It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid

Living in DC and spending a disproportionate amount of time paying attention to news, I sometimes find myself getting sucked into an insider mindset.  On the Republican side, insiders use the language of morality and governance.  On the Democratic side, insiders talk only about tactics and strategy.  I imagine that this is because Democratic insiders do not conceive of Democrats as a force for governance, whereas Republican insiders think of themselves as the natural governing party.  You can read this in the strong yearning the need for 'big ideas', or the desire on the part of many Democrats during the Social Security fight to offer an alternative to the President's plan.  Remember the pundits during that fight? The Democrats run a risk of seeming obstructionist because they don't have an alternative to Bush's plan to fix Social Security?  Or something like that.

Anyway, what I'm seeing right now in Connecticut is that voters want progressive governance and an end to failed conservative policies.  You see, it turns out that people like Social Security.  They think it's good policy.  And it turns out that Americans don't like the Iraq War, and don't like failed conservative policies that are bankrupting the country, giving away the store to big oil, and distracting us with hate and cries of liberal treachery.  People support freedom of the press, they support international alliances, they support checks on executive power.  Americans support a moral government, and they support a new progressive path for the country.  They will even pay more in taxes for a real health care system.  Zut alor!

In other words, voters aren't interested in a politician's insider strategy, which is why much of the commentary on the Lieberman-Lamont race just sounds off-key.  Read these five pundits prognosticating on the Lamont-Lieberman race.  Not one of them mentions governance.  Imagine that.  Not one of them mentions the fact that Lieberman is failing at the job that he has been hired to do by the voters of Connecticut.  Not one of them mentions the fact that voters care about governance and don't like failed conservative policies.  This is also how right-wing blogs and the right-wing press approach the primary.  The right is intently interested in defending Lieberman, not because they value him.  They don't, and they would replace him with a Republican if they could.  The right is advocating for Lieberman because they are defending the status quo and Bush's failed conservative governance.  Lieberman is a defender of that status quo, and the fight over that status quo is in Connecticut, so that's where they are.

The pundits are obsessive about strategy talk, and that's just not real public discourse.  Simon Rosenberg, a Lieberman supporter and a man I respect, gets this, with obvious mixed feelings.  You should read his post on Lieberman and what Lieberman needs to do to win.  Simply put, Rosenberg says that Lieberman needs to acknowledge that Bush's policies have failed the country, and that he will work to find a better and different path.  Lieberman does not think this, of course, he thinks that the problem with the country is that both sides are too partisan.  This may or may not be true, but it's not where the voters are and it's not a particuliarly salient moral point.  Voters didn't hire Lieberman to make Washington a more pleasant place.  And in moving against him, the voters are rejecting Bush's failed conservative policies, which is why Lieberman's attacks on Lamont as a single-issue candidate are falling flat.  

Calling someone a 'single issue candidate' is strategy talk, and it doesn't make any sense.  When Lieberman says that Lamont is a single issue candidate, Lamont can powerfully respond with 'I am against failed conservative policies and believe in holding President Bush accountable for his failures.  If that makes me a single issue candidate, then there are a lot of single issue voters in Connecticut.'  That's where the voters are right now.

Democrats running in November should well remember that it is the underlying governance failure that they should speak to, and they should be derisive and mocking towards those who want to focus on tactics at the expense of a real conversation with the voters.  It's also not a matter of incompetent government, it's a matter of failed conservative policies.  Saying that you will fix the incompetence simply means that you will stay on the same path, but drive a little better and a little faster.  That's NOT what voters are looking for.  Conservative President George Bush is a failure.  The conservative Republican Congress is a failure.  Supporters of this failed path, like Senator Lieberman, are going to be rejected by voters.

It's very simple.  It's not about political tactics; that is simply political argumentation dressed up in strategy talk for and by insiders.  It's about voters rejecting the failed conservative policies of President Bush, Senator Lieberman, and the Republican Congress.  These are weak vicious men who can't admit error or acknowledge truth and this is reflected in their governance.  The voters should and will punish them at the polls, if they have the opportunity.



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Re: It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid (none / 0)

While I believe you make some excellent points, one cannot ignore tactics and strategy as they ultimately impact the numbers...and we all know elections are decided by the numbers.

The argument you make that many are "obsessively" focused on "strategy talk" has an offset within the blogosphere...a focus on sentiment. I certainly can't predict which will have more impact on the actual numbers but they both warrant attention.

Read more analysis here:

www.thoughttheater.com


by Daniel DiRito on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 02:51:03 PM EST

Re: It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid (none / 0)

I'm not saying ignore strategy.


by Matt Stoller on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 02:55:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid (none / 0)

Good point.  I think too many people forget to make the argument that conservative policies are failures.  Bush and the Republicans are not necessarily incompetent because they are getting what they have always wanted (though it is fairly obvious that figures such as Rumsfeld and Rice are incompetent because of how their pet projects have become fubar).  Allowing Republicans to hide behind the incompetence tag will allow conservative ideas to extend their shelf-life and await reimplementation by new Republican candidates who may run on the competence issue.  


by LionelEHutz on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 03:16:47 PM EST

So where's the detail of that 'prog governance'? (none / 0)

Wow!

what I'm seeing right now in Connecticut is that voters want progressive governance

That's a great start.

Now - what do CT voters understand by progressive governance, I wonder?

You mention a laundry list of items - I don't know whether these have been polled in CT or just nationally - which expose conspicuous holes in the Dem 06 policy presentation.

Social security: Dems propose stasis.

Iraq: Dems propose - what, exactly? Real Security said nothing; are they still letting a hundred flowers bloom?

[F]ailed conservative policies that are bankrupting the country: how, exactly, do the Dems propose curbing the runaway deficit? Have they costed proposals? Who (fatcats excepted) is going to have to pay the bill?

[G]iving away the store to big oil: like the Pombo deep sea oil drilling bill that passed the House only because of Dem votes, you mean?

And - skipping to the end - They will even pay more in taxes for a real health care system: and what do the Dems promise them in New Direction?

Fix the prescription drug program by putting people ahead of drug companies and HMOs, eliminating wasteful subsidies, negotiating lower drug prices and ensuring the program works for all seniors; invest in stem cell and  other medical research.

How far would that take us to a real health care system?

If the voters are really craving for progressive governance, why isn't the Dem leadership capitalizing on the fact, rather than producing penny ante proposals like those in New Direction?

Are they terrified by twelve years in the minority that they'll up their big chance? Or are they quite happy to keep things ticking along as they have been, only with Dems rather than GOP in the committee chairmen's offices and getting the juicier end of the contributions bone?

Apart from the odd histrionic display by Uncle Harry, which soon fizzle, I've seen little evidence so far that the current outfit are keen on playing hardball, except against their own supporters and candidates.


by skeptic06 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 03:33:26 PM EST

Re: So where's the detail of that 'prog governance (none / 0)

Asking questions about the national party at this stage of the move toward progressive governance is putting the cart way, way before the horse, imho. Looking to a document from the national Dem party for answers about CT seems a bit, um, misguided. Let's narrow things down to CT and see how it looks from a CT voter's view...

On Social Security - is stasis a problem? I posit it is not. All Dem's have this right.

On Iraq - Lamont has endorsed Murtha's plan, I believe. I note this plan has the advantage of not being the failed conservative policy.

On the deficit - well, it's pretty clear that anything that pushes the budget closer to balanced is better than the failed conservative policy. So even if all the Dem's do is repeal giveaways to the fat cats, they've done more than the Republicans. I note this alone is a better plan than what we've got from those currently running the government.

On giving away stuff to big oil - are you saying the Dem's are the reason big oil gets the giveaways? I trust you'll permit a guffaw in response.

On health care - stopping the giveaways to hmo's and drug companies sure seems like a good start to me.

As for voters wanting progressive governance, in CT they may very well want it. That's what we'll find out in August and hopefully in November.

So, no, the national Dem party isn't all that. And it won't be until the progressive netroots have really started changing the direction of the party. It's going to take some time. Make some popcorn - it'll be fun to watch.


Karl in Drexel Hill, PA
by KB on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 04:48:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: So where's the detail of that 'prog governance (none / 0)

Asking questions about the national party at this stage of the move toward progressive governance is putting the cart way, way before the horse, imho.

Really? It's a tad under four months till election day, and it's too early to be asking the national Dems about their proposals?

Why, then, did the national Dems issue New Direction last month? Not mention Real Security a month or two before that.

Even if the Dems hadn't started publishing campaign proposals - and there notoriously there were a number of very public false starts to the process - this close to the general, a party laying claim to be the majority party in Congress is bound to be questioned in depth on what it would do if voted into that position.

As for

Looking to a document from the national Dem party for answers about CT seems a bit, um, misguided.

as I read it, it was Matt who was seeking to extrapolate from CT to the nation as a whole.

Plus - I'm not clear how the response of CT voters to Dem proposals would be significantly different from that of US voters as a whole.

However...

On social security, I'd agree that there's not much that needs doing. Leaving well alone is the right policy.

Not exactly dynamic, though.

On Iraq, primary voters have a clear choice; assuming they give the nom to Lamont, voters in the general would (unless something changes) have no real idea what a Dem-majority Congress would propose for Iraq withdrawal.

On

repeal[ing] giveaways to the fat cats

the Dem record has not been stellar (on estate tax reform and the American Jobs Creation Act (!) to name but two where substantial minorities of Dem MCs came in behind giveaways to fat cats.

Plus - these fat cats have moolah to dispense: how eager will Dems newly installed in power be to spurn the privileges of their new rank?

Plus - the budgetary bloat is now so obscene that much more than a repeal of fat cat tax cuts will be needed to get back to balance.

On oil - guffaw away - the RCV lists do not lie! Of course, the GOP are mostly responsible - they, after all, are the majority party.

But there's no denying that their job has been made a whole lot easier by the eagerness of a significant minority of Dem MCs to vote for GOP energy bills.

When it comes to healthcare, I was contrasting Matt's reference to a real health care system with the paltry proposals in New Direction.

There is, of course, the problem that any Dem proposals for the 110th have to deal with the fact that Bush's veto power drives pretty much any distinctively lefty bill off the table.

So majority Dems would have a choice: they could either send strikingly lefty bills from the House to get stymied by GOP filibusters in the Senate (or vetoed by Bush).

Or they could try for compromise measures, which would (if enacted) be hardly won, low visibility achievements which would risk leaving an impression with voters of Dem inactivity (not to mention timidity).

With the proposals on healthcare in New Direction, the Dems seem to be conceding that they would be looking to implement a compromise policy.

I think that's probably realistic.

It's likely that gridlock will prevail in the 110th. Even if the Dems gain the trifecta in 2008, I don't sense there being an appetite among Dem MCs to take the risks and endure the struggles that a program of radical reform - or even the single reform of universal health care - would bring with it.

On that basis, what is needed among lefties now is modest expectations of slow, incremental improvement over the foreseeable future.

With a prospect of upping the tempo after the 2010 Census redistricting, provided that lege and gov control in the relevant states have maximised the opportunity for gerrymanders, and thereby enabled the Dems to look forward to a run of comfortably Dem-controlled Congresses.

Are lefties that patient?

Is Matt?


by skeptic06 on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 07:02:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: So where's the detail of that 'prog governance (none / 0)

Cutting to the chase:

On that basis, what is needed among lefties now is modest expectations of slow, incremental improvement over the foreseeable future.

With a prospect of upping the tempo after the 2010 Census redistricting, provided that lege and gov control in the relevant states have maximised the opportunity for gerrymanders, and thereby enabled the Dems to look forward to a run of comfortably Dem-controlled Congresses.

Are lefties that patient?

Is Matt?

I think this is a correct analysis. I'm that patient. I won't speak for others.

Btw, the idea of gridlock in the 110th seems like major progress considering the crapola coming out of our government right now.


Karl in Drexel Hill, PA
by KB on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 08:15:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Lamont's short answer should be: (none / 0)

I'd rather be right on a single issue than wrong on a multitude of them.


by tentakles on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 03:37:05 PM EST

Re: It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid (none / 0)

Excellent post.

It was also really refreshing to hear Matt use the phrase "failed conservative policies" while discussing the CT race on NPR yesterday. There needs to be more of this.


by allpaintedcold on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 04:04:55 PM EST

It's the insider mentality. (none / 0)

Even in opposition, the insider mentality causes the Dems slip into believing the right-wing talking points instead of looking to the public or (gasp) trying to lead. Their tactical approach implicitly accepts the Republican control of the dialogue.

An example: Here in Colorado the Repubs put together a xenophobic anti-immigrant ballot issue, that was thrown off the ballot by the Courts. The Republicans demanded a special session of the legislature (Colorado only has a 5 month session) demanding that the legislature revive the ballot issue "so the people can decide".

This was a transparent wedge GOTV strategy by the Republicans. Although the Dems are in a majority, they got suckered into calling for the session, and passed anti-immigrant legislation targeting employers. The marginally beneficial trade off? No referendum on the ballot.

The Dems are afraid to stand for anything in the face of Republican dominance of the public discourse.


There's more of us than there is of them.
by MetaData on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 05:58:05 PM EST

Re: It's the Failed Conservative Policies, Stupid (none / 0)

This is getting absurd.  Joe Lieberman is not a conservative.  He votes with the AFL-CIO over 80% of the time and last year voted with Americans for Democratic Action 80% of the time.  I am stunned that clown Lamont is even pulling 20%.  


by ditka on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 08:01:33 PM EST

We're Not In Kansas Anymore (3.00 / 1)

Those scorecards have a very limited utility.  They can only measure votes on what get proposed.  The damage Lieberman does lies in collaborating with Bush and the GOP to help shape the political environment that determines what gets proposed.  This is what he does with all the national face time he gets, which he routinely spends undermining the Democratic Party and its base.

This has been a long-standing problem with Lieberman (remember his holier-than-thou Clinton-bashing?), but it's gotten exponentially worse since 9/11, and Glenn Greenwald has an excellent post up on his blog today, " The paramountcy of neoconservatism and Joe Lieberman" that hits the nail right on the head:

American political conflicts are usually described in terms of "liberal versus conservative," but that is really no longer the division which drives our most important political debates. The predominant political conflicts over the last five years have been driven by a different dichotomy -- those who believe in neoconservatism versus those who do not. Neoconservatism is responsible for virtually every significant political controversy during the Bush administration -- from our invasion of Iraq to the array constitutional abuses perpetrated in the name of fighting terrorism -- and that ideological dispute is even what is driving the war over Joe Lieberman's Senate seat. It is not traditional conservatism or liberalism, but rather one's views on neoconservativsm, which have become the single most important factor in where one falls on the political spectrum.
Glenn is not saying that the other issues don't matter.  He is simply saying that they are not the defining fault lines.  And by this measure, Lieberman is diametrically opposed to the Democratic base, as well as a majority of independents, and even--by a whisker--a majority of Republicans as well.


by Paul Rosenberg on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 10:19:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

To A Hammer, All The World's A Nail (3.00 / 1)

It's hardly surprising that all those commentators at CQPolitics ignored governance.  They were asked to comment on a political race, and for a very, very long time now, governance has taken a back seat to campaign strategy and tactics--not on the campaign trail, but inside the Beltway 24/7, 365 days a year.

James Fallows highlighted the press side of this in his 1996 book, Breaking the News.  The simple fact is, governing is hard, it's got lots of details that are relatively boring (especially compared to [A] sex, [B] blowing things up, and [C] accusing people of treason.)

So, as I see it, they were simply responding to a larger system of discourse, playing their part, and meeting the expectations that were clearly set out for them.

But, the deeper question is, do they have any clue about governance at all?  Not that they would expect to be asked about it, but does it have any impact on their thought processes?  Or is it just something that they saw on The West Wing from time to time before it went off the air?  And this is where I think the real failure lies.

Two of the five start off by parroting Lieberman's ludicrous "single-issue candidate" spin, and Susan A. MacManus makes an impressive pitch for a prime-time slot at Faux News:

Sen. Lieberman has launched a very effective preemptive strike against the single-issue (war in Iraq), far-left voters of his party.
Obviously, she can't even read polls, so Faux credentials are bound to be in order.  Rebovich is a little more reigned in.  He paces himself, and manages to get almost every conceivable pro-Lieberman talking point into his "analysis."

Now, the point here is not just that I think they're wrong.  Rather, it's that they don't even see it as part of their jobs to try to distance themselves from the candidates talking points.  As for example: "Lieberman portray's Lamont as a single-issue candidate, pointing to a wide range of issues where he claims he solidly represents his Democratic constituents. Lamont says blah, blah, blah.  I think Lieberman's right because yadda, yadda, yadda."

Now, of course, one need not have any awareness or concern about governance to take such an approach.  But the converse is not true.  Anyone who does take governance seriously--even if they don't get asked to talk about it much--simply cannot comment on a race by simply regurgitating one side's talking points.  It's the kind of behavior that's simply too far removed from serious substantive thought of the sort that governance questions require.

And that's what I find so telling in these commentaries.  That, and the fact that they are entirely typical of everything you hear coming out of Versailles.


by Paul Rosenberg on Tue Jul 11, 2006 at 08:23:19 PM EST

Re: To A Hammer, All The World's A Nail (none / 0)

Excellent comment.

Another book that deals with the governance vs. strategy frames -- also from the perspective of the press' failings -- is Thomas Patterson's Out of Order.


by Cold Cardinal on Wed Jul 12, 2006 at 12:18:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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