TX-28 lessons for Joe Lieberman primary

While there have been a number of postmortems of yesterday's election in TX-28, I want to offer one more look at what happened because I think understanding past netroots efforts and how we judge success will help us refine our game for the big one: whoopin' Joe Lieberman.

One of the problems with the effort in Texas is that the dynamic advanced so that people were only judging success based upon the election results. If Ciro Rodriguez won, or forced Cuellar into a runoff, then we won. That didn't happen, so we lost.

Only judging success by what happens on Election Day is a major problem for the Democratic Party as a whole. Too often, our side will compromise best practices and/or principles in a short-sighted effort to try and win the next election. We are told that we need to compromise this one time because the upcoming election is too important, probably the most important election every. Last cycle it was beating Bush, this cycle it is getting subpoena ability, next cycle it is returning a Democrat to the White House, the cycle after will be about re-districting. In fact, each election is the most important ever.

This dynamic is playing out in DC as we speak. Senator Reid and Representative Pelosi think this is the most important election ever, and they are trying to force Howard Dean to quit investing and start spending in a way that appreciates their belief that Election Day is everything. Meanwhile, Dean realizes that even if this strategy were to work, we would still be losing over the long haul. With his 50 State Strategy, Dean is shifting the evaluation metrics from battlegrounds on Election Day to everywhere on every day.

Last summer in Ohio, the effort for Paul Hackett was a success before the polls opened. Hell, I remember Tim touting the success two weeks before Election Day and the the expectations game was positioned in a way that realized our goal was to do better and learn new tactics which is why everyone viewed it as a victory. Similarly, if building solidarity was viewed as important was winning, the TX-28 was a success as it was the first time all three branches of the netroots were focused on the same goal. The problem is that goal was to win, which didn't happen.

Kos says:

So we didn't kill off Cuellar, but we gave him an ass whooping where none was expected and made him sweat.

I think the first and last parts of that are correct, but I think the middle part is open for discussion. How much of an ass whooping did Cuellar really get? Sure he was linked to Bush, but Cuellar loves Bush so did that really hurt him? In fact, I wouldn't be surprised in Cuellar views yesterday's vote as a vindication, considering he did better across the board. Look what his campaign is saying today:

"It's a clear and convincing Cuellar win," Cuellar spokesman Colin Strother said Wednesday morning.

Now back to Joe Lieberman. How should the netroots define success, based only on the election results or based on what happens each and every day until August 8th? I suggest the latter.

The goal in Connecticut shouldn't be to beat Lieberman but to demonstrate that there are severe consequences for acting like Joe Lieberman. The chances of winning the election aren't good, but the potential to punish Lieberman is very real. By judging success every day, Lieberman's best case scenario is to pull a Pyhrric victory where morning after quotes like Strother's would look very out of place.

Many of the postmortems have also looked at timing and entering early from a fundraising perspective. But the intrinsic value of the blogs isn't funding, but communication. Focusing on whacking Lieberman every single day plays to the strength of the netroots, and judging by Dan Gerstein's reaction to Howie Klein, is what worries Lieberman the most.

Yes, we need to help provide Ned Lamont the money to present a positive message to Connecticut voters. Hopefully, DFA and Moveon will stand in solidarity for a united netroots trifecta. But the primary focus should be a constant effort to communicate why Lieberman is such a putz.

This effort could be considered a success before the first ballot is cast. Regardless of whether the voters punish Lieberman, he should be punished. If the goal of the netroots is to provide this punishment, then can will be victorious.


Poll
What should be the primary focus for Connecticut?
Beating Joe Lieberman on Election Day
Punishing Joe Lieberman every day until Election Day

Votes: 40
Results : Vote Link : Polls

Display:


Re: TX-28 lessons for Joe Lieberman primary (3.00 / 2)

This notion that giving a bad guy a "run for his money," and thereby teaching him a lesson and forcing him to change is ways, is actually contrary to human nature. If I'm an elected official and I was just given an extremely high profile challenge (especially in a primary) and everyone was predicting my demise, and election day rolls around and I do BETTER than I did last time, I'm thinking, HEY, I don't need to pay any attention at all to these idiots. I'm going to screw them worse from now on. This is the danger in CT-Sen. We're going to push Lieberman even farther away, unless we can beat him. If you get into one of these "punish him/her for being out of step" you better win. There is no silver medal.


by ColoDem on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 04:56:32 PM EST

Re: TX-28 lessons for Joe Lieberman primary (3.00 / 1)

"...I'm thinking, HEY, I don't need to pay any attention at all to these idiots. I'm going to screw them worse from now on. This is the danger..."

This is the mindset that has allowed the Democratic Party to be neutralized. Many liberals go through life displaying your attitude, which is that to defend oneself from being abused merely invites additional abuse. The corollary, of course, is that to refuse to defend oneself ensures being subjugated. Lieberman already is implacably hostile to liberal interests, so challenging his perfidy is worth the risk of further alienating him. If Democrats allow Lieberman and others to betray the party with impunity, there is no chance for success.


by georgewturd on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 05:44:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Diyanu (none / 0)

If the challenge keeps Joementum from kissing dubya's ass between now and primary election day, it will have been enough.


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 05:10:35 PM EST

Monday (none / 0)

On Monday, March 13th at 4 PM, I will officially announce my candidacy for U.S. Senate. I am asking as you and your friends to show up early at 3:30 for the announcement. It will take place at the Old State House in Hartford. Please visit our website for details about the event.

http://www.nedlamont.com/events.html

Ever since I started talking publicly about challenging Senator Lieberman in the Democratic primary, I have been getting incredible support from across the state and across the country. Thousands have signed up at our website, including more than 1,000 people in Connecticut from just about every village, town, and city. Many of you have offered words of encouragement and stories of your experiences and frustrations with the Bush agenda.

If you haven't signed up yet, please do, and ask your friends and neighbors. We will need the help from every volunteer we can get.

http://www.nedlamont.com/volunteer.html

In too many ways our country is going off course, and Senator Lieberman is doing nothing to stop it. I am calling on all of you to come together to help set a new course. I hope to see you at the announcement in Hartford.

Sincerely,

Ned Lamont
Candidate for U. S. Senate

P.S. I will also be talking a little bit about my campaign with Sam Seder on Air America, Friday at 5:30 PM EST. I hope you can listen in.


by blogswarm on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 06:46:08 PM EST

Re: TX-28 lessons for Joe Lieberman primary (3.00 / 1)

The operative saying, from Machiavelli:

If you wish to kill the king, you had better be successful.

Similarily with punishing those who are sufficiently strong as Dems.  If we wish to kill Lieberman, can we be successful?

What is Lamont polling?  If he is within striking distance, I doubt that he will win.  Only if he is currently ahead of Lieberman can we expect much to come out, and Lieberman might be driven further from our issues.


by dataguy on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 08:44:31 PM EST

Re: TX-28 lessons for Joe Lieberman primary (1.33 / 3)

Again, the dreamers on this website actually think they can beat Lieberman. You guys did real well in Texas, didn't you. Well, the same fate, and an even worse beating awaits you if you proceed with this folly. You keep saying that Lieberman bad mouths the party, yet you proceed to slander him anytime you want. Can you say the word hypocrites??? Because that's exactly what you are. When November comes around, and Lieberman is reelected, I will be back, and loudly announce that Lieberman will be the Senator from Ct for another 6 wonderful, long years. Remember that!!!


by liebermanlives on Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 09:17:35 PM EST


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