Corzine Rising

While I stand by my shrill panic from June, things are definately looking way up for Corzine now:
U.S. Sen. Jon Corzine holds a 13 percentage point lead in the New Jersey governor's race, although his opponent, Republican Douglas Forrester, has closed the name-recognition gap between the two, according to a poll released Thursday.

The Fairleigh Dickinson-PublicMind poll puts the Democrat ahead, 47 percent to 34 percent, among likely voters, with 16 percent undecided. The poll of 600 registered voters was conducted July 12-19 and has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points.(...)

The new poll indicates that Forrester has all but erased his status as the lesser-known candidate. Ninety percent of those surveyed said they had heard of Forrester, a businessman and former West Windsor mayor, compared to 94 percent for Corzine, a sitting U.S. senator and former CEO of Wall Street investment firm Goldman Sachs. That represents a 10 percent jump in name recognition for Forrester since April.(...)

Still, only 64 percent of likely voters could name the Democratic candidate for governor without prompting, and 57 percent could name the Republican.(...)

"Corzine is showing the advantages of incumbency without yet showing any of the disadvantages," said Peter Woolley, executive director of the poll. "But his series of small advantages could dissipate as the campaigns pick up steam."

Corzine appears to have stronger support among Democrats than Forrester has with Republicans. Some 8 percent of Democrats said they'd cross over and vote Republican, while 13 percent of Republicans said they'd switch parties for the election.

More voters say they have a very favorable opinion of Corzine than Forrester, and Corzine holds a slight edge among moderates, according to the poll.

The poll also asked voters about two hypothetical pairings: Forrester would lose to acting Gov. Richard J. Codey, 57 percent to 43 percent, but would defeat former Gov. James E. McGreevey, 60 percent to 40 percent.

This confirms the earlier Rasmussen poll that showed Corzine increasing his leade despite Forrester closing the name ID gap. One of the keys appears to be increasinly improved opinions of Codey among Garden state voters as McGreevey fades into memory. That Forrester already ran, and lost, for Senate was always going to reduce some of the advantages shared by most other challengers. Like Corzine, he is already pretty well defined to the general public.



Display:


Chris... off topic ... (none / 0)

Don't know if you saw my comment/request from a couple threads down but...

Over at Booman Tribune I was just reading this diary and it got me thinking that I would really appreciate seeing you keep a running update of House and Senate members, their votes, and their loyalty scorecards as the year goes along.
Monthly? Quarterly? I don't know what the appropriate time frame is but I get upset when I read people make blanket statements/diaries about Democrats laying down or not fighting or whatever. I usually agree with whatever they are angry about but I also strongly disagree with the blanket condemnations of Democrats as a whole. There are a lot of good people up their on the Hill fighting for the issues we care about and it would be good to have a running scorecard to point to that shows which Democrats deserve condemnation for their votes and shows just how many Democrats are really standing firm.

Peace,

Andrew
p.s. I just discovered the other day that you front paged one of my diaries last month but I didn't discover it until a couple days ago. Just wanted to say... Thank you.

by Andrew C White on Thu Jul 21st, 2005 at 12:04:43 PM EDT  

The 10,000 Things
by Andrew C White on Thu Jul 21, 2005 at 01:26:38 PM EST

Crossing over for Corzine (none / 0)

Just to follow up, based on my extremely unscientific polling of family, friends, co-workers, etc., I've encountered quite a few Republicans in my home state who will likely vote for Corzine. I know much of this has to do with Corzine's private-sector credentials as the CEO of Goldman Sachs. They compare Corzine to a guy like Forrester who, for all of his rhetoric about being a businessman, is really just a life-long politician -- asst. state treasurer, pension director, and mayor. It's really bizarre for Forrester to run against Corzine as a Trenton outsider when he's the consumate insider.  Even many Republicans aren't buying it.
by Scott Shields on Thu Jul 21, 2005 at 01:26:57 PM EST

Re: Crossing over for Corzine (none / 0)

Dude, Forrester's "insider" days were nearly twenty years ago, and I'm pretty sure there isn't a Republican in the world who would shy away from ties to the Kean administration.
by Mr Moderate on Thu Jul 21, 2005 at 07:22:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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