So says Pollster Doug Schoen according to the awesome blog The Daily Politics (Ben Smith's post-Politicker blog).
Schoen's basic take: Hillary's money makes her nearly invulnerable in the Democratic Primary -- despite her "obvious liabilities," and she has the "luxury of being able to position herself toward the center." McCain's current conservative positioning will make him vulnerable in the general."She undeniably is a 50-50 chance, at least," to be elected president, he said. "Senator Clinton...has the luxury of being able to position herself toward the center as time goes forward...[leaving the] opening and opportunity on the left wing of the [Democratic] party."
But while he said that his and Clinton's moderate wing of the party is"losing the struggle" in the long run, he didn't seem to think Clinton should be too worried about a primary challenge.
"You need $50 million to run in the Democratic primary," he said. "That's going to be tough for anyone other than Senator Cllinton to do."
The admission that progressives are winning influence within the party is something I've noticed since my four years in politics. The party has been moving away from the DLC model of triangulation, and towards the politics of contrast. This is natural for an opposition party, but it also means that not listening to the progressive base could cause an increasing number of problems for centrists Democrats.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 73 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.