Yikes

While I am sure that Americans would express a great deal of confidence in Democracy as an abstract concept, when it comes to actual institutions that are, at least ostensibly, Democratic, they tend to express very little confidence. According to the latest Gallup poll on the subject, 44% express confidence in the Presidency, 24% in organized labor, and only 22% in Congress. By contrast, Americans express a great deal of confidence in situations that are not only undemocratic (the military, the police, organized religion), but even frequently rely upon force for their authority.

Granted, a lot of this is because Americans are not thinking in the abstract when they answer these questions. When people are asked if they have confidence in the Presidency, they almost invariably think of the current President, rather than the institution itself. This is evident in the internals of the poll, where confidence in the Presidency is divided along lines similar to partisan approval of Bush (Democrats have very low confidence in the Presidency, and Republicans have very high confidence. Also, confidence in the military has increased significantly over the past four years, just as it did in 1991 following the first Persian Gulf War. People tend to express confidence much more confidence in the military during a time of war than they do during times of less conflict. Also, confidence in Congress is pretty much always abysmal, so there is nothing new there.

What is perhaps most disturbing about this poll is that along with rising confidence in the military, the nation is expressing rising confidence in the police. In fact, at 63% this year and 64% last year, confidence in the police has reached an all-time high. If you couple rising confidence in the police and the military with declining confidence in the criminal justice system, elected institutions and the news media, you have the makings of a populace that would be comfortable with a police state. Now, while I personally think comparisons to our current government and Nazi Germany are absurd, offensive and based in ignorance, the growing national comfort with authoritarian and totalitarian measures cannot be ignored.



Display:


The only three institutions (3.00 / 1)

Whick to the fifty percent mark are the military the police and the church.  That should tell you what the average mindset is of America in 2005.  I do not find it disturbing becasue all three are easily answered and I do not think it is leading to a police state or Nazi Germany.  What it is, localism.  Many of us have family members who are now fight in some kind of conflict it tends to make the county proud of their own when a conflict, like the one we are in, is in process.  The Police also tends be identifing ones local police force.  I know several policemen, as do many of you and during these uncertain times they are appeciacted.  As for the church, the same thing I think people are giving credit to their local church and minister whom they know personally.  

Politically speaking I hope the Democrats take note of this and sincerely give a message that has these values.

by THE MODERATE on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 01:58:06 PM EST

Re: The only three institutions (none / 0)

I'm with you on this one (obviously)- but the key is to approach those issues from a progressive standpoint.
Future Majority / Young Philly Politics
by Alex Urevick on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 03:25:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I am actually wishing for a country (none / 0)

that is just a little bit more boring,
a little bit less activist, and more
down to earth. The military isn't doing
anything for us right now. BRAC is running
around closing bases, fine. Thats just
a negative impact on the economy.

I think part of the metric accounts for
our love of our forces overseas, we're proud
of those boys fighting 'black hawk down' over
there.

But the rest of it, isn't just us 'keeping
safe from terrorists'.. its a country
with a hollywood mentality looking at
our country as if its fort apache the bronx.

Generally, you don't trust the people that
sell you out. I would really like
to see where media entertainment companies
rank in this chart..

by turnerbroadcasting on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 02:00:03 PM EST

The fact that the Church is high up here (none / 0)

Should tell you something. Chris, you're a catholic.
Would you have tried to get the catholic
church to condemn the holocaust?

If you were alive then - which institution would
hold the greatest promise for social change.
The church halted operation 'gentle death'.

What about now. Do you think the church can
play any role at all keeping us from
becoming a police state?

by turnerbroadcasting on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 02:01:34 PM EST

Apolitical groups (none / 0)

The military and the police are seen as largely apolitical.

Outside of the McJesus Zombies, Inc churches, so too are most churches.

Congress is old hat.  Everyone thinks Congress sucks, but everyone likes their Congressman.  So . . .

Given the re-elect percentage in Congress, apparently trust doesn't equate to electability.

by jcjcjc on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 02:44:15 PM EST

HMOs and Big Business are lowest (none / 0)

Duh, no wonder the Bushies need a military side show to disguise their giveaways to the corporate types.
by David Kowalski on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 02:50:01 PM EST

On the brighter side.. (none / 0)

People have more confidence (barely) in Labor Unions than Big Business.
by shadow1 on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 04:39:18 PM EST

Congress = Big Business? (none / 0)

I don't think it's a coincidence that Congress and Big Business both pull in at 22% confidence.

At least Congress has a marketing op:

"Your Congress--Better than an HMO!"

[/satire]

by Nash on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 04:48:42 PM EST

Re: Congress = Big Business? (none / 0)

The New York Times can use the idea that at least they are better than Organized Labor.
by shadow1 on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 05:22:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

These numbers bother me for two reasons (3.00 / 1)

First, people express confidence or lack their of for general institutions they have little knowledge of. Do I have confidence in the Police force? I don't know. Other than a speeding ticket two years ago I have little experience with them. The military? How do you rate how effective the Presidency is when I'd bet the majority of people surveyed couldn't tell you the responsibilities of the position, or the last six presidents.

The second issue that bothers me is the lack of confidence in public education. I don't understand why everyone thinks their school and their kid is above average, but they think public schools are failing. What I see from inside the classroom is a change not in my school as an institution, but in my students. They don't want to think. They want to be told what to do. Exactly. Then they want to get an "A" for doing a half ass first attempt at it. Then their parents want to complain that little Johnny didn't get the "A" because (fill in the blank). There is little work ethic anymore, or a desire to learn. This has increased noticeably in just the 10 years I've been teaching.

What is scary to me is how both these points tie into Bower's point about people being more comfortable with a totalitarian state. My students don't question. My students don't think for themselves. They want to be told what to do. And they probably think the Military and the Police are just great.

This is not good for our country.

Witty comment goes here...
by michael in chicago on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 05:47:08 PM EST

Re: These numbers bother me for two reasons (none / 0)

As unquestioning as your students may be I'm not sure many of them are signing up for the military.

The disconnect between recruitment numbers and respect for institution is staggering.

"Nothing seems to embarrass the political class today." - Bill Moyers
by joejoejoe on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 07:03:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A Common Phenomena (none / 0)

This sort of disconnect is deeply rooted in our political order. I've been grappling with it as part of book proposal I'm working on. In general, there's a whole set of conservative cultural values/orientations ("conservative identity politics" for short) that has been called "conservative ideology," but that doesn't connect at all with specifics, thus casting considerable doubt on the "ideology" part.  

The most well-documented example of this (survey data since 1972 in data series from the National Opinion Research Center's General Social Survey) is the large number of "conservatives"--roughly half--who are fairly consistent supporters of the welfare state.

There are two aspects to this, IMHO.  There are the producers of conservative identity politics, who have no disconnect at all. (They are true ideological conservatives, but their numbers are not that large.) They simply aren't about to get themselves blowed up. Then there are the consumers, who like to feel all patriotic--it's part of their conservative identity--but most of them are not ideological. The general does not connect to the specific.

by Paul Rosenberg on Fri Jun 03, 2005 at 11:04:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

SSDD (none / 0)

This is nothing new, folks. People have always romanticized "apolitical", "traditional", authoritarian institutions to some degree or another. Believe it or not, it was worse in the late 1960s and early 1970s. I saw a study, where in 1970 a majority of Americans would have done away with 6 of the 10 first Amendments to the Constitution.

Also, police rates high because crime rates have come down in recent years. With the exception of Rodney King or Amadou Diallo moments, the police generally rate very high.

by elrod on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 06:12:16 PM EST

Notice the trend line (none / 0)

Look at the Harris Poll and notice the trend line. Belief in the military has plummeted over the last year. As has the White House. This data is not alarming at all.
by elrod on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 06:15:34 PM EST

I hope (none / 0)

the folks here are right who are telling us not to worry.

But I have to say, I agree with Chris here. I.e. that we aren't exactly Weimar America and I think people who make those analogies are being hysterical. But at the same time, that people trust those institutions above all others does suggest, at the very least, a conservative, authoritarian bent in the public. Probably this is always the case and that liberals like myself are almost always in the minority, except for short bursts of great optimism and reformist ferment followed by long spells of conservative retrenchment. But nevertheless, I'd rather this wasn't so.

Ben P

by Ben P on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 06:27:03 PM EST

What a leap (none / 0)

Wow! Shades of Godwin's Law
by GenghisKhanservative on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 08:02:19 PM EST

Re: What a leap (none / 0)

Read a bit more carefully:

"Now, while I personally think comparisons to our current government and Nazi Germany are absurd, offensive and based in ignorance, the growing national comfort with authoritarian and totalitarian measures cannot be ignored."

by Ben P on Thu Jun 02, 2005 at 08:40:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Think about it, though: (none / 0)

This was presumably a phone survey.

Which are the three entities on that list most likely to be listening in on a phone call?

Homeland security agents, local police, and God.

So there you go.

Yeah, I'm cynical.
by catastrophile on Fri Jun 03, 2005 at 05:40:59 AM EST

You lose, by Godwin's Law (2.00 / 1)

Adding "while I personally think" before a gratuitous Nazi reference does not prevent an opponent from invoking Godwin's law. See my post here and, especially, follow the link to Orac's discussion of Godwin's law.

I hereby declare, within my rather limited capacity, Godwin's law in effect for this discussion. You lose, Chris.

BTW, as a former member of the US Navy, your interpetation of this is pathetic. Your history is worse. Nazi Germany did not result because the people viewed the military more favorably that they did the Government of Hitler. It resulted more from the opposite. The military leaders who opposed Hitler were cowed by the public adoration of Hitler. Geez, if you want to slam the military, consult a history book first. This is one of the most pathetic attempts to denigrate the military I've seen. Why not just say the public is just to **(^ing ignorant to see the truth?

by DrTony on Fri Jun 03, 2005 at 07:59:50 AM EST

Good Riddance To Godwin's Law! (3.00 / 1)

(1) Godwin's Law doesn't apply to what Chris said. It involves accusations of interlocutors, which this was not.

(2) This sort of misreading of Godwin's Law would severly curtail discussions of totalitarian tendencies which are clearly growing in our country.

(3) Godwin's Law was promulgated before 9/11.  While I emphatically reject the notion that "9/11 changed everything"--remember how we were never going to hear about trivia such as Gary Condit and shark attacks again?--it is quite clear that the dangers of totalitarianism have rapidly increased, and have even been partially implemented.  Godwin's Law was a good thing pre-9/11. Now, unfortunately, not so much.

In fact, I disagree with Chris here. I think that comparisons with 1930s Germany are entirely appropriate, and potentially illuminating. This  does make it harder to reign in excesses. Godwin's Law was a bright line. Post-9/11, I simply don't think that the bright line can sensibly be imposed any more. I say this even though, on one hand, we have all the more need for it.  On the other hand, we have a lot more emboldened would-be-Hitler-youth running around on the internets and elsewhere.  Sometimes you've just got to call a spade a spade.

My solution?  Keep Godwin's Law, but not as law. Rather as principle. The question with principle is always when to invoke it, and when some other principle trumps it.  Laws are automatic. Principles require reflection, deliberation and judgement.  Laws are for children. Principles are for adults. It's time for the subject of Arthur C. Clark's classic book, Childhood's End.

by Paul Rosenberg on Fri Jun 03, 2005 at 11:26:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.