New polling seems to buttress Democratic optimism about the West. First, Charles S. Johnson writes up the results of the latest Mason-Dixon poll out of Montana for the Billings Gazette.
One Democratic challenger, state Auditor John Morrison, is within striking distance of Burns.
If the election were held today, Montana voters favored Burns over Morrison by a 46 to 40 percent margin, with 14 percent undecided, the poll showed. In a Gazette State Poll conducted in May, Burns enjoyed a 49 to 34 percent lead over Morrison, with 17 percent undecided.
Among men, Burns leads Morrison, 49 to 40 percent in the recent poll, with 11 percent undecided. Results among women show Burns at 43 percent to Morrison's 40 percent, with 17 percent undecided.
Burns leads the other top Democrat, state Senate President Jon Tester, by a 49 to 35 percent margin, with 16 percent undecided, in the December poll. The May poll showed Burns over Tester by a 50 to 26 percent margin, with 24 percent undecided.
By gender, Burns tops Tester by a 51 to 36 percent margin among men, with 13 percent undecided. Burns has a 47 to 34 percent lead among women, with 19 percent undecided. [emphasis added]
Burns is not the only Republican Senator in the West facing a difficult reelection bid. Today, Rasmussen Reports released numbers out of Arizona showing second-term GOP Senator Jon Kyl stuck at 50 percent against his well-funded Democratic challenger, Jim Pederson.
Kyl, seeking his third term in the Senate, is viewed favorably by 53% of the state's voters and unfavorably by 35%. For Pederson, the numbers are 40% favorable and 34% unfavorable. [emphasis added]
Though these races provide the Democrats with a great opportunity to retake the Senate in 2006, each of these Democratic candidates -- including multi-millionaire Jim Pederson -- stand at cash-on-hand disadvantages against the Republican incumbents.
The winter fundraising period ends on New Years Eve, meaning that every donation turned in before midnight Saturday will boost candidates' FEC filings (which, to an extent, are a gauge of a candidate's viability). So if you're even considering giving some of your Christmas money or Hanukkah gelt to a Democratic candidate -- in the West or anywhere across the country -- try to get it in before the end of the year.
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