Joe Lieberman is Evil

The L.A. Times had a hit and a miss today on Social Security. The hit was S.S. Overhaul Splinters GOP. The miss was a more wonkish treatment of the debate over the Social Security Trust Fund.

You'll have to excuse me for a minute. I just heard Zell Lieberman tell Wolf Blitzer that the Social Security is an "immediate" problem we have to address right now. I have to go hurl chunks.

When I'm finished hurling chunks, I'm going to email Sen. Lieberman. I also just changed the title of my diary from "Social Security Splinters GOP" to "Joe Lieberman is evil."

First the good news:

President Bush's proposal to overhaul Social Security is falling flat across the country, to judge from recent polls, but public opinion is not his only problem. The whole idea splits Bush's party -- along fault lines he masterfully bridged during his first term in the White House.

A Social Security overhaul is the Holy Grail for the GOP's free-market advocates, but it is a low priority for social conservatives who care more about banning abortion and same-sex marriage. The costly initiative gives heartburn to the party's antideficit hawks. Even some of the Republicans' loyal business allies are lukewarm on Bush's effort to rewrite the program and allow workers to divert part of their Social Security payroll taxes into personal retirement accounts.

This is really, really good news. Bush's push on private accounts is creating very deep fisures in the monolithic GOP voting bloc.

 The divisions highlight potential weaknesses in the GOP coalition that Bush hopes to turn into an enduring governing majority by the time he leaves the White House.

On Capitol Hill, the open disagreement among Republicans over the issue -- and over the political strategy for dealing with it -- is a departure from the unity and discipline they showed on most major issues during Bush's first term.


The article breaks down the GOP into five distinct blocs.

* Economic conservatives

The party's most enthusiastic supporters of personal accounts are in a faction of conservatives whose top priority is advancing free-market concepts in the economy and reducing the role of government. The personal account idea has been nurtured for decades in conservative think tanks such as the Cato Institute and the Heritage Foundation. It has been promoted by groups such as Americans for Tax Reform and the Club for Growth.
                                    . . .
They believe that neither benefit cuts nor tax increases are needed to shore up the system and pay for the costs of switching to personal accounts. And, unlike Bush and his senior aides, they argue that personal accounts alone can solve the program's long-term financial woes. Opponents of this faction refer to them as the "free lunch crowd."

* Tax iconoclasts

Other Republican proponents of personal accounts are more willing to challenge their party's anti-tax orthodoxy or to consider benefit cuts to shore up the program. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) has proposed raising from $90,000 to $200,000 the cap on income that is subject to the Social Security payroll tax. Bush has left open the door for that option. Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) has also said Congress could consider raising the tax rate.

But the party's most ardent tax cutters -- a large and vocal faction that dominates the House GOP and outside conservative groups -- have tried to slam the door on any such tax increases.

* Antideficit hawks

Although Republicans are no longer as dedicated to balancing the budget as they once were, there is a vestigial faction that is concerned about the large and growing budget deficit. These Republicans -- mostly self-described moderates -- are among the most stubborn skeptics of Bush's personal account plan. Winning them over may require Bush to find some way to finance the transition costs other than piling up more debt.

That is the main reservation voiced by Sen. Olympia J. Snowe (R-Maine), co-chair of the Senate's Centrist Coalition, an informal bipartisan group exploring alternatives to Bush's plan. No members of the Republican Main Street Partnership, a group of House and Senate GOP moderates, have embraced the personal account plan.

"They are on hold," said Sarah Chamberlain Resnick, executive director of the group, mostly because of their concerns about the potential cost.

* Social conservatives

Conservative religious activists and voters whose top priorities are social values were key to Bush's reelection in 2004, many analysts say. But changing Social Security is not as important as banning abortions and same-sex marriage to the organizations that represent those interests, such as the Family Research Council and Concerned Women for America.

"I don't think we have come to a consensus," said Amber Hildebrand, spokeswoman for the Family Research Council.

* Business community

Trade associations and business lobbyists have been rallying to help Bush sell his Social Security policy, even though they probably would not have made this a top priority absent a push from the White House. They have required more coaxing than when they were tapped to promote Bush's tax-cut initiatives, administration allies say.

"Social Security is an issue we believe the president is right on, but it's not a no-brainer the way tax relief was a no-brainer for our people," said Jade West, senior vice president of government relations at the National Assn. of Wholesaler-Distributors.

The article on the Trust Fund, Real Bonds, and Worries, Draw Interest.                   has a reasonably accurate description of how the trust fund operates and its history, but has a number of conclusions like this one:

Many experts believe Congress, whether by trimming benefits, raising taxes or other means, will act in time to keep Social Security from tumbling off a cliff in 2042.

Ah yes, Karl Rove's old "falling off the cliff" metaphor. No jounalistic hack worth his salt would fail to buy in to Bush's "crisis" meme and accept the inaccurate 2042 date for "insolvency".

Display:


Dems have to start talking about the safety net (none / 0)

increases that will be necessary as people lose pensions and SS benefits that they would otherwise have..

They also need to start talking about the loss of jobs to technology and offshoring in the coming years and how we will make up for it without bankrupting millions..

By 2025, task-specific robots will have replaced most nonmanagerial and unskilled workers, and many of the technicians, programmers and managers as well, in manufacturing and service industries.

You will probably need a PhD to get any kind of job in technology at all.

That will mean incredible competition for jobs such that those over 35 or so will..just not be able to handle the stress...or continually faster and faster pace... (supply and demand)

(Perhaps lowering the retirement age to 60 and encouraging some kind of volunteer work in return would prevent the homelessness of these still healthy but increasingly unemployable 'unskilled' people)

by ultraworld on Sun Mar 06, 2005 at 01:16:43 PM EST

It is good news (none / 0)

considering how zealously they defend their base, I sometimes wonder if they ever have any significant differences they can't paper over with bitching about government regulation.
by descrates on Sun Mar 06, 2005 at 01:38:02 PM EST

Re: It is good news (none / 0)

That was actually the focus of my diary; the GOP splinter. When I heard Loserman tell Wolf that S.S. was an immediate problem my head exploded. Aside from the title and the hurling chunks part, my diary has nothing to do with Lieberman.

If the Democrats could stick together on even a small number of issues and let the Republicans sink or swim on their own, I think their coaltion would fall apart from sheer centirfugical force. There are a lot of stress fractures that just need a little help.

by Gary Boatwright on Sun Mar 06, 2005 at 02:28:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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