Dayton Not Running for Reelection

The AP reports:

Sen. Mark Dayton has decided not to seek re-election, according to a broadcast report.

KSTP-TV reported Wednesday that Dayton had told his staff that he had decided against seeking a second term, citing difficulty raising money. The station did not name its sources for the report.

Officials in Dayton's Washington office declined to comment on the report to The Associated Press. The senator had a regularly scheduled conference call later in the day.

Dayton had been seen for some time as vulnerable in a run for a second term.

After spending about $12 million of his own money in the 2000 race, Dayton said he wouldn't do it again. But he struggled to raise money, and parted ways in the past few months with two top financial aides - both of whom had been brought on only a year earlier to help kick-start his fund-raising.

But Dayton made no secret of his dislike for the process of raising money.

Republicans had been lining up to challenge Dayton. Among those considering bids were U.S. Reps. Gil Gutknecht and Mark Kennedy, as well as former Sen. Rod Grams, who lost to Dayton in 2000.

Cutting and pasting from a knowledgeable friends' email:

Minnesota is strongly Democratic.
  • Kerry won the state - Democrats have won at the Presidential level since 1972.
  • Democrats picked up a significant number of seats in the Minnesota House of Representatives this past November.
  • Democratic  performance in the state is on average at 52%
  • The State has a long tradition of sending strong Democrats to the Senate: Humphrey, Mondale, Wellstone are all beloved statewide figures.

Potential Candidates: There is going to be a strong Democratic candidate winning the 2006 Senate race in Minnesota.  State activists have already started floating a number of excellent candidates to run, including:
  •        Alan Page
  •        Mike Ciresi
  •        Mike Hatch
  •        Bud Philbrook
  •        Betty McCollum
  •        Judy Dutcher
  •        Garrison Keillor
  •        Vance Opperman



Display:


A Prairie Senate Companion? (none / 0)


Garrison Keillor goes to Washington, that would be rich.
by spandrel on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 03:51:28 PM EST

Garrison Keillor? (none / 0)

Who's floating him?  That would be the death of his program.  I'd say there's no way he'd do that.  Sure, he gives a few bucks to Democrats
http://www.newsmeat.com/celebrity_political_donations/Garrison_Keillor.php

but a political run would kill his show.

Invest in nature
by NCDem on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 03:54:40 PM EST

Re: Garrison Keillor? (none / 0)

I was wondering if that was the same Garrison Keillor...
by yitbos96bb on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 10:38:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

My gut feel as a Minnesotan ... (none / 0)

Dayton woulda lost.

He has been labelled a liberal in the bad sense for 25 years. In office, he did nothing that anyone ever noticed.

He woulda gotten killed.

We need a tough candidate like Mike Hatch. If we get the right guy, I think our chances of keeping the seat are actually better.

by Thresholder on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 03:57:59 PM EST

why not Wetterling? (none / 0)

It's tough giving up incumbency, but my gut says that this is for the best. I was having nightmares thinking about doorknocking around the neighborhood for Dayton. He was in serious trouble and we have to give him kudos for putting the party first and his personal ambition second. And why isn't Patty Wetterling on this list? She barely lost to Kennedy in his Republican district -- I think she could take him statewide.
by thismachinekillsfascists on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:06:16 PM EST

Alan Page!! (3.00 / 1)

I doubt he'd run, since he enjoys being on the Minnesota Supreme Court, but he is very well liked throughout the state, especially to Viking fans who remember his Hall-of-Fame football career.

The Senate needs more African-Americans and he'd be a great candidate.

by Norm on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:13:36 PM EST

Not THAT Democratic (3.00 / 1)

Minnesota embodies the Northern "purple" state.  It would have been part of the Reagan column were it not for Mondale.  Democrats did do well this past season, Kerry increased his lead from Gore's 2000 win, and local Democrats made huge gains in the state legislature, but it's a fickle state.  The other US Senator is a Republican.  It will be a wide open contest, at the moment I give us 50/50 odds of holding it until politicians actually start throwing their names out.
by Skaje on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:15:55 PM EST

What about Franken ? (none / 0)

I have heard rumors that Al has been considering a run for senate from Minn.  (or was it people were trying to get him to run???)

In any case, he seems to be a beloved figure in Minn.  Would he qualify for this short list??

Also, I have seen comments about Dayton having problems, and that some Democrats think this is for the best etc.
What was the problem with Dayton??  Being from Illinois I am not that familiar with him or his "baggage".  Can someone enlighten me a short synopsis of this baggage ?

by avagias on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:17:15 PM EST

Re: What about Franken ? (none / 0)

I've also heard rumors that Franken was interested in running for Senate in the past.

And Alan Paige is he the guy that ran the wrong way or was that another Vikings defensive linemen?

Councilman Bill Painter
by Painter2004 on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:26:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

OT: The guy who ran the wrong way . . . (none / 0)

. . . was not Alan Page.  It was Jim Marshall, against San Francisco in 1964.  A more funny than painful memory for Vikings fans, because the Vikings won the game anyway.

Back on track: Page would be a great candidate, and probably a shoo-in, but I'd be surprised if he were willing to run.  Even Franken is more likely to go for it than Page.

by DFLer on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 06:03:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OT: The guy who ran the wrong way . . . (none / 0)

I'd love to see Page.  Maybe he can be talked into it.
by yitbos96bb on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 10:41:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about Franken ? (none / 0)

Dayton closing his D.C. office for the safety of his staff because of an intelligence briefing combined with his comment that he didn't get anything in the briefings he couldn't get from the NY Times didn't look good.  I think this may give us a better chance of holding the seat, but it will make challenging Coleman more difficult.
by Yellow Dog on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 05:24:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about Franken ? (none / 0)

FYI, Franken plans to make an announcement about whether or not he'll run on his show tomorrow.

Personally, I hope he doesn't run. Air America needs him too badly, and I'd rather have AAR continue to gain a foothold in the media than go for a single Senate seat.

by dwbh on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 07:24:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What about Franken ? (none / 0)

No Franken. He will lose, he knows it, and he has the good sense to stay away from the race. Franken was born in New York City and has lived there for decades. He has no experience whatsoever in elected office and has never been in a political campaign. The only poll putting Franken in a Senate race shows him losing, 29% to 57%, to a Republican. He is an entertainer, not a politician. Running one of our great local candidates is the best option for the DFL.
by punishinglemur on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 10:03:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Franken for Senate? (none / 0)

I always heard the Franken for Senate rumors in conjunction
with Norm Coleman, whom Franken clearly despises.  For an
open seat, I would think the good guys would be better off
with a more traditional politician.  (I love Keillor, but I'm not
sure he'd be viable.  Then again, this state elected Ventura...)

Dave MB

by DaveMB on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:31:00 PM EST

Wild Card (none / 0)

I hate to be a third party pooper, but what's Jesse Ventura been up to since his TV show died?  My MN brother says his names been mentioned...
by jdeeth on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:31:29 PM EST

Re: Wild Card (none / 0)

Personally I think Jesse was an embrassment for my state, but thats just me.  Jesse is currently growing dreadlocks and always looking for media attention.
"There have existed, in every age and every country, two distinct orders of men - the lovers of freedom and the devoted advocates of power"
by Classical Liberal on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:39:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Wild Card (none / 0)

Since Jesse does not talk to any reporters from Minnesota Press -- it is a little hard to figure out what he is up to.  However earlier this week he apparently did talk to someone from the Chicago Tribune, and suggested he wanted to run for Senator.  That was before Dayton's announcement.  

Ventura lost most of his support as Governor, but by keeping his third party alive, he is positioned to do damage with a spoiler campaign.  

by Sara on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 12:33:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Wild Card (none / 0)

Well, since Ventura is basically a libertarian, here's hoping that he draws more votes from the Republicans than the Democrats.
by craverguy on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 12:53:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Wild cards II (none / 0)

Two words: Senator Franken
by niq on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:45:16 PM EST

Ciresi, Wetterling, Hatch-- no celebrities, please (3.00 / 2)

I live in St Paul. MN has a strong liberal history but less so in recent years: the 2002 elections, as some of you remember, had Republicans crowing-- they took Wellstone's Senate seat and the Governor's mansion; both Coleman (Sen) and Pawlenty (gov) remain semi-popular. (Coleman's approval ratings float around 50; Dayton's last month hit 43%.) Kerry won Minnesota 51-48 (yes, the reverse of the national score) because ACT went bonkers with GOTV, and because we've got same-day registration, making life easier for first-time voters, especially students (we've got a ton as a % of population). Kerry won the suburbs (a Republican bulwark in '02) but lost rural areas; the good guys almost took back the state leg on the strength of suburban Kerry turnout.

In other words, Dems' strong performance here in '04 may, or may not, be replicated next time. MN is a purple state. Without a Pres race to encourage young or occasional voters in '06, and without national support for GOTV, the Rs may even have a turnout advantage. If glib, smart suburban R Mark Kennedy wins the R primary, as expected, we're looking at a very, very close race. Former Sen Rod Grams, the winger whom Dayton beat in '00, would be easier to beat; Gutknecht represents a part of the state that votes R anyway, but he's an articulate guy who takes outspoken moderate positions when it suits him-- I hadn't heard of his interest in the race.

We don't want a celebrity candidate, who wd play into all the negative stereotypes about Dems and Hollywood elitist liberals (even if that candidate grew up here)-- this isn't California. (Paul Wellstone, an outspoken liberal, spent the 20 years before he ran for Senate working on rural issues and getting to know the farmers. I don't think Al Franken has done that; I don't think Keillor wants to run for Senate, although he'd be a much better candidate than Franken.)

Jesse Ventura will never run for office again, and he'd lose if he did.

We want a serious, articulate candidate with an existing base, a proven ability to attract rural or suburban voters. and, of course, somebody who can raise money. Wetterling, popular state AG Mike Hatch, and former Dem Senate candidate Mike Ciresi are all possibilities. I believe Ciresi can also self-fund.

Of MN's 4 Dem house members, Betty McCollum-- who represents me-- is only in her third term, and may not want it. Martin Sabo of Minneapolis represents Minneapolis and has been around for donkey's ages, and probably doesn't want it; Oberstar of Duluth=same thing, and the part of the state he represents votes Dem anyway and is shrinking; Colin Peterson of western MN is probably too conservative to get nominated, and his seat will go R the minute he leaves.

Information on other potential candidates much appreciated.

by accommodatingly on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 04:52:12 PM EST

Hatch is running (none / 0)

But not for senate.

He wants Tim Pawlenty's ass.

I give you...

Governor Mike Hatch

by Hughsterg on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 05:07:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ciresi, Wetterling, Hatch-- no celebrities, (3.00 / 1)

I think it is McCollum. I sed to live in her district, and she seems pretty solid to me.

That said, some people I kno and very much trust in MN, including some pretty well known ex-politicos, swear by Ciresi.  

(For full disclosure, for a little while I also used to work at Ciresi's firm, know people who worked on his campaign, etc.)  And yeah, from what I know, he could probabaly at least help in the self-funding area a little bit, though he is no billionaire.

Young Philly Politics

Progressive Philadelphia Politics: Young Philly Politics
by DanielUA on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 05:27:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ciresi, Wetterling, Hatch-- no celebrities, pl (none / 0)

McCollum "only" in her third term? That puts her in the same position as likely candidate Mark Kennedy.
by punishinglemur on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 10:28:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Betty McCollum (3.00 / 1)

Is my guess.  She is popular, has strong labor support, and if I recall correctly, has been raising a ton of money without needing to spend much of it.

She clearly has her eyes on bigger things.  I thought she would wait until Coleman, but with Dayton gone, she is going for it.

Progressive Philadelphia Politics: Young Philly Politics
by DanielUA on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 05:18:00 PM EST

Glad I didn't give him money (none / 0)

That schmuck's office kept calling me (and I don't live in Minnesota) in November and December asking for money.  I thought, what kind of an idiot asks for money right after a Presidential election? -- at least wait until the new year.

Now I know why he was calling!

"We are building a political movement - not one that wields the power of lobbyists and corporate interests, but the power of millions... who seek change." -Dean
by Jim in Chicago on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 05:44:51 PM EST

Ciresi will Kick Rod Grams' butt. (none / 0)

Mike Ciresi -- Wealthy, tough-as-nails trial lawyer (he won the Bhopal settlement against Union Carbide), who if he'd entered the 2000 primary earlier would have beat Dayton.  (Ciresi was closing fast -- another week and he'd have overtaken Dayton.)

Rod Grams -- Hypocritical right-wing moralist who was voted out of office after his involvement in screwing the office help (which he later married after divorcing his wife).

No contest, people.  

Ciresi has fire in the belly.  Unlike Dayton, he relishes going toe-to-toe with scum and ripping their lungs out.

Remember how so many of us cringed when Harry Reid was tapped to replace Tom Daschle as Senate Minority Leader?  See how good a job Hammerin' Harry's been doing lately?

This is what this will turn out to be like.  Ciresi will kick Grams' ass to the curb and have fun doing it.

by Phoenix Woman on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 06:24:49 PM EST

One of two people (none / 0)

Either Wetterling (though I'd rather she run in MN-6) or Garrison Keillor!

Hey, I like that - Keillor for Senate!

by raginillinoian on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 06:26:58 PM EST

Tony Sertich for Senate (none / 0)

One name that should be added to the list of potential democratic nominees for Mark Dayton's seat is State Rep. Tony Sertich (D-Chisholm). He is a young (28) state representative who is definetely going places. He was elected at the age of 24 and now holds the position of assistant minority leader in the minnesota house. He is a moderately liberal democrat from one of the bluest areas of the country: the minnesota arrowhead. He has gained massive political capital among northern minnesota dems, including myself, by emceeing John Kerry's visit to Cloquet, MN, and by positioning himself as an adversary to Dubya's agenda in general. If he is not a candidate for senate in 2006, he will certainly be considered as a possible opponent to Norm Coleman in 2008. If not either of these, he could easily win the house seat of the venerable Jim Oberstar when he finally retires after more than 30 years of public service. Here's his website:

www.sertich4rep.org

by Hannula on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 09:47:11 PM EST

Re: Tony Sertich for Senate (none / 0)

Interesting idea, but is he old enough?  You must be 30 to be elected to the Senate.  When's his birthday?
by feynman on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 08:31:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tony Sertich for Senate (none / 0)

I don't know Rep. Sertich's birthday, but he was elected to the state legislature in 2000 at the agr of 24, so it's most likely that he will be old enough.
by Hannula on Fri Feb 11, 2005 at 08:50:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Go Betty! (3.00 / 1)

McCollum is very solid. She's down to earth and tough, and more importantly, she matches up well against Mark Kennedy. She can win the soccer moms from the suburbs better than some guy from the Iron Range.
Kennedy's smart but smarmy. McCollum would show him to be the disingenous bastard that he is.
by ariely on Wed Feb 09, 2005 at 10:22:55 PM EST

Isn't Al Franken considering a run? (none / 0)


by bruh21 on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 12:03:06 AM EST

Add one more serious name (none / 0)

Amy Klobachar, currently Hennepin Co. Attorney just elected to a third term, is planning to run it appears.  She has good name ID throughout the state, and would be a progressive Senator.  Her Father was, for many years, a columnist and reporter for the Star-Tribune, and had deep connections with the Range and other towns in "Greater Minnesota".  I've heard that quite a few former Wellstone campaigners are signing on to run her campaign.  

One of the MPR discussions of Dayton's decision today was of interest.  The Republicans were planning a very "dirty" attack campaign against Dayton, and his decision forces them to totally reverse fields as they will not be running against a "target" if you will.  Minnesota generally reacts badly to dirty campaigns so if the DFL is able to mount a basic issues (Education, Health Care, Transit, Social Security) campaign that is somewhat high minded and positive -- it is DFL advantage.  And Amy has been prosecutor for all these years, so that takes the law and order stuff off the table.  

by Sara on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 12:55:42 AM EST

Amy? Maybe. Wetterling or McCollum? Alas, No. (none / 0)

This is going to be one dirty, dirty race.  We're going to need someone who can fight fire with nuclear weapons.

Amy Klobuchar can do this.  Patty Wetterling can't -- it's just not part of her temperament.  And Betty McCollum, much as I love her (she's my Rep), can't do it, either.

There are a lot of good Democrats out there.  But we need good AND tough Democrats who aren't going to faint when they find out what sort of crap the Republicans are handing out to their mega-church buddies in the 'burbs and rural areas to be distributed during Sunday services.

by Phoenix Woman on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 09:04:34 AM EST

Dutcher (none / 0)

I don't know anything about Klobuchar, and I suppose I like Ciresi well enough - but I hope Judy Dutcher takes a hard look at this race. I think she'd be a very strong candidate/
by ScottC on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 09:45:13 AM EST

Garrison Keillor (none / 0)

He'd be very useful for filibusters. He could go on and on and on till next week Friday...

(jk)

by DDenver on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 10:45:14 AM EST

Dutcher? Could be, if she's got backing (none / 0)

Dutcher could do it, if she had good backing.  She's a former Republican who had the guts to switch parties just as the state GOP was nearing the height of its power.  But whether she'd get the money to back her is another matter.

Ciresi can do it because he has guts, money (and a donor base), experience, and organization.  

This is going to be a very nasty race.  We need someone who makes his/her living eating nasty people for breakfast and using their bones as toothpicks.

by Phoenix Woman on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 10:49:38 AM EST

One more candidate (none / 0)

For folks from Minnesota:  what about state Sen. Myron Orfield?  I think with the attention he has received for his research on development, he could raise money nationwide.  (Full disclosure:  Myron and I took a class together in graduate school, and his brother was my dissertation adviser).
by rayspace on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 11:05:45 AM EST

Minnesotans on the presidential ticket (none / 0)

Dems have won in Minnesota often but Humphrey or Mondale was on the ticket in '64, '68, '76, '80, and '84.

Other states that have had more than their share:

Texas: '60, '64, '88
Mass: '60, '88, '04
Tennessee: '92, '96, '00

Of course it's nothing like the GOP which has had Richard Nixon or a "George Bush" on the ticket in eleven of the last fourteen presidential elections (over half a century). And if you add Bob Dole to the list, it's 13 of 14 elections that are covered by four people, two with the same name.

Rrrinnggg... Time to change the government.
by Carl Nyberg on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 11:15:24 AM EST

Page seems smart and qualified (none / 0)

Alan Page would be my pick.
Rrrinnggg... Time to change the government.
by Carl Nyberg on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 11:17:14 AM EST

Interesting (none / 0)

No one in the 'sphere is big on Mike Hatch? I hear he's pretty popular and has won a statewide election already.
by niq on Thu Feb 10, 2005 at 01:34:40 PM EST

Dayton Ticked Me Off (none / 0)

I got fundraiser emails from him in the middle of 2004, asking for money and citing "his colleague, Paul Wellstone."  There was no mention that this was for 2006, not 2004. Thinking I was helping another worthy Dem for November, I sent him dough.

Later, when I did some digging around on Senate.gov, I discovered that Dayton was not due up until 2006.  It pissed me off that he sucked money out of me that another candidate could have really, really used in 2004, and that he exploited Paul Wellstone's name to do it.  I never sent him another cent and deleted all his subsequent emails. I'm glad he quit, and I hope Amy Klobuchar turns out to be a better candidate.

by ItsBeenCalmingForSomeTime on Fri May 06, 2005 at 03:15:52 PM EST


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