I gotta believe Congressman Jefferson thinks the curtain is coming down next Saturday. You couldn't put poll numbers infront of me that spoke louder than his actions over the past week. First, he took the near unprecedented step of calling for more debates with a challenger. Now the congressman's down-the-stretch television ads seek refuge in political position of last resort: gay marriage. Check out the hardcore fundie imagery Jefferson uses in his newest ad.
Don't be fooled by the fact Congressman Jefferson had a 100% rating from the HRC and choice groups in the past -- this is two straight closing ads by his campaign focusing on social issues in an race that will ultimately be determined by one issue: Katrina.
Like most close elections, who can get their voters to the polls will be the deciding factor. I don't even think Jefferson's focus on these issues is primarily designed to directly convince voters to cast their ballots agaisnt Karen Carter. Gay obsession will change minds in areas where your neighbor's home is still boarded up while the "X" remains on the front door.
These ads are about mobilizing the black churches in the district, primarily in the West Bank (Jefferson Parish) where religious institutions drive votes. I suppose he can also hope to pick off votes among Republicans Uptown, a group among which Carter is expected roll.
But in New Orleans, the ad makes little sense to me. It's an issue of priorities and gay marriage isn't likely to be near the top of the list among anyone here. I have seen little evidence of sophisticated field programs within either of the campaign structures. GOTV in the city is going to happen through well-established local political organizations like Carter's group, BOLD, and Jefferson's "Progressive Democrats."
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