What is this all about? Catholic voters have been a swing bloc since the mid-1980s, but are the Democrats being marginalized by a new surge of defections - comparable to the pull back of "Reagan Democrats" that shook the party between 1968 and 1984?(...)
To help progressives better address this challenge, Democracy Corps conducted a nationwide survey of 1,033 white Catholic voters, a unique resource for those tackling these issues.(...)
But this is not 1984 and not Macomb County, where I first spoke to the "Reagan Democrats." White Catholics have not gone Republican. They are divided evenly on almost every important policy question and political indicator, and indeed, on their basic world views. They are split 50-50 on whether the country is headed in the right or wrong direction, on their vote for Congress, on whether we need more or less regulation, whether we need more community or more self-sufficiency, whether abortion should be legal or not and on whether the Catholic church should be more modern or traditional. They are divided evenly between those who attend church every week and those who are less observant. And finally, they are evenly divided between those with a college degree and those without - closely related to the distinct worldviews that leave white Catholics so evenly divided.(...)
Bush's 13-point margin over Kerry among white Catholics was 10 points higher than the Republican advantage in partisanship - leaving a large bloc of voters available to the Democrats.
This brings me to my main critique of the memo. The problems white Catholics seem to have with the Democratic Party do not seem to be any different from the problem the rest of the nation has with Democrats. Here are the party associations among the white Cahtolics Democracy Corps polled:
Dems Reps Pro middle class 53 39 Public interest first 50 37 Cares about people 49 36 7On your side 46 43 For families 44 44 Shares your values 42 48 Keeping America safe 30 52 Respects faith 29 52 Knows what they stand for 25 58I'm not really sure what the difference between "shares your values" and "on your side is," but whatever. Is there anything really new here? The terrorism narrative, the religion narrative, the backbone narrative--it's all the same problems Democrats seem to be having with every demographic, not just white Catholics.
Our problem seems to be a national one, not one of targeted demographics. There are some vicious lies and narratives about the Democratic Party that the Republican Noise Machine is pumping out, and until we defeat them nationwide, we will remain in the minority. As long as the big lies persist, no plan to appeal to targeted demographics will have any impact.
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