Opposition to Alito Losing Traction? Not Likely

Courtesy of Blogometer, it seems that some on the right think that we are "losing traction on Alito." That's the argument being put forward by the rightist Catholic group Fidelis and the equally rightist Committee for Justice in a recent memo. (The memo's dated December 29, but Joe Cella of Fidelis just posted it to Red State yesterday. Apparently, Fidelis is losing traction on memos.)

They cite as their proof two things. One, the Alliance for Justice's Rolling Justice Tour was not a huge success. And two, they cite the Washington Post polling from mid-December that found 54% support for Alito's confirmation, with 28% opposed and 19% having no opinion. On the first point, I'm not too sure the success or failure of the Rolling Justice Tour is a good measure of progressive success in opposing Alito. And on the second, I'd have to point to another recent poll from the Wall Street Journal. That poll found 34% in favor of, 31% opposed to, 34% unsure about Alito's confirmation -- an even split all around.

The Journal poll did find some serious opposition to Alito on one front though. A hefty 69% would oppose Alito's confirmation if he "would vote to make abortions illegal." That actually mirrors the findings of the Post poll, in which 61% said they would want Alito to uphold Roe v Wade.

Now, being a conservative Catholic organization, Fidelis touts themselves as "principally focused on protecting the right to life." Clearly they support Alito because they think he's anti-choice. But if that's true, then a majority of Americans doesn't support him. So I'm not quite sure how they can claim that the polling on Alito works in their favor.

But the most important point here is that, until the confirmation hearings begin and Alito starts answering questions, the polling on his confirmation -- positive or negative -- doesn't really mean all that much. And an attempt to read into the relative success of the Rolling Justice Tour a trend on public opinion of Alito is downright hilarious.



Display:


Opposition rising: New Anti-Alito Petitions: (none / 0)

Fresh from Moveon.org:
Move On.org's Alito Petition

The Democratic Party's anti-Alito petition:
Democratic Party's Reject Alito Petition

Stop the NRA's has their own petition:

Stop the NRA's Oppose Alito Petiton

And, if you haven't done so already,
Tell your Senators, no to Alito here:

Save the Court Petition

And while you're at it: sign Planned Parenthood's anti-Alito petition, too:
Planned Parenthood Petition

NARAL is shooting for 500,000 signatures, please add yours:

Naral Anti-Alito Petition

Campus Progress' "Stop Alito's America" Campaign

Stop Alito's America Petition

And don't forget: urge Congress to support Plan B:

Plan B Petition

by judybrowni on Wed Jan 04, 2006 at 04:09:06 PM EST

Re: Opposition rising: New Anti-Alito Petitions: (none / 0)

I'm not a big fan of petitions. It all comes down to whether or not a few Republican senators will join the Democrats in opposing Alito. DOubt the petitions will have an effect.
by saurabhgupta on Wed Jan 04, 2006 at 05:05:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Anti-Roe doesn't mean anti-abortion (none / 0)

Overturning Roe doesn't automatically mean that abortions would be outlawed. It just means states would have the power to outlaw abortion. Some of the 69% might be people who think that a Supreme Court decision actually banning abortion - say, finding abortion itself to be in violation of the Fifth Amendment protection of "life" or some bizarre ruling (just throwing it out there) - that they would oppose it. Just a possibility.
by elrod on Thu Jan 05, 2006 at 12:05:51 AM EST

These hearings are good for us (none / 0)

Unlike Roberts, who was able to bat his eyes at the Judiciary Committee and woo the country, Alito will have a harder time. Once folks start to hear about his views (anti-choice, pro-spying, anti-due process), they'll see him for the radical that he is. It's an uphill battle, though. The GOP will be trying to distract and keep people from paying attention.
"There is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right with America"- Bill Clinton
by bluenc on Thu Jan 05, 2006 at 01:34:04 AM EST

ABA Rating = Loss of Traction (none / 0)

I think a lot of folks on this site were out of touch with reality on the John Roberts nomination, and relied way too much on the interest group "talking points" that were in many cases not very accurate. Something similar appears to be happening on the Alito nomination. Alito received a unanimous Well Qualified rating from the ABA today. At a minimum, that does a lot to remove the rather spurious allegations of ethical misconduct by Alito.

While it is true that the hearings are yet to come, those who have seen Alito in action seem confident that he will be up to the challenge. While Alito may not be quite as smooth in his presentation skills as John Roberts, his legal ability is on a par, and I think he's likely to be confirmed with at least 65 votes. In the long run, that will actually be good for Dems, assuming folks think there will soon be Democratic Presidents who will have S. Ct. vacancies to fill.

by SLinVA on Thu Jan 05, 2006 at 01:58:14 AM EST

Re: ABA Rating = Loss of Traction (3.00 / 0)

you're assuming that the senate confirms justices based solely on qualifications....while legal qualifications are important (see Harriet Miers), judicial temperament is also important, as well as political considerations...there are many people who would probably be qualified to sit on the SC from an academic or legal standpoint....the question is: do they have the right kind of values to sit on the highest court in the U.S.? Clarence Thomas may be a brilliant legal mind, but he shouldn't be on the SC, because his ideas are flat-out unconstitutional...
"There is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right with America"- Bill Clinton
by bluenc on Thu Jan 05, 2006 at 04:50:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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