On Impeachment
by Chris Bowers, Thu Dec 07, 2006 at 01:08:12 PM EST
I'm not really sure why I am writing this piece, because I haven't seen much talk about it on MyDD. Also, I can't imagine people on either side of this issue changing their minds even a little bit based upon what I write. However, I would like to say a few things about why impeachment is not going to happen, and why I don't think the new Democratic majorities in congress should pursue impeachment:
- The congressional leadership, both Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi, have said they will not push for impeachment.
- No member of Congress has taken up the cause, at least that I know of.
- This isn't an ethics lesson. It isn't a debate over whether or not impeaching and convicting Bush would be the right thing to do or not. Simply put, the votes to pull off either, especially the conviction, are not there. We aren't even close.
- Now that we have the majority, I do not see the value in pursuing legislation that will divide us, while unite the Republican opposition. I would like to wedge them, rather than wedge ourselves.
- Even if we had the votes for conviction, that means we would almost certainly have a veto proof congressional majority on the following policy areas: universal health care, revoking authorization to conduct the war, public financing of campaigns, renegotiating all of our trade agreements for better standards, passing complete energy independence legislation, and on and on and on. Now you tell me, if we had the ability to do all of these things, where would impeachment rank on the list of legislation that would actually help Americans? This is more or less exactly the response progressive caucus member Chaka Fattah gave to my ward when he spoke to us in October. Even if we had the votes to pursue this path, it would be better and far more important to pursue legislation that would actually help people.
- The vaunted public support for impeachment based on a single Zogby poll is illusory. Looking at the complete history of impeachment polling, you get the following results. CNN: Favor 30%--69% Oppose; Fox: Favor 30%--62% Oppose. LA Times Favor 36%--56% Oppose, ABC-WaPo: Favor 33%--66% Oppose; Newsweek: Favor 26%--Oppose 69%. Overall, only 26% to 36% of the country supports this idea. A supermajority opposes.
- Congress should not start investigations already knowing how it wants the investigations to end. That is what Republicans did back when they retook Congress in 1994. Overall, I completely agree with Representative Brad Miller on this one. We will conduct oversight, but we will do it because that is the role of Congress, and we will do so in a fair manner, unlike certain past majorities I can remember. We won't be like them.
- The last time the national image of the two parties was this heavily in favor of Democrats was at the exact moment that the Republican House voted to impeach Bill Clinton in 1998. I am not in the mood to blow all of our political capital, make us as unpopular as Republicans are right now, simply in order to pursue a course of legislation that won't help anyone, and has no chance of passing.
- It would suck all of the air about he Presidential race, especially on the Democratic side. Hello President McCain. If you are really lucky, you will get President Cheney and then President McCain. Great.
Do I think that Bush has committed impeachable offensives? Probably. However, I would rather pursue a course of legislative action that would keep our caucus close to united, help large numbers of actual Americans, have a legitimate chance of passing both branches of Congress, conduct actual investigations and oversight and, if those investigations prove worthy, close by censuring Bush. I think is the appropriate and responsible way to act, a way that will help people, tarnish Bush, keep us popular, and keep our majorities. That is why you won't see me pushing for Bush's impeachment on this blog, or anywhere else, over the next two years.
Tags: Bush, impeachment, House 2008, Senate 2008, Democrats (all tags)
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