29%

Harris:
President Bush's job-approval rating has fallen to its lowest mark of his presidency, according to a new Harris Interactive poll. Of 1,003 U.S. adults surveyed in a telephone poll, 29% think Mr. Bush is doing an "excellent or pretty good" job as president, down from 35% in April and significantly lower than 43% in January.

Roughly one-quarter of U.S. adults say "things in the country are going in the right direction," while 69% say "things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track." This trend has declined every month since January, when 33% said the nation was heading in the right direction. Iraq remains a key concern for the general public, as 28% of Americans said they consider Iraq to be one of the top two most important issues the government should address, up from 23% in April. The immigration debate also prompted 16% of Americans to consider it a top issue, down from 19% last month, but still sharply higher from 4% in March.
Harris uses a different measure of apporval, but this is still a landmark. I wish the non-subscription press release said what the disapporval was.



Display:


Re: 29% (none / 0)

Sorry Chris, me and you must have had the same thought.


by liebermanlives on Thu May 11, 2006 at 10:53:52 PM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Look for something desperate...
Aircraft carriers headed for the gulf, etc.
I'm sure tomorrow will be worse for Bush.
The numbers can only go down!
by bubbleboy on Thu May 11, 2006 at 10:57:00 PM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Maybe after 5-1/2 years of passing everything in sight the "congress" (meaning its Republican masters) will fake six months of independence to try to fool the voters.

Glad to see him below 30% though.  Getting closer and closer to Nixon land.  And Democrats picked up about 50 House seats in 74.


by David Kowalski on Thu May 11, 2006 at 11:22:51 PM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

they are already doing that. that's what the nsa outrage is all about.


by bruh21 on Thu May 11, 2006 at 11:42:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (3.00 / 1)

Hopefully there will be more people who don't like the idea that 10s of millions of Americans are being spied on, Rove will be indicted and hookergate will heat up.

Can we hope for single digits? Would be nice if Bush had the lowest approval ever when we went into November elections.  


by MOBlue on Thu May 11, 2006 at 11:28:05 PM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Hopefully Bush is not tanking too soon! Would he still be sub-30% in Oct?


by ab initio on Fri May 12, 2006 at 12:03:06 AM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

when he brings back 20,000 troops before Halloween, he and the party are gonna look quite a bit better.


by Lucas O'Connor on Fri May 12, 2006 at 12:28:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

actually its already too  late for him to change his numbers or that of the party. we are going into summer- think about where kerry was summer 2004- its hard to overcome general impressions and fatigue- that's what he and the Republicans are facing.


by bruh21 on Fri May 12, 2006 at 12:39:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Kerry (none / 0)

Nah...if you look at polling you will see that Bush pulled ahead right during the RNC because of the Beslan school attack. Apparently that shifted a lot of non-college educated women into the Bush camp irrevocably.

Bush is likely to recover if only for the following four reasons: a) gas prices are likely to dip somewhat b) any immigration bill satiates the base c) not every Democrat is going to push with withdrawal this year and d) Patrick Kennedy makes the Jack Abramoff scandal bipartisan.

GWB will recover, but he's not going to breach 50% unless he gets some Zarqawi sponsored terrorist attack in Ohio, Pennsylvania, or Florida. (just kidding)


by risenmessiah on Fri May 12, 2006 at 02:17:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

neither bush nor the republicans can recover (none / 0)

i've said this before; i'll say it again.

the issue is trust and credibility. on 9/11 the public gave bush the benefit of the doubt since the administration was new and untested.

today trust and credibility are at zero. the administration is a proven failure. the public thinks bush is incompetent and an idiot and a liar. nothing they say holds water; too much has gone under the bridge.

the only remedy is real reform and real legislation that will tangibly benefit the majority. tossing sound bites and photo ops at a shrinking minority base won't reverse the slide. won't even slow it down.

but real reform and real legislation won't happen since republicans are too cynical and too corrupt to invest the energy needed to enact something so sensible.

so in short, they're toast. they have bupkis and they know it. they're gone and no one will cry when they leave.


i'm glad you asked
by truth hurts on Fri May 12, 2006 at 04:45:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: neither bush nor the republicans can recover (3.00 / 1)

also 5 months of "good news" can't reverse 6 years of voo-doo economic policy, the increase in health care, education, and energy.  Interest rates continue to climb.  Real wages are shrinking.

And, if another attack happens in America, why would people "rally behind the President".  Wouldn't another attack just prove him a complete, total failure, leaving him unable to accomplish the one last thing he can still "hold" on to.


SquareState.net - Colorado Politics
by pacified on Fri May 12, 2006 at 05:05:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: neither bush nor the republicans can recover (none / 0)

exactamundo.


i'm glad you asked
by truth hurts on Fri May 12, 2006 at 05:21:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: neither bush nor the republicans can recover (none / 0)

They're toast with six good months to do all kinds of looting before they're out.  Starting with the tax cut.


by drlimerick on Fri May 12, 2006 at 07:38:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kerry (none / 0)

a) gas prices won't dip enough to matter
b) immigration?  Bush cannot win on this issue
c) it's not about staying or withdrawal, but rather the pattern of lying and spying, torture and lawbreaking
d) nobody gives a rat's ass about Patrick Kennedy

Bush has been in a gradual decline for about 18 months now.  If there was anything he could do to stop this, he would have done it by now.  All of his instincts are towards smearing and fear-mongering, and they have worn thin.  He's done.

Another terrorist attack would not help Bush, any more than it would have helped Truman if the Japanese had bombed Pearl Harbor in 2006.  Any new bad news on the terrorism front will stick to Bush like, um, sticky stuff sticks to sticky things.


by RickD on Fri May 12, 2006 at 10:43:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This is a Base Election (none / 0)

The Republican machine is built to get out the base, the Democratic machine is built to bring in new voters.

The issues that will keep the GOP base home is a weak stand on immigration and higher gas prices. (Hard conservatives expect Bush to push for more drillin' domestically for example.) Unless we have $4 a gallon gas in November and no progress on immigration at all...the base is deserting Bush will come back. (These people do not think we progressives have anything of value to offer them.)

The Empire is about to strike back. Hold your positions, men (and women) we need soldiers not martyrs. The AT-ATs are at the ready.


by risenmessiah on Sat May 13, 2006 at 04:36:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

In my community, everyone screams about paying school taxes. On election day, the teachers, administers, bus drivers, janitors, cooks, etc. vote.
It's not logic that wins elections. It's votes.
by shooter on Fri May 12, 2006 at 12:58:03 AM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

school taxes are local.  Not to say that it doesn't matter of course, just saying that it's an interesting paradigm shift if the people we're trying to reach are people that are motivated by purely local issues.


by Lucas O'Connor on Fri May 12, 2006 at 01:23:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Full article here. Disapproval is a clean 71%. Apparently there were no undecideds.


by DavidNYC on Fri May 12, 2006 at 01:12:10 AM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Wow. Just wow. A -42 spread ... stunning.

That disapproval up from 63% last month, btw.


by BriVT on Fri May 12, 2006 at 02:16:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Like they say, only the real whackjobs don't like Bush.


by DavidNYC on Fri May 12, 2006 at 02:27:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

Copied from the full article:

"How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president -- excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All Adults
TREND          Positive*     Negative**
2006     May     29%     71%
April             35     63
March             36     64
February     40     58
January     43     56

"How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president?"

Base: All Adults
            May            April
    Total     Male     Fem.    Male     Fem.
Positive 29%     28%     29%     38%     32%
Negative 71     72     70     61     66

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor.
* * *

"How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president?"

Base: All Adults
        POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
          Total     Consv.     Mod. Libr.   
Positive     29%     46%     24%     10%
Negative     71     53     76     90

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor.


by PhiloTBG on Fri May 12, 2006 at 11:26:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 29% (none / 0)

I await a second poll to corroborate these results.  


by illinois062006 on Fri May 12, 2006 at 02:05:19 AM EST

Corroborate (none / 0)

May 10, NY Times/CBS showed a 31% approval rate.  This is certainly within the margin of error.  On that one, Bush's lowest approval area was gas prices at 13%.  His highest was terrorism at 46%.  Iraq, the economy and everythin else was in the 20s.


by David Kowalski on Fri May 12, 2006 at 08:26:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Corroborate (none / 0)

I did not doubt the Harris Poll's results; I simply wanted corroboration, for 29% approval is a signal that we are finally chipping away at the core of Bush's support.  Thank you for this information.


by illinois062006 on Fri May 12, 2006 at 12:21:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Good Lord this is shocking (none / 0)

TWENTY NINE PERCENT of America still thinks Bush is doing a good job.

This is just utterly shocking. Bush was revealed to have been playing around with the CIA this week and his "Michael Brown" appointment of Porter Goss just tumbled away - and America still suffers so much from a vaccuum of leadership that nearly 1 out of every 4 people you meet will say Bush is doing great.

Good heavens, this is just awful.
I think the only safe place right now, is 20% or below. With a one in five, then at least you can mark that up to people who are..

activists and not really interested in objective debate.


by turnerbroadcasting on Fri May 12, 2006 at 04:30:20 AM EST

hehe (none / 0)

I didn't think this would happen until next week.  Great thing to head into the weekend with.


Max Friedman
by Max Friedman on Fri May 12, 2006 at 05:41:57 AM EST

Lady Fortunna and her spinning wheel (none / 0)

Since Bush holds the record for the highest poll numbers for an occupant of the oval office, it would be a good time to remember the ancient Etruscan goddess Lady Vortunna corrupted by the Romans into Lady Fortunna  (from which we get the word fortune) and her spinning wheel.

The ancients believed in a theory that everyone starts clustered about the hub of the spinning wheel. Kings and great warriors climbed the spokes to the very top of the wheel and others reached spots in between the hub and the top. Then Lady Fortunna spins the wheel. Those at the highest spot rotate and fall to the lowest spot. Those closest to the hub  (the peasants) don't change much at all and are only a little disoriented.  Thus the ancient cliche: the higher you climb, the farther you fall.

This imagery can be found in Boethius, Dante,  Chaucer, and of course, Shakespeare.  Get ready to pop the champagne, Bush is going to break another record.


"Once in a while you get shown the light In the strangest of places if you look at it right"
by molly bloom on Fri May 12, 2006 at 08:12:53 AM EST

Re: 29% (none / 0)

I believe W is laying the groundwork for the big comeback at the phone company.  We've become so used to everything he does being shady we're over reacting to the phone records scandal.

I hate to dispute the professor of constitutional law at Georgetown but.  It is not a crime to have phone records in ones possession no more than it's unlawful to own a gun.  The unlawful part comes with use and not possession.  Phone records are handled by many other than the ones who's records they are.  The post office has them all at one time or the other for example.  Businesses routinely scan their records looking for employees who use the company phone for private purposes and to identify individual employees flaking off talking on the phone to friends instead of working.  There is nothing unlawful with what either the post office or employers do with phone records.

The 1934 law concerning phone records is either unconstitutional or it isn't.  Only the supreme court can decide that in the extreme.  It is in conflict with the patriot act that is also either unconstitutional or not.  Again, only the supreme court in the final analysis has the authority to rule on that.  Does the patriot act allow the phone companies to hand over phone records to an agency of the federal government?  Does it allow the government to demand them?  Unconstitutional laws may be enforced with impunity until ruled so by the court(s).

So lookout!  The hoopla about phone records may be a trap.  The average American can understand that no one can look at hundreds of millions of phone calls.  It's a computer and not a person.  Then there is the first level filter, calls made outside the country with all others being discarded.  The average American can understand that and see that he/she is not being subjected to any violation of phone privacy.  Only calls made to or received from outside the country.  Then there is the second level filter, only calls made to/from known terrorist harboring countries.  By this time there is probable cause and those phone records can be certified usable by the judge.  We're attacking the process of determining probable cause.  It's not a crime to have phone records in ones possession.  It's how they are used.  So be careful.  We can expect they are being careful and they have the big security ghost on their side right now.

We don't want to get hit with "following the law all along" with neck stuck out.  John Q is kind of dumb but can turn on a dime.  Keep him pointed in the right direction by only attacking the lying, cheating and stealing that is in abundant supply.  Phone records analysis may well be a trap.


Bill1935
by Bill1935 on Fri May 12, 2006 at 09:50:52 AM EST

Well Known Liberal Bias (none / 0)

I almost died laughing when I saw this in the trackbacks to the WSJ article on the poll, from GooperBloggers:

Bush Has Better Approval Ratings Than Congress...

...According to the latest Harris poll. Still the media prefers to talk about Bush's low approval ratings... but then again, they wouldn't be the MSM otherwise.
Posted by Matt Margolis at 08:26 AM

Gooperbloggers dumb or dumbest people on the earth?


Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Fri May 12, 2006 at 10:44:46 AM EST

Re: 29% (3.00 / 1)

And as everyone knows, reality has a well known liberal bias.  


by yitbos96bb on Fri May 12, 2006 at 11:17:12 AM EST

The glass is not half empty (none / 0)

The glass isn't three quarters empty now, its just one fourth full.

But then thats just backwash.

(kudos to you know who at the press corps dinner)


by turnerbroadcasting on Fri May 12, 2006 at 11:19:33 AM EST

Can we offer impeachment? (none / 0)

Perhaps we can promise Bush he won't face a firing squad.

It seems like a fair deal.  He keeps his rat bastard life, we get about the business of righting America two years early.


by jcjcjc on Fri May 12, 2006 at 02:56:30 PM EST


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