The The: Republicans Continuing to Deny the Importance of the Rise of the Progressive Netroots

Back in June, I wrote an article that demonstrated lefty-blog traffic was larger and growing at a faster rate than right-wing blog traffic. It took a while for conservatives to cut through the surface of the article (my hypothesis that the reason for more expansive progressive blog growth has been investment in superior, community-based blog platforms), and eventually accept the central point: left-wing blogs are larger and growing faster than right-wing blogs, even if I don't know exactly why. At long last, they seem to have finally accepted that point (hard not to when bipartisan traffic rankings consistently show it to be true). Now, most of them have moved on to phase two of denial when it comes to their netroots deficit: claiming that it is actually a bad thing for Democrats.

The piece that has coalesced this line of thinking for the right was penned by Dean Barnett of the Weekly Standard:
Indeed, there is little doubt that the habitués of the Daily Kos, like their hated cousins who read popular conservative blogs such as Power Line and Little Green Footballs, live in very different worlds than their friends and neighbors. Blog readers are typically voracious gatherers of news. They not only simply know who people such as Ann Coulter are, they usually have strong opinions about these minor public figures, too. This is an unusual trait. After all, while Ann Coulter may be a polarizing firebrand beloved by her supporters and loathed by her detractors, when it comes to fame she's hardly Madonna.

For students of the blogosphere, it came as little surprise when the popularity of politically oriented blogs began to tumble in the wake of the presidential election this past November. But something funny has happened since then. While the traffic numbers of conservative blogs have remained at roughly the same levels following their post election slide, the left-wing blogosphere--and especially the Daily Kos--have almost fully rebounded. While Glenn Reynold's Instapundit, the most popular conservative blog, averages in the neighborhood of 150,000 page views a day, the Daily Kos now averages over 550,000; the sites were almost equally trafficked just last fall.

Theories abound for why the Daily Kos has left the right-wing blogosphere so far in the dust. One plausible explanation is that the Daily Kos has engendered a tremendous sense of community amongst it audience/contributors. While conservative blogs remain for the most part virtual op-ed columns (with the notable exception of Charles Johnson's Little Green Footballs), the Daily Kos has become a virtual family which allows readers to write their own blogs-within-the-blog (called diaries) and to engage in limitless amounts of commenting. Whatever the reason, there is nothing like the Daily Kos on the web--it is a phenomenon and the unquestioned leader of the blogs.

I'm just going to stop right there for a minute. While so far the article shows some understanding of the blogosphere and the people who read blogs, already in this article Dean Barnett has referred to Dailykos as "the Daily Kos" six times. This reminds me of how, when I was a teenager, many adults would refer to something as "the MTV," "the HBO," or "the Pearl Jam." Attaching an unnecessary article to the beginning of any new term has, at least in my life, been an unmistakable marker indicating that someone is unfamiliar with the subject they are discussing. As someone who has been visiting Dailykos for three years, and who knows many people who have been doing the same, never once have I heard someone refer to it as "the Daily Kos."

Anyway, the basic argument of the piece is that the rise of left-wing blogs has been bad for the Democratic Party because bloggers are "far-left," "shrill," "potty-mouthed," outside of the American "mainstream," and still not really very large. Further, while the Democratic Party has been trying to harness the power of blogs, they do not seem to understand blogs, and are instead being sucked into the same far-left, strident, potty-mouthed, anti-mainstream world. This is disastrous for them because, as a Democracy Corps poll shows, even while Republicans are tanking, Democrats are doing even worse.

My reaction to this not complex. I find Barnett's view of political organization to be overly linear, short-sighted, and either ignorant or purely dishonest. To address the last part first, it is either ignorant or dishonest because he either does not know that the vast majority of fundraising for the Democratic National Committee now comes form small online donors such as the type who read blogs, or he is somehow under the delusion that politicians of every persuasion have not, for decades, always tried to perform behind the scenes wooing of resource-providing activists who tend to be of the strident variety. Of course the Democratic Party is going to try and woo its new donor base--has any other party ever acted any differently? The number of people who read blogs may not be very high by the standard of the 2004 presidential election, but considering that around 80% of them donate to political campaigns and their average income is around 77K, a few hundred thousand of those people are extremely worth wooing. To do otherwise would be to not run an effective political organization, and to think otherwise is to simply be naïve, ignorant or dishonest.

To move onto the issue of size, well, yes, there are only about 650,000 readers of Dailykos on weekdays, and that is not very large by standards of presidential elections. However, there are a lot more readers of liberal blogs than just readers of Dailykos. For example, the Liberal blog Advertising network registers over 14,000,000 page views per week (or rather it will in a day or two, since we are about to add someone very, very big), which translates to a rough estimate of around 1.8 million unique visitors on weekdays. That still isn't very significant in terms of actual voters, but keep in mind that the number has increased more than ten-fold in the past two years. That number will only continue to increase over the next few years, building up to a huge crescendo during the 2008 elections.

Even if it doesn't get dramatically larger, so what? Votes and persuasion are the indirect, rather than the direct, purpose of emerging progressive media, such as blogs. Alternative media exists instead to activate a base group of voters and build resources from that base group that will eventually allow a party or an ideology to have far more resources when they seek to persuade the politically indifferent swing voters in the future. Barnett is right--most of America does not spend much time thinking about politics. So why exactly should the Democratic party be concerned with motivating these indifferents in the summer of 2005, the ultimate dead-zone of electoral politics? As I argued two weeks ago, wooing the base and converting swing voters is not an either or proposition:

Without an active and energized base, your ability to target swing voters is significantly reduced. One of the reasons why the right has so consistently had more resources to target swing voters is because they have generated so much revenue from their choir. For too long our model has been to skip the choir altogether and move directly to targeting swing voters and the unconverted. This has resulted in the political equivalent of progressives bringing a knife to the gunfight over swing voters.

The short-term success of the new progressive media marketplace that is the activist progressive blogosphere has been to generate far more resources from our choir than we have at any other time over the past three decades. What was, for at least two decades, a pathetically single-minded model of voter persuasion, just go straight after swing voters, has now been replaced by the start of a circular model where we can do the following:

  • 1- Preach to the choir
  • 2- Activate the choir and generate revenue
  • 3- Use that revenue to target swingers and the unconverted
  • 4- Return to step one with an expanded choir
Progressive media is in its infancy, and its goal at this stage is not to convert and target the swing. The goal is, instead, to preach to the choir and activate the choir so that we have far more revenue so that we can eventually expand.
If Barnett can only conceive of a purely linear model of politics where the Democratic Party is either on its far left or trying to reach swing voters, he just isn't trying hard enough. Any successful, long-term strategy for either political party must require finding a way to utilize all members and potential members of its coalition , rather than just one part. There is nothing mutually exclusive about preaching to the choir and converting swing voters. In fact, I'm not even sure if it is possible to be successful at one without pursuing the other.

Finally, let me deal with the short-sighted part of what Barnett writes. There was a time when right-wing talk radio was small, and it was dismissed even by many people in the Republican Party as an unimportant bunch of extremist whackos. Now, however, many of them are mainstream media figures with enormous audiences that have a powerful effect on the national political discourse, not just the conservative political discourse (Limbaugh, Hannity, etc.). As blogs and other forms of emerging progressive media continue to grow, they will eventually accomplish much of the same thing. Unless you can understand blogs as part of a long-term progressive strategy to help move the entire national political discourse and the national media discourse to the left, then I think you miss their real promise. Conservatives can deny that the ongoing rise of the lefty-netroots isn't important, just like Democrats denied the importance of rising right-wing media and grassroots in the seventies and eighties, but there once was a time not long ago when Democrats were the natural ruling party of this country. When that happens again, blogs such as Dailykos will have played a major role.


Display:


Why are you engaging them in this debate? (3.00 / 1)

Wouldn't it be better for our side if the right wing machine did not fully recognize your impact?

Last year, Bush kept telling his party faithful, although it wasn't as widely reported, that their secret to winning were their ground troops. I don't remember him focusing on convincing us, the progressives, of the existence of his machine. In fact, the right wing media machines, still doesn't acknowledge it's impact on the media. They call it the liberal media although they now dominate.

Finally, if you want to have a sucessful revolution, doesn't that means not telling the other side "oh we are growing, come look us, we are a threat?" I feel like this is an example of what I am referring lately as the progressive's need to show that he or she is the smartest person in the room rather than being focused on an actual win. It came up in the context of messaging, and the importance of simplicity. The same holds true here. I think the situation is simple: let them believe whatever fantasy they want to believe, and you spend your efforts trying to build up a strong hidden secret weapon to their base.

by bruh21 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 02:49:27 PM EST

I just wanted to say... (3.00 / 0)

I love reading the MyDD.  
Invest in nature
by NCDem on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:12:58 PM EST

Isn't "the pearl jam" (none / 0)

a euphemism for something else entirely?

Sorry.

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:38:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Teacher, teacher: I know why!!! (none / 0)

"left-wing blogs are larger and growing faster than right-wing blogs, even if I don't know exactly why."

The answer is that Republicans are so assbackwards that they still listen to AM radio.

by jcjcjc on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:32:45 PM EST

There are some BIG NEGATIVES (none / 0)

like they are scrubbing the internet.

Is it any wonder why there are hardly any references to Edith Brown Clement on the internet....

Just today within hours of looking at a website it had been scrubbed... there is a MASSIVE WHITEWASHING GOING ON.

What is going to happen in ten to twenty years when memories start to fade and all that is left of written history are the transcripts of Fox News and CNN.

I am beginning to see irreversable damage done to modern history.

There are libraries in Texas that have gotten rid of all their books and only use the internet... now that is is being scrubbed who will keep our history.

Besides telling us how to live, think, marry, pray, vote, invest, educate our children and, die, the GOP has done a fine job of getting gov't out of our lives.
by Parker on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:33:26 PM EST

This is just a fear factor prompt (none / 0)

to increase the number of right wing blogs...

Look at all the new software that is coming out... we are Succesfully bypassing the MSM and they are just trying to scare their wingnuts to keep up.

Besides telling us how to live, think, marry, pray, vote, invest, educate our children and, die, the GOP has done a fine job of getting gov't out of our lives.
by Parker on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:35:39 PM EST

I'm of the opinion that (none / 0)

Reep blogs have gone into remission because they've got nobody to rail against. If it were Kerry in office, I'll bet it'd be Kos slumping and Powerline humming. It's a by-product of our modern political system, which runs on fear and hatred.

As the Supreme Clown Posse battle heats up, and Reid starts getting demonized again, I expect you'll see Reep traffic rebound significantly. Just a guess.

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 03:45:08 PM EST

Re: I'm of the opinion that (none / 0)

even if Kerry had won, it would still be the Republican clown show in both houses.  There would be plenty to keep the Dems riled up.

I think this view underestimates the power of community, especially for Democrats.  The Democratic party is, in many ways, about communication, which both helps and hurts the party.  The ability of kos and its children sites to foster community is pretty important.  Look at tmpcafe.com.  In just a few weeks its traffic now matches that of talkingpointsmemo.com.  You offer a community and Democrats will show up.  I think this would have continued to fuel the growth of places like kos even if Kerry have won.  Maybe not quite as much as current exists, but nowhere near like the slump the right wing is having now.

by crimsonc on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 06:20:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That's a good point, (3.00 / 1)

and I probably overstated the impact, but I do think that a large part of the dropoff in Reep blog traffic can be attributed to the fact that Gee-Dub won.

Just as in the '90s, with Clinton in office, much of the left thought their side was winning, and paid no attention as NAFTA and media deregulation were put in motion, a large segment of the right is breathing easy now that their anointed one has fended off the fire-breathing liberals and is leading the way to the Promised Land.

You can hear it in their weary arguments -- "the election's over -- you lost, get over it!" They think they've won, they think it's over. For the "losers," on the other hand, it's just getting started.

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 06:52:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm of the opinion that (none / 0)

As a swing voter and independent centrist myself, I can vouch that your assumptions are false. I believe in balanced government to prevent extremist policy-making, and therefore today I'd vote for a democrat farm animal over a republican until such balance is restored.

The true radicals are the lunatics on the right who don't even know what conservativism is. You're a bunch of spendthrift Wilsonian idealists.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 10:26:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Idiot right wingers cant see the obvious... (none / 0)

You can't build a community if you don't allow them to speak. (ie post comments)

Not to mention, since republicans are comfortably holding power in all three branches of government, that tends to promote complacency. It's natural for the left to be energized in this atmosphere. Think of the republicans during the Clinton years.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 04:05:06 PM EST

Re: Idiot right wingers cant see the obvious... (none / 0)

I'm sorry, did I say "idiot right wingers"? I meant to say dumbass right wingers.

By the way, half of the country did not vote republican because the true majority is the non-voting citizenry who don't vote at all. Bush would have had to receive about 100 million votes to receive 50% of the country's voters. He got 59 mil and Kerry got 56 mil.

The best you can claim is 1/4 the country voted republican, which incidentally is almost the same amount that voted democrat.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 10:20:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

ah-hem (none / 0)

blogs such as Dailykos will have played a major role

wouldnt that be "the Dailykos" ? heh.

by Pounder on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 04:23:42 PM EST

Heh if they want to deny, GO RIGHT AHEAD (none / 0)

Better if you don't realize it until it's too late. To me, using "the" also indicates that he is thinking in terms of an opinion column or magazine like 'the national review' or 'the new republic' etc.
by MNPundit on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 05:48:21 PM EST

It means he' thinks Markos is the blog (none / 0)

instead of one admittedly very influential voice in a ongoing dialog of a community he helped build.

One that's spun off its own clusters, just as MyDD did DailyKos (hey, do I get a gold star, teacher?).

If Mr. Barnett is not utterly clueless then he's simply engaging in misdirection. "Don't look over there at that mixed up, vibrant, fascinating landscape over there.

"DON'T LOOK!!

"Stop it.

"I told you to STOP LOOKING!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

As his voice rises to a shrill hysteria:

"STOP IT! STOP IT!! STOP IT!!!"

Before you win, you have to fight. Come fight along with us at TexasKaos.
by boadicea on Tue Jul 19, 2005 at 06:13:15 PM EST


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