Patrick certainly did well in my caucus in Amherst (perhaps the most liberal town in the state). About 70 people showed up and only one expressed any preference for Reilly. We elected 20 delegates to the June state convention, essentially a slate pre-arranged by the Patrick campaign but including many members of the town Democratic committee. Several delegates-to-be spoke in favor of John Bonifaz, a voting rights activist and author who is challenging incumbent Democrat Bill Galvin for Secretary of State.
It was quite a contrast with the caucuses four years ago when about 300 people showed up to support Robert Reich, who was just putting his campaign together and needed a big effort to get 15% of the delegates. (Candidates for the general are chosen in a September primary -- the only legal effect of the June convention is that you need at least 15% there to get on the September ballot.)
The only other statewide candidate with an organized presence was Tim Murray, the mayor of Worcester who is running for Lt. Governor. After the weirdness involving Marie St. Fleur last week, none of the (four?) Lt. Gov. candidates have ties to either Reilly or Patrick (though Murray was annoyed in public that Reilly sought another candidate after an earlier expression of his intent to remain neutral).
It's already clear what the spin will be -- Patrick will trumpet his statewide organization, and Reilly will claim that these are activists rather than representative voters. There is no chance of either falling below 15% , particularly as Reilly will be strong among the "superdelegates".
Anybody else have a report from another town in MA?
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