Kentucky and Indiana

by Chris Bowers, Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:42:17 PM EST

I'm watching returns from Kentucky and Indiana over at the CNN web page. Anyone got a better site?

Also, an exit poll of some kind shows Democrat Yarmuth winning KY-03 by 51-47, with 2% refusing to answer. That was the race I was looking at as the bellwether for months.
  • Yarmuth leads KY-03 51.1%--47.6% with 15% reporting. That would be just, friggin' huge.
  • Yarmuth still leads 51%-48%, with 37% reporting.
  • Northup (R) takes a very slight lead, 50-49, by about 400 votes, with 55% reporting. I don't know what areas are left, and to whom they are favorable.




Tags: election returns (all tags)

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

With 15% of the vote in, Yarmuth is winning 51-48.


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by Sandwich Repairman on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:43:41 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?R=A04003000&AC=3&L=3056& ;N=U.S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%203RD%20DIST&am p;RV=0&DV=455591&TP=504&TC=1 &S=3&AR=1&RF=0


by josh06 on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:45:03 PM EST

Very partial for KY-08 (none / 0)

Ellsworth, Brad Dem 7,065 (72.07%)
Hostettler, John GOP (i) 2,738 (27.93%)

http://mer.ap.org/race.jsp?key=82504973


by Jersey Devil on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:46:55 PM EST

Re: Very partial for KY-08 (none / 0)

FYI, that should be IN-08.  Otherwise, so far, so good.


Steve-MD04
by SteveMD04 on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:15:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=1&L=1999

click on each race


by justin423 on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:48:29 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

The Lamont race in CT is the one that I really hope we can win.  Against all the polls, I've been trusting my gut and my heart and just believing that Ned would pull it out.   Huge turnout in CT tonite, on a par with a Presidential race, which should be to Lamont's advantage.   I'm predicting that Schlesinger is going to take out a bigger bite of the pie than anyone anticipated.


by global yokel on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:52:31 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

I don't have anything better.

washingtonpost.com has the KY-03 at just 1% of precincts vs. 15% at CNN.


by Ottnott on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:53:27 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

where did this yarmuth/northup race rank in terms of predictions, etc?


by lokiloki on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:54:36 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

I'm predicting Yarmuth to pick up, and I'm predicting 33 seats total.  If Yarmuth wins, we definately win the 15, and probably at least 25 unless the race is just a fluke.


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:56:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Certainly not top tier, that being said when i phonebanked with moveon i called this district and talked to a family of Republicans who said they'd be voting for Yarmuth.


by descartes on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:59:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Bowers has Yarmuth as a Tier-1 pickup opportunity. He has sixteen candidates as Tier-0 and 23 candidates as Tier-1.


by betterdonkeys on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:59:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

KY-02,03,04 are competitive. In recent polls, Yarmuth was up by a couple of points.

KY-04 is another one to watch: recent polls show it tied, with the republican up by a point.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:59:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

where are the 15% reported in KY-03?  anyone?


by snaktime on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:57:24 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=3&RF=0&AR=0&R=A04003 000&L=1999&N=U.S.+REPRESENTATIVE +3RD+DIST&RV=0&DV=455591&TP= 504&TC=1


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:59:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Kentucky 03
Updated: 6:55 p.m. ET

Democratic    Yarmuth
    44,466     51%    37% of precincts reporting     votes by county    not available

Republican    Northup
(Incumbent)
    42,266     48%

Libertarian    Mancini
    750     1%
Full KY       
Constitution    Parker
    272     0%


by Johannes on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:59:41 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

where?  SOS only has 15% reporting...


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:00:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

KY 3  53% in
Northrup 49.6
Yarmuth 49.3
by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:03:07 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Deep breaths. Think of a calming, tranquil spring. Remember to breathe.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:04:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)


N.B.: Returns on that Kentucky result for Yarmuth is all in Vigo country - Yarmuth 71, Hostettler 29 with 85% precincts reporting.
by pondersomething on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:06:37 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

You mean Ellsworth not Yarmuth?


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:07:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Is that normally a Dem county?


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:10:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)


Sorry that should read Ellsworth/Hollstetter in IN

So excited, making typos lol!


by pondersomething on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:07:35 PM EST

Early returns looking bad in IN-07 (none / 0)

District 7 - 28% precincts reporting
 Julia Carson (D) 46%
 Eric Dickerson (R) 54%

Source: http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/fr ontpage


by edgeplot on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:12:45 PM EST

Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07 (none / 0)

Wow. Have the cities not reported? If so, the polls are WAY off. (Dem 48-41)


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:17:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07 (none / 0)

Not true, the polling has showed Carson down or even.  I thought the polling was just bad though.  We'll see when the other 62% comes in.


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:18:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07 (none / 0)

Is this serious? I mean, I know the polling showed it very close. And I know the concerns about Carson: she's ill and couldn't campaign much. If she loses it wouldn't mean much in itself, considering her situation, but it would mean another seat we need. Still, is she in real jeopardy here?


by elrod on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:31:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

just swapped back to northup


by lokiloki on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:13:17 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Yeah, saw that on MSNBC.  Just barely switched, though.  About 53% reporting.


by RisingSign on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:17:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

yeah, I saw that.  might want to update the front page.  dammit.


by sfluke on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:19:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Northup is up by .3 with 53.4 reporting.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:19:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

is there a website of the indiana board of elections or secretary of state that summarizes indiana outcomes?


by Johannes on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:13:28 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Yes but they have no results as of yet

http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/gene ral/general2006?page=office&countyID -1&officeID=5&districtID-1& ;candidate=


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:14:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Screw that page.  Go to WISH TV.  I posted the link on Breaking Blue.  You can click on each district.  I posted the separate links on my blog.


Give to Redistricting Project candidates for Democratic maps 2011-2021! http://www.actblue.com/page/redistrictin gproject
by Sandwich Repairman on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:38:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

the washington post has a map and seems to load fairly well with updates


by kmwray on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:16:53 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

What was Virginia Ballot Question 1?  Was that the Gay Marriage Amendment?


by yitbos96bb on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:21:41 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Yes. Although apparently a chunk of those voters also voted for Webb.


by MNPundit on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:24:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Cnn Projected Yes to defeat No... Was just curious if another state made bigotry a law... Oh well... GO WEBB!!!


by yitbos96bb on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:27:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Yarmuth back ahead 50-49

74,353 - 71,737


by Johnny17 on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:24:50 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

entucky 03
Updated: 7:21 p.m. ET

Democratic    Yarmuth
    74,353     50%    64% of precincts reporting     votes by county    not available

Republican    Northup
(Incumbent)
    71,737     49%

Libertarian    Mancini
    1,249     1%
Full KY       
Constitution    Parker
    444     0%


by Johannes on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:25:08 PM EST

KY SOS down (none / 0)

I think we killed the KY SOS site


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:25:41 PM EST

Re: KY SOS down (none / 0)

Yeah, it's getting hammered. I don't think it was us, though. I've been checking that site since it was linked upthread and it was pretty snappy until about 10 minutes ago, when it just died. Prolly got linked by one of the big boys.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:28:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: KY SOS down (none / 0)

Yeah, we did. It isn't working anymore.


by JewishJake on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:29:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It's back. (none / 0)

They work quick over there in Kentucky.


by MNPundit on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:33:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: KY SOS down (none / 0)

Here's the CNN page with more updates:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006//pages/ results/states/KY/index.html


by edgeplot on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:33:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: KY SOS down (none / 0)

68% of precincts reporting

Yarmuth
 79,234 50%
Northup
(Incumbent)
 77,182 49%
Mancini
 1,333 1%    
Parker
 473 0%


by edgeplot on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:34:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Does anyone know how KY breaks down i.e. urban areas reporting later?


by agpc on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:29:13 PM EST

OMFG!!! Yarmouth back on top (none / 0)

According to the Kentucky SOS office with 65.7% reporting in:

Yarmouth - 50.1%

Northup - 48.8%

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=3&RF=0&AR=0&R=A04003 000&L=3056&N=U.S.+REPRESENTATIVE +3RD+DIST&RV=0&DV=455591&TP= 504&TC=1


by MNPundit on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:32:39 PM EST

Strickland projected to win OH as polls close (3.00 / 1)

This could portend an OH landslide, at least.


by asearchforreason on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:32:48 PM EST

Re: Strickland projected to win OH as polls close (none / 0)

Well the Dispatch polls printed Sunday showed a huge Democratic wave in the state.  Winning all 6 statewide offices.  Blackwell barely even hanging onto 2002 Taft voters.


Give to Redistricting Project candidates for Democratic maps 2011-2021! http://www.actblue.com/page/redistrictin gproject
by Sandwich Repairman on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:39:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

IDK by we are still winning KY-03 with 68& reporting


by Johnny17 on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:33:29 PM EST

50-48.1 for Yarmuth, with 66% reporting (none / 0)

The Libertarian is pulling important votes away from Northup.


by elrod on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:34:03 PM EST

Weaver is winning!! (none / 0)

OK, only 7% counted, but hey, this is very red district.


by Ben P on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:36:57 PM EST

Re: Weaver is winning!! (none / 0)

Where are you getting that? electionresults.ky.gov shows 0% reporting.
This district is really red though. I'd be surprised if that holds up.
by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:39:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weaver is winning!! (none / 0)

CNN had Weaver up 52-48.


Give to Redistricting Project candidates for Democratic maps 2011-2021! http://www.actblue.com/page/redistrictin gproject
by Sandwich Repairman on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:40:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

MSNBC tracker (none / 0)

Weaver 51, opponent 49. Doubt it will last, but hey.


by Ben P on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:40:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

You can also find results for KY-3 at the following site:
http://www.jeffersoncountyclerk.org/resu lts1.htm
by louisville lisa on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:37:10 PM EST

OT: VA Results coming in (none / 0)


7.61% reported:

J H Webb Jr  Democratic 73,351 51.96%
G F Allen  Republican 66,194 46.89%

Source: http://sbe.vipnet.org/


by edgeplot on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:42:52 PM EST

Yarmuth Pulling ahead at 74% Reporting (none / 0)

Kentucky 03

Updated: 7:43 p.m. ET  

74% of precincts reporting

Yarmuth
 86,969 51%  

Northup
(Incumbent)
 83,415 48%

Mancini
 1,462 1%

Parker
 520 0%


by edgeplot on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:46:08 PM EST

Re: Yarmuth Pulling ahead at 74% Reporting (none / 0)

Yes! FINISH HIM.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:47:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Pssst. Her. (none / 0)

Yes yes, I know, Mortal Kombat and all.


by MNPundit on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:51:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Pssst. Her. (none / 0)

Yeah. It just didn't quite sound right, but yeah. I'll do better next time. Promise.


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:53:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Sweep the leg, Johnny!

(Um...Jimmy!)


by RisingSign on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:49:29 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Put him in a body bag!


by Copley on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:51:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yarmuth still ahead with 76% (none / 0)

76% of precincts reporting:

Yarmuth - 94,401
Northup - 90,691


by louisville lisa on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:53:06 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Ysrmuth 94,401; Northup 90,691  
81% reporting
by Jilliker on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 07:58:15 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Yarmuth 102441  Northup 99439

432 of 515 precints reporting

He's IN.


by JaB on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 08:30:15 PM EST

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

Where did you get these numbers? I can't get past 81%.


by elrod on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 08:57:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kentucky and Indiana (none / 0)

3RD CONG        
        Total
Number of Precincts         515    
Precincts Reporting         490    
Total Votes         230831    
Anne M. NORTHUP     REP     110738    
John YARMUTH     DEM     117212    
Donna MANCINI     LIB     1995    
W. Ed PARKER     CON     736    
Write-in Votes        150

at http://www.jeffersoncountyclerk.org/resu lts1.htm


by Johannes on Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 08:58:40 PM EST


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