However, in a pattern that mirrors Bush's decline among his own conservative base (see the third graphic fromt he top on the right), the 2005 elections showed significant weakness for Republicans in many suburban areas. Most prominently, in Virginia, Kaine rocked the northern suburbs:
In winning the election for governor, Lt. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) took Loudoun and Prince William counties, something Mark R. Warner (D) couldn't accomplish when he was elected governor four years ago. Kaine also received nearly three in four votes in Arlington and seven in 10 in Alexandria.
"The days of monolithic Republican control are over," said John V.N. Klein, a former GOP Suffolk County executive. "In the past when this kind of thing happened, I'd say give it a couple of elections and we'll be back in charge again. We can't count on that anymore."(...)
While Democrats Bill Clinton and John Kerry have won Long Island in their presidential bids, local Democrats for the first time Tuesday consolidated their gains - winning control of the legislatures in both counties as well as the offices of county executive and district attorney.
Looking at these three examples, what we are seeing right now might be more of a Northeastern trend than anything else. However, it is enough to suggest that reality is slowly creeping into the gated community, where voting Republican may no longer be just as guaranteed as everyone driving an SUV and having the same color mailbox. If Republicans continue to bleed these suburban and exurban voters, we will have a major realignment on our hands come 2006.
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