These are two very interesting jumping-off points for Democrats interested in showing disaffected Republicans and independents that the Democratic 'big tent' certainly has room for them. Here's how Carville and Greenberg define Ross Perot's natural base, which they view as up for grabs in 2006.
They argue that this was the group that helped shift the House to the Republicans in 1994 as well as breaking for Bush in 2000. Examining this list point-by-point, it's easy to see how this group could be swayed to the Democrats in next year's midterms.
This echoes some of what we heard from Howard Dean during his presidential campaign. It also lines up well with what we know about the recent successes in Montana Democrats championing a progressive populist message. My fear is that many of the Perot voters are simply anti-government and therefore anti-incumbent. Though they very well could vote for Democrats in 2006, can we really count on them to stick with the party over the long haul?
The CQ Weekly story about the broadening interests of evangelical Christians could also play into a strategy of winning back white, rural, blue collar voters. Though evangelicals have been a core constituency of the Republican Party, there is some reason to believe that at least a handful of these voters can be peeled from the shaky Republican coalition.
Issues like environmental stewardship, the elimination of poverty, and fair trade are very important to some Christians. While abortion has been the dominating political issue for evangelicals, it's certainly not the only one. And as the Miers nomination has shown, more and more of these voters feel as if the Republicans have been paying them lip service all these years. If the politics of abortion are taken off the table, the fact of the matter is that these voters have more in common with progressive Democrats than they do big business Republicans.
No one is suggesting we should align ourselves with Falwell and Robertson. However, if we vigorously and (unlike the Republicans) honestly make the case to evangelicals that Democratic ideals are much in common with their ideals, we'll win some converts and strengthen our coalition.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 20 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.