John McCain 21.7%
Rudy Giuliani 21.7%
Newt Gingrich 13.8%
Bill Frist 8.0%
George Pataki 2.8%
Mitt Romney 2.2%
George Allen 1.5%
undecided 28.3%
With the second list, the pollsters took a bit more liberty, adding Chuck Hagel, Sam Brownback, Haley Barbour, and the popular but not-running Condoleeza Rice.
Condoleeza Rice 30.3%
John McCain 16.0%
Rudy Giuliani 15.3%
Newt Gingrich 7.5%
Bill Frist 3.7%
George Pataki 2.0%
George Allen 0.7%
Chuck Hagel 2.5%
Sam Brownback 1.0%
Mitt Romney 0.5%
Haley Barbour 0.0%
undecided 20.5%
Most of this is completely speculative, but at least it's complete speculation that's taking place in Iowa. Predictably, the candidates with the highest name recognition -- Rice, Giuliani, McCain, Gingrich, Frist -- are the candidates who poll the best. The exception here is Pataki, with 70.5% name recognition, but less than 3% support. Though I don't put too much stock in polls this early in the game, I'd have to say this means a Pataki candidacy is DOA.
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