Update: Don't miss the Supreme Court Action thread
The announcement will come tonight. Why? Bob Franken explained why on CNN today:
"It helps take Rove off the front pages for a week," one Republican strategist said.
Saturday, 7/9: 49
Sunday, 7/10: 77
Monday, 7/11: 639
Tuesday, 7/12: 1,150
Wednesday, 7/13: 1,200
Thursday, 7/14: 1,230
Friday, 7/15:799
Saturday, 7/16: 303
Sunday, 7/17: 845
Monday, 7/18: 1,140
Tuesday, July 19: 836, but without the word "Clement," it is only 392.
So, in the face of a story where they were clearly getting killed, with no new wars left to declare, the Bush administration has decided to name the nominee early.
This does not necessarily hurt us. First, we can push the distraction meme. Second, a quicker nominee almost certainly means they did less background work, which will give us a chance to bring the noise on opposition research against Clement (or whoever it might be). Third, there is a very likely possibility that Clement's nomination will still be up in the air entering August recess, and when it comes to a judicial nominee a protracted battle will favor the opposition. Right now, no one knows who Clement is, but a longer battle means we can play a bigger role in helping define her.
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