Senate Recruitment Update
by Chris Bowers, Wed Jul 20, 2005 at 02:07:25 PM EST
The DSCC is doing a great job out fundraising the NRSC, but money is only one part of the Senate picture in 2006. Here is a quick run down of the latest candidate recruitment news in five races that are not currently top-tier, but could become so:
- Arizona: It looks like Jim Pederson is going to challenge Kyl. Right now, Kyl and his huge warchest would be favored, but with an approval rating and re-elect numbers both under fifty, things could get interesting against self-financing Pederson.
- Missouri: Clair McCaskill would probably be the best Democrat to take on Jim Talent, who is currently under fifty in his approval rating. McCaskill managed 48% of the vote in Missouri, out-performing Kerry-Edwards, and the state seems to have some serious buyers remorse in not choosing her instead of Matt Blunt. Given all of this, McCaskill could very well turn this into a top-tier race. Dailykos user Pronny51 claims that McCaskill is in, based on insider and family info.
- Nebraska: Ben Nelson has a very high approval rating and lots of money in the bank, which suddenly makes this seat look like one we could keep. However, Nelson will face either former Republican state chairman David Kramer or former attorney general (and two-time Senate loser) Don Stenberg in the general. While Nelson looks good now, this is a fairly strong Republican field, and Nebraska is so ridiculously red that we need to keep our eyes on this one.
- Ohio: Mike DeWine is clearly vulnerable, and if Sherrod Brown were to enter the race, it would immediately become top tier. A DSCC poll (grain of salt required ), showed DeWine only 6 points up on Brown, but at only 42%, which is very dangerous for incumbents. DeWine's re-elect numbers were only at 31% in that poll as well. With Grow Ohio now launched, Brown is working to help Democrats across the Buckeye state. We really need him to run here.
- Washington: With Rossi out, it looks as though Republicans will field former Safeco CEO Mike McGavick. One of the reasons it looks as though McGavick will run is because he been the former CEO of Safeco for all of two days. Almost immediately after he quit that job, he held a press conference where he planned to "discuss his motivation for exploring a run for the U.S. Senate in 2006."
Obviously, making gains in the Senate in 2006 are heavily based upon Democrats putting together top recruits in 2005. McCaskill, Pederson and Brown would be a great trio and put a lot of pressure on incumbent Republicans. Of course, even if we get the best candidates and our financial situation continues to look strong, we are still going to need a convincing message to deliver to the electorate during the campaign.
Tags: Senate 2006 (all tags)
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