What a House Takeover Would Look Like: Commitee Chairs

From the diaries--Chris

The House election is often portrayed as a choice of substituting Nancy Pelosi as Speaker for Dennis Hastert.  Admitted, that's a joyous move but the change at the top would be only part of the picture.  Democrats who are now "ranking members" would become committee chairs;  Republicans would fall from Committe chairs to ranking members.

A look at the changes made by substituting the current list of committee chairs (Republicans) with the ranking Democratic member on each House committee produces the following changes.
Overall, the 24 Democrats have a Progressive Punch score of 84.15, meaning they cast a "progressive" vote 84% of the time.  Current Republican chairs cast a progressive vote just 8.90% of the time.  Although this is not a strong a switch as the move from Pelosi (score of 93.62) from Hastert (in the 4s IIRC), it is close.  A change of a breathtaking 75% in voting priorities.

A case by case listing and analysis follows below the jump.

Committee           Chair       Ranking Dem         Diff

Agriculture          Bob Goodlatte  Collin Peterson  +52.81

Goodlatte is a tad conservative even by GOP House standards (4.50) but Peterson (D-MN) is one of the most conservative Democrats in the House (57.31).

Appropriations      Jerry Lewis      David Obey      +77.91

The scandal-plagued Lewis, R-CA (9.92) may have a few moderate moments but he's pretty much one of the Kool-aid drinkers.  Obey of Wisconsin (87.83) is pretty much a mainstream Democrat.  This is a huge change.

Armed Services      Duncan Hunter     Ike Skelton    +54.06

Hunter is a "mainstream" (e.g. radical right) Republican.  Skelton is a very conservative Democrat.  Not the best replacement here.

Budget             Jim Nussle         John Spratt    +68.27

Nussle is kind of standard issue Republican ambitious (running for Governor of Iowa this year, 7.34) while Spratt (D-SC) is surprisingly moderate/liberal (75.61) for a white, southern Democrat presented as a top GOP target this year.  Spratt is similar, but a little more liberal, in his voting to Joe Lieberman.

Education         Buck McKeon        George Miller   +89.79

Both men are from California but there is a world of difference between McKeon (3.67) and Miller (89.79).  On a scoring basis, this is the largest change for the whole group.

Energy and Commerce  Joe Barton      John Dingell    +79.03

Barton is not only a willing captive of big oil; he also sold out to the telcos.  Dingell is a mainstream Democrat but is nobody's tool.  Michigan over Texas, here.

Financial Svcs    Mike Oxley      Barney Frank        +86.53

Oxley from Ohio is retiring but would his replacement score much different thasn Mike's 6.33?  Expect to hear more villification from the right about Frank both in the open and in the boardrooms of the banks and brokers.  Barney would regulate them, or at least try hard to do so.

Government Reform  Tom Davis      Henry Waxman        +77.82

Davis is almost moderate by GOP standards (13.98) but Waxman would be a tiger who would try to reform rather than privatize via sweet heart deals.  Maybe we'd find out where a lot of loose ends really connect.

Homeland Security  Peter King   Bennie Thompson       +74.55

Long Islander King may live in the NY suburbs but Mississippi's Thompson will do a better job of watching our security.  King meanwhile is a lapdog rather than the watchdog he claims to be, yapping loudly in public after the damage has been done.  Is Peter a New Yorker at heart or a Yorkie?  Get the little bow for his head.

House Administration  Vern Ehlers   Juanita Millender-McDonald
                                                      +68.92

Ehlers of Michigan has a 17.89 score, fairly moderate for this group.  Millender-McDonald is a mainstream Democrat (86.81) from Southern Cal.  Better services for all would result as House Republicans have been pretty partisan in allocating staff and services.

Part Two to follow tommorrow.



Display:


Budget committee (none / 0)

With Jim Nussle gone whether or not he wins the Iowa governor's race, the next ranking Republican on Budget, as far as I can tell, is Jim Ryun, wingnut extraordinaire (Progressive Punch score = 2.25). That's an even bigger swing.

(Also, I think you have Goodlatte and Peterson in the wrong columns, although that's pretty trivial.)


by Crazy Vaclav on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 04:36:11 PM EST

Re: Budget committee (none / 0)

Right on the Goodlatte, Peterson thing.  Ryun was a hell of a miler back a long time ago but he's being pressed pretty hard this year.  Maybe somebody other than him would get the job.

Other retirees are Henry Hyde (International Relations), Sherwood Boehlert (Science) and Bill Thoma (Ways and Means, Taxation).  Ways and means shows Jim Ramstad of Minnesotawho is on the edge of moderate as the Chair now after Thomas announced his retirement.  I guess he's slated to replace Boehlert as the token GOP moderate chair.  


by David Kowalski on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 05:31:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Budget committee (none / 0)

Quick Ryun story:

A couple years back, I was interning for Rep. Conyers, whose office was right across the hall from Ryun's office.  One of their low level staffers finds out somehow or another that I'm Jewish and immediately proceeds to begin inviting me to these Christian scripture intern lunches all the time.  That was fairly uncomfortable, but unsurprising.  

Then, Ryun's wife shows up one day, the same staffer brings her in our office to meet me.  I have nothing to say to her (seeing as how her husband's a total nutjob and that's the only thing I know about her), so I tell her that my cousin loves Ryun as a runner, because my cousin runs distance.  She goes back to Ryun's office and gets the congressman to sign a religious pamphlet about 10 ways to get closer to Jesus, which Ryun signs, "[Cousin's name omitted for his privacy]--Go with Jesus!  ~Jim Ryun"

Possibly interesting only to me, but, man, was that a weird experience.


John McCain
by DanM on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 06:50:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Budget committee (none / 0)

That really is weird.

Conyers as chair of Judiciary would probably be the biggest change


by Alice Marshall on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 07:11:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Budget committee (3.00 / 1)

I've had a simillar experience with Ryun, actually. I had the pleasure experience of meeting Ryun at the ESPYs a few years ago and told him I was a fan of his and a fellow long distance runner. He looked at me straight in the eyes and said "The Key to runnning is to have Jesus pushing you."

It was seriously weird.


by doughnutman on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 12:41:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Budget committee (none / 0)

I'm a big fan of people having their religion, but Ryun seriously seems to believe that he's a disciple or something who's going to convert the unbelieving masses.  


John McCain
by DanM on Thu Jul 13, 2006 at 12:55:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

Committe chairs are important, but what about overall chances of pursuing a progressive agenda to actually making it a law? That is once out of committee- don't we still need to have a governing majority rather than simply a majority in or for bills to not stall?


by bruh21 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 06:38:22 PM EST

Re: What a House (none / 0)

There isn't going to be any progressive legislation enacted in the 110th.

Even if the Dems took both houses, any bill attractive to folks round here would be subject to GOP filibuster in the Senate.

And if it got through there by some GOP snafu, Bush would veto it.

The game in the 110th is about preparing for the 08 election, and making a case for a Dem trifecta.

The Dems could set out their stall with one or two marquee liberal bills for Bush to veto (on UHC, say); and try some small ball with compromise legislation designed to get the Bush sig.

Nothing significant is going to move until that veto is shifted to the other end of the ideological spectrum!


by skeptic06 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 08:39:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

I expect two years of gettin gnothing done then as my friend has said to me.


by bruh21 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 10:25:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

Maybe not.  At present the House is hung up under Hastert's law: Nothing gets to the floor unless a majority of Republicans approve it.  Extending the Voting Rights Act, for example, would have a majority in support of it, but it is held back because a majority of Republicans don't like it.  It depends on whether Pelosi would be more lenient than Hastert.  To get progressive legislation through the house requires support from Republican moderates as well as Democrats.  If our Party regains a majority after November, we should not repeat Clinton's mistake with Health Care; that is, try to get things done with only Democratic votes.

To survive, important progressive legislation needs more than Democratic support; it needs a consensus.  There isn't much point in enacting universal single-payer health insurance if the Republicans are simply going to abolish it when they regain the majority.

Social Security survives because some Republicans support it.


Displaced Michigander
by alsaur on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 09:45:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

i am only interested in a democratic majority so that we can ram things through. frankly, this attidue you exude- well let's take over so that we can then promptly compromise is not the stance I hope most people are taking. First, off, it presumes the Republicans are interested in compromise. Second, whata is a Republican moderate? Third, it presumes that everything is negotiatable when not everything is. I presume the argument against this is that you don't wnt to become like a Republican. My response back would be try becoming like an FDR Democrat then b/c he certainly didn't play by the rules of engagement that you are suggesting, and no one would question whether he brought in a lot of good things to our society.


by bruh21 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 10:24:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

I also would like to push things through, but a lot of the Republican "successes" have been Chinese water torture, one drip at a time wearing down our democracy and putting in an authoritarian regime.  We can use that method too, and as a side benefit, we could win the good-will of more cautious reformers, and not scare the horses by abrupt change.  (Except on Global Warming; there we've got to push like Hell.  I don't know how much time we have.)


by prince myshkin on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 04:28:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What a House (none / 0)

nope they have been blatant and up front


by bruh21 on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 10:12:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I Like Ike (none / 0)

Ike Skelton is not only a great guy, but has been a good congressman to his very red district, which will probably elect a Republican once he is gone, and is extremely capable in military matters.  Conservative or not, he is a Democrat, and one who truly understands what is needed to protect the country.

In a related matter, Dennis Moore would move up to Vice-Chair of Budget, wouldn't he? That would be fantastic.


by crimps321 on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 12:10:43 AM EST

Why the heck does your... (none / 0)

posting mechanism reject because the default 'Subject is too long'...

Kind of screwed up don't you think?

'Specially when the subject line is automatically filled in too long to start with.

Aggravating fer sure.


by Pericles on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 12:27:18 AM EST

The Next Republicans in Line (none / 0)

For those of you who are projecting who will replace the Republicans chairs who retiring this Congress, keep in mind 1) that unlike the Democrats the Republican caucus does not go strictly be and 2) some committees like Budget have term limits which means that their membership and potentially their leadership is rather more in flux than the other committees.

These factors will come into play as the Republicans choose who will replace Thomas, Hyde and the rest. For example, it's widely expected that Jim McCrery (R-LA) will be the next top Republican on Ways and Means, even though he's not next according to seniority.


by ScottC on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 09:38:40 AM EST

House and Senate Committee Chairs if Democrats (none / 0)

take over both houses of Congress.
US House
Agriculture- Collin Peterson-MN-7
Appropriations- David Obey-WI-7
Armed Services- Ike Skelton-MO-4
Budget- John Spratt-SC-5
        top GOP- Jim Ryun-KS-2
Education- George Miller-CA-7
Energy- John Dingell-MI-15
Financial Services- Barney Frank-MA-4
                    top GOP- Richard Baker-LA-6
Government Reform- Henry Waxman-CA-30
Homeland Security- Bennie Thompson-MS-2
Administration- Juanita Miller McDonald-CA-37
International Relations- Tom Lantos- CA-12
                         top GOP James Leach-IA-2
Judiciary- John Conyers-MI-14
Resources- Nick Rahall- WV-3
Rules- Louise Slaughter-NY-28
Science- Bart Gordon- TN-6
         TOP GOP Ralph Hall-TX-4
Small Business- Nadia Valazquez- NY-12
Ethics Commitee- Howard Berman-CA-28
Transportation- James Oberstar- MN-8
Veterans Affairs- Bob Filner- CA-51
Ways and Means- Charlie Rangel- NY-15
                TOP GOP Wally Herger- CA-2
Intelligence- Jane Harman-CA-36

US Senate-
Agriculture- Tom Harkin-IA
Appropriations- Robert Byrd-WV
Armed Services - Carl Levin-MI
Banking- Jack Reed- RI
Budget- Kent Conrad- ND
Commerce- Daniel Inouye-HI
Energy- Jeff Bingaman-NM
Environment- Barbara Boxer-CA
Finance-Max Baucus-MT
Foriegn- Joe Biden-DE
HELP- Ted Kennedy-MA
Homeland Security-Joe Lieberman-CT
Indian Affairs- Byron Dorgan-ND
Judiciary- Pat Leahy-VT
Rules-Chris Dodd-CT
Small Business- John Kerry-MA
Veterans Affairs- Daniel Akaka- HI
Ethics- Tim Johnson-SD
Intelligence- Jay Rockefeller- WV
Aging- Herb Kohl-WI


by CMBurns on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 11:53:44 AM EST


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