Polling Project: Third Release

As first hinted at by Atrios, it is time for the third release in the polling project. This release focuses on only two questions in the poll, #10 and #11, but they are doozies.

Q10. Have you, personally, or your family followed the recommendations of the Department of Homeland Security on how to prepare in the event of a terrorist attack in you area?

Yes: 34.4% No: 61.1% Not Sure / Don't Know / Refused: 4.6%

That, ladies and gentlemen, is pretty big news in and of itself. According to our poll, only one-third of Americans have ever followed the recommendations of the Department of Homeland Security on how to prepare in the event of a terrorist attack. The question is even worded broadly enough to allow someone to say yes if s/he hasn't followed the recommendations, but their family has in some way. And still only 34% of Americans say yes.

As we will be able to show you when we get the entire cross-tabs online, these results are consistent across every demographic you can think of. A majority of people of every religious background, every ethnic background, every regional background, and every income level say they have never followed the advice of the Department of Homeland Security. A majority of both men and women say they have never followed the recommendations. A majority of Democrats, Republicans and Independents say they have never followed the recommendations. Usually, these majorities are quite large.

I think this says a lot of things. I think it says that the Department of Homeland Security is not doing a very good job reaching out to the public. I think it says that the Department of Homeland Security is not offering advice people feel is useful. I think this is something Democrats might want to talk aobut. I also think it says that people do not necessarily trust the federal government to give them good recommendations in these situations, as question 11 in our poll suggests:
Q11. Should a terrorist attack or some other man-made or natural disaster occur in your area, how confident are you that the federal government's emergency response will be timely and effective?
1= Highly Confident, 5 = Not confident at all

1: 13.2% 2: 13.2% 3: 27.7% 4: 17.1% 5: 28.8%

Five months after Katrina hit the Gulf Coast, Americans still clearly have little confidence in the emergency response efforts of the federal government. This may play a role in why few Americans are listening to the department of Homeland Security.

A prèss release concerning these questions will be sent over US News Wire later today. Also, stay tuned to MyDD, as there will be multiple polling project releases today .



Display:


Q10 (3.00 / 1)

It's also possible that this means that 2/3rds of the people aren't really worried about a terrorist attack. This is an interesting contrast to the party line variations on how safe people feel. It's one thing to say you feel unsafe. It's another to take action in response to that reported feeling.


by jayackroyd on Mon Jan 30, 2006 at 11:16:28 AM EST

Very True! (none / 0)

I think that very different dynamics might be involved, not just for Dems v. Reps, but for independents as well.

In fact, I think this is one of those areas where the sort of detailed consumer cluster analysis I criticized in some recent diaries and comments might actually be quite useful. The reasons that suburban, SUV-driving pro-choice Republicans who vacation on cruise ships aren't following DHS advice might be very different from the reasons given by just-as-suburban anti-choice evangelical Republicans who vacation in Branson.


by Paul Rosenberg on Mon Jan 30, 2006 at 12:36:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Polling Project: Third Release (none / 0)

This is great stuff.  I would counsel being a little more careful about how you discuss the first question, though.  The question didn't ask whether people have "ever" or have "never" followed the recommendations of the Homeland Security dept, which implicitly adds more weight to past actions & small measures.  (Disclosure: I can explain why if anyone cares, but were I polled, I'm almost certain I'd switch "no" to "yes" if the caller added the word "ever" to the question.)

No complaint about the wording of the question, just the interpretation above.  The US Newswire release was great, and IMHO didn't overinterpret at all.  I think your question gets very well at whether overall people are presently paying any attention to what DHS says.  Clearly, the answer is "no."


by arenwin on Mon Jan 30, 2006 at 11:20:49 AM EST

Re: Polling Project: Third Release (none / 0)

Zogby's internet poll sent out yesterday was polling on questions very similar to these.  It used the exact same five-point rating scale and asked about government preparedness for a number of different disaster scenarios.  I guess we're shaping the national debate.  


by kilb on Mon Jan 30, 2006 at 12:48:57 PM EST


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