Congress' Approval Rating Below Where It Was This Time in 1994

This afternoon, CBS News released a recently conducted survey showing fewer Americans approving of George W. Bush than ever before, with only 34 percent voicing approval and 59 percent voicing disapproval. Bush's approval rating has dropped eight points in the last month, largely corroborating the Cook Political Report's similar findings.

One of the more interesting findings comes in the last graf of the poll's analysis [a pdf]. After reporting Congress' approval rating to be 28 percent, with 61 percent disapproving, the analysts at CBS News write,

In both February 2002 (a few months after 9/11) and 1998 (at the start of President Clinton's Lewinsky scandal), 50% of Americans approved of how Congress was handling its job. Today's job approval numbers are closer to those seen at the beginning of 1994, when in January 30% of Americans approved and 58% disapproved of how Congress was handling its job. That year, the Democrats lost their majority in the House of Representatives. [emphasis added]

Congressional Republicans are in an extremely difficult situation these days. If Republicans in the House and the Senate continue to toe the party line and unquestioningly and unwaveringly back the President, they run the risk of a clear rebuke at the polls in November, as voters have only their Representative to hold accountable for their unhappiness with the direction the government in Washington, DC has taken. But the more that individual Republicans come out against the administration -- such as Peter King, who delivered angry rhetoric against the President as a result of the port sale debacle -- the more that the GOP as a whole is hurt, thus adversely affecting the electoral chances of every individual member of the party. Truly, things haven't been this bad for a party in government since 1994, and we all know how the Congressional elections turned out that year...



Display:


Question Of The Day! (none / 0)

As I asked elsewhere:

GOP:

(A) Party of Limbo? (How low can you go?)

Or

(B) Party of Hell?  (Just watch!)


by Paul Rosenberg on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 08:37:19 PM EST

Chris Bowers Message (none / 0)

Make sure people know the Republicans are in the majority.


by gina on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 08:50:09 PM EST

Re: Congress' Approval Rating (none / 0)

Remember, Dems, you have to also make sure folks know what you stand for, and you need to fire up the base, not all of whom are willing to bother voting for one of the corporate dems perceived (many times accurately) to not stand for anything but willing to say or do what they are expected in order to get elected.

Remember, Newt had his contract, it was an intriguing proposition for the so-called "moderate" voter, and above all, it fired up the GOP base.

Any bets on whether the Dems are capable of same?

If you play "not GOP" to get elected, you lose.


by redstar66 on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 08:58:18 PM EST

Re: Congress' Approval Rating Below Where It Was T (none / 0)

Turn-out can still hurt the Dems.  I heard that the Repubs have a vote on gays adopting children slated for 16 states--that will turn out the Repub-no-matter-what vote.  

At least, the media storyline that Bush was going to turn it around in 2006 after his bad year of 2005 is being discredited.  It is nice when actual facts castrate their fantasies.


by Raenelle on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 09:05:52 PM EST

This is the issue! (none / 0)

The Dem senators are taking just the right position on this for a change. NO FOREIGN CONTROL OF US PORTS!  Outsourcing our ports is not only a betrayal of our safety and security, it is a betrayal of the American worker that we can't manage our own ports. The American people are with us on this.


by cmpnwtr on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 09:41:08 PM EST

pffffffff (none / 0)

I'll believe it when I see on election night the headline: "Americans Reject GOP by Removing 73 Congressmen From Office".

Frankly, I find thise highly optimistic predictions about how the GOP will lose in landslide margins in 2006 to be rather ridiculous at this point. Not only do we have 9 months to go before the elections, we seem to forget about other factors such as Diebold, gerrymandering (HUGE), hate amendments which bring out the radical lunatic fringe, low turnout on the left, and the complete indiference of Americans toward politics. I think we will win seats, I'm not convinced we will get a majority at this point. I had been wayyyy optimistic in 2002 and 2004--years that the CW was that they would be Dem years, I mean come on...how could that bumbling idiot actually win re-election? We were all convinced Kerry would win and that we would win Senate seats in OK, AK, FL, and NC...oh but guess what...we lost them all. So I don't care if the poll says 99% of Americans disaprove of W or that only 3% aprove of Congress, until I see results from Democrats, I will not cease to be pessimistic about their chances in every sinlge election.


by MiCHAEL104 on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 09:44:30 PM EST

Re: pffffffff (none / 0)

the point is that conditions are ripe, not that the election has been decided.


by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Feb 28, 2006 at 12:17:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

1994=2006? Don't believe it! (none / 0)

I've written about this before here, I think but - Cliff Notes: it's a terrible analogy.

2006 Dems have suffered nowhere as much as 1994 GOP; haven't had an effective guerilla war going in Congress; don't have insurgent Congressional leadership like Gingrich; have too much to lose (they think!) to risk radical measures; have a majority mindset. Etc, etc.

I'm thinking less 1994, more 1946: a majority party collapse, a time for a change campaign, two fairly fruitless years of divided government, and dumped back on the street after one Congress.

(And, who knows?, a Conservative Coalition II, with Landrieu and the Nelson Brothers and their House counterparts going off the reservation in the cause of bipartisanship.

I certainly can't think of any bill the Dems might put forward in a Dem-controlled 110th a veto of which they could get overridden (as the GOP did for Taft-Hartley in 1947).)

A thought: 1994 Gingrich against 2006 Pelosi. I'd dump the analogy, frankly...


by skeptic06 on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 11:21:43 PM EST

Re: 1994=2006? Don't believe it! (none / 0)

I disagree a bit about your analysis.  The big difference between now and in 1994, is the amount of seats that are "in play" because of the gerrymanders.  We can get the same tidal wave as far as numbers that the GOP got in 1994, but then not experience nearly the gain in seats.  

In a way, we are almost STRUCTURALLY unable to get a majority in the House.  And our stupid fucking local and national Democratic "leaders" like Gephardt and the local Dem state legislators in the various states allowed this to happen in the last dozen years.  They were asleep at the switch when the GOP were snookering us at every turn, especially locally where are this shit begins.  Now, we're kind of fucked.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Tue Feb 28, 2006 at 12:17:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This is good news... (none / 0)

...now we need the second half of the equation: voters need to see Dems as the solution to the problem.

I'm not saying that they're NOT the solution.  I'm saying that, in 1994, voters heard the GOP promising that things would be better under them, and laying out concrete steps they'd take to do that.

So, we need to make sure voters get the message that voting for Democrats is a solid, concrete step towards improving things in their lives.  Otherwise, the GOP will do what it did in 2004: sell voters on the idea that the devil they know is better than the one they don't.


by jonweasel on Mon Feb 27, 2006 at 11:22:36 PM EST

Re: Congress' Approval Rating Below (none / 0)

Tomorrow is my birthday, and I already got a present I've been waiting for since...forEVAH.

And that is Bush's numbers.  Finally down to 34 percent.  I say, about time.

No, I'm not going to tell you how old I am.  But I will share with you that every single one of my childhood tormentors/abusers are now either DEAD or in insititutions for the criminally insane, or prison.

He who laughs last, laughs best.

The days of the Republican fascist swine are numbered.  I can feel the earth moving beneath my feet.

John Palcewski
http://www.palcewski.com/JP


by Palcewski on Tue Feb 28, 2006 at 02:14:16 AM EST

And when they quit toeing the party line . . . (none / 0)

We get to start the media meme that the Republicans are in "disarray"!!

Yeah!  Just like the job done on the Dems from 1994 to 2004.


by jcjcjc on Tue Feb 28, 2006 at 08:12:32 AM EST


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