Con Mod Lib 1970's 32 40 18 1980's 36 40 18 1990's 38 41 18 2000's 35 40 18If there is any change at all, conservatism has actually declined slightly from its peak in the mid-1990's. Basically, however, there has been no change whatsoever in ideological self-identification over the past twenty-five years.
However, this is not to belittle how the American government has become, in many ways, far more conservative than it was thirty years ago. In this way, conservatives have indeed triumphed. The cause of this has been our slow drift toward two ideological coalitions, as more and more liberals vote for Democrats and more and more conservatives vote for Republicans. Just take a look at the share of the two-party vote among liberals and conservatives in Presidential Elections since 1976:
Liberal Two-Party Vote
'76 '80 '84 '88 '92 '96 '00 '04
Dem 74 68 71 82 83 87 86 85
Rep 26 32 29 18 17 14 14 13
Conservative Two-Party Vote
'76 '80 '84 '88 '92 '96 '00 '04
Dem 30 24 18 19 22 22 17 16
Rep 70 76 82 81 78 78 82 84
Democrats have lost half of their support among conservatives, while Republicans have lost half of their support among liberals. Because of the size gap between liberals and conservatives, this means that Democrats have lost around 5.0% of the population, while gaining 2.5%. By contrast, Republicans have lost around 2.5% of the population, while gaining 5.0%, for an overall swing of 2.5%. What was the margin between Bush and Kerry again?In short, Brooks could not possibly be more wrong. The reason conservatives have triumphed is not because they argue with one another, but because they have united their vote like never before.
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