The path out is not straight

I want to hear Armando (the 'pragmatic' Armondo is likely more keen too) respond to the comments made by Miri. It's easy to say "It Is Time" for the complete withdrawal of Iraq (something that neither Feingold or Hagel would agree with), but it's not easy to understand the political ramifications of that action. That's what Miri is commenting on. As no one responds to his comments, I'll broadcast them and ask for a response from those in the netroots that demand that Democrat politicians demand Bush to pull out right now. I'll listen to the preaching about "it's the right thing to do", but what I want to hear about is, what would make the difference?

If you do the "right thing", and it sets the Democrats back like it did after '68, with the Democrat-GOP poloraization contributing to the war lasting an additional six years, what have you gained?  

Miri is right, that the reason why Bush is at 36% approval right now is because the public does not see the failure in Iraq as political fight between the Democrats and the Republicans. The reason why Bush is being criticized from all sides is that the Democrats have not polarized his war into their own as well. Instead of doing that, the best strategy is to say "We're all in this together, Bush is in charge, he fucked up, now what's he gonna do about it?"

I don't agree with everything in the extended, but it is something to think about, and for those that are demanding for the Democrats to demand (when in actuality, that would only prove their inability to force) an exit immediately, what's the response? Take it away Miri:

It would be wrong for Dems to come out and ask Bush to cut and run. What would that accomplish? Dems don't have the power to get us out of Iraq. It would simply allow Bush to portray Dems as defeatist.

The calls for getting out must come from the GOP, the polls and finally the military. Lets face it we have lost the war. Bush must not be allowed to say defeatist Dems forced me to cut and run.

Getting out of Iraq will involve a series of very unpopular decisions. Bush must make these decisions and pay the price for it. Why should Dems share responsibility for the unpopular decisions? This is Bush's fuck up. Why throw him a rope? He will be under overhwelming pressure from his own party as well as the military. He will be forced to make the unpopular decisions.

When it is all over and the country understands the magnitude of Iraq FUBAR Democrats like Hillary will be able to attack Bush from the right. She will be able to accuse him of botching the occupation, cutting and running, incompetence, weaking the military, etc. etc.

You guys are all thinking tactically. Think strategically. The die is cast. Dems can't change the facts on the ground. Bush is trapped. He doesn't have any attractive options. Damned if he does damned if he doesn't. Leave him alone. For now. Don't turn it into a Dem-GOP fight. He will have no choice but make a series of very unpopular decisions. All on his own.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

I suggest you read some history books especially the Vietnam war and how the GOP won the politics of that war.  

Vietnam war was very unpopular with the public. Democrats won the debate about the war. Unfortunately they lost the politics of it. Nixon won a landslide victory over truth telling George McGovern.

You are naive if you think you win in politics by honesty. You win by smart strategizing. Nixon was a brilliant strategist. He managed to turn a disastrous war to his advantage. He was a crook and won a landslide victory against an honest truth telling war hero.

Democrats need smart strategizing. Not childish emotionalism we are seeing here.

The smartest thing they can do is stay out of Bush's way when he is self destructing.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
You guys can't see the big picture. You are so focused on this week and this month that you can't see next year. You are acting out of emotion, instead of reason.

American public is turning against the war and against Bush precisely because they don't see the situation as a Dem/GOP political catfight. If they saw Biden or Hillary on TV everynight trading barbs with Bush they would dismiss it as just another political catfight. Instead they see Iraq fiasco=Bush, with Dems out of the picture. This is the best scenario for now.

Dems have learned the lessons of Vietnam. They remember that even though Dems won the argument GOP won the politics of Vietnam. Why? Because Nixon was able to marginalize Dems with Jane Fonda and the Hippies.

Rove/Bush would love nothing better than to get into an Iraq debate with Biden or Hillary and portray the whole thing as a political dispute with Dems cutting and running and letting terrorists win and GOP "stay and fight" party. This is what they want. Smart Dems like Hillary and Reid understand this. They are saying no we are not getting drawn into that trap. This is your fuckup. The pressure to withdraw has to come from your own party and the military. They are telling Bush you are on your own.




Display:


It's not all politics (3.00 / 1)

I don't support setting a date certain for withdrawal, but instead a plan tieing withdrawal to activities on the ground in Iraq (passing Constitution...Election under Constitution...etc.) but I am tired of hearing people say "the h*ll with the country, if it helps the Democrats politically to let this stew indefinitely, then let's let it stew!"

Consent of the governed works both way.  If we think Democrats should have a say in governing even when Republicans control both Houses and the Presidency, then we need to provide an example of how we would govern.  If we expect people to vote for Democrats in 2006 and 2008, we need to give them something to vote FOR, not just vote AGAINST.  The latter hasn't worked for us in 2004, 2002 or 2000.

---------------- "Decisions are made by those who show up"
by rich kolker on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 03:39:33 PM EST

Re: It's not all politics (none / 0)

Yes, I think you are on the right track there. Deadlines that have no substantive meaning make it seems as if the politician setting it is clueless, just randomly stating by such and such a date...
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:55:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

All Well and Good (3.00 / 3)

This is all well and good, expect that people are dying over there. To sit back and do nothing is unconscionable. This is not Bush's war. Do nothing Democrats in Washington are just as much to blame. They sat back and rubber stamped this nightmare. They must help pick up the pieces.

The key to a political victory is to unite the anti-war factions of the left with the pro-military factions that are sick and tired of what is going on over there. Build that bridge and you have an unstoppable alliance. McGovern didn't make that bridge and he was ripped apart.

That's why people like Paul Hackett are so attractive. They've been there. You can't call them anti-war defeatists. They want success and are untouchable because they actually lived Iraq.

Editor
Ohio 2nd Blog
by ignatzmouse on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 03:41:45 PM EST

Re: All Well and Good (none / 0)

"The key to a political victory is to unite the anti-war factions of the left with the pro-military factions that are sick and tired of what is going on over there"

Unite them to advocate WHAT?

To advocate that Bush provide sufficient security for Iraq to stabilize?  And if he can't do that, to bring in the UN?

-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:34:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: All Well and Good (3.00 / 1)

In case you haven't noticed, everyone except the neocons is talking about getting our people home. That's a big move the requires some serious leadership.

Just saying bring the troops home doesn't cut it. Professor Juan Cole is offering up some ideas. We should be talking about them.

Since Bush & Co aren't stepping up to the plate, someone has to.

Editor
Ohio 2nd Blog
by ignatzmouse on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 07:51:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: All Well and Good (none / 0)

"Just saying bring the troops home doesn't cut it. Professor Juan Cole is offering up some ideas. We should be talking about them."

Ah.  Absolute, complete agreement.

I think we all want to END the war.  I don't know that bringing our troops home now is necessarily the way to do that.

-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:35:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Very good point (3.00 / 2)

First of all, Democrats have to take the lead on framing the debate, or the RWNM will do it for us. Sitting on the side lines while Bush self destructs is fine, but Miri and the robust liberal hawks have to stop saying things like this:

It would be wrong for Dems to come out and ask Bush to cut and run.

Can anybody name a single Democrat who has asked Bush to "cut and run"?

Let's take a rational look at what Howard Dean and Russ Feingold are actually advocating, and then have a rational discussion about political strategy.

Second, let's stop helping GOPERS frame anti-war sentiment with statements like this:

Democrats need smart strategizing. Not childish emotionalism we are seeing here.

There is nothing childish about being opposed to Bush's Iraq war. I'll give Miri credit for addressing this comment to comments by other posters in the diary, instead of towards Dean and Feingold. I will also plead guilty to responding to statements like Miri's with equally strident accusations like "you low down dirty rotten warmonger."  

That's the way fast paced blogosphere flame wars work. Epithets become shorthand substitutes for arguments that may not even be parenthetically made.

Third, Nixon and the Republicans did not win the political argument about Vietnam. Nixon won the election with the help of the MSM for a lot of different reasons including internecine warfare between Democratic factions.

Like old Generals, Miri and the strategic class Democrats are fighting the last political war, not this one. They will lose the strategic political argument, because the RWNM and the M$M are not on their side and never will be. The RWNM and the M$M will praise Biden, Hillary and the strategic class Democrats, just like they did the Scoop Jackson Democrats, but the strategic political battle will be lost, because there won't be anyone on the other side.

I'm working on a diary about the strategic political goals and framing arguments that Democrats need to make. Attacking Bush from the right may provide a temporary tactical advantage, but will result in a long term strategic loss, because the American people will think that Bush and Gingrich are right or the Democrats wouldn't be attacking war opponents.

It would be nice to get everyone on the same page. I'll give that some thought before I complete my diary. Let's keep in mind that Howard Dean and Russ Feingold have presented very nuanced proposals that are not "McGovernite" unless other Democrats help the RWNM turn his proposal into a "cut and run" policy.

All Democrats need to stop bashing Michael Moore and start bashing Ann Coulter. That shouldn't be too difficult. Every time a Democrat bashes Michael Moore to boost their own robust liberal hawk image, Karl Rove wins.

I also reject the idea that telling the American people the truth about Iraq is not a winning strategic approach. We have two and a half years to make the case against Bush's war. If we start now there is plenty of time to refine the strategic arguments. The only way to win the long term strategic political war is by talking truth to power and truth to the American people.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 03:58:26 PM EST

Irony (none / 0)

I find it ironic that you say that Democrats need to stop bashing Michael Moore, yet when there is bashing of actual elected officials who have a chance to do some good, you are first in line to bash them.  Let's see some consistancy, here.
by LaX WI on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:29:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No irony. (3.00 / 2)

Michael Moore isn't the problem. Democrats who vote like Republicans are.
by craverguy on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:31:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No irony. (none / 0)

So by your logic, it's wrong for a Democrat to bash someone with who you agree, but right for people to bash those with whom you disagree.  That's certainly a high standard.  Here's mine: Democrats, and those who would like to see the Republicans defeated in future elections, should do well not to trash any Democrats.  If it's not productive, but rather just an attack on our own team, don't bother saying it.  I don't trash Sen. Clinton and her moderate allies, and I don't trash Rep. Kusinich and his liberal ilk.  I don't even attack those lefties who don't hold elected office, like Micheal Moore.  I'd challange you to see if you can't hold yourself to the same standard, even for a week.  You might find the atmosphere becoming more positive around here.
by LaX WI on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 09:05:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No irony. (none / 0)

Would you have trashed George Wallace in 1972?
by craverguy on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 10:18:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Straw man (none / 0)

First off, it was 1968, not 1972.  Second, Wallace ran as an independent.  Hubert Humphrey was the Democratic nominee.  
by ajwagner on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 10:49:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Straw man (none / 0)

In 1972, Wallace ran in the Democratic primaries. Here's the map.

Now, would you have criticized George Wallace in 1972?

by craverguy on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 10:59:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No irony. (none / 0)

/ I don't trash Sen. Clinton and her moderate allies, and I don't trash Rep. Kusinich and his liberal ilk.

That is certainly generous of you. It is plain to see that you are full on the spirit of conciliation and mutual understanding.

/ I don't even attack those lefties who don't hold elected office, like Micheal Moore.  I'd challange you to see if you can't hold yourself to the same standard, even for a week.

I appreciate your invitation to unilateral disarmament while the DLC and centrist Dems stay on the attack. No thanks. I give as good as I get and will continue to do so.

by Gary Boatwright on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 02:35:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Typical blind referee (none / 0)

I guess you missed my diaries and the nice little flame war over the recent Dem bashing by the DLC:

DLC Warmongers Writ Large

And that's just one example. It might be a good idea for a 48 comment, no diary newbie to get the lay of the land before they start offering advice to their elders and betters.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 06:18:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Typical blind referee (none / 0)

Actually, I've been here for some time, and generally prefer to avoid your acidic attacks on our elected officials.  I've also always been of the school of thought that unless you have something intelligent to say, it's best not to say anything, though I see that you don't subscribe to the same.  Now that I've finished answering your pointless attack with one equally pointless that could only generate another of the flame wars you so adore, I'll go back to reading and understanding, rather than simply spewing comments in response to every post, regardless of merit.
by LaX WI on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 09:00:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Typical blind referee (1.00 / 2)

You were better off not saying anything. Stick to reading and mis-understanding.
by Gary Boatwright on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 02:30:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Bravo, Bravo, Bravo Gary Boatwright! (3.00 / 1)

Let me add my own comments to this.

This is going to be an anti-war movement, whether or not it comes from the heart of the Democratic Party.  We know this because we are seeing it already, and because the polls are showing it.  The trendlines are there for anybody to see.  And the fact that Iraq is only going to get worse between now and "stay the course," just guarantees this process.

So it's not like the nascent anti-war movement is something that can be avoided.  It's just a question of whether or not the Dems are going to be on-board, or whether they are going to become irrelevant to THE major issue of the next several years.  

We are not the majority party.  We cannot afford to be irrelevant.  We can't pursue a rope-a-dope strategy of waiting for Bush to implode.

Some more information for you... What if there was an anti-war movement, and no Dems came?  Only conservatives.  Conservative doves.  Hagel, Buchanan, NOVAK, Jones, Armstrong Williams...  The number of deserters from the right is growing.  

I watch this, and I feel shame.  What is our most prominent Dem doing?  She's demagoguing about DIRTY VIDEO GAMES.

by Dumbo on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 12:41:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

indeed (3.00 / 2)

ok let me take off my human hat and put on my democratic strategist hat.

and when the GOP gets out in front of this issue and "fixes their mess" what is the electoral consequence of this?

jerome, i want you to answer that.  you seem to be advocating that we let the GOP take the lead on this.  fuck that.  we let folks like hagel get out in front of this and we are truly fucked electorally.  you think we had losses after 68?  why, let's just sit back and let the GOP take the lead on this issue, which is the #1 issue in the minds of americans.  let's led the GOP lead us out of the darkness and into the light.

are you fucking kidding me?

now look, i want out of there as much as the next person, but i do not think it is stupid or uncalled for for OUR DEMS, especially the ones who rubber stamped this quagmire, to get out in front of this, admit they were wrong, and begin putting pressure on the GOP to change course.  so what if we don't have the power to actually accomplish that?  the bottom line is that if you are looking at this in terms of electoral losses or gains, the ONLY SMART THING TO DO is get in front of this issue.

now taking off my strategist hat and going back to being a human being, PEOPLE ARE DYING in iraq for no reason.  i don't really give two shits who gets us out of there as long as we get out of there as soon as possible.  but what will disgust me, and probably turn me OFF from the democrats forever, is if they let this opportunity to make it right pass them by.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 09:38:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: indeed (none / 0)

I'd suggest you go and read those links to freeperville that i posted in about Hagel. You think the Republicans would be united in backing Hagel?  No way in hell. I don't buy that the D's can lead, as a minority, the Republicans out of Iraq. The only opportunity that's there, is to either take them to task, and say fix it (and they cant), or say 'get out', which will politicize the war, and nail us to the wall  AND make the war last longer.
by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 10:02:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: indeed (3.00 / 1)

If we don't lead now when our nation needs us most why should we ever? If Hegel is attacked for backing sanity we need to support him.

This isn't about Democrat and Republican, it's about right and wrong. If we're right we need to act like it.

Leaders don't sit on their ass when the world goes to shit. Churchill was one of the weakest politicians in the world prior to WWII. Yet by proving himself time and time again as a leader eventually people woke up and turned to him. Who are our American Churchills?

Editor
Ohio 2nd Blog
by ignatzmouse on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 10:56:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

*banging head against wall* (3.00 / 1)

jerome, i have read the freeper response on hagel.  yes they are freaking out and calling him a traitor and all kinds of nasty shit.

but guess what?  it doesn't fucking matter what the freepers say.  they are a minority in their party.  

and isn't it becoming apparent that the country is turning against the quagmire?  if you concede that, then you must also concede that the freeper opinion about hagel and others will become more and more marginalised as the country realises what that we need a real exit strategy.  the independents who are swinging away from the GOP and the true moderates (which are really the majority of the GOP voters) will begin to join hagel in calling for an exit strategy.  

and if the dems just sit on their hands throughout this time, who is going to come out of it smelling like roses?  that's right: hagel and his ilk.  and who is going to look like a bunch of arseholes for a) rubber stamping the quagmire and b) not owning up to their mistakes when it became apparent that a mistake was made?  the dems, that's who.  and who will benefit, electorally, from that?  the GOP.

honestly, i can't believe you can't see the logic in this.  

think about it.  the dems - even if they are in the minority - have NO OBLIGATION to remain silent on this issue or to let the GOP lead us out of the quagmire.  

they need to begin acting like a real opposition party and start screaming at the top of their lungs about bush's incompetence.  they need to stand up FOR SOMETHING and start going directly to the public and make the case to the american people that the war has been mismanaged and that we are losing.  they need to make the case for and exit strategy and withdrawal.  the american people are turning OUR WAY - why oh why would we let this opportunity slip away by allowing the GOP to take the lead here?  

and by getting out front of this issue WE can make electoral gains.  because if we make a compelling case and the GOP doesn't follow through, the people will elect the candidates that they think will really try and fix the situation.  if our dems don't get out in front of this, we will not be the ones reaping electoral gains in 06.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 11:37:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *banging head against wall* (none / 0)

I agree that Bush is the target.  I don't agree that Democrats are, even those that are sitting on their hands. This is Bush's war, he to fix the mess he's created.
by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 04:45:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: indeed (3.00 / 1)

Anatopia is 100% right that no matter what happens, the GOP will claim a victory. The corporate media will be happy to oblige them with a narrative that supports that view.  So waiting around to position ourselves perfectly politically is not only a losing proposition, it's absolutely amoral.  I thought throwing women over the side at the first sign of trouble was as low as I'd see us sink but this is about fifty degrees of magnitude lower than that.  
by eRobin on Thu Aug 25, 2005 at 09:39:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Occupation makes it worse (none / 0)

Let's face it, the invasion of Iraq broke it and now we can't fix it. Continued presence of an invasion and occupation force inspires more violence and more extremism. Iraq is breaking apart into civil war and there is not one thing we can do to make it better. The best things for dems to say is that this was a war of Bush's ideology and hubris based on lies. Not one more American son or daughter must die for this tragedy. Dems must say America must take care of America and give up ambitions of empire. The Middle East will be more stable when the U.S. gets out. American colonial aims are the problem, not the solution. Chuck Hagel has said it more clearly than any other establishment politician.
Bill R.
by cmpnwtr on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:01:40 PM EST

Re: Occupation makes it worse (none / 0)

Yes, we illegally invaded, ad "broke it."  But the reason it is not being "fixed' is that Bush has refused to send sufficient forces to provide security.  Most of the bombs are targeted at and killing Iraqis, not Americans.

What we all want is to END the war.  I think that is how we should be framing this.  We want to END the war.  The next thing is to talk about how to accomplish that.  So does just packing up and leaving accomplish that?

And the next question is, what are the implications for our own security if we just leave?  What if radical Islamists take over Iraq - and gain the resources of a nation-state to use against us?

We have been saying that the invasion has not made us safer, and that it created more terrorism not less.  But those are not just political slogans.  The invasion of Iraq DID make us less safe and DID create more terrorism.  So aybe it is NOT such a good idea to just pack up and leave not.

We need to leave in a way that provides security for Iraqis - most likely by bringing in the UN - so they can set up a stable government and justice system capable of keeping a lid on things there.

-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:42:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

There (none / 0)

is no reason to say "cut and run" and I don't think anyone's saying that. That's kind of a straw man thrown into the argument.

BUT demanding accountability and some PLAN from Bush IS what should be coming out of EVERY Dem's mouth RIGHT NOW. Moreover, from every American's mouth who supports the troops.

As far as Nixon getting reelected in a landslide, I don't recall that the war was that unpopular yet back then. Remember the Silent Majority? Contrary to what people think now, MOST young people were not counterculture hippies and antiwar advocates and most of our voting citizens were very slow to admit the truth about Nam, especially given the very high casualty rate that was spread around the population much wider than it is now.

Visit my blog Democracy for New Mexico
by barbwire on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:10:28 PM EST

Re: There (none / 0)

The person in the post just above yours was saying that, in fact.
-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:36:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: There (none / 0)

Apology for the snark.  Sorry.
-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:55:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

False Analogies (none / 0)

Democratic presidents were in charge when Vietnam escalated, when it exploded into a fiasco, and when the American public realized there was no way we could win it.

If the analogy fits, it's to prove that the party that gets the country into a morass is the one that pays the political consequences.

It's totally disingenuous to posit that Democrats will be giving this administration an out by hammering that it was the wrong war, and that we're losing, and that we need to get out as soon as logistically possible. If the 2004 election were taking place in today's climate, Dean would win in a landslide.

Continuing to play along isn't smart politics, it's more support for the same old "undifferentiable politicians" meme.

by forethought on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:12:50 PM EST

Re: False Analogies (none / 0)

Right, so let the Republicans implode themselves.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:56:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Do this FIRST (none / 0)

The first thing we have to do is define our terms. When discussing strategic goals it helps to define precisely what those strategic goals are.

The two primary long term strategic goals have both complementary and conflicting themes:

(1.) Ending Bush's Iraq war as soon as possible.

      (a.) An exit strategy from Iraq.
      (b.) A political message that achieves that goal.

(2.) Winning the long term political advantage on the Iraq war that restores Democrats to power.

The first argument is going to be about which long term strategic goal takes priority.

Secondary political strategic goals include:

(3.) Winning back at least one house of Congress in 2006.

(4.) Winning back both houses of Congress in 2008.

(5.) Winning back the Presidency in 2008.

(6.) The last, but not least, overall goal of political realignment for another forty years.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:13:24 PM EST

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

Ending Bush's Iraq war as soon as possible.

Agreed, we can't do that until 2-4 are done though, which means that only Republicans can end this war in the short-term.

by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:00:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

Granted. But that is exactly why we need to have the discussion about strategy and clearly define strategic objectives before we can rationally discuss the war itself.

Believe it or not, there are going to be a lot of the peacemongers, who are more radical than I am, who think it is obscene to put the political objectives of the Democratic party above ending the war.

Until we can come to agreement on grand strategic objectives and which ones have the highest priority, we will continue talking past each other.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 06:21:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

They can operate outside the Democratic Party.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 06:46:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

They can, but they probably won't. Operating outside of the two-party duopoly gets you nowhere in America.
by craverguy on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 06:48:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (3.00 / 1)

Are DFA, Howard Dean and Russ Feingold outside of the Democratic party?

This is a debate the Democratic party has to have. The Strategic Class and the "stay the course" Democrats are not making any sense. They are the ones that have to explain exactly how they plan to "win" or "stabilize" Iraq.

That's the exact same nonsense they said about Vietnam. All of the conservative and centrist Democrats joined Nixon and Mayor Daley beating up on peacemonger hippies, literally as well as figuratively. The same sad, stupid story is being replayed and Democrats are falling into the same stupid trap.

Trying to build a Chinese Wall around the Democratic party and keeping this debate on the periphery is a prescription for disaster. Cindy Sheehan is the tip of a tsunami that will begin to cascade over the country next month.

September is going to be a very important month in D.C. There is some sort of anti-war event prior to the Peace Rally September 23rd-26th. The GOPERS and the M$M are going to do the same thing they always do to the "anarchists" and "America haters" who show up to protest globalization.

Is the Democratic party going to help the GOPERS and the M$M marginalize the anti-war protesters or are they going to grow a spine?

Peace Takes Courage

The more things change, the more they stay the same.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:12:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

Would you say that Howard Dean and Russ Feingold are among the peacemongers, who are more radical than I am, who think it is obscene to put the political objectives of the Democratic party above ending the war.?  Because I wouldn't. I know Howard doesn't; and my bet is that Russ is savvy enough to view the "flexible" deadline as perfectly positioned at the end of 2006 for a Presidential launch.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:28:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

Not at all. I  think the position of both Dean and Feingold are very politically astute. I am simply stating that their position is very middle of the road. Neither one of them is "far left." Neither one of them is proposing anything "radical", unless the strategic class Democrats help the RWSM brand them as radical.

It is the robust liberal hawks and the so called strategic class pundits that help the RWNM brand Move On as "far left." Move On is not far left. Howard Dean is not far left. Russ Feingold is not far left.

Bernie Sanders is not far left.

Any political system where a whack job like O'Reilly can even pretend to be "fair and balanced" is so far out of kilter that it requires serious readjustment. O'Reilly and Bush and Coulter are not the mainstream. When Democrats help the RWNM brand Bernie Sanders and Move On and Howard Dean as "far left" they are helping the RWNM.

Al From should be embracing Michael Moore. Al From should be embracing Howard Dean. Joe Biden and Joe Lieberman should be embracing Howard Dean. Can you explain to me what the advantage is to the Democratic party for the attacks by all of those "good Democrats" on Howard Dean?

The very same principle applies to Bush's war in Iraq. If Democrats like Biden and Feinstein and Hillary attack Feingold's position, they are helping make Newt's case for a 50 year war in Iraq.

This is exactly like Vietnam. Exactly. Mayor Daley had Chicago cops kick the shit out of hippie anti-war protesters outside the Democratic convention and Democrats cheered.

Republicans didn't demonize McGovern. Democrats demonized McGovern.

by Gary Boatwright on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 02:49:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Do this FIRST (none / 0)

Don't you mean McCarthy?
Matt Flynn
by Flynnieous on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 10:37:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Lead not follow. (none / 0)

It may or may not be tactically smarter to allow Bush to continue to take the heat for the occupation's failures.  But reducing a moral decision on the war to a question of political maneuvers is cowardly at best.  I expect Democratic leaders to call for an exit strategy in order to end the war, whether or not that comes at the cost of letting Republicans off the hook.  I also expect them to do so because they're paid to represent their constituents, and their constituents are antiwar.  Moreover, there seems to be a tacit assumption that Democrats calling for an exit strategy somehow amounts to conceding defeat on behalf of the Administration instead of boldly leading the way toward peace and sanity.

Congressional Democrats went along for the ride during the vote for the war.  They should not repeat the mistake by going along for the ride during its execution.  They should lead instead of follow.

by Woodhouse on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:20:12 PM EST

Rovian Ratfuck (none / 0)

Today (independent of the Miri post) I posted 'another view worth considering on withdrawal' at Ezra Klein's blog - in Ezra's post titled "Russ Makes Sense".

Some portions of my comment:

So the withdrawal issue is a sucker punch by BushCo. Deny any plans to withdraw, but push like mad to put in place items that can justify withdrawal of some kind before the 06 elections - winning by staying the course.
...
In effect, Bush has in place a conditional withdrawal strategy, but one whose conditions are not spoken, and therefore can be changed as things evolve. With a new constitution and new government, the only thing left is Iraqi military forces capable of securing stability of some kind. The later item is solely within Bush's power to declare as having been (partially) met.
...
The element not yet spelled out here is the ratfuck. How to get the Democrats to play into Rovian/Bushian hands to turn a military and political disaster into an electoral victory in 06 and 08?
...
How do the Dems avoid this Rovian ratfuck? This is pure politics to BushCo, and talk of the merits or demerits of various withdrawal/non-withdrawal ideas misses the major hidden context being pursued by Bush.

The full comment is here.

I'm beginning to think that attacking Bush from the right instead of calling for withdrawal or a timetable or a specified set of conditions is the better political strategy.  

We Dems. can't set national military strategy (or even tactics), so let's make sure we aren't ultimately blamed for the awful results that are likely to ensue.

"Pay any price, bear any burden"
by JimPortlandOR on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:40:31 PM EST

Re: Rovian Ratfuck (none / 0)

No matter what the Dems will be blamed for what goes wrong.  No. Matter. What.  The corporate media runs that show and they're in the tank for the GOP.  
by eRobin on Thu Aug 25, 2005 at 09:48:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Democratic Response (none / 0)

Hmm, a very interesting take that I am willing to accept.  So no demanding a time table.  However, we should still criticize the way he is mishandling the war.  We should talk about the lack of armor and troops and the cutbacks to Veteran services.  We should talk about the Islamic republic that is being set up as we speak.  Whenever Bush veers from his goals, we should hold his feet to the fire.  No shortcuts here, Bushieboy.
by exLogCabin on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 04:57:11 PM EST

Don't follow Kerrys' example (none / 0)

Kerry tried to simutaneously justify his vote for the war and criticize Bush's handling of it. The result was he lacked credibility on what we should do in Iraq and on the war on terror. Even at this late date, with the exception of a few people like Russ Feingold, major Democrats have not stepped forward to take on Bush on Iraq in a way that offers a clear distinction with his current policy. (Yeah I have seen Joe Biden on the talk shows but in my view he is trying to pull out a justification for his vote in favor of going to war.) In my opinion, and especially what we know now about WMD, this "keep your head down policy" costs the Democrats so much in credibility that it far outweighs the potential risk of being called soft on defense. The way to defend against that attack is to offer a stategy in the war against terrorism that actually makes sense. At this point the Democrats need to be concerned about their base, not what charges Republicans are going to throw at them.
 
by Alvord on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 05:07:13 PM EST

The Same Thing (3.00 / 1)

It doesn't matter how quickly the troops are pulled out, the same inevitable result will follow.  Isn't this obvious?  It's called losing.  When you lose, you lose.  You can lose quickly or slowly.  If people want some artificial timetable to withdraw troops, then so be it.  If the timetable was 1 year, then that to me is a compromise with the delusional folks who think it will make bit of difference.  Just get the troops out of there and get Bush the hell out of office and quit patronizing his war with calls for more troops or a very slow "withdrawal."  Slow withdrawals never work, because some event will always happen that makes it "necessary" to stay a little longer.  Quit worrying so damn much about how the American people are going to respond to it and do what needs to be done, otherwise you have idiots like Biden and Clinton getting more troops killed because they think it will help them get elected.  I will vote for Hagel over either one of them at this point.
by steve expat on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 06:06:05 PM EST

amen to that (none / 0)

have a 3.  
Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Tue Aug 23, 2005 at 11:40:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Wise Heads Prevailed (none / 0)

On Saturday August 20th at the Arizona Democratic Party State Committee meeting in Flagstaff, a resolution was passed with overwhelming support which shows Arizona Democrats support America's troops.

Wise heads crafted this resolution (not me!) which places the onus of responsibilty on the administration to set an exit plan.

The resolution calls for "responsible and expeditious" removal of troops from Iraq, and for the administration to "fully fund veteran's and military benefits for our service personnel."

Text of resolution:

"Whereas the AZ Democratic Party is supportive of our Men and Women in military service and supportive of their families;

And whereas the AZ State Democratic Party opposes the reasons previously stipulated by the Bush Administration for war in Iraq, the method of prosecution of the war and its failure to have an adequate exit plan from Iraq;

Be it resolved that the AZ Democratic Party call upon the Bush Administration and the US Congress to support the families of our service people and to fully fund veterans and military benefits for our service personnel and we call upon the Bush administration to remove our troops from Iraq in as responsible and expeditious a fashion as possible."

more at:
http://www.az-vote.com

by Ladybug on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:13:02 PM EST

I am totally for (none / 0)

setting some solid prerequisites for withdrawal.

Two spring to mind immediately:

First, we need to get Saddam out of power.

Then, we need to make sure that the WMD programs are all dismantled.

Then, we can GtFO.

There is absolutely no point in our trying to compel the Iraqis to create a stable government or even negotiate peace between their own factions while we're occupying their country, unless we plan on staying for a decade, at least.

What nobody seems to understand is that anything that results from the processes we have initiated is predicated on our presence, oversight, and enforcement.

The moment we leave, we get to watch what happens when the Iraqis stop being nice and start being real. Our house of cards will collapse, and we either get to go back in and start over again, or stand by watch everything we built go to $#!+.

Assuming the administration is telling the truth about its aims in Iraq -- which, of course, it's not -- the whole damn thing is a waste of time.

In reality, what they're doing is trying to manipulate the game so that a pro-US corporatist establishment winds up in control of the country.

So, unless you're pro-colonialism, rapid withdrawal (immediate being too chaotic) is the best idea.

Cut some deals with the native power-brokers to ensure order is kept, and do your best to make sure other countries don't move in to take over. Or get the UN to round up some Arab peacekeepers who won't be seen as occupiers.

Just GtFO.

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:27:07 PM EST

Re: I am totally for (none / 0)

"The moment we leave, we get to watch what happens when the Iraqis stop being nice and start being real."

I'm not clear on what you're saying.  Are you saying this is a good thing?

-- Seeing the Forest
by davej on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:38:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No more than (none / 0)

the rotation of the Earth, or the changing of the seasons are good things. They can be a boon or hinderance, depending on your aims. They are simply facts.

I just mean that all of the administration's intricate constructs are going to go -poof!- the moment the US armed forces aren't there to support and protect them. And the more things rely on said constructs, the harder the resulting collapse is going to be on the people of Iraq. Make sense?

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 08:51:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Democrats (3.00 / 1)

when the time is right should simply give Bush this choice: "Get a working strategy, or get out."  

It pins any loss squarely on him, and implies that he's a failure thus far.

It also gives the Democrats an opportunity to list all the things he's done wrong so far. To avoid getting into too many specifics, Democrats could just say, "Well, back when we had the opportunity, we advised him to do X, but he didn't listen.  We're willing to discuss a course of action now, but we do not believe he'd listen to wisdom anyway." or "I did and he didn't listen then. I don't think he, anyone in his administration, and most Republican members of Congress would listen now."

by Newsie8200 on Mon Aug 22, 2005 at 11:59:01 PM EST


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