Winning in the Red States

There are few states more red than Oklahoma, but this has not always been the case. Oklahoma was once a progressive strong-hold. What happened?

The primary issue that holds this counter-intuitive alliance of working class people and corporate interests together is abortion. But as we work to reenergize the party and pursue the 50 state strategy necessary to win back America, I believe abortion can be turned away from a weakness into a strength for Democrats in red states.

Opening Story

As the `04 campaign was going on, I remember eating lunch at a Cici's Pizza with my parents and a family that went to their (evangelical) church.  In spite of their conservatives ways, I must admit I like these people.  They are caring, funny, hard-working and not caught up in the general b.s. that so many people tend to be. In short, these are the kind of people you want as friends because of their loyalty and their heart. You also want them in your party.

But as the conversation, despite my best efforts, turned to politics, I was informed by the father of some "facts" that had never really been brought to my attention. I learned that Democrats were the party of  big business, and that Republicans did everything they could to make small business work.  I tried to counter with Haliburton, Enron and outsourcing. The first two kind of bounced off him, but at the mention of "outsourcing" he had his talking points retort.  He told me Democrats were the ones who outsourced because Heinz outsourced jobs.

I must admit with great regret that I was so befuddled by this that I just got quite. I was at that moment awestruck by the power of GOP propaganda.

Liberal pop quiz --- what was wrong with his argument? 1.) Teresa Kerry wasn't in charge of that outsourcing decision 2.) John Kerry was the one up for office, not Teresa, or Heinz corporation 3.) Teresa Kerry was a life-long REPUBLICAN until Kerry ran for president. 4.) outsourcing is a Republican policy and was rewarded with tax credits by Republicans. Only a Progressive administration offers any hope for slowing this tide by advocating fair trade over market fundamentalism.

My Argument

Why would someone think the activity of a company tangentially related to a candidate would outweigh an entire culture of corruption,cronyism and corporatism?

The answer can be found in Aristotle's notion of ethos . . . a.k.a. credibility.  An argument, to Aristotle, has 3 parts:  1.) Logos (logic and facts)  2.) Pathos (emotional appeal)  3.) Ethos (credibility of the source).

Quite simply, national Democrats have absolutely no credibility to large portions of my state. Instead, Republicans do.

If you think a side represents evil, then any detail you can find to support that notion will be pushed to the forefront.  If you think a side represents a just struggle, details that go against that notion will get pushed to the background. This is what happened when the outsourcing issue met abortion. Republicans outsourcing away the prosperity of the working class was pushed to the background so that the mental image of "Pro-Life crusader" could remain in the family friend's conception of Bush. But Kerry already started out as a "baby killer" to him. With that, even a tiny detail like an outsourcing operation associated with Heinz was enough to show Democrats weren't really out to help the common man.

You and I both know these conclusions are illogical, but logos is only 1/3 of our battle. We must win on emotions (pathos) and we must gain an ethos for our Southern Democrats.

Just for a moment, think about the premises of your opponents who we must win over. If life (i.e. the soul) starts at conception, then of course abortion is murder. Would you listen to a candidate's tax policy if they were saying they wanted to legalize a parents right to kill their born child up the age of 21? (Ancient Rome had this tradition; the father owned the child forever as property.)

Clearly, when ethos falls, the other components of the argument do not get a fair hearing. You can argue all you want with the premises of a pro-lifer, but you cannot question that their motives are compassion. They believe they are saving human lives.

When the father of family got up to get some more pizza, the mother tried to make peace with me. She tried to get put herself in my shoes and mentioned some things Clinton had done to help lift people out of poverty, but she stopped suddenly and got very saddened as she remembered Bill Clinton's vetoed the bill banning partial birth abortion. She said she couldn't understand how anyone would veto that bill. I could see she wasn't very political. Instead, she was the type of person who would like to find ways to support the current President, whoever that president might be. Clinton was as great of a communicator as Ronald Regan, but as a pro-choice candidate who wouldn't even bend on partial-birth abortion, there was no way he could win the hearts (and then the minds) of 70% of Oklahomans. You may say "oh, who needs them?," but if you do, what's the point of pursuing a 50 state strategy?

Pro-life Democrats are the only hope for progressives to get gubernatorial or congressional seats in most of the red states. Only with their ethos can issues like corruption, fair trade, and education weigh in the decisions of a large portion of the voters down here. But being pro-life doesn't have to be something that neutralizes the GOP onslaught. Pro-Life Democrats should campaign on this question, "Is point of being pro-life to pat yourself on the back for your own morality, or is it to protect the lives of children and actually lower the number of abortions?"

This strategy is what I will call for Progressives being proactively pro-life, but for the red states it might play better as being "actively pro-life" or "aggressively pro-life"(people in red states tend to like things to sound tough)

Here's the commercial:

Imagine you're a teenage girl and you've made the biggest mistake of your life. Now you're pregnant. You have no money. Where can you turn for pre-natal care? How can you make sure your baby is born healthy? And if you cannot support that child, how can you find loving parents who will give your child a good life with a happy family?

[switch to candidate]"These are questions we in the pro-life community have a moral obligation to answer for any girl caught in this situation. It takes two to get pregnant, but only one scared young girl to be trapped in a desperate situation. We can't go back in time to undo the mistake. But we must do everything in our power to protect that child and mother's life and health. We can also work to lower the rates pregnancy for other teens in our state. It's time to put our money where our values are. It's time to get to work. We can't just be pro-family and pro-life, we've got to be aggressively pro-life."

Conclusion

Instead of allowing ourselves to get pounded year after year in red states by the wedge issue of abortion, we Democrats must turn the issue on its head.  Whereas the market-worshipping wing of the Republican Party can't stand the idea of government performing actions to reach out and help, Progressives can.  With this aggressively(pro-actively) pro-life stance, candidates will have the ethos to be able to articulate the other important issues where Democrats have the advantage. This will pull voters back in to the blue column for `06. Let's see how Republicans like a taste of wedge politics.


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Re: one thing i havent heard yet in this (3.00 / 1)

Well as a pro-choicer, I tend to agree with you.

But out of the governorships, House seats, etc that you see out of Bible Belt held by Democrats, you're going to have to point to me the pro-choice ones.

The great orator Cicero thought the only way to beat your opponents arguments is to understand where they are coming from, instead of just repeating your point over and over and over again.  My story was explaining WHY Oklahoma, Kansas, etc are no longer progressive states and how their ethos is gone.  If Democrats can't work out some kind of new strategy to approach this wedge issue, then forget about winning down here, and continue to be surprised when red states stay red.

If a pro-active stance to lower teen pregancy and make sure teens get adequate pre-natal care, and good placement for adoptions if that's what they choose, or career placement help -- if nothing of this sounds like something worth working for as democrats, I severly doubt the netroots will ever really touch much South of the Mason-Dixon line.

by give em hell Huddleston on Sun Nov 27, 2005 at 06:38:00 PM EST

Re: one thing i havent heard yet in this (3.00 / 1)

Well, yes the government should respect a persons autonomy.  But within our philsophy, the government CAN help give more options and aid for the course a person chooses to take.  

Also, good social policy lowers the rate of teen pregnancy and abortion.  An interesting article I found on pro-life Democrats here shows abortion rates lowered 17.4% under Clinton and have rasied 14.6% under Bush.  This is not to mention the quality of life issues and infant mortality issues of GOP policies.  I really do believe that if we accept our Pro-Life Democrats and work with them we really can do some good in the world, and just maybe win some voters over in the process.

And, of course, I take no offence taken to anything you said. . . see, I gave you a 3 rating and everything.

by give em hell Huddleston on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 12:05:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Failure to communicate. (3.00 / 2)

These anectdotes are symptoms of a general failure of Democrats to communicate their message.

The Democrats have not articulated any sort leadership on pocketbook issues since Hillary's national healthcare plan was defeated. On the other hand, the Republicans always talk about helping small business, even if their policies actually help large multinational corporations. Everyone knows Republicans are for lower taxes, but what Democrats are for is less clear.

Likewise, the Democrats have let Republicans beat them silly on the social issues in the heartland. The partial birth abortion ban is the perfect example of this. Even if the PBA ban is upheld by the courts, it would not save one baby. However, people remember Clinton's veto, and people remember the leading Democrats who voted against it while the Republicans strongly supported it. Unfortunately, people do NOT remember Tom Daschle's alternative that would have banned ALL third trimester abortions except those necessary to save a woman's life or physical health. Nor do people remember that it was the Republicans who defeated this alternative. Nor do people know that this version was the strictest ban that could have been upheld by the courts. All many people know is that Democrats are for killing babies. And that doesn't help win elections.

I could write an entire book on these topic, but I believe Thomas Frank already did.

by wayward on Sun Nov 27, 2005 at 09:33:57 PM EST

Re: Failure to communicate. (3.00 / 2)

Yeah, the Frank book is fantastic, and should be a must-read for any Democrat stuck in the Bible Belt. . .

The antedotes aren't my personal opinions, but instead an attempt to try to communicate my understanding of how the people think that we need our party needs to win over.  There are people out there who vote Republican but are Christan enough to think it is a great thing Clinton did things to help get people out of poverty.  But because of PBA, no dice on his legacy in my state, which is sad.  The problem is communication.  But communication requires credibility.  While Frank mentioned all sorts of other wedge issues and other factors such as the perception of intellectual elitism, all of which hurt our party's ethos down South, I think abortion is the most devastating to our party.

Every year because of direct mail, word of mouth, and now Republican blogs abortion will continue to be an issue, even if it gets zero play in the MSM.  And if Roberts and Alito (or new-judge X) do overturn Roe v. Wade, the issue can only heat up.

For those Democrats who are Pro-Life, I don't think they should be shoved out of the party.  I think our party is one held together primarily by economic concerns and fairness in society (social justice).  But I think a candidate in a Bible Belt state shouldn't just say they are pro-life.  I think they should make commercials like the one I suggested.  This will 1.) inform religious voters of the stance, thus preventing direct mail and GOP blog lies 2.)lay out a positive agenda to actually protect people who are put in a vulunerable position.  

Oklahoma has one of the highest teen pregnancy rates in the country. This begs to be an issue.  The states that do the most for their citizens (blue states) tend to have lower teen pregancy rates.

And no, I don't think telling someone there are social services out to help you is telling someone what to do with their body.  So right now, while Roe v. Wade stands, Democrats are the only ones who can lower the number of abortions . . .  this is through lowering pregnancy and giving aid and comfort to single mothers (I'm not saying coerce people into not having an abortion, I'm saying give other options -- remember I'm pro-choice. . my state isn't).  Then, if Roe v. Wade is overturned, only Democrats will be there to give protections to these mothers.

The question for the Republicans was "Do you want to just pat yourself on the back for being pro-life or do you want to do everything in our power to protect babies?"  (including health care, etc)

The question for Democrats is "Do you want to just pat yourself on the back for giving women the right to choose, or do you want to help make sure even Red States do what they can to help mothers?"

by give em hell Huddleston on Sun Nov 27, 2005 at 11:13:22 PM EST
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