Approve Disapprove
Republicans 84 12
Independents 17 75
Democrats 18 77
It's an alignment I've not seen in many years, since '98 probably. What it says is that Independents and Democrats have a potential new majority, apart from the lockstep Republicans. Post Sept. 11th's upswing of non-partisanship, and then all through 2004, the Independents remained in the 50-50 range in reaction to Bush. Now they've shifted, and further, have aligned with Democrats.
Rove's got to do something, because this puts Bush in dangerous territory. Gone are the 50-50 days, and approaching are the 40-60 days:
Bush job approval Approve Disapprove Undecided Jun 2005 42% 53% 5% May 2005 43% 51% 6% Apr 2005 44% 50% 6% Mar 2005 47% 48% 5%What Rove has relied upon in the past, when confronted with such a situation was done tearing down and dividing of the Democrats, alongside the appeal to Republicans to become even more lockstep. ie, get the Independents back to ~50-50 and the Republicans up to 90-10 in support of Bush.
Like the Summer of '04, following the torture of prisoners at Abu Gharib, that was followed up with the Swift Boat Liars attack on Kerry; or the summer of '02, after the market crash due to the Enron's of the world, that was followed up by the vote to invade Iraq. With Bush/Rove's back up against the wall, I expect another round.
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