Even so, there are some early signs that Democrats might be positioned to make real gains in the not too distant future:
And while Republicans in Congress may blame Democratic obstructionism, American voters aren't buying it. In March, the Pew survey showed Democrats in Congress (37 percent approve, 44 percent disapprove) and Republicans in Congress (39 percent approve, 44 percent disapprove) on equal footing. Less than two months later, Democrats in Congress have seen slight improvement (39 percent approve, 41 percent disapprove) while Republicans in Congress have seen their numbers fall precipitously to 35 percent approval and 50 percent disapproval.
The electoral consequences of these shifting attitudes are emerging. A plurality of Americans now say their representative does not deserve to be re-elected (42 percent re-elect, 45 percent someone new), and Democrats hold a 7-point advantage as the party Americans would prefer to see controlling Congress after the 2006 elections (47 to 40 percent). It is important to state again that this margin is built not on Democratic gains - the Democratic number in the generic congressional contest has remained between 46 and 48 percent in monthly Democracy Corps polling this year - but on Republican losses.
For seven decades, Democrats held the majority of power in Washington D.C. We used government to promote our agenda, since the governing party receives tremendous amounts of free media. We used government to unite our coalition, which is possible when you are the ruling party since you can indeed pass a series of laws designed to appeal to targeted communities and demographics. We used single issue groups to define our beliefs, which turned into a series of laundry lists rather than broadly defined principles. By contrast, Republicans and conservatives were forced to develop an enormous Noise Machine that could broadcast their message to tens of millions of people even when they were in the minority. They created a huge infrastructure that allowed the different groups in their coalition to unite much better than ours do. They succeed in broadly defining what they stand for to the nation at large. Many Democrats seem to have a difficult time either remembering or realizing that we are no longer the governing party in Washington. Because of this, we can no longer pass policy in Washington. Now, Republicans simultaneously wield their traditional electoral weapon of massive, independent political infrastructure as well as our traditional weapon of being the ruling party. Proposing policy is always the electoral weapon of the governing party, and we need to realize that we no longer wield that weapon. Telling people we have a plan for everything isn't going to get us anywhere.
As Democrats, we need to accept that not all, or even most, of our biggest and best ideas right now related to policy. We need a real message infrastructure independent of government. We need vastly improved organization within our national ideological conversion machines. We need to break out of the single-issue group ghettos we have created for ourselves. None of this has anything to do with policy.
Republicans are indeed screwing up, and as we all know we are yet to reap the benefits. I can only believe that one of the reasons for this is our persistent urge to offer alternative legislation, rather than an alternative vision for government coupled with the infrastructure development necessary to spread that vision across the country. People are not going to vote for Democrats when they believe that we have a plan to reduce the cost of health care. They are going to vote for Democrats when they believe we truly care, in the depths of our souls, about reducing the cost of health care. No policy proposal on earth will ever cause that to take place.
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