On John McCain and 'Adults'

Steve Clemons, though he takes some needless and inaccurate swipes at the progressive left, has a pretty good take on Lieberman's Marshall Wittman hiring.  In particular Clemons is worried about a McCain-Lieberman ticket in 2008 occupying the 'center' of the American political spectrum and pulling in disaffected Democrats, Independents, and Republicans to create a unity ticket.  I saw this up close in Connecticut, and it worked quite well for Lieberman.  

McCain is as skilled as Lieberman as a politician, so it could work for him as well, though only if we let it happen as we did for Lieberman.  I say 'we', though in this case I don't mean the netroots, I mean all those ostensible reformer groups with the credibility of occupying the center, as well as the Democratic Senate leadership.  CREW, Common Cause, NARAL, etc, these are the groups that failed us totally in Connecticut. I don't know why. I'm sure some of them preferred to retain credibility in DC instead of actually dealing with a corrupt and increasingly right-wing political chameleon willing to act in utter bad faith, whereas others were overburdened and just made the choice to lay off $387k in street money given the immense threat of a continued right-wing Congressional majority.

Regardless of the reasons, 'the adults' didn't want to intervene in Connecticut, so we lost.  Voters just didn't want to believe that Joe Lieberman wasn't the man they thought he was.  Jane thinks, and she could be right, that there just wasn't enough time for the voters to realize that Lieberman is a phony.  I'm not sure about that.  It's possible that voters will recognize it given time, or it's possible that the unwillingness of various political elites to point it out will mean that voters will never realize it. I'll be watching his SUSA approval ratings, which I suppose is the only way to know. The dynamics remind me of the McCain ticket, which is something I blogged about while I was obsessively covering the Lamont race.

No matter how many times Atrios shows that this is Saint McCain's war, or Thinkprogress shows McCain lying or changing his various positions, or the Senate Majority Project goes after him, the internet left just doesn't have the reach to make it stick.  What we need are 'the adults' in the liberal establishment to consistently attack McCain and lay down the corrupt and untrustworthy narrative.  This is one of the reasons I don't trust Obama, because he acted like a dependent battered partner and apologized to McCain after McCain viciously attacked him for no particular reason.  I see weakness there and moral hollowness, papered over by charisma, brilliance, and ambition.  I've also never heard Edwards criticize McCain, and Hillary Clinton allowed a surrogate to go after McCain in the clumsiest manner possible before retracting her criticisms.

But more than that, beating McCain is going to require a repudiation of the 'adult' moniker that Democrats just love.  Whether it was the Graham-McCain-Warner 'compromise' on torture, which we saw from a mile away, or the Baker commission, or the new Defense Secretary, or Condi's lies about 9/11, it's time to realize that the Republicanish 'adults' are not in fact mature but are simply crazy and sleazy.  Robert Reich shows the way by breaking the seal on McCain's media image.

I talked with John McCain Sunday morning in the green room just before "This Week." I asked him why he continued to call for more troops for Iraq when he must know it's a political non-starter. He said he thought it important for the morale of the troops.

McCain gives every impression of meaning what he says, which is one of his greatest assets. But I simply can't believe this one. What's most important for the morale of the troops is knowing they'll be coming home soon, not hearing some politician say we need more troops when there's no possible chance of that happening.

I think McCain knows Iraq is out of our hands - it's disintegrating into civil war, and by 2008 will be a bloodbath. He also knows American troops will be withdrawn. The most important political fact he knows is he has to keep a big distance between himself and Bush in order to avoid being tainted by this horrifying failure. Arguing that we need more troops effectively covers his ass. It will allow him to say, "if the President did what I urged him to do, none of this would have happened."

McCain is smarter on this score than Dems who intend to engage in post-Baker Commission "what we must do now" bipartisanship. It may make Dems feel relevant and important, but it will also make them complicit in the impending failure. Come 2008, they will share the responsibility for the horror of Iraq. HRC will be drawn in, as will Barak Obama and all other Dem notables who will feel it necessary to participate in a "plan."

In the end, McCain alone will be able to escape blame. At least, that's what I think he's thinking.

Reich is smarter and more progressive than most 'adults' in the establishment, but he's showing the way forward.  The flip side of McCain the media darling and his 'Straight Talk Express' is a very simple 'McCain the pandering corrupt politician'.  It's a perfect narrative, replete with Keating 5 and pro-war sentiments that have already been effectively laid down.  We have a head start on McCain which we did not on Lieberman.  Still, Democrats ought to go after McCain on this starting right now.  They ought to immediately stop caring what the Baker Commission says.  Democrats won this election, not the partisan Bush-crony James Baker.  That should be obvious.  And yet somehow it's not.

If we don't learn the lesson of Connecticut, which is that we must have all hands on deck to change voter impressions about a charismatic media darling with a long relationship to the electorate, then we may find ourselves with President John McCain and a new conservative Republican 'reformer' majority in the House and Senate in 2008.  And the worst part will be that 30% of liberal voters will vote for this scenario because the Democratic leadership was too scared to explain to them what they are voting for.  Start hitting him now.



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Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I'm thankful for stoller.


by Bob Brigham on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 12:37:26 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I hear more impassioned criticism of McCain from the right than from the left these days.  If the social issues are on the wain in 14 months when the Republicans pick thier nominee it will only help the frontrunner, John McCain.  

The race is on.  It will be especially hard to define McCain because he made such a great first impression on so many independent voters back in 2000.  I was in New Hampshire before the primary, and I remember well how a last minute shift of Bradley voters tipped the scales for McCain.  Yes, Bradley voters -- independents who decide every four years if they will vote in the Democrat or Republican contest.

We can't wait to start exposing the real McCain.  


by howardpark on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 12:40:47 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I don't think McCain will be healthy enough to make the race.  Take a close look the next few times you see him.


by drlimerick on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 12:43:02 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

The one time I met McCain in person I thought -- wow, he sure seems a lot older than what comes across on TV.


by howardpark on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 12:53:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I don't know why. I'm sure some of them preferred to retain credibility in DC instead of actually dealing with a corrupt and increasingly right-wing political chameleon willing to act in utter bad faith, whereas others were overburdened and just made the choice to lay off $387k in street money given the immense threat of a continued right-wing Congressional majority.

Yeah, that's it.  It's about a nice paycheck.  

Trying to find a rational and/or moral explanation for their actions is useless.

The Bullshit Moose has been proven wrong and publically humiliated so many times it makes one head spin, yet Asshead gives him a gig.

Unbelievable.

Sorry for the bad cut and paste job on Matt's thoughts; connection is really bad today.


by Karatist Preacher on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 01:24:20 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

It's a long hard road to the GOP nomination for McCain. He can't win as an independent, as the Lieberman dynamic in CT -- where an independent wins when one political party doesn't run a competitive campaign -- is unlikely to happen in 2008.

However, should he take it, he'll be very hard to beat. Clemons's point about how many pundits will be taken in by the cosmetics of a Lieberman/McCain alliance is precient. With the GOP machine and that kind of insider media mojo, they'd crush HRC like an old beer can.

The weirdest thing for me is tying to fathom the motivations of a person like Marshall Whittman, and the only thing I that makes any sense is not, as posited, greed for a paycheck (there are easier dollars), but rather a lust for power pure and simple. Dangerous stuff, that.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 01:42:09 PM EST

McCain/Lieberman? (none / 0)

Oooooo that is a nasty dirty, thought!  Matt you go stand in a corner and NO PIE FOR YOU TODAY!

Seriously, I think that we should think about the possibility of a McCain-Lieberman ticket in '08.  It is just fake enough to seem appealing to the completely clueless, and in a three-way race such a ticket could be a serious wildcard.

Of course, this ill not be as great an issue if the Democrats do well in the next two years.  So far I like what I'm hearing.  If Congressional Dems can keep their noses clean and deliver the goods (min. wage incrase, health care and education gains for many Americans and some kind of sanity in Iraq) they can set up a dominating '08 cycle for both Congress and the Electoral College.


McCain sucks!
by teknofyl on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 01:51:11 PM EST

Tell the Dems--McCain no liberal (none / 0)

Abortion, 1996-2006: 0% right (Planned Parenthood, NARAL)
Civil Rights, 2000-2006: 14.1% right (NAACP)
Labor, 2000-2006: 23.2% right (AFL-CIO)

McCain's abortion posture is astonishingly bad--esp. given the Christian Coalition's attacks on him. He has always been anti-choice, even to the extent of supporting SD's total abortion ban on the 2006 ballot--a position to the right of George Bush.


by stevehigh on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 01:56:29 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I continue to be amazed by the obsession of so many progressive bloggers over the prospects of a McCain candidacy.  Yet any examination of his views both on foreign affairs and his domestic agenda reveals that he is a dinosaur, and, as several others too have pointed out, a badly aging one at that.

McCain will be seventy-two if he is a candidate for the presidency in 2008, far, far too old for anyone about to enter that high office, as most Americans will quickly come to understand.  One cannot view him through the same prism of the politics of 2000, when he was a media darling and was nevertheless still throttled by Shrub.

In that year, the Republicans controlled the congressional agenda, and the punditocracy, still reeling after failing to get "the one that got away" Bill Clinton, would have done anything to purge the White House of all things Clinton.

Yet, to pull off that purge, it required a coup d'etat on a massive scale.  This meant turning against the popular vote majority (several hundred thousand strong), a disenfranchisement of many Florida voters in particular, longstanding disinformation by way of the Faux News and their Bush family connection, and ultimately a 5-4 decision by the United States Supreme Court, electing to choose their own conservative successors over honoring constitutional law, to make possible.

Now, GWB is already being ranked as the worst of any United States president.  His party has been debunked and demoralized, brimming with all manner of hypocrites on a level unprecedented, even in the most tainted of past administrations.

Throughout these "Dark Ages," McCain, yes indeed, that once thought of as "straight-talking" McCain, has been among GWB's most vociferous acolytes.  And even now, when many a military person whose credentials are every bit as sterling as McCain's is reluctantly admitting that the quagmire in Iraq cannot be won, whatever additional reinforcements can do, Mr. McCain remains doggedly on the wrong side both of the moment and of the long view of history.  He would call for perhaps an additional 100,000 in troop levels.  That would ensure the slaughter of yet another several thousand soldiers in the cause of, presumably, "face-saving."

Such was the rationale of another generation of military advisors at war in Vietnam.  Now, if Senator McCain has not yet inculcated the wisdom of a war in which he was truly a victim, and cannot apply that wisdom to the debacle of the current day, on what attribute does anyone possibly advance him as qualified for the United States presidency?

Surely it cannot be that he is yet a "straight-talker," not when he permitted a fellow Vietnam War hero, John Kerry, to be excoriated by a Right-wing funded group of alleged "swift boat veterans," whose phoniness was easily manifest.

Surely one cannot turn to this "straight-talker" when it comes to his tortured explanation of how, although he is a firm believer in letting other citizens live out their personal lives as they see fit, still, he cannot condone same sex marriage.

Nor can this seasoned senior citizen be left to advise the rest of us as to how to manage our fiscal affairs--not after these long years in which be blindly followed Shrub to the economic precipice, tossing away any hope for our solvency possibly forever.

I liken McCain's possible presidential candidacy to being in the car with a most admirable senior citizen behind the wheel.  While that person's past achievement is such that one can and should admire his or her past service, one would nonetheless hesitate to permit them to steer across the most precipitous of terrain.  It is not that they are not yet capable of traversing such a course.  It is that you comprehend the fact that said citizen has his or her limitations.

This is not meant to promulgate age discrimination, as the potential of all citizens across the age spectrum remains limitless.  It is meant to face the reality of the peak period of the potency of one's faculties.  

The framers of our Constitution understood that citizens under the age of thirty-five simply weren't at the peak of their intellectual comprehension, and thus permitted only those thirty-five and over of seeking after the presidency.  Yet in that era, life expectancy was decades younger than it is now.

Republicans are wont to note that Ronald Reagan entered the presidency at sixty-nine.  But they often fail to point out that, within a few years afterwards, a far-less heightened awareness had already set in--sadly anticipating his inevitable Alzheimer's.

At fifty-three, I am fully aware of the fact that however I choose to deny it, I should be more cautious in attempting to drive that most taxing terrain.  However, I have the wisdom to understand both my abilities and limitations.

This is what makes now John McCain so supremely unqualified for the presidency in 2008.  Not merely the age factor, but that the wisdom of the war in which he bravely fought, is now clearly absent from him.  And that is what constitutes a political dinosaur.

Giuliani, basking in the false glow of the Rovian imagery of 9/11, will fall to pieces once dissected on a national stage.  And he, like GWB brother Jeb, is far too much a part of all that went wrong with the United States in its Dark Ages.

So, fellow progressive bloggers, kindly cease with the obsessing.  There will be most formidable candidates on the other side in 2008, but Misters McCain, Giuliani and Jeb Bush will not be among them.
 


by lambros on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 02:18:30 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

I'd agree with you on every bit of the above -- if the Democrats had any candidate of stature to put up for President. We don't. We have strivers and pygmies, but no one who can project gravitas for the duration of a campaign. Not to mention anyone who convinces me that they have any vision for this faltering nation.


Can It Happen Here?
by janinsanfran on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 11:01:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (3.00 / 1)

if the Democrats had any candidate of stature to put up for President. We don't.

If you look up instead of always looking down, you will see some giants out there.

Jim Webb is one surprising one.

Looking at the field, listen to what John Edwards is saying as against the tired old DLC refrains about the suffering middle class needing tax breaks.

There are some nearly unimaginable heroes (and heroines) out there who went up against the bastids.  Thanks, Ned Lamont, for at least exposing Joe Lieberman for what he was and driving him out of the party.  Could we not get you to run -- naww, foggetaboutit.  You did your part.

Hey, Wesley Clark looks better by the day.

Lots of 'em out there.  You don't need a Pygmy to go elephant hunting.

Best,  Terry


by terryhallinan on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 11:45:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

Sorry to obsess but 72 is not too old to be elected.  You note that Ronald Reagan was elected at 69.  He was re-elected at 73.  Anyway, the point is that McCain is not to be underestimated.


by howardpark on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 02:34:03 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

Indeed. My mom likes him. That worries me.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 01:47:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

What we need are 'the adults' in the liberal establishment to consistently attack McCain

Who you calling adults?

The unwillingness or inability of liberals to understand the the source of McCain's strength is nearly incomprehensible to me.  It is the same as their own.  Despite differences in views and policies both are cut from the same mold as the effort to reform campaign finance proves.  There is a decided shortage of pitchforks in the land.

The Republican rightwingers know what the leftwing refuses to know.  They despise McCain with a depth that will never be appeased.

You should be following Tolstoy's advice, Stoller.  Let McCain destroy himself.  He is doing a bangup job at it in trying to be kissy-kissy with the fundamentalists.  What a farce.

By the way Lieberman is one of THEM.  Conflating Lieberman and McCain is silly.  There has always been substance to McCain.  Lieberman has none at all.

Best,  Terry


by terryhallinan on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 02:46:37 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

McCain and Lieberman are "skilled politicians" only to the extent that our pathetic media allows them to get by with their 'moderate' schtick.
They are both dishonest, unprincipled hacks, and if we had objective and honest media that would be apparent to the electorate.
by global yokel on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 02:54:39 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

The only "potential" presidential candidate that I have heard is Wes Clark.  He has repeatedly attacked McCain and Lieberman.


by judy from nj on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 04:16:11 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

It's tricky, because it's actually a good thing if people like McCain and Lieberman draw dedicated-Repub voters away from the Bush wing of that party
All things considered, it would be good for America if the Repub party would be a more centrist version of itself, even if it takes weird and funny convolusions to become that

On the other hand, you don't want the political game-playing of these guys to draw Dem voters and Independents towards a new, more centrist Repub party

So, how do you make this work?  It's not an easy problem to solve.

I think part of the answer is the Dems need to become more and more the party of sane American values, which are generally progressive and populist (though not in a rigid or extremist manifestation) ... that's the American Dream after all, progress for all

When the Overton Window is moved to center on well-understood values of this kind, and the Dems simply present excellent candidates, really strong and inspiring individuals, then Dems will win the majority of races and the country moves forward, suppported by centrist Repubs

If instead of a values-centric and strong-candidate-centric approach, it becomes only just a pissing match, gotchas or whatever, then very tricky operators may win and progress gets sabotaged
What's great about the situation right now is Dems have the opportunity to pass lots of sane, well-loved, widely-loved legislation, all kinds of little things that help and inspire people, and even if Bush vetos all of it, it makes clear where the center of the debate is


by jimpol on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 04:39:35 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

One of the tricky things here is that we need a two-pronged approach -- yes we need to start warning centrist voters about his conservative views, but we also need to make sure we do whatever we can to help our good friends Brownback, Huckabee and Romney destroy him in the GOP primary. For instance, McCain and Lieberman introduced a global warming bill that was actually a sane, if modest, piece of public policy. Sane, modest public policy, especially on the environment, is enough on its own to lose you the GOP nomination if word gets out about it. But it's a fine and difficult balance.


by thesleepthief on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 05:54:17 PM EST

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

This may not only be one of the most insightful articles written in some time, but one of the most important. If the advice given is not heeded, we may well see ourselves, as Democrats, in the minority in 08.  

Any ideas on how the web community can force our elected leaders to follow Matt's advice?


by Elmo Buzz on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 09:07:14 PM EST

Re: Any Ideas? (none / 0)

The most important thing to do is to ensure that this post's message is reiterated, frontpage, at least every couple of weeks.  Most of us use the blogosphere as a prosthetic memory device, a list of reminders of the things we know are important, a defense against the onslaught of distractions that constitute modern life.  If we're going to do something about a problem like this, it can't be allowed to slip our mind.


Yes, I'm aware there's a possible misogynist reading of the myth. Sorry.
by Endymion on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 02:48:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On John McCain and 'Adults' (none / 0)

You're right Matt.  Democrats should be very worried about a McCain/Lieberman or even a Lieberman/Bloomberg presidential ticket.  Those special interest groups who happily ignored Lamont (and Schlesinger) for Joe Lieberman's sake may very well come to regret that decision.


by Melissa Ryan on Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 10:40:33 PM EST

Flipflopping McCain (none / 0)

Let us start now.

Political McCain--What does he really think.  Saying one thing to one group then changing his tune next month.  How can one trust him.

I would have voted for the pre 2000McCain over Hillary.  But today, I would vote for Hillary over the flipflopping McCain.  If they were the 2008 nominees.


by jasmine on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 12:01:21 AM EST

CREW doesn't call themselves the 'Adults' (none / 0)

No pundits I know of call CREW the 'Adults.'

So why are you?


by Eric Jaffa on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 10:11:52 AM EST

Worry about Lieberman-McCain (none / 0)

What can we do to protect against a so-called 'centrist' Lieberman-McCain ticket?

We've seen how Lieberman can win (at least in Connecticut) by calling himself an effective centrist, and lying about his beliefs. Enough people bought his arguments that he's in the Senate for 6 more years.

And the press' treatment of St. McCain -- no matter what flip-flops he does on issues -- would also enhance his candidacy.

NOW is the time to start innoculating the political body against these two charletans. BUT HOW??

This needs more prominent discussion as a question, in my opinion.


by MS on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 01:47:23 PM EST


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