Iraqi Election: A Success

. . . if only contigently so. Its late (1:30 AM West Coast) - and as such this might be a bit of a disorganized rant - but I feel compelled to write an essay saying why I am disappointed that more liberals have not recognized that the Iraqi elections were successful. Indeed, they were more successful than I imagined they would be. Really, just because Bush believes something or says something to be so doesn't make it not so. Remember, a broken clock is right twice a day. I have hardly been an advocate of this war (you might remember some of my posts to this effect), and would most certainly not support an invasion of say, Iran, because of one succesful election in Iraq. (and I'm sure I'll blog more in the future about issues such as these) But for most of Iraq's population, this election was a success - and is certainly a step in a positive direction.

Of course, I know all that it is wrong in Iraq and what could still go wrong - Sunni disenfranchisement/refusnikism, terrible security, very high unemployment, terrible infrastructure, and so on. But for a majority of non-Sunni Iraqis, this election really does represent a step towards a better life, if only in small measure. What, after all, do liberals believe in? Do we not believe in the enfranchisement of the formerly dispossessed and downtrodden? Do we not believe in democratic elections, even if flawed?

On an another note, this was not the elections the neo-cons had in mind. Read Lawrence Kaplan's piece in TNR or some of Richard Perle's recent interviews for more. Sistani forced these elections on the US. If only in part, Sistani and co have "spoken back to the man" through these elections: the UIA ticket was not exactly what the most nefarious advocates of this war had in mind when they launched with the intention of installing Ahmed Chalabi as a "soft dictator" within six months. And no, Sistani and Al-Dawa and the SCIRI are not going to install a theocracy. Read some of Juan Cole's archives for more on why this is not so. It will be a religious government, more religious certainly than what I would want in the US, but one has to respect indigenous preferences for self-governance if self-governance is a meaningful concept. Of course, tomorrow, the insurgency is sure to continue. The country will remain an infrastructural disaster. A shockingly high proportion of Iraqis will remain unemployed. But for this day, I think it is imperative that liberals stand with the aspirations of the many, many Iraqis who yearn for self-governance, if liberalism is to mean anything. Because I would want Iraqi liberals to stand with me on a day like this if the table were turned.

I know Bush stands on the wrong side of history on a lot of important issues: the environment, civil liberties, gay rights and I know his understanding of "freedom's" meaning is fatally limited (more on this later today) and I know he is probably hastening the US's decline through his horrible diplomacy and essentially Hobbesian, illiberal approach to the world. Indeed, it is his administration's very Hobbessian, illiberal nature that makes me so skeptical of his claims to "spread democracy." But at least today, Bush - and not enough liberals bloggers - stands on the right side.


Display:


Hope for the best. (none / 0)

I alluded to this here:

http://www.mydd.com/comments/2005/1/30/12745/0347/26#26

At the very least everyone should hope that Iraq's elections succeed in ushering a new era of democracy for the country, however painful the growing pain.

Rooting for Bush's failure is the height of cynicism and plain selfish disregard for the plight of the Iraqi people who deserve a brighter future. Hoping for Bush to succeed doesn't in any way run counter to holding him absolutely accountable for any and all failures as a result of his policies.

Slate's Fred Kaplan has a good article on these sentiments here: http://slate.msn.com/id/2112885/

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 05:24:54 AM EST

Reality check (none / 0)

Sorry, I'm not going to join in any of this false cheer. There's little to celebrate here, except for the bravery that brought out those people to vote despite the threats. The whole Iraqi operation is still completely botched - one feel-good moment isn't going to change that. It makes me sick to see those people getting blown up by suicidal fanatics, but what makes me really angry is that Bush had a real chance to do some good over there, he spent hundreds of billions and the lives of all those American kids, and this is the best we can do? Maybe 60% turnout amid a traffic and commercial lockdown, barbed wire and barricaded polling places, with American snipers on the roofs? All for what? To elect a Shia counsel that may quickly degenerate into theocracy?

We're so damned used to dismal failure and bad news out of Iraq that we cheer - for this stagecraft? What exactly was accomplished yesterday? A "triumph for democracy"?  Wait to see what form of government emerges from this. "Freedom on the march"? Those people are no more free than they were yesterday. You all are falling under the hypnotic spell of lowered expectations. The media kept saying "It's going to be a bloodbath, it's going to be chaos, expect low low turnout, expect this, expect that," and when things go decently well it's suddenly a wild success? A resounding rebuke of the insurgency? Exactly when did the Shia or Kurds ever say "hey, these Sunni Baathist guys who are blowing us up are kind of all right"? They ALWAYS rebuked the insurgents. The insurgents are HATED there by the Shia and Kurds, and probably a lot of Sunnis, too. The insurgents aren't fighting for legitimacy or warm good feelings. They are fighting because they are murderous bastards with a political and religious agenda. Do you really think that 60% of the people coming out to vote for an assembly is going to change that? Oh, how sweet. How romantic. Now suck it up, because the oil's still not flowing, the electricity's still not on, the water's still dirty, and insurgency is growing in number and reach, the police and army are still not trained, the country is still a battlefield, billions of your dollars are still being looted, there's still tons of high explosives, rockets, and munitions gone missing. This election was an exercise in symbolism and little more.

But, you may say, we are liberals, a dictator was overthrown, the people voted. We must celebrate. Well, here's some news for you. Democracy in the Middle East is vastly overrated. What they need over there is stability, and safety, and education and opportunity. They need to stop relying on oil so much and start innovating their economies. Democracy is actually a destabilizing force, and things are going to get worse in Iraq for a long time now. Here's the dirty little secret: Bush knows this. He's no lover of democracy or freedom. Hell, his first choice was to have Chalabi or Bremer run the place, but Sistani threatened all kinds of Shia mischief unless there were elections. This election is part of Bush's desperate exit strategy, his plan B or C. He's going to throw a lot of money at training a local force, he's going to keep the American military in there in their permanent bases forever, he's going to throw money and money and money and lives at it for a long time, and in the end we will end up with some kind of loose puppet regime semi-loyal to us for as long as we occupy the bases and keep the $$$ coming.

That's what your money has bought. That's what those kids died for. So pop a cork and celebrate this hollow election. I hope I'm wrong. I really do. But I don't think so.

by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:22:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Reality check... Bush didn't want free elections. (none / 0)

Bush didn't want free elections. He wanted to appoint the first govenment. Bush was trying to appoint that Iranian spy as Prime Minister, remember? Free elections were forced upon Bush.

This is a victory for the Iraqi people over Bush.

Now... we get to see if the Iraqi people get the people they voted for declared as victors in the election. Bush's record on this isn't real good, and there's legitimate reason to question any election result Bush is counting the votes for.

by afs on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 12:09:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hope for the best. (none / 0)

Hoping for Bush to succeed doesn't in any way run counter to holding him absolutely accountable for any and all failures as a result of his policies.

I hope life will improve in Iraq. I hope that time, and American reparations, will help heal the physical pain of the tens of thousands of injured Iraqis, and the psychological anguish of the tens of thousands of bereft widows and widowers and orphans.

I would not define my hopes as "hoping for Bush to succeed", but rather, hoping Iraqis as speedy a recovery as possible given the carnage and instability that has resulted from Bush's bloody, immoral, illegal, unnecessary war.

Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 01:20:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

They owe us, we don't owe them (none / 0)

Are you a cartoon liberal? You know the one that always gets trashed by the right wing? The one that mainstream america has relegated to the political wilderness?

Carnage is something Iraqis are much better at than we are. Where were all those martyrs when Saddam was in power? Why are they willing to kill innocent iraqis and american troops, but they never took out Saddam? Why are Arabs pouring in from all corners to kill for religion, when they never lifted a finger against Saddam?

The Iraqis owe us big time, they know it and we know it. They are glad and grateful that we pulled their chestnuts out of the fire.

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 02:31:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: They owe us, we don't owe them (none / 0)

What a sad joke. You think the carnage of this war began with the insurgency? You think the 100,000+ deaths and God knows how many injuries are the result only of the insurgency? And you think America bears no responsibility for the insurgency itself, as if it would have all happened if we hadn't invaded?

As for whom the rightwing trashes, I couldn't care less.  And as for one's proximity to the political wilderness: people who speak the truth often aren't as politically popular as those who ignore it, twist it or lie outright.  That's not a cartoon, that's real life.

Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 06:46:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Iraqi Democracy is a Progressive Value (none / 0)

You're certainly not alone in feeling the way you do, and I hope that the rest of the liberal / progressive crowd can reel themselves in long enough to recognize that we've got to get behind democratically inclined Iraqis.

I posted extensively about this at my blog, Scrutiny Hooligans .  Here's an excerpt from the closing of one post:

"It's only insurgents, terrorists, George W. Bush and his administration, a comatose media, religious nationalism, the distrust of the world, apathy, and a dozen other things we've got to overcome. Daunted? Me too. To think that freedom and democracy might take hold in Iraq is terrifically naive, but what else will we support and work towards? While cursing every darkness, the left can also light a candle of solidarity with those who aspire to be free.

by Screwy Hoolie on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 07:27:04 AM EST

Honest, fair elections are a Progressive Value (none / 0)

To me it's a bit ridiculous to say we should be excited about some unknown number of people getting to 'vote'.  There are reports that Assyrian Christians in northern Iraq were prevented from voting almost entirely by the Kurds in their area.  That Sunni areas largely didn't vote, that Iranians crossed the borders, inflating the Shiite vote.  When is a vote not a vote?  

When a GOP-paid pundit spouts the party line, do we call him a 'journalist'?  Do we say 'well, at least some news is getting out, better than nothing?'  To me the lack of security (which is the fault of this administration, for not sending adequate numbers of troops) virtually guaranteed an invalid election.  I want free and fair elections in Iraq - that's what our soldiers died for.  Lipstick on a pig.

by raisin on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 08:17:15 AM EST

Re: Honest, fair elections are a Progressive Value (none / 0)

Learn the expectations game.  Comments like yours only make the Bush administration look like they are over coming insurmountable obstacles.  The GOP as consistently used the distracters in their favor.
by Classical Liberal on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 08:29:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh, wah... (none / 0)

Considering 59.4% of eligible Americans bothered to vote in 2004 -- compared to 60+% of eligible Iraqis during wartime under the constant threat of death by suicide bombers, mortors, rpgs, and other dastardly methods... Yeah, gee what a disappointment!

And we wonder why mainstream America seems to tolerate Bush and his cronies when dems like yourself complain even when liberal values such as democratic elections in a war-torn country are conducted with greater turnout than anyone expected.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:07:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh goody, we pulled off an election (none / 0)

Now explain how it's going to make things better over there. Give me the cause and effect of how it gets better from here. String cause to effect from election in Iraq to a stable country free of terrorists and embracing freedom as we define it in the west. Then look at what you wrote and see what a tissue of remote contingencies and frail assumptions it is built from.

Now the insurgents will lose legitimacy and fade away. Right
Now the Europeans will come hither with troops and money. Sure.
Now the people of Iraq will rise up and sieze the day and get down to the business of re-building their country, defy eight hundred years of tradition and create a liberal pro-western democracy in the Middle East. Hey come closer, I have an all-natural baldness cure to sell you. Guaranteed to produce results.

Feel good about yesterday's stagecrafted event if you like. Wrap it up in high ideals like the President does. Pretend it means something, if it helps you forget what is really happening to those people.

by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 12:27:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Its our ticket out of there (none / 0)

All those bad things you expect. Sure, they will happen, no doubt. But we won't be there. We need to legitimize the shiites as fast as we can, considering we balked at doing so initially. We need to get out and let them run things. Don't you agree?
by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 02:34:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Its our ticket out of there (none / 0)

Hell yes I agree.

What a terrible waste.

by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:15:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Oh goody, we pulled off an election (none / 0)

Just a quick point on your predictions:

  1. The insurgents already have lost legitimacy in Iraq, now they may always have a place at the table in the MSM.
  2. Europeans have neither troops nor money to spare...Have you seen how their economies are doing?
  3. Slavery was in existence for centuries, but America still lead the way in abolishing it.  Some traditions are easier to drop than others.  It helps that the majority of Iraqis' where given the shaft under Saddam.

I understand that the election is not proof of success, but continued nay saying and eluding to the fact the somehow the Iraqi people are worse off, paints you into a corner in which the only way you win is absolute melt down in Iraq.  Time and time again the nay-sayers have been proven wrong.

by Classical Liberal on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 05:59:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Fun with statistics (none / 0)

60% based on what?  On Condi Rice's expert opinion?  On a couple of guys at polling places visually estimating that 60% of their area was at the polling place?  This statistic is misleadingly thrown around as if it signifies something.  It will take weeks to count the votes, and it is already clear significant portions of the Sunni and Assyrian population have been excluded.

In sum, the election was a nice PR moment, but ultimately not much more than that.

The bottom line is as Annan said: "It is important to ensure that all individuals, groups and parties who, for whatever reason, were unable or unwilling to take part in the election are now brought into the constitution-making process."  I will reserve my 'mission accomplished II' flag-waving moment for AFTER the ratification of their constitution, when it is clear that minorities in Iraq are represented and not subject to oppression by the ruling party, which is what brought us there in the first place (supposedly).  Iraq has several ethnic and religious groups struggling for power, and it is by no means clear based on this administration's past actions in Afghanistan that they have ANY idea how to broker this delicate negotiation.

by raisin on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:34:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

AGREE! (none / 0)

How long will it take for our leaders to come around on this issue?  The Iraq war could kill the DFL party.

This election represents, once again, when the distractors to the Iraq war are wrong.   Wrong about intial invasion, wrong about looting, wrong about election posibilities.  I am sick of it.  

To the American people it is simple, people want freedom, freedom is good.  The DFL needs to be on the right side of this issue, before it is too late.  Democracy in Iraq is moving forward.  There is no reward without risk.  I am unsure if the American people will allow a 4th quarter jump on the band wagon to gain political favor, but it is better than after the game.  

by Classical Liberal on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 08:20:26 AM EST

Re: AGREE! (none / 0)

Are you saying that we should start to support whole Iraq issue now?  I had trouble understanding your post.  Forgive me if I misunderstood because of lack of familiararity with you, I'm new to myDD.
by Nameless Soldier on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:05:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: AGREE! (none / 0)

All I am saying is reaching for the next thing that will halt progress in Iraq is not working.   At some point you have to ask yourself what am I fighting and why?  

The complaints against the President's Iraq policy as they are currently being framed are not hurting, but helping him.  

by Classical Liberal on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 06:13:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: AGREE! (none / 0)

So I can better frame my argument I have outlined three things I believe:

I believe in the concept of Freedom and Democracy as laid out by our founding fathers.  
I believe that within every human is a yearning for that freedom.  
I believe where freedom leads people follow.  

I have never thought bringing democracy to the Middle East was impossible nor have I been one of the nay-sayers in regards to the Iraq war.  I have seen the seeds of democracy budding within the Middle East over the last 10 years.  By many estimates the world democracy will reach 100% of world population by as early has 2017 with the latest estimate at 2096.   From 1950 to now more than 100 new democracies where formed.  When the Bush administration decided to go into Iraq it was neither a surprise nor an illogical response to the 9/11 attacks.  

I did however have some problems with the way the Iraq war was framed to the American public.  I have to be honest I like most Democrats and Republicans around the world believed that Iraq had WMD's.  I have read a story of chemical weapons used by Saddam against his own people.  It wasn't a huge leap of faith to assume he still had those weapons and was making more.   It seems to me that the President's Inaugural address should have given before the war started.

I happen to agree that lack of democracy breeds terrorists and that we have turned our backs on the people of Middle East much too often in the past, but if the President has thought that all along, he should have used that argument in the first place.  .

What does this mean to people against the war or against the bushies?   It means that democracy is coming and framing your argument under; it is not possible or it will never happen or the people of the Middle East can't handle freedom, etc. are dead end avenues.   Every time the President overcomes seemingly insurmountable odds he gains more credibility and the war's distracters lose more.  The anti-war movement and their false belief the freedom cannot blossom in the Middle East are only serving to make Bush a hero.  The Iraq war serves as a catalyst to Democracy.

Think long and hard about why you are against the war in the Iraq and formulate your opinions.  It seems to me the root of the issue that everyone seems to be avoiding for some reason is the argument against world democracy.   The New World Order argument that some how world democracy would lead to global take over by the US.  That I would be willing to debate about.

Would a free world lead to world peace and why for some reason does it seem like a scary thing?  It is the Ying and the Yang argument.  You cannot have good with out bad, black with out white.  I understand the argument, though I am not sold on it.  There still will be good and bad in the world, but the stakes won't always be as high.

Overall the DFL leadership has painted themselves into a corner in which there is no solution where everyone wins and they are on a crash course with reality.  A loss on globalization, democracy and world peace would be devastating to the party.   If the problem is with President Bush not the war, then why continue with this battle.  He will be out in 4 years.  That is how democracy works.

Our leaders need to hold their collective noses and work with the administration on this so that they can be envolved in expansion of freedom as well and enjoy the fruits of success.

by Classical Liberal on Tue Feb 01, 2005 at 05:05:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Uh, excuse me? (none / 0)

To put this into perspective...

Wrong about the initial invasion? Wait, you mean the dire threat posed to the US by Saddam's massive WMD arsenal? Weapons that were said could even be deployed against us within 45 minutes? Wouldn't want to wait for that mushroom cloud after all!

Try to remember the reasons prior to #4730 for going to war in Iraq (sorry if I missed a few):

  1. Regime change
  2. Terrorist sponsor
  3. WMD
  4. Intent to reconstitute WMD
  5. Liberation! That's it!

Bringing democracy is the very LEAST we can and ought to do for completely fucking up their country and killing who knows how many thousands of Iraqi civilians.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:16:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You're confusing the election (none / 0)

with progress in Iraq. Operationally, the election was a success because people voted in decently high percentages and not too many were killed.

But success? Progress? By what standard? Explain just how holding an election for a slate of mostly nameless politicians and hundreds of slates is advancing the country toward safety and westernization? It feels good, we get to see blue fingers waved about, but it accomplishes nothing toward the ultimate goal of stability and producing a terrorist-free state.

Democracy is messy, and when you force democracy onto an already chaotic situation, things get more chaotic. Oh yeah, let's celebrate. The last thing we needed was an election in Iraq right now. What we needed was to secure the place, which we can't do, and to diversity the economy off of oil, which we won't do. So we held an election, whoopee.

I grew up with all that "Freedom is the cure for everything" pablum that the Bush white house is now spewing, as if they really gives a damn about freedom. But what is freedom? Freedom for the Iraqies to do whatever they want? If that were the case, the country will quickly split into Muslim and Kurd regions, and then in the Muslimm areas the Shia will impose "democracy on of the majority" on the Sunnis, who will continue to blow things up. This election changes not one aspect of the fundamental dynamic in Iraq that has made it ungovernable in the past except by strongmen and imperial occupiers. We are just sowing more chaos. Name one thing this election will do to make the country more secure. One. "Well, uh, now the insurgents will be seen as illegitimate..." News flash: they are hated over there already, they could give a damn about the Shia or the Kurds seeing them as legitimate. And they have broad support in the Sunni regions, and this election won't change that one bit. Freedom is NOT advancing in Iraq - chaos is advancing in Iraq. Freedom cannot advance by sowing more chaos and uncertainty, and that's exactly what messy elections with thousands of secret candidates and hundreds of slates accomplish. Chaos. Distraction.

I'll celebrate when we crush these bastards who are blowing everyone up, but it's not happening, they are getting stronger, because we've totally botched it over there.

by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 12:13:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'll celebrate when the troops are home (none / 0)

Will you join me?
by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 02:36:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'll celebrate when the troops are home (none / 0)

I can't believe I'm saying this. But yes, bring 'em home. Respecting the troops means bringing them home so that no more American's die for this lost and botched neo-con cause.
by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:17:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Amen, Brother (none / 0)

Perhaps this can be the nucleus of some left-wing "message discipline". We can debate "whether it was worth it" after the troops are home.
by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:31:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Potemkin election (none / 0)

(NOTE: I posted this earlier, but I thought it would be appropriate to this thread.  Rather than repeat myself, I'll just repeat myself.)

Okay, so I know the whole Potemkin village thing is largely mythical, but as a metaphor it fits here. It is wonderful to see so many Iraqis willing to embrace the notion of democracy, but an election does not a democracy make. There has been so much attention given to the election process-- and the constant threat of violence hanging over it in some places-- that not enough attention has been given to what the outcome could mean. Who are the candidates? Have they all been vetted by the Bush administration and their puppets in the Iraqi provisional government? If the newly elected candidates-- ostensibly the representatives of Iraqi people-- voice their desire to have the U.S. pull most or all of it's troops out of Iraq, will their 'sovereignty' be respected? Here in the U.S. we've had two successive presidential elections marred by the scandal of corruption and vote theft. Beneath that ugly face lay the putrifying flesh of the two-party system. Since we have all either tacitly or eagerly accepted the results of those corrupted elections, what does that say about our own commitment to democracy? I submit that we are more enamored of the artifice than we are of the substance. The Iraqi elections are a sham, and the cruelest part of the prank is that many Iraqis are risking their lives to participate in it. Regardless of what anonymous candidates win office, the U.S. will still have over 100,000 troops stationed in permanent bases around Iraq. The U.S. will still have the largest embassy in it's history (currently headed by John "Batallion 3-16" Negroponte) in place. If the massive corruption that has already been evident in the contracting of 'reconstruction' work is any indication, then the outward flow of Iraqi resources (into the coffers of politically connected U.S. multinationals) will continue. Iraq will be a U.S. puppet, and a massive oil kleptocracy to boot. The insurgents are fighting against this enslavement of their country. Unfortunately for most Iraqis, what many (if not most) of the insurgents are fighting for won't be much better. However, this could likely have all been avoided if the Bush administration's true intent had been the welfare of the Iraqi people, and not the enrichment of it's friends and the appeasement of it's own resident neocon imperialists.

ADDENDUM

Of course, what are we to do now?  I've seen a lot of rhetoric, especially in this thread, about how all 'liberals' and progressives should be getting behind our democracy-hungry brethren in Iraq.  I couldn't agree more, but I reiterate my assertion about our own grasp of democracy:  we don't have it right here, so we can't be expected to help others.

"Why do you look at the speck of sawdust in your brother's eye and pay no attention to the plank in your own eye? How can you say to your brother, `Let me take the speck out of your eye,' when all the time there is a plank in your own eye? You hypocrite, first take the plank out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to remove the speck from your brother's eye."
(Matthew 7:3-5)

If we're to be taken seriously about promoting democracy anywhere, then we need to make sure that the ones doing the promotion on our behalf aren't anti-democratic neofascists like the Bush administration. The Bushies don't give a rat's whisker about the Iraqis.  Their overtures about democracy are merely a smoke screen to provide justification for their colonial intentions.

Jeez, people, we've been through this before with the Bushies.  Haven't they proven their total lack of credibility already?

by The Church Secretary on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 08:31:30 AM EST

Re: Potemkin election (none / 0)

The people losing the most credibility in my eyes are the ones constantly grabbing for excuses and the next big obstacle.

"We don't have it(democracy) right here" - Says you.  Why throw away the good for the perfect.  Are there things we could fix?  You bet, but find another country that has gotten it better.

You talk about rhetoric..."The insurgents are fighting against this enslavement of their country."   Give me a break, we are just beginning to pull out the troops from Germany and that liberation happened over a half a century ago, though it may have only been a couple of decades for the eastern half.  I am all about watching our government, but I am not brainwashed enough to believe we represent all that is wrong with the world.

Maybe I am simple minded in thinking I can use human nature and common sense to get my arms around this war, but I haven't been proven wrong yet.  People like you have been repeatedly.  It makes me wonder what your argument is.

Do you think democracy in Iraq is unachievable or just plain wrong?  It is a completely different debate that I would be willing to delve into, but hiding behind this unachievable argument is a recipe for disaster and a misrepresentation of your argument.

by Classical Liberal on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:01:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I would love to debate you (none / 0)

about just how this election advances us toward the goal of a stable liberal democracy in Iraq, free of terrorists. I will absolutely have that debate with you.

Lay out the chain of cause and effect that gets us there from here, given the ethnic hatred, the country's undiversified economy, the munitions everywhere, and the long, long history of dictatorship, caliphany, religious warfare, and intolerance of western values.

They didn't need an election. They needed us to stabilize and rebuild the country, like we promised. And we failed, and this election won't change that. It doesn't do one thing to make things better over there. It was stagecraft. It was Bush giving himself a media moment.

by coldeye on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 12:41:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I am glad elections are successful (none / 0)

But I still think Bush was wrong in invading Iraq because I have thought that invasion was the most ineffective and costly way to remove Saddam or even spread freedom or fight terrorism.  There were other ways.  

And true enough, what Bush father and many others predicted came true and America is left holding the bag.  ($300B and thousands died and maimed).  

by jasmine on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:06:25 AM EST

Re: I am glad elections are successful (none / 0)

I can't believe even some dems on the liberal blogs are beginning to believe this war was about democracy...give me a break! WMDs? Hello? Democracy is the last straw Bush is grasping for in order to justify why 1400 Americans and tens of thousands of Iraqis died. The country wasn't even a terrorist hotbed until we arrived.

Let's just hope the elections mark a turning point for the Iraqi people. Bush owes them a hell of a lot more than democracy. He ought to find that missing $9 billion of reconstruction funds our people "lost" (gee, maybe its under the embassy sofa cushions!) and buy each and every one of them a new car and condominium, begging for their eternal forgiveness.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:26:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

jh (none / 0)

The difficulty is not that one doesn't favor elections, but that we strongly doubt that any such thing is actually taking place.  Bush is using an election to set up a puppet.  Here is an article in Liberal Oasis:

http://www.liberaloasis.com/archives/013005.htm#013105

We have a really lousy record in this regard.

by ignatz on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:26:29 AM EST

Re: jh (none / 0)

Seriously doubt it. Sistani is no puppet, and according to many arab press reports at various polling locations, his Shiite coalition is leading Allawi.

I hope Sistani takes power as well as erects his fundamentalist government modeled after Iran. It'll be what the people voted for and it'll (hopefully) teach the neocons what happens when you fuck with a nationalistic culture you know nothing about.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:30:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

mixed feelings (none / 0)

(to be honest)

I felt a surge of emotion when I heard about the vote. I'm happy for the Iraqis who are tasting democracy and personal power for the first time and -ALSO- for our troops who've paid (along with Iraqi civilians) the biggest price for the war. They've died or have been wounded or have lost their comrades, and they've been changed, at the very start of their adult lives, into the people who fire our weapons and kill for us, and they had to have been hoping that it all meant something, not just Saddam's defeat, but to the Iraqi people. Yesterday was a good day for them after hundreds of very bad days.

I know the administration is going to be trumpeting the election as a vindication of the war and I think that stinks. It stinks that good news for the Iraq people and our troops requires a 'Yes, but...' for anyone that disagrees with the Bush policies. It stinks that the Republicans get to be cynical and cold calculators (privately), while we have to be the white hat guys and rise above. They have it a lot easier than we do. They get to talk high ideals while behaving otherwise. We have to do both.

There should be a good word to describe the fix that we're in.

by sarany on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:39:38 AM EST

Re: mixed feelings (none / 0)

It's always easier to do evil. Cast morals and ethics to the wayside and life's so much simpler. "Diplomacy? Bah! For losers! Invade and let God sort them out!" But things have a way of sorting themselves out. Doing evil always has a price. I hope Bush pays dearly.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:01:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

As a matter of politics (none / 0)

We look very bad when on a largely successful day we stand around saying, "Yeah but it wasn't really that great and there are problems A and B and C..."  It doesn't matter whether such points are valid.  The whole appearance is of a whiny, pessimistic, visionless opposition who - worst of all - appears to want things to go wrong for political reasons.

Instead, we should be gracious and thrilled that the election went far better than it might have (which it clearly did).  Save your cautious caveats for later.

Honestly, if we can't learn simple principles like this, it's no wonder we fail to gain the trust of so much of the nation.

by snaktime on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:42:24 AM EST

Do we support the downtrodden? (none / 0)

You're damn right we do!

I supported removing Saddam by force prior to 9-11, and afterwards I joined the Army to do so. I faced the months of combat, I saw friends die, I killed.

I support the war, as did most Americans. I don't support the occupation. We aren't there to build schools. The Iraqis can do that. We aren't there to pump oil. The Iraqis can do that. We aren't there to make laws, conduct elections, or keep the peace. Iraqis can do that. They really can.

This election, as it represents handing it over to the shiites, is a great thing. It should have happened sooner. We could have avoided the April 4 uprising. Shiites can govern by means other than brute force: they can use religion and culture. We cannot.

At first the pro Israel people didn't want a shiite theocracy (call it what you will, that's what it will be). You know what? Who cares what they want! I want American troops, the same 500,000 or so guys and gals, to be free of the endless deployments and death at the hands of a shadowy enemy.

A pandoras box was opened on September 11th. Americans as a whole, not just Bush, are part of that. We don't know the exact path, but its probable that in a generation the Arabs will ge their act together and relegate religion to the sideline where it belongs.

Bottom Line: we don't have to baby sit them for twenty years.

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:53:33 AM EST

Re: Do we support the downtrodden? (none / 0)

Ironic that you talk about religion moving to the sidelines in Iraq, when in America religion has been moving from the sidelines to midfield.

I was in the military well before 9/11, having joined before others were actually reminded of "patriotism" after their own homeland was attacked. I'm a kosovo veteran. I was stationed in Korea when the planes hit the towers.

A majority supported the war in Iraq only because they believed the administration's spin that sought to link Saddam to Al Qaeda as well as warn against "mushroom clouds" and imminent threat of massive WMD stockpiles. Both assertions have been proven false. That you still believe Iraq was part of the war on terrorism shows that you're probably part of that 70% of Fox viewers who still believe we found WMD in Iraq. Of course, having been in the military for awhile, I don't blame you too much because I know that military news networks show plenty of Fox and Rush Limbaugh is the only voice for talk radio on every base's station. Also, since you joined after 9/11, you haven't really been in very long.

Myself? I was part of a real liberation. The kosovo campaign was launched after building public support for stopping Milosovich from ethnic cleansing. There was no bullshit smokescreen built to deceive the American people -- and the republicans fought tooth and nail to derail Madelaine Albright's case for intervention. But in two months we brought them to their knees and didn't lose a single servicemember. That said, I know this Iraq shit was bogus back in 2002 when Bush was making his case and letting Osama escape in the Tora Bora mountains of Afghanistan.

Last year I left the military because I wasn't going to serve this asshole in chief a day longer. So sorry that you still have to. Best of luck and better get used to those long deployments. You'll have plenty more in the next four years. Good luck.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:19:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Good for you (none / 0)

First of all I am no longer in the military. Bush is a terrible CinC. He has no grasp of limits and costs, having never served in war himself.

That said, do you know why America fought this war? Revenge. We wanted payback for 9-11. That's the true reason, but we can't say it because of diplomacy and all that. The administration chose a reason that they thought would sell to the widest possible audience: WMD. However, if you believed that, its your own fault. I was agog at the credulity of the media when Colin Powell held up the vial of corn starch at the UN, when he showed some grainy sattelite pictures of something or other. From a purely chessman's point of view, if we were concerned about WMD and even democracy, we would have started in Iran.

In the grand scheme of things this war is a rear-guard action of World War Two. We were too tired to get around to liberalizing the Arabs. We and they have paid a price for that over the last 60 years, but up until 9-11 we were willing to strangle the Islamists to death as we did the Soviets. We were winning; communication technology will eventually bring the Arabs et. al. into the global fold. They knew that, which is why they attacked us (you don't see the Chinese attacking us for inverse reasons).

But if you attack us, we will break you. Do you prefer honesty? We can talk about freedom and security, but revenge is a much more potent motivator. Its why things really happened. Yet we graciously toppled the two regimes hated even in the broader Islamic world. Shall we continue on to Mecca, Tehran? Islamabd? If we fight for freedom, yes. If we fight to rid the world of WMD, yes. If we fight for revenge, NO. We are satisfied. Do you see how revenge is ultimately less complicated and easier to understand? It has a limit.

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 02:56:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good for you (none / 0)

WMD was just one of the many reasons Bush sought to use to justify war with Iraq. The first one was regime change. Every single excuse was a cover to deceive the people.

Thinking that revenge motivated the administration to invade Iraq is looking at geopolitics through a straw. Base emotions such as revenge and fear are things that motivate the simple citizens watching too much hollywood movies and nightly news. The shakers and movers in government are far too educated, informed, and manipulative to do anything for reasons such as that. If you think revenge was behind the war, Condi, Rummy, Dick, W, Wolfowitz, and Feith must be very proud. They're probably hoping to stir up you and every other American's emotions to advance future agendas. That's why the confusing colored threat alerts -- keep the people afraid and they are as pliable as putty.

The easiest way to try and find the real reason behind any political move is to follow the money trail. Who benefits? Who cashes in from the aftermath?

Iraq was a distraction from the war against the 9/11 attackers. Everyone knew that Osama and Al Qaeda were behind the attacks; they'd been warning us for months and publicizing threats on arab tv. Everyone also knew the Taliban were harboring Osama. The American people would not have tolerated the Bush administration not going after Osama in Afghanistan. Otherwise, you can rest assured Bush would have ignored it completely and gone straight for Iraq. O'Neil and Clarke made it clear that as soon as Bush was inaugurated in 2001, within weeks the neocons were drawing up plans on how to attack Iraq and convince the people it's necessary. How convenient that 9/11 happened!

Why? Money. Strategic control of the second largest oil reserves under a new pro-American Iraqi regime. Weapons sales and profiteering by the military industrial complex within which Bush Sr is heavily involved, not to mention Cheney as well. It also fits very well within the vision of the neocons to assure a pro-Israeli policy at the expense of the arabs regimes.

What I'm wondering is if you were in the army or marines, joined after 9/11 as you said, and are now separated, you escaped the fate of every other soldier who is refused separation from service in time of war.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Feb 01, 2005 at 03:22:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

If the Sunis did not participate in the election (none / 0)

how was it a sucess? To be a sucess we need all three, the Sunis, the Kurds and the Shiites. I don't want us to fail over there, and don't believe we can get out if this turns out to be a failure. I am on record saying that the people who say we should just get out are deluding themselves about our responsibilities over there. But, when I see someone calling the election a suceess that did not include a major ethnic group in Iraq, then I got to question whether it has been sucessful. This would be akine to calling an American election a sucess where 1/3 of the states did not vote because they were about to start a civil war. Will this happen. I hope not. Will there be a sucees. Maybe it will be. I don't pretend to know. What I do know is the dynamics haven't changed yet, and that is what I define as sucess. I am the type of person who looks forward, not backwards. I don't care what the administration's arguments are. I just know that they haven't done the job yet, and this victory of lowered expectations isn't going to help us in the long wrong. That's what this is, the game of lower expectations. THink about it this way. The SHiites and Kurds were the two group that everyone expected to participate- so why the surprise that they did? THe SUnis were the group that every knew needed to participate to truly say there has been progress, and they didn't. Until we can get them on board, we face the same issues as before. It's just that simple.
by bruh21 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:05:57 AM EST

Democracy is not (none / 0)

Democracy is not the product of democratic elections, democratic elections are the product of democracy.
While I personally agree that freeing the Iraqi people from the tyranny of the UN sanctions the world inflicted on the children of Iraq, we would be amiss if the liberals of the word do anything other than call this anything other than what it is which is nothing more than the "appearance of democracy".

Lets get some things straight, 1. The people of Iraq did not even know was going to run until about a week before this so called election. 2. The people of Iraq have been bombed into the stone age, many don't have electricity, running water, food, medicine, etc and have to put up with living in a war zone, one of the most sickening things I read over the weekend in the mainstream media was how turnout in Falluja was non-existent, as if anyone was actually in the deserted ruins of that city, these people are in hell so to speak they probably would have turned out in large numbers if Saddam was the only person on the ballot if they thought it would end the hell they live in. 3. The Shias were issued a religious fatwah by Sustani to get out and vote. 4.We don't know is monitoring the election the UN does not have any real staff in the country as far as I know. Who is counting the so called vote, how do we know that the most important part of democracy, actually counting the votes is being done in anything close to resembling democracy?

I could go on and on and I do hope that this turns out well for the Iraqi people, but we as liberals have to stand for democracy itself and not the sham that this election is. In country after country dictators hold sham elections as a show to the world that they are truly elected by the people, and liberals all over the world face them down as the sham that they are and will not allow the world to give them any credibility. For some reason the people of the world seem to be getting used to the idea that democracy is elections and as long as we line people up on the street and let them go through some the actions that we have democracy and that is just plain false and will give way to significant problems to the people of countries where dictator after dictator will be stood up as the victors of these sham elections.

Democracy instilled in such a way is false hope for the people of the countries that participate in the appearance of Democracy and in the end will cause them to turn away from it because it does not deliver them anything but continuing misery even though they appear to be free to the rest of the world.

Let liberals stand for something true and genuine and not a sham, how can we even call this democracy when Iraq's number one asset has already been sold down the river to the IMF and all of their other state assets are on the privatization chopping block in return for the IMF dollars that they need in order for them to rebuild the infrastructure that we have destroyed.

We depose a tyrant, come in and steal their oil, destroy their country, make them live in hell for nearly two years while arresting them and then torturing them, then we hold this false election over them as their way out of all of this only to submit them into eternal slavery by lending them the money to, well, you know "get back on your feet".

Democracy is not the product of democratic elections, democratic elections are the product of democracy and that my friend is what we liberals stand up for not the other way around.

by laughingriver on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:06:14 AM EST

You said it! (none / 0)

Thank you.

We invaded to depose a powerful regime that was oppressing and marginalizing its minorities.  So far I don't see any change in this, except for a change in which minority is marginalized and oppressed.  

by raisin on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:40:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sucessful, so far, in one respect only (none / 0)

We can be pleased and relieved that the feared mass slaughter of innocent civilians was avoided. But other than this, I think it's way too early to tell.

Ultimately, the success of the election will be determined by whether or not the Iraqis accept the outcome as legitimate.  Let's at least wait until the outcome is known before we try to declare a success.

The particapation rates I have seen quoted in the media so far are impressive and would be a reason to be hopeful.  But I don't know how much credibility to give to these figures because I belive the bush administration lies when ever it suits it's purposes.

by rmx2630 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:06:44 AM EST

Re: Sucessful, so far, in one respect only (none / 0)

As for the participation figures, I'd also be skeptical but it's also been widely reported throughout the arab media, and they are no fans of Bush.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:23:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The media... (none / 0)

Arab and all others do not have anyway to verify turnout and are going on what they are told.

Despite the hype, the media were non-existant in most of the country and holed up in their hotels, so don't believe it just because you hear it on all the outlets...

by laughingriver on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:39:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The media... (none / 0)

Western media are holed up in the green zone. Arab media have their own reporters on the ground and were observing the elections at countless polling locations around Iraq. These are first hand accounts -- how else do you think Al-Arabiya, Al-Jazeera, and other such arab media outlets get all the great live video of the insurgency?

But if you are intent on disbelieving even anti-western first-hand sources like those, believe what you will.

And here is a single example of a western journalist who publishes the accounts of her Iraqi fiancee who happens to be a freelance photojournalist:

http://slate.msn.com/id/2112592/entry/2112884/

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:54:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hmmmmm, (none / 0)

Al-jazeera is banned from Iraq, from this report does it not seem that Al-jazeera is taking its data from election officials?

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/94682ECB-4904-4CE1-94A4-BFBE41ADE2C8.htm

Al-Arabiya is also restricted from traveling around the country, while they might be welcome with the insurgents, trust me with a total lockdown on driving and othr movement they are not going to be allowed by US forces to move around at will and report on anything.

Viewing crowds is highly misleading, hoe many times have you heard someone describe and event turnout at tens of thousands when in actuality it was just a few thousand, meaning that first hand accounts based on someone scanning the horizon is just bunk.

The only way fo get any numbers is from the people who count the votes and trust me neither Al-Jazeera or  Al-Arabiya are anywhere near those people...

by laughingriver on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:18:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hmmmmm, (none / 0)

Sure, their baghdad offices are closed. That doesn't prevent freelance journalists from getting the story on the ground. Arab reporters are the only ones who can move around among the population relatively freely. You keep saying "trust you", but sorry I'm going to trust the people with the first-person accounts. The fact that you'd think arab media would be intentionally backing the Bush line is absolutely ridiculous. If anything, they'd be jumping at the chance to call it a failure.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:55:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

That's not what I'm saying... (none / 0)

I'm saying that they cannot and do not have the personnell on the ground that you seem to think they have and are stuck with relying on that the IEC tells them...

All of thse numbers are coming from the IEC, period, do you think these Al-Jazeera freelancers are running around counting actual people or they scannign the horizon and saying, hey there is a million people in line, turnout must be at least 75%?

Al-Jazeera probably has less than twenty freelancers in Iraq and they are not allowed to identify themselves lest they be arrested and locked up. They cannot travel in vehicals withoug press passes, meaning that they would have to walk from polling station to polling station, this amongst what is it 5,000 or more polling stations across Iraq?

So lets say your on the ground with a camera and reporting turnout, how do you go about making an assessment of what turnout is?

by laughingriver on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 01:00:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's not what I'm saying... (none / 0)

Well, even elections in the US obviously have plenty of occasions where turnout, exit polling, ballot numbers, and eligible voters don't jibe. It's an imperfect process and nobody goes and counts every person in any election -- you use statistical equations to estimate such figures. If perfect accounting is what you require to be satisfied that elections are free and fair, then you might as well start in America because we still have a long way to go.

What I'm saying is when I want the scoop on what's going on in Iraq, I check the arab outlets. They're no fans of westerners or American policies -- which is why their offices are closed at American pressure; see the recent news regarding Qatar pressured by Bush to spin off Al Jazeera -- so they have no incentive to ever spin the news in Bush's favor. In fact, they are his loudest critics...something that cannot be said for our own media. So, when I see arab outlets confirming high turnout in Iraq, which is good news for Bush, I tend to give them a lot of cred.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Feb 01, 2005 at 03:29:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Sucessful, so far, in one respect only (none / 0)

You have hit the nail on the head!  We really don't know anything about the turnout, other than what the cheerleading media tell us.  We do know that any election would have been deemed to be a rousing success by the media, even one where the candidates were unknown, where the vote was not on a candidate, but a party.  We don't know which party won the vote, and won't know for a week or so.  We do seem to know that the Sunnis didn't take part in the election, and they are the primary source of insurgents.  I bet my wife that there wouldn't be a major loss of life from the insurgency during the election, and I am very pleased to have won that bet.  In another couple of months we can decide whether or not this was a successful election, moving Iraq along the road to self government, but we can't do that today.
by Sacramentohop on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:44:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

When will the Saudis get their day of Freedom? (none / 0)

Remember, this is a victory for Iraqis over terror, not a victory of Bush over the Dems, which is how it will innevitably be portrayed by our right-wing media. That is why Dems shy away from praising the elections. That and the wolf-crying thing. What Dems should be saying is "when will Saudi Arabia or Pakistan have their day of Freedom?". We should say it not just because spreading freedom is a noble goal, but also because it highlights the completely phony post-hoc nature of the spreading Freedom justification for the Iraq war. How many Americans would want to invade Saudi Arabia right now if the only benefit would be that 57% of Saudis would participate in problem plagued elections 2 years, 1500 soldiers, and 200 billion dollars later? Yes Democracy is great and we are all for spreading it. That does not mean you can't ask, Was it worth it? And, if it was, who else deserves our intervention?
by TJonBergman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:36:20 AM EST

Re: When will the Saudis get their day of Freedom? (none / 0)

Saudi Arabia democracy? Never, that's when. I lived in Saudi for 7 years prior to the Gulf War in 1991. Back then all the westerners could travel about freely, go shop at bazaars and gold souks, go to the beach, travel to bahrain across the Causeway at will, sight-see all the palaces along the persian gulf coast, visit the eastern Saudi mountains where the old biblical frankenscense and mur trade routes still snake their way through the canyons, check out the old turkish forts, etc.

Those were the good old days, back when you didn't have to worry about being shot or beheaded by anti-western militants. I knew a lot of Saudis who were very friendly. The prince who sponsored our company used to host lavish barbeques on the beach every now and then for the employees at his own expense.

In my opinion, we as westerners have to get over our damn holier-than-thou arrogance thinking, that we have all the answers and that every other society on earth should live in our image. Maybe if we stop fucking with everyone else they wouldn't hate us so much. All of this shit we bring on ourselves through our asinine egotistical policies.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:05:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When will the Saudis get their day of Freedom? (none / 0)

I was not advocating further intervention. My point was that if you beleive these elections somehow make the Iraq war a success, then you should favor doing it again in other places. Thinking in terms of replicating what we did in Iraq, points out pretty clearly that Iraq was not worth it, even if things miraculously get better from here on out. How do we know that we did not go to war to bring Democracy to Iraq? Because we would never do it again. We can not let this election serve as the first draft of their revisionist history. We also can not be seen as being against Freedom. By asking Bush what his plans are to help others living under tyranny, we get two benefits: 1) it emphasizes that we are of course against tyranny and 2) it makes Bush's Iraq war justifications and big talk about spreading freedom look very lame.
by TJonBergman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:19:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

That's the whole point (none / 0)

If a sizable contingent of Democrats enter the public square and shout "Will we ever free the Saudis?" The Republicans will likely reply, "One moment, please."

The question before America is what do we do next.

I for one prefer pulling out of Iraq and Afghanistan, resting and refitting our troops, and going back to the Clinton policy of strangulation.

Fanatical Islam cannot survive in the modern world; these are its death throws. When our Arab brothers and sisters can join us via the internet, what will we tell them? That we respect their religion? That, by all means they should controvert everything we believe in regarding pluralism, tolerance, chivalry towards women and the weak? Heck NO!

We will persuade them that if they really must believe that Mohammad had a message from god they should, as with picking one's nose, be discreet about it. most of the world doesn't believe that and we will crush them if they try to carry out Mohammad's foriegn policy.

Hopefully our response to the killing of 4,000 Americans and the destruction of several of our fine buildings will convince them that another attack will be met with as much or more retaliation. Can they be dissuaided?

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:07:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Before we throw stones at glass houses... (none / 0)

I say we get our own shit together and stop forcing our own way of life on every other country and culture. The American way does not equate to the right way for everyone. Was 9/11 a surprise to you? It was a long time coming. You should review middle-east policies over the last 40 years. Tens of thousands of arab civilians across the region have been killed or maimed as a result of American policies or at the business end of our weapons sold to our despot allies.

 Before we start telling the muslims to "be discreet" with thier faith, let's start with the fundamentalist so-called christians here in the US who don't cease trying to tell me how to live my life while attempting to rewrite my contitutional freedoms. And before you start thinking too much that our shit doesn't stink, read up on the crusades. Killing in the name of God was pioneered by the west.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Feb 01, 2005 at 03:39:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Before we throw stones at glass houses... (none / 0)

You have to belive somewhat that our policies in the Middle East had been helping to enrage the citizens over there.  Partly for not freeing them from their despots and or working with the dictators.
by Classical Liberal on Tue Feb 01, 2005 at 05:25:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Found today frightening (none / 0)

I have been amazed at the ease with which seemingly rational Americans can be gulled by a few fluff pieces in their media. No one can honestly judge whether this election is a sucess or not for a long time to come, I hope it is but remain sceptical. However the reaction on sites such as this has been truly scary,if the standard of analytical thinking in the US has really fallen so low then maybe it is time to give up hope. The amount of wishful thinking and instant gratification going on seems out of all proportion to the event which is surely just one of many landmarks on the road to Iraqi democracy. Elections happen all the time all over the place, some a meaningful some not. As to this one we just don't know yet
by London Calling on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:52:44 AM EST

Re: Found today frightening (none / 0)

Absolutely true - it's too early to tell whether the election was a success.  But if it's too early to tell, why are so many liberals on this site so quick to whine about how it wasn't all that great?  How do you know?

All we really know is things went a lot better on election day than they might have.  That's good, and immediately saying "yes, but..." just comes off terribly.  

I am a diehard liberal.  I think Iraq was a terrible mistake and I still don't think it will succeed.  But the election went well under the circumstances and that is a good thing.  Today is a day to be happy and gracious, not bitter and pessimistic.  I think we need to have a better understanding of how our comments appear to most Americans.  And we wonder why we lose all the elections.

by snaktime on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:02:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Found today frightening (none / 0)

Because the Sunis didn't participate. This is as simple as it gets. If at some future point they do, then we can count that as a sucess. But, today, now, at this moment, you can't credibly call the fact that the people who we expected to come to the table a sucess. It's the people who didn't come to the table that we have been fighting and can lead to civil war.

OT: I am tired of people trying to cover themselves by saying "I am liberal" or I am this. It really doesn't matter if y ou are liberal, moderate or conservative. I care if what you say comport with the facts. And right now, the notion that you are right is just wrong because as the poster wrote, you have no clue what yesterday means other than that the people who were expected to voted did vote, and the people we needed to vote didn't. Whether this will put pressure on the others to come into fold, or causes people to see the Americans in a different light- I have no clue. The issue is that you seem to think you have a greater insight than you do based on one event that went as expected.

by bruh21 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:17:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

(You know what) the Sunnis (none / 0)

In the off year election of 2006, we will not have the turnout we had in 2004. Most likely that will favor the rightwing, because they are disciplined. Will that invalidate the election? In your dreams!

If the sunnis (as if they are homogenous) didn't participate: they are wrong.

I am giddy that the American right wing is being duped by New World Order Bush into nation building! They are doing abroad what they would never do at home. Ironic? Yeah, great! Bush mouths the rightwings vocabulary, while he carries out Robespierre's policy.

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:13:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Found today frightening (none / 0)

I don't know how things are on your side of the pond, my friend, but over here people are chained to both a kaleidoscopic vision of 'democracy' and a pathological need to congratulate themselves for being "Merrkin."  Unfortunately, these issues afflict people of many self-described political persuasions.

The situation in Iraq is extremely complex and very tenuous, yet people here are willing to dance in the streets over a simple election.  There are far too many questions that need to be resolved before we can start celebrating Iraqi democracy, not the least of which is the unrepentant corruption of those who staged the election (the Bushies, that is).

Don't worry, mate, it will all blow over soon, just like Condi's rhetorical "mushroom clouds."  The icy death grip of reality will yank these high fliers down to earth soon enough.  Maybe then we'll be forced to start considering solutions that don't rely upon hastily staged show elections.

by The Church Secretary on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 09:44:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Elections are A Positive (none / 0)

I agree that the Iraqi election is a positive for that country, albeit one paid at a very dear price: 1,300 American troops killed, hundreds of thousands of dead Iraqis, a country in shambles because of the  invasion and occupation, America's image in tatters across the world, billions of US taxpayers' dollars spent, etc.  Iraqis, of course, had no voice in the decision for the US to invade Iraq and "free"them but one wonders if Americans would have been so willing to pay this price for elections in Iraq had they known the cost ahead of time.  One wonders too if Iraqis feel this election was bought at too dear of a price for their country.  This election is the least that Iraqis and Americans deserve for the price (in blood and dollars) that's been paid.    
by Mushinronsha on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 10:59:10 AM EST

How did they vote (none / 0)

in 2004?
by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:15:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Here's an informed note of dissensus (none / 0)

Sure, we stand for real democratic elections, real enfranchisement of the dispossessed, and real Iraqi self-governance. But anyone who thinks that these elections are the beginning of that road needs to have his head examined. Not with the Bush crowd in power.

It is quite possible (I would argue rational) to be in favor of all the good liberal things mentioned in this diary, and yet to have real questions about the nature of these elections, and to believe that standing with Bush at anytime is just nuts.

Learn from the master. On the one hand, yesterday was indeed an historic day for Iraq:

A Mixed Story

posted by Juan Cole
1/30/2005

I said on television last week that this event is a "political earthquake" and "a historical first step" for Iraq. It is an event of the utmost importance, for Iraq, the Middle East, and the world.

But he is appalled by the mainstream media "boosterism" and "cheerleading." This election wouldn't even meet Florida standards:

I'm just appalled by the cheerleading tone of US news coverage of the so-called elections in Iraq on Sunday. All the boosterism has a kernel of truth to it, of course. Iraqis hadn't been able to choose their leaders at all in recent decades, even by some strange process where they chose unknown leaders. But this process is not a model for anything, and would not willingly be imitated by anyone else in the region. The 1997 elections in Iran were much more democratic, as were the 2002 elections in Bahrain and Pakistan. . . .

With all the hoopla, it is easy to forget that this was an extremely troubling and flawed "election." Iraq is an armed camp. There were troops and security checkpoints everywhere. Vehicle traffic was banned. The measures were successful in cutting down on car bombings that could have done massive damage. But even these Draconian steps did not prevent widespread attacks, which is not actually good news. There is every reason to think that when the vehicle traffic starts up again, so will the guerrilla insurgency.

The Iraqis did not know the names of the candidates for whom they were supposedly voting. What kind of an election is anonymous! There were even some angry politicians late last week who found out they had been included on lists without their permission. Al-Zaman compared the election process to buying fruit wholesale and sight unseen. (This is the part of the process that I called a "joke," and I stand by that.)

This thing was more like a referendum than an election. It was a referendum on which major party list associated with which major leader would lead parliament.

Bush wanted nothing to do with even these flawed elections:

Moreover . . . the Bush administration opposed one-person, one-vote elections of this sort. . . . So if it had been up to Bush, Iraq would have been a soft dictatorship under Chalabi, or would have had stage-managed elections with an electorate consisting of a handful of pro-American notables. It was Sistani and the major Shiite parties that demanded free and open elections and a UNSC resolution. They did their job and got what they wanted. But the Americans have been unable to provide them the requisite security for truly aboveboard democratic elections.

And Iraqi voters are unlikely to get what they want out of this "democratic election," which may lead to longer-term problems:

Many of the voters came out to cast their ballots in the belief that it was the only way to regain enough sovereignty to get American troops back out of their country. The new parliament is unlikely to make such a demand immediately, because its members will be afraid of being killed by the Baath military. One fears a certain amount of resentment among the electorate when this reticence becomes clear.

This flawed election is, of course, far from a solution to Iraq's problems:

Iraq now faces many key issues that could tear the country apart, from the issues of Kirkuk and Mosul to that of religious law. James Zogby on Wolf Blitzer wisely warned the US public against another "Mission Accomplished" moment. Things may gradually get better, but this flawed "election" isn't a Mardi Gras for Americans and they'll regret it if that is the way they treat it.

So yes, let's celebrate the fact that at least some Iraqis had, for once, something to dance about yesterday, even as we refuse to suspend our critical faculties about the nature of the Bush administration, or of what happened yesterday.

And let's not forget that, over time, and as more information comes in, the interpretation of yesterday's election as a "success" may come into question (already we are aware of the propaganda claiming 70% to 80% turnout).

With this crowd in power, unfortunately, yesterday's election is likely to recede into the background just as quickly as the taking of Baghdad or the capture of Sadaam, to be replaced by the ongoing truth of Iraq as a deeply insecure "armed camp."

by tgeraghty on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:47:09 AM EST

Agree with original post (none / 0)

If a Democrat president had fought this war, Dems would have supported it.  As a liberal, I am happy when I see dictators removed from power and elections held instead.  As a liberal, I am happy when totalitarian regimes like the Taliban which subjugated women are removed from power.  As a liberal, I support policies that don't involve appeasing fanatically religious regimes.

Bush lied to get his war and screwed it up to all hell.  But I've been incredibly disappointed in the fact that many liberals seem to want Iraq to fail just to make Bush look bad.

Iraq hasn't failed yet.  1300 soliders is a large price to pay, and a for the families of those soldiers, an unquantifiable cost.  However, to be realistic, 1300 soldiers over nearly two years is a tiny casualty count in the context of every war this country has ever fought in.  We lost 1300 soliders in about 10 seconds at Omaha Beach.  We lost 50K dead in Vietnam. It scares me that people are so spooked by relatively small casualties if we ever have to fight a war to truly defend this country (and no, I do not believe that Iraq was a direct threat to the USA)

If we succeed in Iraq, and it's a huge if, then it will have been worth it.  Dems have treated Iraq as nothing more than a political issue, as evidence by Kerry's shameless position honing on the war.  Instead of a "position" on the war, Kerry and most other Dems needed an opinion on it.  By never taking Iraq seriously except as a way of scoring political points on Bush, we essentially gave him a blank check to completely botch the war, alienate allies, torture prisoners, and anger (or kill) countless Iraqis.

Nonetheless, I want this to succeedm even if Bush looks good as a result.  Transforming the Middle East is the great challenge of our age.  

As a liberal, I have always supported an aggressive use of our power to promote democracy and human rights.  When we go isolationist as a party, we join the ranks of the Pat Buchannan's of the world.  That's not where I want to be.  We were right to go to Kosovo.  We should have gone to Rwanada to stop the genocide. We should have gone to Liberia when the people there begged us to provide stability.  We should have done more to stop the current genocide in Sudan.  We should put more pressure on corrupt African regimes, but at the same time we should provide many times more aid to Africa than we currently do now to deal with the staggering AIDS epidemic.  This is consistent with liberalism, and liberals should support this.  

I'm not ashamed of an aggressive foreign policy that promotes democratic values.  I'm ashamed that Democrats are slowly putting themselves in the isolationist camp or the EU appeasement camp. I don't want to see us turn into a peacenik isolationist, UN party.  The UN is a useless institution that has developed a tendency to moral equivalency and appeasement.

Our party's approach to the last four years resulted in nothing but letting Bush get away with in botching the war in Iraq and dishonestly conflating it with the war on terror.

by alhill on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 11:51:28 AM EST

I have to respect Iraqis who voted. (none / 0)

This guy got shot in the face on the way to the polls in Mosul:

This was the site of a mortar attack on a queueing line for voting that killed a few people:

As dismal as voting turnouts are in America, I have to wonder just how much courage Americans would have in the same situation. I bet all the chickenshit republicans would stay home.

If my links don't work, go here:

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/01/31/iraq/main670356.shtml

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 12:08:30 PM EST

A few observations (none / 0)

1) People who opposed the war consistently get attacked for wanting the operation to fail whenever we point out what is and may go wrong.  Fighting Liberal is just wrong - pointing out pitfalls is not hoping they will happen.  

It's reality - and if we refuse to discuss reality - kinda makes rationale thought a waste of time.

  1. Was it worth it?  If this works - it's a great success!  Really, how many people would have voted for this two years ago if they knew that the cost would be $300 Billion, 10,000 wounded, and the loss of the ability of the US to intervene anywhere else?  I think we could all draw up lists of better uses for those resources.

  2. Look at the track record.  The elections looked great - it was a good sign.  But so was the initial invasion, the capture of Saddam, the turnover in sovereinty, etc.  And now comes the hard part - the negotiations for power.  If you are a betting man, and you saw the track record, really where would you put your $s?

  3. Read the press from Vietnams 1967 election of Kos - it's scary.  

by Samuel H Knight on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 01:03:36 PM EST

Without caricaturing you (none / 0)

  1. Many people do want the operation to fail. They reason that success will lead to repeating this venture elsewhere, and failure will lead to a return to realism which is a success in itself. I don't want the operation to fail. I want it to end. There is a distinct difference.

  2. Americans don't give a damn about life. If we did, the national guard wouldn't be in Iraq, it would be in every place that sells alchohol, standing vigil to prevent drunk driving. If we did, we wouldn't smoke, or use drugs, or eat pseudo-foods. We do care about freedom, especially our own. When we feel it is threatened, we lash out.

Let me ask you: was the French Revolution worth it?

What would you say in 1789? 1793? 1815? 1830? 1871? 1913? 1915? 1919? 1940? 1946? 1968? 2005?

  1. If Bush is bored with Iraq, he will let the Shiites have it. After all it helps us divide the Islamic world, so as to more effectively oversee their submission to the global order. The insurgency is a result of us staying in Iraq to build schools, rather than getting out. Its absurd to think that in a sea of despotism, Iraq will be the Island of Freedom. But that is egg on the Arabs' face, not ours.

  2. I shall.

by Paul Goodman on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 03:30:01 PM EST
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