Talking Deficits IS Good Politics

Chris Bower's post wondering whether talking about the deficit is good politics for progressives and democrats raises some interesting questions, but also shows the ways we get trapped into discussing public policy on political terms favorable to the GOP.  The deficit can be about costly government programs and "waste, fraud and abuse" -- terrain that is very unfavorable to us -- or it can be about personal responsibility, national security and corporate giveaways/insider corruption.  Let me outline a response about how the deficit can be a winner for the democrats.

Making an issue of the deficit is part of a larger assault on the GOP competence to govern; part of a multi-prong attack to undermine confidence in the governing party and create reason for change.  Specific solutions are not nearly as important as simply selling the crisis (e.g. see Bush Administration 2001 to present).  If you scare and convince enough people that the current course is perilous they'll look for change even if the change is ill defined.  

There are many ways to frame the crisis in ways ordinary people will understand:

Borrowing from our children.  There's always been an ethic/myth that each generation in America will leave a better country for their children; that every parent will sacrifice so that their child will be better off.  Current GOP policy puts that on its head.  

The "birth tax" concept is a bad way to point this out.  It depersonalizes the theft to a nameless child.  The winner of the Moveon Bush in 30 Seconds ad was beautifully done, but was similarly impersonal, with nameless children working assembly lines.  Instead, we must make adult Americans look across their dinner table and see themselves taking money directly from their own children.  

Consider an ad where a mailman hands a tax refund to an excited couple at the door and then asks to see the children because he has something for them too.  The children come to the door and the mailman hands them the bill for the tax cut.  There are any number of variations on the parent's celebrating while the children pay theme:  On vacation at the beach, bill to the kids.  At the dinner table where dad asks junior for a loan.  Junior haggling with the car (TV/appliance etc) sales person about financing terms to buy dad's car.

Imagine a candidate in a debate looking at the audience and saying "If you think you deserve a better life than your children raise your hand.  How many here can look at your children across the dinner table and say 'please pay for my tax cut so I can live better today'?"  Shame on this country if we frame the debate that way and lose.

National security.  Most people don't have any idea how much money we've borrowed from China and other foreign countries. Xenophobic patriotic Toby Keith America might be quite disheartened to know that they're up to their asses in hock to the red Chinese.  There are ways to play this that could create a real wedge for the core GOP igno-blowhards (think Michael Savage listeners).

Corporate giveaways.  Why can't we say that it's the elites, the well-connecteds, the fat-cat corporate types, the GOP "Rangers" and "Pioneers" who are responsible for the deficit?  If you're in good with the GOP/corporate/media corruptocracy you're on the government gravy train, while the average Joe (and his/her children) is paying the bills.  Kansas will be just as fed up with the "insiders feeding the taxpayer trough" as they are about the Hollywood/media elite if we just paint the picture for them.

We don't have to talk about cutting programs, smaller government, etc.  If Reagan could make people believe he could cut taxes, increase military spending and balance the budget at the same time, we sure as hell ought to be able to convince people that cutting corporate subsidies and giveaways will significantly reduce the deficit.  The actual numbers don't matter that much -- what matters is creating an urgency for change and a perception of a solution.

In conclusion, Chris, you're looking at this from a GOP-slanted public policy standpoint.  You're taking taxes off the table because of our inability thus far to personalize the generational theft of the tax cuts, while instead focusing on the GOP friendly territory of program cuts and spending waste.  If we recast the deficit in terms of personal guilt/responsibility, national security and corporate/insider corruption it is a political winner for the Democrats.


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Agree 100% (none / 0)

There should definitely be a more concerted effort on this issue. We have the deficit hawks (Sens. Kent Conrad and Russ Feingold for starters), but our leadership for some reason or other hasn't grasped the issue in a comprehensive way.

Kerry talked about his support for Gramm-Rudman and his (tiebreaking!) vote on Clinton's deficit-reduction package in trying to prove that he was a moderate, but never to build a strategic attack on Bush's governing style. In looking back, I wish Kerry had talked deficit politics more and his health plan less.

by eskimo on Tue Feb 08, 2005 at 07:20:00 AM EST

Confirmation (none / 0)

From WaPo:

Beyond political calculations, there has been an ideological shift in the [Republican] party. Castle said many of his colleagues think as long as taxes are kept low, decisions about spending do not matter so much.

Nancy Belden, a pollster who is president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research and who recently studied the political implications of the deficit, said the public takes a sufficiently "dim view" of the deficit that they are not eager for more tax cuts. On the other hand, there remains strong demand for new spending -- one factor raising doubts about how strong the return of deficit politics will be.

"It's not a high hot-button issue at the moment, but it could become one," Belden said. "For it to become one, it really needs political leadership."

by eskimo on Tue Feb 08, 2005 at 08:06:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Here's a frame that needs to be killed (none / 0)

"Democrats point fingers at budget but offer no alternatives"

"Democrats talk about fiscal discipline but whine when their precious programs are cut"

"Democrats complain that President spends too much, but criticize him when he tries to cut something"

"Democrats really tax-and-spend, bleeding heart liberals and they can't be trusted with the government of America"

These are the millstones around the party's neck (along with being feminine on defense). Clinton was just one man, he cannot carry his party on his back: he needs some help.

My great disappointment with Kerry came on 19 November 04, when the mammoth pork budget was sailing through in a midnight session. He voted against it, but his speech on the floor criticized the president for cutting some of his precious programs. He praised the bill for having pork for Massachussets. C'mon! This isn't hard folks. Walk the walk AND talk the talk: its what we pay them to do!

by Paul Goodman on Tue Feb 08, 2005 at 11:11:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Here's a frame that needs to be killed (3.00 / 1)

I've seen two good frames over at dkos. Credit card conservatives and red ink republicans. Click on the graphs to the right of the page in this link and then consider that they do not include extending Bush's tax cuts, privatization, reforming the AMT, all of the program budget cuts that Bush will not get or Congressional pork barell spending.

Republicans should enjoy being able to accuse Democrats of being fiscally irresponsible. This is their final chance, before the hypocrisy becomes overwhelming. Republicans are not going to cut farm programs. Republicans are not going to cut Amtrak. If Congressional Republicans try to cut Medicaid, Section 8 and Community Block Grants as much as Bush wants, Republican Governors will be screaming.

Governor Ahnold got the cold shoulder on increased federal aid to cover prison costs for illegal immigration. John & Ken are going to be screaming about the budget cuts and the several hundred new immigration officers Bush funds, after Congress passed a bill for thousands of new immigration officers. John & Ken is the largest talk radio show in California and they recently roasted David Frum, John Fund and some other think tank whiz named Tamar Jacoby who came on their show to discuss Bush's immigration plan. (I don't know why David Frum is not in the audio archives)

We kill their frame by jumping all over Bush's budget. Democrats should resign themselves to not getting a penny in pork barrel spending this year and shove this budget and Bush's deficits right down their throat. Republicans will be offering healthy pork projects to Dems who sign on to their budget program. Reid, Pelosi and Dean should hold the feet of any Dem who crosses the line on this budget to the fire.

by Gary Boatwright on Tue Feb 08, 2005 at 12:37:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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