.  In addition, different areas in the state are subject to different local requirements, which in a way factor in the transmission constraints in the state.  Because NYC and Long Island are, at times, unable to import electricity because of transmission constraints, they have an additional reliability requirement that a certain percentage of their electricity must be generated within their area.

And also, the analogy that electricity cannot be stored is flawed.  It can be stored.  It's called fuel, because that's what powers the generating facilities.


by El Loco1965 on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 04:27:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

El Loco, you're being disingenous about the ability to store electricity.  You know perfectly well that if all the available generating capacity is on line that you can't store electrons anywhere they can be used.  All of the available product must go through the capital investment which has been put in place.  At least with other physical energy forms you can store the product, as you rightly point out, but drawing on that product doesn't require the use of the initial production source as electricity demands.


by VizierVic on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 06:00:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

I'm not being disingenuous.  I'm just being a wise ass.  Partly, anyhow.  The point is that the system is set up in a way that you don't have to worry about storing electrons.  What is relatively new is the concept of "distributed generation" where instead of relying solely on large generating plants, you can rely on smaller localized generators to provide you with either additional electricity at times of peak demand or additional reliability by relieving congenstion on transmission lines.

But that's something totally different.


by El Loco1965 on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 09:30:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

I used to sell gas turbine and diesel generating units thirty years ago, so I think that I'm aware of distributed generation and how it can be adapted into a power distribution grid.  The real issue is that a major piece of capital equipment must be available to produce electrons exactly when they're needed, with virtually no ability to store them somewhere.  Unfortunately, few locations allow for installing peaking hydro plants, which could draw on the economic strengths of some of the generating systems which do exist.  That would be one of the few cases where water alone could be considered "fuel."


by VizierVic on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 01:48:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (3.00 / 1)

Hotshoxi is full of it. I live in an outer borough-  the MTA rarely suffers power outages. Track repair is another issue, but it's also an inevitability. And Manhattan gets track repair delays on the wknd., too.


by sb on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 04:33:00 PM EST

No, (none / 0)

but thanks for the wiseassitude.

It's not a matter of lack of faith, it's a matter of utter neglect. Somebody who wants to see Amtrak broken up and sold off is not going to put much effort into making it run smoothly. Why would they?

By the way, I used to travel by Amtrak between school and home, and I found it much more efficient and cost-effective than air travel. If you're travelling a very long distance, of course, airplanes might be the way to go. (I also wouldn't recommend Amtrak if you're going overseas.)


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 06:18:20 PM EST

Just so you know, (none / 0)

sarcasm and snark do not a rebuttal make.

Matt: for the idiots who think I'm against a free market and cleverly call me comrade.

raymond: That's right, everyone who disagrees with you is an idiot.

Notice a disconnect between the group Matt mentioned and the one you did?

People disagree with posts here all the time. It's those of you who descend immediately into mockery and name-calling that get the same thing back. Your little temper tantrum is not going to persuade anybody. All you're really doing is reinforcing Matt's argument.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 06:49:22 PM EST

Re: Just so you know, (3.00 / 1)

Thanks, comrade


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 07:12:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Awww . . . (none / 0)

sniff

I wasn't done toying with the troll . . .

:P


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 08:29:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Pissy? (none / 0)

That's adorable. Have you said anything constructive at all? Even made any kind of argument? All I'm seeing are insults and petulance.


Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 25, 2006 at 07:45:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

Matt, the word you probably want, from classical economics, is "Natural Monopoly."  There are services which do not conform to the supply/demand curve. These include energy delivery (and usually production) communications (that's why the net neutrality issue is in this category.) and transportation.  A little history let's you know how bad it was when people built roads through their property and charged a toll.  Someone with three feet of property could charge as much as someone with miles.  And often the roads did not even meet each other.  

I think monopoly and natural monopoly are words that we should use more.  The definition of monopoly that I learned way back is control by four or fewer enterprises of 40% of the market.  If we want a free market we should advocate systematically breaking up or otherwise regulating all monopolies and owning or heavily regulating natural monopolies.


by prince myshkin on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 05:22:33 AM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

You clearly don't understand de-regulation. If you did, you would realize that what California has is far from de-regulation. True de-regulation would allow the utility company to raise the price of electricity as demand goes up. So if it's 100 degrees outside, consumers must make a choice to pay a lot more to keep the temp at 70 instead of 75 or 80. If utility companies could do that, then they could pay more for other companyies' excess capacity. If they are capped on what they charge for consumers, then they are capped on what they can buy from other companies. Thus supply becomes artificially capped and voila!

The problems lately in California have not been supply problems. They have been infrastructure failures. Transformers are being run harder than they were designed to handle, thus they overheat and blow up. Utility companies could have used more expensive transformers that are designed to handle continuous high capacity. Las Vegas has these for example. They must weigh the benefits, replacing the transformers less often, not having to pay overtime labor to replace them during heat waves, etc. It's a trade off. Of course consumers can't help them make that decision because the rates they charge consumers is fixed by the government.

Americans are so spoiled. We don't want to pay more for electricity when there is higher demand. We don't want to pay more for infrastructure when it is needed. We want the government to take care of it all for them.


by fupeg on Wed Jul 26, 2006 at 03:12:08 PM EST

Re: America Enjoying Free Market Blackouts (none / 0)

As far as I know, New York City has never had public electrical utility, power has always been provided by a private company, so "privatization" hasn't done a damn thing.  I'm not going to make a case for Con Ed being excellent in any way, but the recent outages don't appear to have anything whatsoever to do with public/private issues -- in fact, the cause seems to be aging infrastructure, which has little or nothing to do with the free market.

This claim seems to me to be an example of over generalization based on ideoloogical inclination more than anything else.


unfutz
by Ed Fitzgerald on Thu Jul 27, 2006 at 12:03:08 AM EST


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