Early Election Returns Thread
by Chris Bowers, Tue Jun 06, 2006 at 09:24:48 PM EST
Polls close in Montana in about thirty-five minutes, and in California one hour later. If anyone has good websites to follow the returns, please post them in the comments. I will be reading
Swing State Project and
Hotline on Call. Both alrady have good info on the non-Montana and California elections. As per usual, when it comes to my comments, the newest ones will be up top.
MT-Sen
- Tester will need resources for the general election against Burns, who has millions in the bank. Visit the combined netroots page.
- I now project Tester as the winner in Montana. With 19,000 votes counted, Tester is crushing Morrison 64.8%--32.9%. There were only 55,000 votes cast in the 2002 primary. Morrison barely won his Yellowstone stronghold. I'm calling this one. This is a truly remarkable victory for Montana, and for the netroots. Wow--a huge win.
- By the way, I'm now using the Billings Gazette and the Tester blog instead. Much better than the other site.
- Tester 5,615--2,806. Its 2-1 for Tester now.
- Tester 4,706--2,459 Morrison. These are all absentee, and I don't want to get over-confident, but how could Morrison really come back from an absentee deficit like this?
- Tester 3,726--2,021 Morrison. Wow--great results for Tester so far. This might be over before CA-50 gets going.
- Tester 1,878--Morrison 1,453. Good start for Tester, but it is early. Just so you know, I added the results on this page to the absentee totals from Yellowsotne County, a Morrison stronghold.
- Polls have closed in Montana. Follow results at this website. Join the local crowd over at Left in the West.
CA-50
- BigDog's absentee ballot thesis holds. Bilbray's total in absentee balltos is almost identical to the total for all Republicans in absentee ballot in the primary for CA-50. Absentee voters go straight party line. However, tonight absentee votes will not be as much of an impact as they had on April 11th. Combined with Tester's win in Montana, could we be witnessing a huge, huge night for the netroots?
- Strike my earlier comment. If these are the only absentee votes, then things actually look good for Busby. She is only down by 3,000 votes, with fewer than 40,000 votes counted. I like those odds. However, I still don't know if those were all of the absentee votes.
- 11% of absentees reporting. Bilbray 50.6%--42.9% Busby. Considering how quickly these results came in, it must be only absentees so far.
- Polls have closed in California. Use this website to folloow returns (scroll about healfway down). They key will be the absentee totals, which will probably be reported in about an hour. If Busby is tied or ahead in absentees, she will win. If Busby is down by more than 4%, Bilbray will probably win. If it is between 1% and 4% lead for Bilbray, expect a close race and a long night.
- Reports of low turnout.
Others
- The Democratic nominee for Governor in Alabama will be Lucy Baxley.
- The Democratic nominee for Governor in South Dakota will be Jack Billion. That will be a big state this year, and he carries a lot of weight on his shoulders.
- In Alabama, Roy Moore is getting crushed, 67-33, in the Republican primary for Governor. Ha ha.
Don't forget about the BlogPac fundraiser. Visit the combined Netroots Page
Tags: election returns (all tags)
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