Rep. Shays (R-CT): GOP Could Lose House Majority in 2006

While a constant feature of Democratic talking points, particularly out of Rahm Emanuel's DCCC, has been that the Dems have a real shot at retaking the House in 2006, few non-partisan analysts have been willing to jump on the bandwagon as of late. But recently, as The Hill's eNews (a free email service) reports, one House Republican has begun talking about the possibility that his party will lose control of the lower chamber of Congress.

Rep. Chris Shays (R-Conn.), who vocally opposed efforts late last year to change House rules to protect Rep. Tom DeLay (R-Texas) if he were ever indicted by a Texas grand jury, today questioned Republican leadership for continuing to protect the former majority leader.

"We will be in the minority" if Republicans "don't clean up the mess" surrounding the party, Shays said during a breakfast with reporters sponsored by the Christian Science Monitor.

"Loyalty matters more than honesty?" Shays asked rhetorically. "It seems that way."

Republican leaders have asked their members to endure a number of tough votes, beginning with the change in House rules that would have protected any member of the GOP leadership who was indicted, Shays said. The rule change was eventually reversed after DeLay told the conference that it was having a negative impact on the party following a series of critical press reports and constituent pressure on fellow Republicans.

Shays also mentioned the vote to protect Terry Schiavo, the brain-damaged Florida woman on life support, and said it was not legislation most Republicans in his district supported.

"That, for me, was a pivotal moment," Shays said.

"It was all done to protect Tom DeLay," he added. "I am uneasy about the judgment of my leaders at this moment."

Among the other judgment lapses of the GOP leadership in the House that Shays fails to mention is the tax bill passed by Republicans yesterday that would mandate a $44 billion increase in the deficit. Talk about misbegotten priorities!

Shays is correct, however, in noting that his party is in dire straights now. Just yesterday, the judge in Tom DeLay's money laundering and conspiracy trial refused to fast track the case, at least nominally increasing the possibility that DeLay will not be able to regain his position as Majority Leader. Perhaps this is why, as Jonathan Allen reported yesterday for The Hill, DeLay appears to be actively seeking reinstatement on the Appropriations Committee, which he left when he became Majority Leader at the beginning of the 108th Congress.

It might be hasty to read too much into the comments of Chris Shays, a blue state Repblican who has never been afraid to buck his party from time to time. That said, it is significant to begin hearing this line of thinking -- that Democrats might win back the House next year as a result of GOP ethics issues -- out of a Republican. If only the "non-partisan" talking heads and opinion-makers began following suit, perhaps the meme might actually take hold more broadly and the American people can begin to realize the real change they can initiate with their vote on November 7.



Display:


the NY-19 DeLay Connection (none / 0)

"Loyalty matters more than honesty?"

Or just plain greed.  Here in NY-19, our vile Rep is Sue Kelly.  Kelly has taken over $12,000 from ARMPAC and even still to this day refuses to return one dime.  She took more from DeLay than any other politician in New York State.  (And not suprisingly, has voted with DeLay > 80% of the time.)

by sethf on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 08:47:45 AM EST

Re: the NY-19 DeLay Connection (none / 0)

Absolutely correct!!

John Hall is one of the candidates running to replace her, check out his site and learn about his progressive platform of 'Redefining National Security.'

John will also be playing tommorow in NJ at the opening of the largest windfarm on the east coast, keep you eyes out for the press coverage.

http://www.johnhallforcongress.com

Eddie Vale
Deputy Camapaign Manager

http://www.johnedwards.com/nh
by epv72 on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 11:29:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Sounds like Shays is hearing footsteps (none / 0)

I don't know much about CT. politics but these statements sould like they are coming from a congressman who can only continue to hold his seat by breaking away from his own party. If true, this would create a significant number of broader questions far greater in magnitude than those surrounding control of the House in 2006.  
by Seldom Seen Smith on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 09:51:05 AM EST

Shays May Be Right (none / 0)

It is very possible the Dems will retake the House but I wish the election had been this November.  A year is a lifetime in politics (look at 2004 v 2005) and it is very hard to predict what will happen.  Things certainly are trending towards the Dems but ...  We have to work hard and make it happen.  We can't count on an implosion by the Repub party as our way to the majority.

You can't expect the talking heads to do our bidding.  They always go the safe route which is the incumbent party.  I remember in 1994 most of them were predicting the Dems would hold onto the House with a slim majority.  That proved to be wrong but it was hard to conceive at the time that Dems would lose a net of 60 seats in that chamber.  They look at the partisan gerrymandering and see the same thing but bigger forces could be at work like 1994.

by John Mills on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 09:51:12 AM EST

Ethics and Congress (none / 0)

If Mr. Delay is guilty he should accountable. Corruption on either side is evil.

Let's be honest about the deficit. Neither party cares about it. The GOP(my party) talks a good line but spends like crazy and the Dems want to "invest" in people which really means more spending and any reduction in increases like 6.4% to 6.3% is trumpeted as the source of all evil in the world.

We keep stealing from Social Security and propping up a corrupt and ineffective tax code. Both sides are missing the point!

Mike Protack for U S Senate
www.mikeprotack.com

by Mike Protack for U S Senate 2006 on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 10:03:46 AM EST

Re: Ethics and Congress (none / 0)

any reduction in increases like 6.4% to 6.3% is trumpeted as the source of all evil in the world.

No, but it is evil (or at least disingenuous) to say that we don't have money for food stamps or college loans or health care and then to turn around and keep capital gains tax cuts for the wealthiest americans. How about a little shared sacrifice for once. And that crap about how a 5% capital gains tax cut is spurring an economic miracle is just that; crap.

by adamterando on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 10:51:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

another thing about tax cuts (none / 0)

From workinglife.com, here's another reason why the capital gains tax cuts are bunk and really do just come off the backs of the poor.

The Wall Street Journal pointed out today (subscription required), the people who are simply the number crunchers and aren't political hacks, see things slightly differently. "But a recent report by Federal Reserve economists found that the cut in the dividend rates didn't boost the stock market or lead to significant increases in the amount of money companies paid to investors as a proportion of their earnings. "We fail to find much, if any, imprint of the dividend tax cut news on the value of the aggregate stock market," the Fed economists wrote."

by adamterando on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 10:56:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ethics and Congress (none / 0)

And on the other hand, the Senator I support for presidency in 2008 has a 99 rating from the Concord Coalition and is labeled a "Deficit Hawk". If Feingold were president in 2008, I would bet money with you to say that by 2012 we'd have a balanced budget, not to mention a much larger load of services unavailable during the Republican Congress.
by KainIIIC on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 04:13:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Pessimistic this morning... (none / 0)

If elections held today.... Dems could take it back.

However, don't think for a second that Iraq is going to play huge once again.  They know that if we are still deeply embroiled in Iraq come November they are sunk so there will be a big pullout next summer, and a nice big parade around.. oh say  9/11.
They don't give a rats ass about the people in Iraq or the troops fighting in Iraq.  They are all simply political fodder to keep their hold on power.  

This new "product" and associated marketing campaign will be rolled out probably in late spring.  With troops coming home and grabbing headlines the real fate of Iraq and what we have set in motion will all but be ignored.

Mr. Protack, how do you feel about the bills passed in the House yesterday?  Lovely set of fiscal responsibility there.  This continued attack on the middle and lower classes is going to comeback and bite this country in the ass.

The "investing in people" comes from the understanding that those who are well off should have an obligation to take on a larger share of the burden because it is the structure of this society that has provided them with the enviornment for success.  

Sorry for the rant, just completely depressed about what this country has become.

by Simp on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 10:56:16 AM EST

interestingly (none / 0)

Shays himself is high on the hitlist.
by raginillinoian on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 11:41:20 AM EST

Two things (none / 0)

#1 - It's Terri Schiavo, not Terry (Random Spelling complaint)

#2 - If TerriPAC gets moving by next year, expect DeLay to be a target, with around 10 or so other national figures, and some figures in Florida. There's a reason why Republicans don't talk about the Schiavo case any more.

by RBH on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 12:35:08 PM EST

I Wouldn't Read Too Much Into It. (none / 0)

As you said, Shays is a blue-state Republican, and I believe he's just trying to cover his ass.

Look, the fact is, if the Democrats don't start rebuilding their local parties, they're not going to win much. The only hope they'll have will be if the Republicans continue to do poorly. And with the media the way it is, I don't want to rely on that factor.

Its great Dean is reorganizing the state parties (something long overdue), but state parties, especially in big states like California, Texas, New York, and Florida, don't win elections, its the work of local, countywide parties.

Get involved in your local party today as a precinct captain and make things happen - because talk is cheap.

"The collapse of confidence in the Republican leadership is not enough to elect Democratic leadership." -Dean
by gatordemocrat on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 01:04:49 PM EST

More Doubletalk from Shays (none / 0)

"It might be hasty to read too much into the comments of Chris Shays, a blue state Repblican who has never been afraid to buck his party from time to time."

Shays gets WAY too much credit for bucking his party.  

After all, it was just about a year ago that Shays was claiming Tom DeLay was "a great majority leader," and he with DeLay and the right-wing goon leadership over 80 percent of the time.

He'll bail on the leadership on the easy votes, but when push comes to shove, he's right there supporting one bad Republican policy after another.  

This is just another attempt to make himself look more independent than he really is.  

by Politicalhack06 on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 01:10:17 PM EST

Hey Chris Shays, look in the mirror (3.00 / 1)

See that fool looking back at you?  That fool is also a part of the problem in the GOP.  

After his reprehensible showing at the recent Katrina victims testimony in front of Congress - he really should just shut up and let the corruption take its course.  If part of the requirement to clean the GOP up is for him to get the boot, too; so be it.  Reap what you sow, you overbloated dufus.  

He has acted, like every other GOP'er crying "oh woes me", like nothing more than a rubberstamp for Bush.  Just voting along party lines so that Bush gets what he wants for his corporate handlers.  

I will celebrate the day that the GOP loses it's hold on this country.  Celebrate just one day, and the next will be getting right back to work to clean up the absolute mess Shays and his ilk have left behind.  

by smugbug on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 03:15:13 PM EST

Re: Hey Chris Shays, look in the mirror (3.00 / 1)

Amen.

I'm so sick and tired of people calling Shays a moderate, or an independent.  

No.

He's little more than an enabler, who opens his mouth to proclaim just how awful the offensive Republican leadership is, then refuses to back up what he preaches.  

He still votes with DeLay and still votes with "President" Bush, but has repeated his "moderate" lie so many times that press (surprise) has just accepted it as the truth.

If he's the moderate he claims to be, he would have jumped ship from the ethically-challenged House Republicans a long time ago.  But he simply doesn't have the stones.  

by Politicalhack06 on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 04:35:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Only if (1.00 / 1)

HOWARD DEAN KEEP HIS MOUTH SHUT AND LETS  MURTHA HANDLE THINGS
by orin76 on Fri Dec 09, 2005 at 10:33:56 PM EST


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