A third poll has now shown Ned Lamont ahead of Joe Lieberman in the Connecticut Democratic primary for United States Senate. This time,
Rasmussen shows Lamont with a solid 51-41 lead (currently, the poll is only available for subscribers to Rasmussen).
The previous Rasmussen poll, conducted in mid-June, showed Lieberman ahead 46-40.
Rasmussen has consistently shown better results for Lamont than has
the homegrown Q-poll. The reason,
as Mystery Pollster notes, is that this race is very difficult to poll. Clearly, the two polling outfits are using different models for likely voters. Because this is such an unusual race, no one knows what the best model would be right now. It is possible that all polls are off.
In a three way race, Rasmussen shows Lamont and Lieberman tied at 40% each, with the Republican at 13%. It is pretty amusing to see just how hapless Republicans are in this race.
Despite these great numbers, this campaign is by no means a lock for Lamont. The entire local and national political establishment has lined up for Lieberman. Ned is going going to need you help
volunteering, especially considering the great importance of the ground game in this election. No matter where you live, you can sign up for
the Family, Friends and Neighbors program. You can also
contribute to Ned on Act Blue where he is matching every contribution you make betwen now and August 8th. We are on the brink of making history here, but it won't happen without your help.