Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Representatives

Looking only at Democrats who took over Republican-held seats, here is a list of incoming Democratic freshmen in the House who are probably going to join the Progressive caucus:
  • AZ-08: Gabrielle Giffords
  • CA-11: Jerry McNerney
  • IA-01: Bruce Braley
  • NH-19: John Hall
In addition to the already listed McNerney, here are the incoming netroots candidates (we only endorsed challengers in 2006):
  • MN-01: Tim Walz
  • NH-02: Paul Hodes
  • NC-08: Larry Kissell (maybe)
  • PA-07: Joe Sestak
  • PA-08: Patrick Murphy
  • WA-08: Darcy Burner (probably)
In addition to the already listed Braley, Hodes, Sestak, Murphy and McNerney, here are the incoming Democrats from blue districts who took over Republican-held seats:
  • CT-02: Joe Courtney
  • IA-02: Dave Loebsack
  • CT-05: Chris Murphy
  • FL-22: Ron Klein
  • CO-07: Ed Perlmutter
  • KY-03: John Yarmuth
  • NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter
  • NY-24: Michael Arcuri
So, it looks like about 60%-70% of the incoming Democratic freshmen who took over Republican-held seats meet one of the three following criteria:
  • Joining the progressive caucus
  • From a blue district
  • Netroots candidate
Wow. What a conservative wave. A great victory for conservatives indeed. Throw in uber-conservative freshmen Phil Hare (IL-17), Keith Ellison (MN-05), and Mazie Hirono (HI-02), who all filled Democratic open-seats, and who will all probably join the progressive caucus, and this is the most conservative House of Representatives of all time. The most conservative part was probably when progressive Mazie Hirono took over for Blue Dog Ed Case in HI-02, after Case lost his Senate primary to ultra-conservative Daniel Akaka. A big right-wing shift, that. A close second was when progressive Bruce Braley took conservative Jim Nussle's seat, and then Nussle lost the Iowa Governor's race anyway. Truly, hard-right swings across the board.

Tom Schaller has a lot more on this.



Display:


Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

Add Ed Perlmutter (Rep. Elect) CO-08 to your list. Here's a list of his positions. You can see he's a progressive who will make a powerful congressman:

Ending the War in Iraq
Issues

I opposed the decision by George W. Bush to invade Iraq because I felt at the time that the Bush Administration was rushing into a war without proper planning, without necessary international support and without finishing the job against Al Qeada in Afghanistan. I felt so strongly about the failure and blunders of the Bush Administration that I co-chaired the John Kerry Presidential Campaign Colorado in 2004. I firmly believe that if John Kerry were president our policies would be vastly different than they are today.
» read more
Protecting the Environment

We have an opportunity in the 2006 election to elect a new Congress that will work to conserve our natural resources and protect the environment. The Bush Administration, backed by a rubber-stamp Republican Congress has spent the last six years devising ways of eliminating environmental regulations, opening up more public lands to oil and gas development, weakening the Endangered Species Act, and placing corporate interests ahead of the public interest.
» read more

Energy and Conservation

ENERGY INDEPENDENCE AND SECURITY:  One of my favorite columnists is Thomas Friedman.  He has been more eloquent than anyone I know in describing the energy crisis and the connection between energy security and terrorism.  He is right when he says that America is funding "both sides of the war on terrorism."  We are subsidizing Islamic extremists and the countries they inhabit through our debilitating dependence on foreign oil.  At the same time we are spending billions, even in the face of historic deficits, to secure our homeland, equip our troops and booster intelligence services to fight the terrorists.  We have an energy policy that will keep us addicted to oil regimes that are the most unstable in the world, and where America has few friends.  Nigeria, Venezuela, Russia, the dangerous regime in Iran and the other unstable Middle East countries are positioned to maintain an economic stranglehold on our country, unless we act now to dramatically change course.

Tributes to that scoundrel Tom Friedman aside, (and clearly Perlmutter doesn't agree with Friedman on Iraq) this is a pretty progressive agenda.


by Cugel on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 03:47:44 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

P.S. C0-08 is a typo. It's CO-07, Colorado doesn't have 8 seats yet. (I wish we could edit these posts)!


by Cugel on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 03:50:04 PM EST

House of Representatives (3.00 / 2)

Chris,

After sorting through all the post-election analysis, I'm starting to think that the netroots can be most effective by focusing our resources on primary elections.  This is not to say that there isn't a role for us in general elections, but that the nature of primaries may provide the best opportunity to shift things in a progressive direction.

The Democratic party hierarchy invests itself more heavily in the general election.  It spends big money and puts its institutional weight behind candidates.  But a primary election is more of an open field, where we can get behind a relatively unknown insurgent candidate (Tester is a good example) and help put him/her over the top.  Primary challenges (Lamont being the exception) just don't generate the kind of media attention that a general election does, so they represent an opportunity for progressives to sneak up on the establishment and pull off some upsets.


by global yokel on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 03:51:06 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

AZ-08: Gabrielle Giffords? I thought she was a former republican but admittedly, I haven't followed the race that closely.
www.adamconner7.com
by Adam Conner on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 03:53:03 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

so's markos...


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 03:58:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Former Republican? So What? (none / 0)

When Jeffords left the GOP, his DW-Nominate score (ranking in terms of roll-call votes, from most liberal [1] to most conservative [100 in the Senate, normally]) jumped from 52 to 28 in same (107th) session of Congress.

The next session he was tied for 8th-11th.

What matters is not where you come from.  It's where you're headed.


by Paul Rosenberg on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:01:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Former Republican? So What? (none / 0)

Wow! This speaks volumes to the concerns
of those who are afraid we'll see party
switchers coming to join our majority.
Let's welcome them and watch them become
as progressive as Jeffords!
by Woody on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 11:03:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I Don't Expect Them All To Be Like Jeffords (none / 0)

Some will, some won't.  But they will all become somewhat more progressive than they otherwisde would have been.  And the more we welcome them in hope, the more likely they will invigorate us, rather than dragging us to the right.

Going further back in time was Wayne Morse.  He left the GOP over McCarthyism, became an independent, then a Democrat.  Then became one of just two Senators to vote against the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution.

The capacity to think outside the box, to act decisively and leave a party one has been deeply attached to, because it no longer represents you, that capacity can be quite transformative and inspiring.

We should give party-switchers every opportunity to show us that potential in action.  For every ten who fail to show it, just one who does makes it all worthwhile.


by Paul Rosenberg on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 02:04:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

Yeah, and Trent Lott used to be a Democrat.  What's your point?


by Tom on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:28:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes, But Chris... (none / 0)

You're forgetting that Michael Moore wears a hat!


by Paul Rosenberg on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:02:26 PM EST

Re: Yes, But Chris... (none / 0)

And, and he's fat! A real porker, that one. Ho ho ho.


by loyalson on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:57:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

Chris--

What makes you think Burner will win WA-08? All the evidence I see shows her going down in slim defeat.


by AaronE on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:34:59 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

My question as well - I HOPE Darcy Burner will win in WA-08 but last I saw she seemed too far behind.


by NewHopeLiberal on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 01:06:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

Also, I'm not sure what makes being from a Blue state a qualification for defying the 'conservative'  label.


by AaronE on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:36:50 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

It annoys me whenever anyone uses the word "freshman". Can we come up with a different word for incoming/first-term reps? 3 of whom on your lists are in fact female?


Blogging politics and life in general at jimmy.bouma-holtrop.com
by forecaster15 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:40:30 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (3.00 / 1)

Come on...this is the most ridiculous comment with regards to PC-ness that I have read in quite some time.


by PsiFighter37 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:44:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

How's that?


Blogging politics and life in general at jimmy.bouma-holtrop.com
by forecaster15 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:24:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Call 'em all "Frosh" n/t (none / 0)


by Woody on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 11:08:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Call 'em all "Frosh" n/t (3.00 / 1)

Or how about "rookies?"


by Tom on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 12:18:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

John Hall is from NY-19


by JordanLFW on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 04:49:21 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

lol spelling mistakes.

Tis NY indeed.


by MrMacMan on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:16:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Under the radar races (none / 0)

An analysis of races under the radar because of no change in party representation might well bolster the argument. Steve Cohen is replacing Harold Ford in the House, for example, a decided move to the left.


by MikeB on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:02:11 PM EST

Re: Under the radar races (none / 0)

Yes.  Harold Ford was a member of the Blue Dogs; Steve Cohen will likely be a member of the Progressive Caucus (not sure on that one, but given his voting record in the State Senate, seems likely.)


by Tom on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:29:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Burner? (none / 0)

Are Burner's chances really looking that good? I thought the latest word from the interwebs was that she would need an unlikely percentage of the provisional/absentee ballots to overcome Reichert's lead. Does someone have more accurate info?


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:10:20 PM EST

Re: Burner? (none / 0)

Yeah, that's what I thought as well---I actually thought Kissel had a higher chance.  


Saxby Chambliss
by bosdcla14 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:16:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Nope (none / 0)

Let's not get false hopes up.  Darcy is extremely unlikely to win this count.


by lorax on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:17:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Burner? (none / 0)

80 percent of the ballots were mail-in.  This isn't your usual "absentee ballot" situation.


by Tom on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:30:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Conservative wave' approaching straw man status (none / 0)

Clearly, the Dem House pickups were not achieved with a bunch of Blue Dogs. (The talking point is dead and buried in the lefty sphere, if not in the MSM.)

But even if the mods (Blue Dogs/NDC/unaffiliated) made no additions to their numbers, that would still leave at least a quarter of Dem reps in the mod camp.

And if they're facing an influx of lefty freshman as well as getting a pittance of patronage in terms of committee chairs, that will surely make them more, rather than less, inclined to fight for their turf.


by skeptic06 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:16:34 PM EST

What about (none / 0)

other Dems who picked up open, safe Dem seats, like Yvette Clark, Betty Sutton, and Kathy Castor?


by lorax on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:17:42 PM EST

Re: What about (none / 0)

Sutton, for one, is replacing a member of the Progressive Caucus (Sherrod Brown) so no change there.  Not sure about the others, but I know Major Owens had a liberal voting record.


by Tom on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:31:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about (none / 0)

Except that Owens voted for CAFTA and the Bankruptcy Bill, I think.  I'm pretty sure that Clark will be a better progressive than Owens--less corporate, more grassroots.


by lorax on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 06:17:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about (none / 0)

From his website:

I joined the AFL-CIO and my other brothers and sisters in the labor movement as well as numerous faith-based organizations in strongly opposing CAFTA.  In the U.S. House of Representatives, on July 28, 2005, I voted against CAFTA - HR 3045 -.

To serve the interest of consumer justice I voted NO vote on S. 256, the Bankruptcy Reform Bill.


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 06:23:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about (none / 0)

You're thinking more about Ed Towns (NY-10) and Gregory Meeks (NY-06) than Major Owens.  Indeed, Major Owens was one of two members of the Democratic Socialists of America--the other being John Conyers of Michigan.  No, pro-corporate centrist Democrat, here!


by jsramek on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 06:34:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You're right (none / 0)

I think I was thinking of Towns


by lorax on Wed Nov 15, 2006 at 01:20:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about (none / 0)

Freshmen/women in held seats - outgoing Progressive Punch score (higher is more progressive)

Kathy Castor - 75.06
Hank Johnson - 90.45
Mazie Hirono - 74.31
Phil Hare - 88.59
John Sarbanes - 83.54
Keith Ellison - 89.71
Albio Sires - 91.93 (Menendez's rating in the Senate)
Yvette Clarke - 93.76
Charlie Wilson - 79.69
Betty Sutton - 89.38
Stephen Cohen - 77.83
Peter Welsh - 92.70

some room for improvement out there.


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:57:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

It seems like a bit of a leap to call WA-08 for Burner just yet...


Swing State Project: Campaign & Election News - Covering Key Races Around the Country
by HellofaSandwich on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:48:40 PM EST

Mazie Hirono HI-02 to Join Prog Caucus (none / 0)

Please add newly elected Rep. Mazie Hirono to your list of those aligned with the Congressional Progressive Caucus. Progressive Democrats of America and the CPC worked for her election and she has publicly pledged to join the CPC.

She won her seat by a comfortable margin, replacing the Blue Dog Democrat, Ed Case, who was (thankfully) defeated in his effort to replace the fairly progressive Senator Daniel Akaka.

Hawaii's congressional delegation has certainly come out of this election cycle much more liberal.

And we would like to thank the Americans for repudiating the Bush-Cheney agenda. We now hope that he will be impeached and American, and international law, will be re-affirmed.


Sittin' in the sweet spot; waiting for a left break. Dropping in and in the tube....
by Kolea on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:53:43 PM EST

Re: Your New, Conservative House (none / 0)

There were 3 main concerns of voters this election: Terrorism, Iraq and corruption. Demos split the vote evenly with the GOP when we look at voters most concerned about terrorism. People most concerned about Iraq and corruption went big time for the Democrats. Much of the Republican base, also digusted with Bush for various reasons including his repudiation of any sort of restraint on government power and spending, stayed home.

Democrats did not win because most people want even more government than Bush has given them, or because they are chomping at the bit for national health insurance, publically financed elections , government paid for day care or various other progressive causes.

According to CNN's exit polling, only 20% of Americans call themselves liberals. Amost half call themselves "moderates."  So don't get your hopes too high for a sharp leftward turn.


by mdf1960 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 05:59:17 PM EST

Re: Your New, Conservative House (none / 0)

Given that it wasn't exactly the moderates ruling the Republican party over the past few years, just getting back to moderate is a sharp left turn.


by Lucas O'Connor on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 06:04:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Conservative House (none / 0)

I think there are a lot of moderates who don't realize that they're liberal.  They only resist the term because it's been demonized so much--but issue by issue, they're likely very liberal.


Swing State Project: Campaign & Election News - Covering Key Races Around the Country
by HellofaSandwich on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 06:22:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

What are you basing Gabrielle Giffords joining the CPC on? That they gave her money? I think they spent it on the wrong candidate? She ran as a moderate in a slightly republican district saying she woulf be more like the moderate repulican who retired then her very conservative republican opponent.
Aso on her political resume on her website among several enviro awards
League of Conservation Voters, 100% Rating 2005
Sierra Club, Most Valuable Player at the Arizona Legislature 2005

and Arizona Coalition to Prevent Homelessness, Legislator of the Year 2003

there was also this
Democratic Leadership Council

National "100 to Watch"

State Legislative Advisory Board 2001-present.
I'd like her to join but it seems unlikly.

Also where did you hear Bruce Braley, not that I think it's unreasonable but hall and McNerney seem obvious activist types while Bruce isn't. But I could see it, that would be nice also I think Dave Loebsack and  Carol Shea-Porter are likly cpc candidates.


by rtaycher1987 on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 06:30:07 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

Carol Shea-Porter is a definite CPC candidate as is Loebsack. In fact, I would have said that the definites were Ellison, Shea-Porter, Loebsack and McNerny.

Mazie Hirono not so much, as I understood it she was flanked on the left in the primary by Colleen Hanabusa. It's still possible though, Hanabusa has already ran for the district twice and might challenge Hirono in a primary if she isn't liberal enough.


by liberalminded on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 09:28:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House (none / 0)

(Likelyhood of joining CPC, on a scale of 1-10)

1. Kathy Castor - 75.06 (3)
2.Hank Johnson - 90.45 (8)
3.Mazie Hirono - 74.31 (5)
4.Phil Hare - 88.59- (10)
5.John Sarbanes - 83.54 (7)
6.Keith Ellison - 89.71 (10)
7.Albio Sires - 91.93 (Menendez's rating in the Senate) (5)
8.Yvette Clarke - 93.76 (9)
9.Charlie Wilson - 79.69 (1)
10.Betty Sutton - 89.38  (7)
11.Steve Cohen - 77.83 (9)
12.Peter Welch - 92.70 (10)

Notes

  1. Unlikely, just because Jim Davis was such a Blue Dog.
  2. He's going to face a primary challenge from McKinney, why not try to neutralize her?
  3. Might try to neutralize a possible primary challenge by moving to the left. She was kind of DLC Lieutenant Governor and gubernatorial candidate from what I remember though.
  4. He was Evans' CoS, and Evans was a member.
  5. Paul Sarbanes was one of the most liberal in the Senate, so it's quite likely his son will be as well in the House.
  6.  Incredibly progressive and liberal. He'll be Bernie's replacement in the House.
  7. Machine politician, so I'd have to say half and half. Menendez wasn't a member.
  8. Yvette Clark is very progressive on everything but Israel. Kind of like Tom Lantos. Comes from an astonishingly liberal district.
  9. Socially conservative, comes from a moderate district.
  10. She looks pretty liberal, and she's replacing Sherrod Brown.
  11. He was called the most liberal white person in the Tennessee legislature, and he's trying to join the Black Caucus. Plus the Fords hate him, so he can't be that bad.
  12. He's replacing Bernie Sanders, and he's very liberal already. Guaranteed member.


by liberalminded on Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 09:43:13 PM EST

Re: Your New, Ultra-Conservative House of Represen (none / 0)

The media just cannot concieve of a world without a permanent conservative majority.  So, they confuse the populists with conservatives.  It makes them feel better and that things will be all safe and secure and just like normal.  hehehehe.  aren't they in for a rude awakening?????


by vwcat on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 01:36:48 AM EST

Ultra-Conservative (none / 0)

Chris - You deserve a ton of credit for this win.  So does Dean and all the other bloggers and their net roots.  I read Pach's post on Schumer and what they told Reid.  I hope you speak out for all of us loud and clear. The fact that these are NOT their candidates OR particularly conservative needs to be drilled into the brains of the walking dead Democrats like Hillary, Bill, Obama, Rahm, Schumer and all of the DLC/K Street owned crowd up there.  I am sick of their corruption.  If they want to clean it up, do Clean Elections and let them get their hands out of every corporate lobbyists pockets.  I am sick of their disrespect and disregard for Dean, bloggers and us.  IF I had anywhere else to go, I would tell the whole party to shove it; but just like the fundies, we're stuck.   So they better get use to us because the net roots isn't done running amok, and we won't just go away and shut up no matter how they demonize us. I don't trust them, never will.  I've got Dean's back.  They better watch theirs because we are watching them like a hawk.


by dkmich on Sun Nov 12, 2006 at 09:02:12 AM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.